 42: 8/4 6/4 |
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1. | Book1 | 8/4 6/4 | eq: +0.196 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 53.66% (G:16.21% B:0.68%)
46.34% (G:11.67% B:0.52%) | |
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| 2. | Book1 | 24/22 13/9 | eq: +0.006 (-0.190) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 49.83% (G:13.87% B:0.57%)
50.17% (G:12.96% B:0.50%) | |
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| 3. | Book1 | 24/20 13/11 | eq: +0.002 (-0.193) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 50.03% (G:13.55% B:0.69%)
49.97% (G:13.32% B:0.56%) | |
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| 4. | Book1 | 13/11 13/9 | eq: +0.000 (-0.195) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 49.52% (G:14.73% B:0.67%)
50.48% (G:13.53% B:0.74%) | |
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| 5. | 4-ply | 24/22 24/20 | eq: -0.038 (-0.234) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 49.38% (G:11.93% B:0.52%)
50.62% (G:13.23% B:0.44%) | |
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1 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++
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 41: 24/23 13/9 |
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| 1. | XG Roller++ | 24/23 13/9 | eq: -0.334 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 43.58% (G:11.29% B:0.48%)
56.42% (G:18.39% B:0.86%) | |
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| 2. | XG Roller++ | 24/23 24/20 | eq: -0.369 (-0.036) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 42.94% (G:10.19% B:0.48%)
57.06% (G:18.19% B:0.69%) | |
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| 3. | XG Roller++ | 13/8 | eq: -0.389 (-0.055) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 42.22% (G:10.71% B:0.47%)
57.78% (G:18.28% B:0.90%) | |
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| 4. | XG Roller++ | 13/9 6/5 | eq: -0.389 (-0.056) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 42.66% (G:10.81% B:0.46%)
57.34% (G:19.59% B:1.55%) | |
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| 5. | XG Roller++ | 24/20 6/5 | eq: -0.416 (-0.083) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 42.33% (G:9.80% B:0.43%)
57.67% (G:20.08% B:1.18%) | |
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| 64: 8/2* 6/2 |
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| 1. | 4-ply | 8/2* 6/2 | eq: +0.443 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 57.46% (G:22.28% B:1.23%)
42.54% (G:10.68% B:0.54%) | |
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| 2. | 4-ply | 24/18 13/9 | eq: +0.196 (-0.247) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 54.39% (G:15.52% B:0.79%)
45.61% (G:12.42% B:0.52%) | |
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| 3. | 4-ply | 24/14 | eq: +0.186 (-0.257) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 54.54% (G:13.76% B:0.58%)
45.46% (G:11.94% B:0.42%) | |
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| 4. | 4-ply | 24/18 6/2* | eq: +0.110 (-0.334) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 52.41% (G:14.87% B:0.73%)
47.59% (G:13.56% B:0.64%) | |
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| 5. | 3-ply | 13/7 6/2* | eq: +0.079 (-0.365) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 51.14% (G:16.59% B:0.85%)
48.86% (G:14.14% B:1.04%) | |
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| 65: Bar/14 |
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| 1. | XG Roller++ | Bar/14 | eq: -0.463 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 41.98% (G:9.50% B:0.47%)
58.02% (G:23.92% B:1.07%) | |
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| 2. | XG Roller++ | Bar/20 9/3 | eq: -0.625 (-0.163) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 38.92% (G:9.61% B:0.51%)
61.08% (G:27.16% B:1.55%) | |
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| 3. | 4-ply | Bar/20 13/7 | eq: -0.683 (-0.220) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 38.56% (G:9.44% B:0.54%)
61.44% (G:28.93% B:2.72%) | |
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| 4. | 4-ply | Bar/20 24/18 | eq: -0.699 (-0.236) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 38.64% (G:8.61% B:0.47%)
61.36% (G:29.45% B:1.41%) | |
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| 5. | 4-ply | Bar/20 8/2 | eq: -0.764 (-0.301) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 37.31% (G:9.13% B:0.47%)
62.69% (G:28.82% B:2.22%) | |
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| No double |
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| Analyzed in XG Roller++ |
No double |
Double/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: |
58.12% (G:23.93% B:1.07%) |
58.37% (G:23.60% B:1.07%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: |
41.88% (G:9.29% B:0.47%) |
41.63% (G:9.25% B:0.47%) |
| Cubeless Equities |
+0.400 |
+0.781 |
| Cubeful Equities |
| No double: | +0.472 | |
| Double/Take: | +0.366 (-0.106) | |
| Double/Pass: | +1.000 (+0.528) |
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| Best Cube action: No double / Take |
| Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 14.4% |
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| 42: 24/20 13/11* |
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| 1. | XG Roller++ | 24/20 13/11* | eq: +0.678 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 62.49% (G:26.56% B:1.65%)
37.51% (G:8.74% B:0.44%) | |
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| 2. | XG Roller++ | 13/9 13/11* | eq: +0.626 (-0.052) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 61.28% (G:27.34% B:1.77%)
38.72% (G:9.64% B:0.54%) | |
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| 3. | XG Roller++ | 13/11* 8/4 | eq: +0.536 (-0.142) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 59.14% (G:25.56% B:1.46%)
40.86% (G:10.42% B:0.51%) | |
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| 4. | 4-ply | 13/11* 11/7 | eq: +0.490 (-0.189) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 58.91% (G:25.01% B:1.39%)
41.09% (G:10.27% B:0.58%) | |
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| 5. | 3-ply | 13/11* 6/2 | eq: +0.304 (-0.374) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 54.36% (G:22.16% B:1.26%)
45.64% (G:11.96% B:0.73%) | |
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42: Cannot Move  |
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| 1. | 3-ply | Cannot Move | eq: -1.063 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 29.33% (G:5.98% B:0.29%)
70.67% (G:38.24% B:2.35%) | |
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| Double/Pass |
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| Analyzed in XG Roller++ |
No double |
Double/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: |
71.30% (G:37.74% B:2.28%) |
71.11% (G:38.65% B:2.33%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: |
28.70% (G:5.59% B:0.25%) |
28.89% (G:5.77% B:0.27%) |
| Cubeless Equities |
+0.966 |
+1.888 |
| Cubeful Equities |
 No double: | +1.099 | |
| Double/Take: | +1.578 (+0.478) | |
| Double/Pass: | +1.000 (-0.099) |
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| Best Cube action: Too good to double / Pass |
| Percentage of wrong take needed to make the double decision right: 17.2% |
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Για πολλοστή φορά ο Γρούτσος παίζει πιο συντηρητικά από όσο χρειάζεται. Το 3-away - 3-away είναι δύσκολο σκορ όταν υπάρχουν διπλά, με το take point να ανεβαίνει μέχρι και το 30% όταν ο αντίπαλος έχει 25% (από πίνακες take point).
Εδώ ο Γρούτσος, έχοντας κάνει τρεις πόρτες και βλέποντας ένα τρίτο πούλι ενώ το άλλο είναι ακόμα στο bar, έχει σίγουρα πάνω από 25% (για την ακρίβεια έχει 38% διπλά).
Επίσης, πολύ σημαντικό, τα τεσσάρια του που χτυπάνε δεν κάνουν καμία πόρτα μέσα, άρα οι καλές ζαριές του είναι πολλές.
Όλα αυτά σημαίνουν ότι ο Γρούτσος δεν κινδυνεύει σοβαρά να χάσει το double out, μέχρι την επόμενη ζαριά, δηλαδή αν τα πράγματα δεν πάνε καλά, θα μπορέσει να πάρει τον ένα πόντο με τον βίδο. Άρα πρέπει να παίξει μια ζαριά για το διπλό και να επανεκτιμήσει την κατάσταση μετά. |
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| Wins 1pt. |
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