Avdis vs. Groutsos

15 point match, Score is Avdis: 13, Groutsos: 15


Σχόλια: Μιχάλης Μανωλιός

17/6/2018.
Τελικός Ατομικού Πρωταθλήματος Ελλάδος 2017-18, μεταξύ του Γιώργου Αυδή (Πρωταθλητή 2012 και 2013, Κυπελλούχου 2012, Πρωταθλητή Ευρώπης Διαδικτύου με την Εθνική Ομάδα Διαδικτύου 2013) και του Χρίστου Γρούτσου (Πρωταθλητή Ευρώπης 2009, Πρωταθλητή Ελλάδος Διαδικτύου 2014,  Παίκτη της Χρονιάς 2013, τρίτη θέση στο Πανευρωπαϊκό του 2014 με την Εθνική Ομάδα).
Αν κερδίσει ο Γρούτσος, κατακτά το Πρωτάθλημα, ενώ, σε περίπτωηση νίκης του Αυδή, ακολουθεί δεύτερος και τελευταίος τελικός στα 11.


Avdis  Category Groutsos 
Expert (-0.0104) Total Error Expert (-0.0108)
World Class (-0.0086) Checker Play World Class (-0.0080)
Advanced (-0.0193) Cube Play Advanced (-0.0176)
5.22 Performance Rating 5.41

Avdis  Groutsos 
World Champ. (-0.0025) Game 1 Intermediate (-0.0266)
Expert (-0.0132) Game 2 World Class (-0.0058)
Expert (-0.0110) Game 3 Expert (-0.0116)
World Champ. (+0.0000) Game 4 World Champ. (+0.0000)
Expert (-0.0116) Game 5 Intermediate (-0.0269)
Advanced (-0.0198) Game 6 Advanced (-0.0172)
World Champ. (-0.0018) Game 7 World Champ. (-0.0044)
Advanced (-0.0163) Game 8 World Class (-0.0059)
World Class (-0.0090) Game 9 World Champ. (-0.0040)
World Champ. (+0.0000) Game 10 World Champ. (+0.0000)
Intermediate (-0.0269) Game 11 World Champ. (-0.0033)
Expert (-0.0115) Game 12 World Champ. (-0.0044)
World Champ. (+0.0000) Game 13 World Champ. (+0.0000)
World Class (-0.0052) Game 14 Advanced (-0.0155)
Expert (-0.0127) Game 15 Expert (-0.0148)
Advanced (-0.0163) Game 16 World Champ. (-0.0026)
Expert (-0.0134) Game 17 World Class (-0.0096)
World Champ. (-0.0045) Game 18 World Champ. (+0.0000)
Advanced (-0.0233) Game 19 World Champ. (+0.0000)
Advanced (-0.0236) Game 20 Intermediate (-0.0322)
World Champ. (+0.0000) Game 21 Advanced (-0.0199)
World Champ. (-0.0012) Game 22 Intermediate (-0.0291)
World Champ. (-0.0036) Game 23 World Champ. (-0.0016)

Avdis  Category Groutsos 
34(6) Move Errors 27(5)
-1.885(-16.58%) Equity lost (cost) -1.665(-11.97%)
     
6(2) Double Errors 11(8)
-0.499(-2.50%) Equity lost (cost) -1.368(-10.94%)
     
2(2) Take Errors 1(1)
-0.349(-2.73%) Equity lost (cost) -0.125(-1.56%)
     
42(10) Total Error 39(14)
-2.733(-21.81%) Equity lost (cost) -3.157(-24.47%)
     
28 Jokers 28
-0.264(-59.05%) Luck +0.264(+59.05%)
     
Expert Level of Play Expert
5.22 Performance Rating 5.41

Location: MindGames, Χολαργός
Played on: 18-Jun-18
At: 11:18:30 PM

Event: Τελική Φάση Πρωτάθλημα 2018
Round: Final

Avdis: Elo= 1600, Exp=0

Groutsos: Elo= 1600, Exp=0

 Game 1

15 point match, Score is Avdis: 0, Groutsos: 0

 
 63: 24/18 13/10 
Pip=167-167
1.playedBook124/18 13/10eq: +0.010
Player:
Opponent:		50.37% (G:12.70% B:0.56%)
49.63% (G:13.08% B:0.54%)
2.Book124/15eq: -0.008 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:		50.31% (G:11.59% B:0.47%)
49.69% (G:12.92% B:0.46%)
3.Book113/4eq: -0.056 (-0.066)
Player:
Opponent:		48.43% (G:13.74% B:0.66%)
51.57% (G:14.20% B:0.74%)
4.Book124/21 13/7eq: -0.058 (-0.068)
Player:
Opponent:		48.48% (G:13.04% B:0.57%)
51.52% (G:13.71% B:0.59%)
5.Book124/21 24/18eq: -0.084 (-0.093)
Player:
Opponent:		48.79% (G:11.15% B:0.51%)
51.21% (G:14.61% B:0.50%)
 
1 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++

Σχόλια: Μιχάλης Μανωλιός

17/6/2018.
Τελικός Ατομικού Πρωταθλήματος Ελλάδος 2017-18, μεταξύ του Γιώργου Αυδή (Πρωταθλητή 2012 και 2013, Κυπελλούχου 2012, Πρωταθλητή Ευρώπης Διαδικτύου με την Εθνική Ομάδα 2013) και του Χρίστου Γρούτσου (Πρωταθλητή Ευρώπης 2009, Πρωταθλητή Ελλάδος Διαδικτύου 2014,  Παίκτη της Χρονιάς 2013, τρίτη θέση στο Πανευρωπαϊκό του 2014 με την Εθνική Ομάδα).
Αν κερδίσει ο Γρούτσος, κατακτά το Πρωτάθλημα, ενώ, σε περίπτωηση νίκης του Αυδή, ακολουθεί δεύτερος και τελευταίος τελικός στα 11.
 
 53: 8/3 6/3 
Pip=167-158
1.playedXG Roller++8/3 6/3eq: -0.165
Player:
Opponent:		45.45% (G:12.42% B:0.43%)
54.55% (G:14.17% B:0.66%)
2.XG Roller++24/21 13/8eq: -0.207 (-0.041)
Player:
Opponent:		44.71% (G:10.45% B:0.36%)
55.29% (G:13.64% B:0.56%)
3.XG Roller++24/21 6/1* eq: -0.210 (-0.045)
Player:
Opponent:		44.69% (G:11.50% B:0.34%)
55.31% (G:14.47% B:0.73%)
4.XG Roller++13/5eq: -0.247 (-0.081)
Player:
Opponent:		43.63% (G:11.15% B:0.36%)
56.37% (G:14.67% B:0.76%)
5.XG Roller++24/16eq: -0.280 (-0.114)
Player:
Opponent:		43.53% (G:9.14% B:0.33%)
56.47% (G:15.02% B:0.56%)
 
 42: 24/18 
Pip=159-158
1.playedXG Roller++24/18eq: +0.174
Player:
Opponent:		54.52% (G:12.05% B:0.37%)
45.48% (G:9.73% B:0.31%)
2.XG Roller++8/4 6/4eq: +0.092 (-0.082)
Player:
Opponent:		52.61% (G:15.28% B:0.83%)
47.39% (G:14.85% B:0.65%)
3.3-ply18/14 10/8eq: -0.147 (-0.321)
Player:
Opponent:		47.39% (G:10.81% B:0.46%)
52.61% (G:16.12% B:0.59%)
4.3-ply18/14 13/11eq: -0.155 (-0.329)
Player:
Opponent:		47.46% (G:11.85% B:0.61%)
52.54% (G:17.56% B:0.96%)
5.3-ply18/16 13/9eq: -0.189 (-0.363)
Player:
Opponent:		46.68% (G:12.18% B:0.63%)
53.32% (G:18.50% B:1.15%)
 
 51: 24/23 13/8 
Pip=159-152
1.playedXG Roller++24/23 13/8eq: -0.282
Player:
Opponent:		42.64% (G:9.06% B:0.25%)
57.36% (G:12.90% B:0.42%)
2.XG Roller++13/8 6/5eq: -0.304 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:		42.08% (G:9.15% B:0.26%)
57.92% (G:13.32% B:0.44%)
3.XG Roller++24/18eq: -0.312 (-0.030)
Player:
Opponent:		42.30% (G:7.87% B:0.24%)
57.70% (G:13.17% B:0.37%)
4.4-ply24/23 6/1eq: -0.435 (-0.153)
Player:
Opponent:		39.04% (G:8.71% B:0.18%)
60.96% (G:16.34% B:0.65%)
5.4-ply24/23 8/3eq: -0.460 (-0.178)
Player:
Opponent:		38.31% (G:8.69% B:0.22%)
61.69% (G:16.58% B:0.64%)
 
 21: 13/10 
Pip=153-152
1.played4-ply13/10eq: +0.192
Player:
Opponent:		55.50% (G:11.36% B:0.37%)
44.50% (G:9.37% B:0.24%)
2.4-ply13/11 10/9eq: -0.050 (-0.242)
Player:
Opponent:		49.21% (G:10.25% B:0.33%)
50.79% (G:12.38% B:0.39%)
3.4-ply10/9 8/6eq: -0.111 (-0.302)
Player:
Opponent:		47.47% (G:9.58% B:0.30%)
52.53% (G:12.44% B:0.35%)
4.3-ply10/8 6/5eq: -0.136 (-0.328)
Player:
Opponent:		47.14% (G:9.40% B:0.31%)
52.86% (G:13.53% B:0.31%)
5.3-ply10/9 6/4eq: -0.176 (-0.368)
Player:
Opponent:		46.69% (G:9.88% B:0.35%)
53.31% (G:15.63% B:0.44%)
 
 66: 24/18 8/2(3) 
Pip=153-149
1.played3-ply24/18 8/2(3)eq: -0.259
Player:
Opponent:		43.51% (G:11.05% B:0.22%)
56.49% (G:15.71% B:0.51%)
 
 44: 18/14(2) 6/2*(2)  
Pip=129-149
1.xgXG Roller++8/4(2) 6/2*(2) eq: +0.613
Player:
Opponent:		63.62% (G:26.44% B:0.61%)
36.38% (G:9.31% B:0.26%)
2.playedXG Roller++18/14(2) 6/2*(2) eq: +0.376 (-0.238)
Player:
Opponent:		59.50% (G:14.13% B:0.44%)
40.50% (G:7.65% B:0.19%)
3.4-ply13/9(2) 6/2*(2) eq: +0.360 (-0.254)
Player:
Opponent:		57.96% (G:19.16% B:0.65%)
42.04% (G:10.80% B:0.25%)
4.4-ply13/5 6/2*(2) eq: +0.313 (-0.300)
Player:
Opponent:		56.86% (G:20.08% B:0.60%)
43.14% (G:12.49% B:0.27%)
5.3-ply18/10 6/2*(2) eq: +0.286 (-0.328)
Player:
Opponent:		57.68% (G:12.45% B:0.47%)
42.32% (G:8.92% B:0.13%)

Εφόσον με το τρέξιμο 18/14(2) ο Γρούτσος δεν κερδίζει την κούρσα, το σωστό παίξιμο είναι ξεκάθαρα η φουλ επίθεση. Επιπλέον λόγοι γι' αυτό είναι το ευάλωτο πούλι στο 18, το οποίο αυξάνει τα διπλα, το κάπως ασύνδετο αντίπαλο στρατόπεδο και κυρίως το καμένο πούλι στο 2.
 
 52: Bar/18 
Pip=131-133
1.played3-plyBar/18eq: +0.047
Player:
Opponent:		51.38% (G:2.92% B:0.04%)
48.62% (G:2.33% B:0.09%)
2.3-plyBar/20 18/16eq: -0.507 (-0.554)
Player:
Opponent:		36.79% (G:8.33% B:0.21%)
63.21% (G:18.33% B:0.60%)
3.2-plyBar/20 6/4eq: -0.719 (-0.766)
Player:
Opponent:		33.58% (G:8.52% B:0.21%)
66.42% (G:22.48% B:0.80%)
4.2-plyBar/20 3/1eq: -1.000 (-1.047)
Player:
Opponent:		27.89% (G:5.88% B:0.13%)
72.11% (G:27.70% B:1.09%)
 
 54: 13/4 
Pip=124-133
1.playedXG Roller++13/4eq: -0.042
Player:
Opponent:		48.72% (G:1.92% B:0.06%)
51.28% (G:2.33% B:0.02%)
2.XG Roller++10/6 10/5eq: -0.068 (-0.026)
Player:
Opponent:		47.95% (G:2.37% B:0.09%)
52.05% (G:2.71% B:0.02%)
3.XG Roller++8/4 6/1eq: -0.082 (-0.040)
Player:
Opponent:		47.68% (G:1.98% B:0.04%)
52.32% (G:3.00% B:0.03%)
4.XG Roller++14/10 14/9eq: -0.094 (-0.052)
Player:
Opponent:		47.67% (G:3.49% B:0.11%)
52.33% (G:5.19% B:0.06%)
5.XG Roller++13/8 6/2eq: -0.094 (-0.053)
Player:
Opponent:		47.26% (G:1.61% B:0.04%)
52.74% (G:2.69% B:0.02%)
 
 65: 13/8 13/7 
Pip=124-124
1.playedXG Roller++13/8 13/7eq: +0.082
Player:
Opponent:		52.44% (G:3.19% B:0.04%)
47.56% (G:2.81% B:0.09%)
2.XG Roller++13/7 6/1eq: +0.062 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:		51.80% (G:3.23% B:0.03%)
48.20% (G:3.05% B:0.10%)
3.XG Roller++13/2eq: +0.009 (-0.073)
Player:
Opponent:		50.30% (G:3.19% B:0.04%)
49.70% (G:3.83% B:0.11%)
4.3-ply18/7eq: -0.351 (-0.433)
Player:
Opponent:		40.75% (G:5.87% B:0.11%)
59.25% (G:10.93% B:0.25%)
 
 42: 10/8 10/6 
Pip=113-124
1.XG Roller++8/4 6/4eq: -0.167
Player:
Opponent:		44.50% (G:2.39% B:0.08%)
55.50% (G:3.38% B:0.03%)
2.xgXG Roller++10/4eq: -0.176 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		44.53% (G:4.56% B:0.18%)
55.47% (G:5.53% B:0.08%)
3.playedXG Roller++10/8 10/6eq: -0.189 (-0.023)
Player:
Opponent:		43.60% (G:2.13% B:0.09%)
56.40% (G:2.78% B:0.02%)
4.XG Roller++8/6 8/4eq: -0.194 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent:		44.02% (G:3.61% B:0.15%)
55.98% (G:5.27% B:0.07%)
5.XG Roller++14/10 6/4eq: -0.200 (-0.033)
Player:
Opponent:		44.16% (G:3.57% B:0.13%)
55.84% (G:6.26% B:0.06%)
 
 54: 13/9 13/8 
Pip=113-118
1.playedXG Roller++13/9 13/8eq: +0.135
Player:
Opponent:		54.69% (G:2.76% B:0.03%)
45.31% (G:2.37% B:0.09%)
2.XG Roller++8/4 6/1eq: +0.127 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:		54.42% (G:3.55% B:0.04%)
45.58% (G:3.19% B:0.09%)
3.XG Roller++18/14 18/13eq: +0.104 (-0.031)
Player:
Opponent:		53.13% (G:7.12% B:0.17%)
46.87% (G:5.78% B:0.19%)
4.XG Roller++7/3 6/1eq: +0.078 (-0.057)
Player:
Opponent:		52.87% (G:2.96% B:0.03%)
47.13% (G:3.55% B:0.10%)
5.XG Roller++8/4 7/2eq: +0.058 (-0.077)
Player:
Opponent:		52.28% (G:3.53% B:0.05%)
47.72% (G:3.95% B:0.12%)
 
 31: 8/5 6/5 
Pip=104-118
1.playedXG Roller++8/5 6/5eq: -0.184
Player:
Opponent:		42.97% (G:2.84% B:0.12%)
57.03% (G:2.80% B:0.03%)
2.XG Roller++8/5 4/3eq: -0.221 (-0.038)
Player:
Opponent:		41.84% (G:2.69% B:0.11%)
58.16% (G:3.38% B:0.04%)
3.XG Roller++6/5 6/3eq: -0.223 (-0.039)
Player:
Opponent:		41.85% (G:2.73% B:0.12%)
58.15% (G:3.59% B:0.04%)
4.XG Roller++8/4eq: -0.239 (-0.055)
Player:
Opponent:		41.33% (G:2.42% B:0.10%)
58.67% (G:3.14% B:0.03%)
5.XG Roller++6/3 4/3eq: -0.253 (-0.069)
Player:
Opponent:		40.85% (G:2.40% B:0.09%)
59.15% (G:3.47% B:0.03%)
 
 41: 8/4 6/5 
Pip=104-114
1.xgXG Roller++9/5 6/5eq: +0.103
Player:
Opponent:		53.87% (G:2.89% B:0.04%)
46.13% (G:2.65% B:0.09%)
2.playedXG Roller++8/4 6/5eq: +0.093 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		53.46% (G:2.84% B:0.03%)
46.54% (G:2.38% B:0.09%)
3.XG Roller++8/4 2/1eq: +0.082 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent:		53.08% (G:2.26% B:0.02%)
46.92% (G:2.19% B:0.05%)
4.XG Roller++9/5 2/1eq: +0.074 (-0.029)
Player:
Opponent:		52.75% (G:2.79% B:0.03%)
47.25% (G:2.63% B:0.08%)
5.XG Roller++8/7 8/4eq: +0.073 (-0.030)
Player:
Opponent:		53.06% (G:2.00% B:0.03%)
46.94% (G:2.86% B:0.12%)
 
 44: 14/10(2) 13/9(2) 
Pip=99-114
1.XG Roller++14/6(2)eq: +0.072
Player:
Opponent:		52.10% (G:1.41% B:0.04%)
47.90% (G:1.45% B:0.02%)
2.XG Roller++14/10(2) 8/4 5/1eq: +0.069 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		51.94% (G:1.73% B:0.06%)
48.06% (G:2.06% B:0.03%)
3.XG Roller++14/10 14/6 8/4eq: +0.055 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:		51.23% (G:4.40% B:0.57%)
48.77% (G:3.26% B:0.04%)
4.XG Roller++14/10(2) 8/4 6/2eq: +0.054 (-0.018)
Player:
Opponent:		51.47% (G:1.54% B:0.05%)
48.53% (G:1.89% B:0.02%)
5.XG Roller++14/6 8/4 5/1eq: +0.054 (-0.018)
Player:
Opponent:		51.47% (G:1.61% B:0.05%)
48.53% (G:1.79% B:0.03%)
6.playedXG Roller++14/10(2) 13/9(2)eq: -0.013 (-0.085)
Player:
Opponent:		49.16% (G:0.36% B:0.00%)
50.84% (G:0.24% B:0.00%)

Και πάλι, μετά τα 44 ο Γρούτσος είναι μόλις ένα pip μπροστά. Αυτό σημαίνει ότι (μαθηματικά τουλάχιστον) ο Αυδής είναι ακόμα λίγο μπροστά στην κούρσα (επειδή η μέση ζαριά είναι 8,17 pips, πρέπει κανείς να προηγείται πάνω από 4 pips του αντιπάλου του όταν δεν είναι η σειρά του να παίξει).
Ούτε τώρα λοιπόν  δεν πρέπει να τρέξει ο Γρούτσος. Ένας επιπλεόν λόγος είναι ότι, αν κρατήσει την επαφή, ο Αυδής είναι πιθανόν να αρχίσει να καίει πούλια σε 1-2 ζαριές και σίγουρα πριν από τον Γρούτσο, πράγμα που θα βλάψει την πραγματική κούρσα του.
Ο καλύτερος τρόπος για να κρατηθεί η επαφή είναι ο 14/6(2).
 
 31: 7/4 6/5 
Pip=99-98
1.XG Roller++8/5 2/1eq: -0.194
Player:
Opponent:		43.58% (G:0.35% B:0.01%)
56.42% (G:0.38% B:0.01%)
2.XG Roller++7/4 2/1eq: -0.195 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		43.46% (G:0.38% B:0.01%)
56.54% (G:0.40% B:0.01%)
3.playedXG Roller++7/4 6/5eq: -0.199 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:		43.41% (G:0.37% B:0.01%)
56.59% (G:0.42% B:0.01%)
4.XG Roller++8/4eq: -0.204 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:		43.23% (G:0.27% B:0.00%)
56.77% (G:0.41% B:0.01%)
5.XG Roller++9/6 2/1eq: -0.204 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent:		43.15% (G:0.33% B:0.01%)
56.85% (G:0.43% B:0.01%)
 
 54: 8/4 6/1 
Pip=95-98
1.playedXG Roller++8/4 6/1eq: +0.238
Player:
Opponent:		57.64% (G:0.40% B:0.00%)
42.36% (G:0.38% B:0.01%)
2.xgXG Roller++9/5 9/4eq: +0.235 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		57.56% (G:0.29% B:0.00%)
42.44% (G:0.22% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++8/3 6/2eq: +0.223 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:		57.24% (G:0.37% B:0.00%)
42.76% (G:0.47% B:0.01%)
4.XG Roller++10/6 10/5eq: +0.202 (-0.037)
Player:
Opponent:		56.51% (G:0.10% B:0.00%)
43.49% (G:0.07% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++8/3 5/1eq: +0.201 (-0.037)
Player:
Opponent:		56.42% (G:0.59% B:0.01%)
43.58% (G:0.43% B:0.01%)
 
 44: 18/14 18/6 
Pip=95-89
1.XG Roller++18/14 18/10 9/5eq: +0.388
Player:
Opponent:		62.64% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
37.36% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.xgXG Roller++18/10(2)eq: +0.388 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		62.65% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
37.35% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.playedXG Roller++18/14 18/6eq: +0.387 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		62.58% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
37.42% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++18/14 18/10 8/4eq: +0.385 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		62.51% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
37.49% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++18/14(2) 9/5 8/4eq: +0.383 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:		62.45% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
37.55% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 64: 10/6 9/3 
Pip=79-89
1.playedXG Roller++10/6 9/3eq: -0.265
Player:
Opponent:		40.98% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
59.02% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++10/4 9/5eq: -0.268 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		40.85% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
59.15% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++10/6 10/4eq: -0.269 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		40.84% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
59.16% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++9/5 9/3eq: -0.272 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:		40.74% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
59.26% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++9/3 8/4eq: -0.273 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		40.71% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
59.29% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 No double 
Pip=79-79
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 59.01% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 59.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 40.99% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 41.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.180 +0.365
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.267
     Double/Take:+0.081 (-0.186)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.733)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 16.8%
 
 52: 14/9 8/6 
Pip=79-79
1.xgXG Roller++9/4 8/6eq: +0.194
Player:
Opponent:		56.43% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
43.57% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++14/12 9/4eq: +0.189 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:		56.24% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
43.76% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.playedXG Roller++14/9 8/6eq: +0.187 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:		56.22% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
43.78% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++14/7eq: +0.177 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:		55.85% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
44.15% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++14/12 8/3eq: +0.162 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:		55.32% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
44.68% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 11: 8/7 8/5 
Pip=72-79
1.playedXG Roller++8/7 8/5eq: -0.490
Player:
Opponent:		33.83% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
66.17% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.xgXG Roller++8/6(2)eq: -0.490 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		33.90% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
66.10% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++9/6 8/7eq: -0.497 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:		33.59% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
66.41% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++10/9 8/5eq: -0.498 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:		33.56% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
66.44% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++8/4eq: -0.498 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		33.53% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
66.47% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 No double 
Pip=72-75
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 66.16% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 66.15% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 33.84% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 33.85% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.323 +0.654
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.482
     Double/Take:+0.419 (-0.063)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.518)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 9.8%
 
 42: 9/7 9/5 
Pip=72-75
1.xgXG Roller++9/5 6/4eq: +0.364
Player:
Opponent:		61.78% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
38.22% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.playedXG Roller++9/7 9/5eq: +0.354 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:		61.44% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
38.56% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++9/5 3/1eq: +0.349 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:		61.32% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
38.68% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++9/3eq: +0.324 (-0.040)
Player:
Opponent:		60.47% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
39.53% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++9/5 4/2eq: +0.274 (-0.090)
Player:
Opponent:		58.97% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
41.03% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 65: 10/4 9/4 
Pip=66-75
1.playedXG Roller++10/4 9/4eq: -0.157
Player:
Opponent:		44.34% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
55.66% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.xgXG Roller++10/5 9/3eq: -0.159 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		44.39% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
55.61% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++10/4 7/2eq: -0.178 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent:		43.67% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
56.33% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++9/3 7/2eq: -0.200 (-0.043)
Player:
Opponent:		43.01% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
56.99% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++9/4 7/1eq: -0.202 (-0.045)
Player:
Opponent:		42.91% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
57.09% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 66: 7/1 6/Off(3) 
Pip=66-64
1.played3-ply7/1 6/Off(3)eq: +0.978
Player:
Opponent:		90.63% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
9.37% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 62: 7/5 6/Off 
Pip=42-64
1.playedXG Roller++7/5 6/Offeq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		8.38% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
91.62% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++7/1 2/Offeq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		7.61% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
92.39% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++7/1 6/4eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		5.77% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
94.23% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++7/1 5/3eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		5.51% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
94.49% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++7/1 4/2eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		5.24% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
94.76% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 Double/Pass 
Pip=42-56
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 91.62% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 91.55% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 8.38% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 8.45% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.832 +1.683
Cubeful Equities
     No double:+0.978 (-0.022)
     Double/Take:+1.634 (+0.634)
played Double/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
 
 Wins 1pt. 

Game Summary:

Avdis  Category Groutsos 
World Champ. (-0.0025) Total Error Intermediate (-0.0266)
World Champ. (-0.0032) Checker Play Intermediate (-0.0288)
World Champ. (+0.0000) Cube Play World Champ. (+0.0000)
1.24 Performance Rating 13.29
0 Move Errors 3(2)
-0.032(-0.13%) Equity lost (cost) -0.345(-1.41%)
     
0 Double Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Take Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Total Error 3(2)
-0.032(-0.13%) Equity lost (cost) -0.345(-1.41%)
     
4 Jokers 1
+0.761(+3.10%) Luck -0.761(-3.10%)

 Game 2

15 point match, Score is Avdis: 1, Groutsos: 0

 
 53: 8/3 6/3 
Pip=167-167
1.playedBook18/3 6/3eq: +0.074
Player:
Opponent:		51.54% (G:15.89% B:0.76%)
48.46% (G:13.00% B:0.59%)
2.Book124/21 13/8eq: +0.022 (-0.052)
Player:
Opponent:		50.72% (G:13.64% B:0.68%)
49.28% (G:12.97% B:0.49%)
3.Book113/10 13/8eq: -0.009 (-0.084)
Player:
Opponent:		49.79% (G:14.31% B:0.75%)
50.21% (G:13.67% B:0.68%)
4.Book124/16eq: -0.022 (-0.096)
Player:
Opponent:		50.27% (G:11.73% B:0.50%)
49.73% (G:13.36% B:0.48%)
5.Book113/5eq: -0.038 (-0.112)
Player:
Opponent:		49.15% (G:13.82% B:0.64%)
50.85% (G:13.75% B:0.68%)
 
1 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++
 
 21: 24/23 13/11 
Pip=159-167
1.playedXG Roller++24/23 13/11eq: -0.187
Player:
Opponent:		45.82% (G:11.64% B:0.48%)
54.18% (G:17.07% B:0.77%)
2.XG Roller++13/11 6/5eq: -0.199 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:		46.23% (G:11.92% B:0.47%)
53.77% (G:18.16% B:1.45%)
3.XG Roller++24/21eq: -0.227 (-0.039)
Player:
Opponent:		45.10% (G:10.56% B:0.44%)
54.90% (G:16.76% B:0.66%)
4.XG Roller++13/10eq: -0.235 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:		44.66% (G:11.74% B:0.48%)
55.34% (G:17.50% B:1.04%)
5.XG Roller++24/23 6/4eq: -0.324 (-0.137)
Player:
Opponent:		43.42% (G:10.46% B:0.43%)
56.58% (G:20.50% B:1.00%)
 
 61: 8/2* 2/1*  
Pip=159-164
1.playedXG Roller++8/2* 2/1* eq: +0.083
Player:
Opponent:		50.84% (G:19.41% B:0.68%)
49.16% (G:13.55% B:0.74%)
2.XG Roller++24/23 24/18eq: +0.029 (-0.054)
Player:
Opponent:		51.07% (G:14.08% B:0.65%)
48.93% (G:13.84% B:0.50%)
3.XG Roller++13/7 8/7eq: +0.027 (-0.055)
Player:
Opponent:		50.15% (G:15.75% B:0.63%)
49.85% (G:13.10% B:0.65%)
4.XG Roller++13/6eq: -0.019 (-0.101)
Player:
Opponent:		49.47% (G:14.97% B:0.60%)
50.53% (G:14.03% B:0.63%)
5.XG Roller++24/23 13/7eq: -0.059 (-0.141)
Player:
Opponent:		48.21% (G:14.54% B:0.60%)
51.79% (G:13.82% B:0.65%)
 
 43: Bar/21 
Pip=152-167
1.played3-plyBar/21eq: -0.324
Player:
Opponent:		44.27% (G:11.14% B:0.60%)
55.73% (G:23.81% B:0.86%)
 
 42: 8/4* 6/4 
Pip=152-163
1.played3-ply8/4* 6/4eq: +0.522
Player:
Opponent:		60.23% (G:28.07% B:1.15%)
39.77% (G:9.55% B:0.49%)
2.3-ply24/20 6/4* eq: +0.139 (-0.383)
Player:
Opponent:		52.17% (G:19.87% B:0.85%)
47.83% (G:13.19% B:0.80%)
3.3-ply13/9 6/4* eq: +0.102 (-0.420)
Player:
Opponent:		51.36% (G:21.05% B:0.90%)
48.64% (G:14.66% B:1.25%)
4.3-ply13/11 8/4* eq: +0.087 (-0.435)
Player:
Opponent:		50.80% (G:20.06% B:0.81%)
49.20% (G:14.33% B:1.04%)
5.3-ply24/22 8/4* eq: +0.054 (-0.468)
Player:
Opponent:		50.08% (G:18.34% B:0.70%)
49.92% (G:13.49% B:0.72%)
 
 61: Bar/24*  
Pip=146-167
1.played3-plyBar/24* eq: -0.400
Player:
Opponent:		41.73% (G:9.91% B:0.47%)
58.27% (G:21.62% B:1.29%)
 
 No double 
Pip=170-166
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 58.28% (G:22.05% B:1.24%) 58.37% (G:21.90% B:1.25%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 41.72% (G:9.94% B:0.46%) 41.63% (G:9.90% B:0.46%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.301 +0.609
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.420
     Double/Take:+0.259 (-0.162)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.580)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 17.9%
 
 54: Bar/20 24/20 
Pip=170-166
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/20 24/20eq: +0.534
Player:
Opponent:		60.47% (G:22.40% B:1.11%)
39.53% (G:7.78% B:0.27%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/20 13/9eq: +0.450 (-0.084)
Player:
Opponent:		58.39% (G:23.12% B:1.52%)
41.61% (G:10.26% B:0.57%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/21 13/8eq: +0.411 (-0.123)
Player:
Opponent:		57.81% (G:22.68% B:1.21%)
42.19% (G:10.43% B:0.57%)
4.4-plyBar/16eq: +0.327 (-0.207)
Player:
Opponent:		56.72% (G:20.66% B:1.21%)
43.28% (G:11.33% B:0.60%)
5.4-plyBar/21 6/1* eq: +0.209 (-0.325)
Player:
Opponent:		53.74% (G:20.64% B:0.96%)
46.26% (G:12.17% B:0.67%)
 
 42: Bar/23 24/20 
Pip=161-166
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/23 24/20eq: -0.485
Player:
Opponent:		40.04% (G:8.06% B:0.28%)
59.96% (G:21.26% B:1.04%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/23 11/7eq: -0.562 (-0.077)
Player:
Opponent:		38.39% (G:7.70% B:0.27%)
61.61% (G:21.87% B:1.20%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/23 13/9eq: -0.655 (-0.170)
Player:
Opponent:		36.99% (G:7.86% B:0.33%)
63.01% (G:25.96% B:2.07%)
4.4-plyBar/23 6/2eq: -0.633 (-0.148)
Player:
Opponent:		37.18% (G:7.67% B:0.27%)
62.82% (G:26.23% B:1.99%)
5.4-plyBar/23 8/4eq: -0.720 (-0.236)
Player:
Opponent:		36.20% (G:7.32% B:0.29%)
63.80% (G:27.89% B:2.35%)
 
 No double 
Pip=161-160
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 60.17% (G:21.53% B:1.07%) 60.21% (G:21.37% B:1.01%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 39.83% (G:8.09% B:0.29%) 39.79% (G:7.85% B:0.28%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.352 +0.715
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.497
     Double/Take:+0.384 (-0.113)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.503)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 15.5%
 
 62: 24/22 20/14*  
Pip=161-160
1.xgXG Roller++13/5* eq: +0.521
Player:
Opponent:		60.74% (G:23.12% B:1.18%)
39.26% (G:7.96% B:0.27%)
2.XG Roller++20/14* 13/11eq: +0.462 (-0.059)
Player:
Opponent:		59.73% (G:20.09% B:1.08%)
40.27% (G:8.86% B:0.36%)
3.playedXG Roller++24/22 20/14* eq: +0.419 (-0.103)
Player:
Opponent:		59.14% (G:18.02% B:0.96%)
40.86% (G:8.75% B:0.31%)
4.XG Roller++20/18 20/14* eq: +0.360 (-0.162)
Player:
Opponent:		58.02% (G:17.80% B:0.94%)
41.98% (G:10.03% B:0.37%)
5.4-ply20/14* 6/4eq: +0.299 (-0.223)
Player:
Opponent:		56.80% (G:17.48% B:0.77%)
43.20% (G:9.58% B:0.34%)

Το σίγουρο είναι το 13/11 για το 2, επειδή τα πέντε στακαρισμένα πούλια φωνάζουν ότι πρέπει να κατέβουν κάτω.
Το πρόβλημα με το 20/14* είναι διπλό: (α) λύνει τη χρυσή πόρτα (ναι, ακόμα και χωρίς αντίπαλο board αυτό θέλουμε να το αποφεύγουμε) και (β) αφήνει το πούλι του αντιπάλου στο 20 έτοιμο να δέσει την αντίπαλη χρυσή πόρτα.
Οπότε 13/5*, κρατώντας τη χρυσή πόρτα σε περίπτωση χτυπήματος και στοχεύοντας το double out ή και το gammon αν τα πράγματα πάνε καλά.
 
 62: Bar/23 8/2 
Pip=153-174
1.xgXG Roller++Bar/23 13/7eq: -0.583
Player:
Opponent:		37.48% (G:8.45% B:0.34%)
62.52% (G:22.65% B:1.41%)
2.playedXG Roller++Bar/23 8/2eq: -0.634 (-0.050)
Player:
Opponent:		35.60% (G:7.82% B:0.28%)
64.40% (G:21.36% B:1.24%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/23 20/14eq: -0.657 (-0.073)
Player:
Opponent:		35.51% (G:7.14% B:0.26%)
64.49% (G:20.49% B:1.15%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/17eq: -0.676 (-0.093)
Player:
Opponent:		35.90% (G:7.16% B:0.28%)
64.10% (G:25.27% B:1.40%)

Ομολογώ ότι κι εγώ μάλλον θα το έπαιζα λανθασμένα. Η ιδέα του 13/7 είναι ότι, αν δεν χτυπηθεί, έχει πετύχει πολύ καλύτερη κατανομή πουλίων, ενώ, αν χτυπηθεί, κρατάει το πούλι στο 20, ώστε να δέσει τη χρυση πόρτα.
 
 Double/Take 
Pip=153-166
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 64.37% (G:21.39% B:1.23%) 64.53% (G:21.20% B:1.24%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 35.63% (G:7.91% B:0.28%) 35.47% (G:7.91% B:0.29%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.438 +0.889
Cubeful Equities
xg No double:+0.637
played Double/Take:+0.592 (-0.045)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.363)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 10.0%

Λίγο νωρίς. Ναι, ο Αυδής είναι σαφώς καλύτερος, αλλά έχει πολλή δουλειά να κάνει ακόμα: Έχει δύο πούλια πίσω, ένα blot στο outfield και του λείπει η πόρτα 8. Ο Γρούτσος είναι δεμένος και μπορεί σε κάθε ζαριά να προωθήσει την anchor του στο 20.

Από την άλλη, και οι δύο παίκτες είναι γνώστες της διαφοράς επιπέδου μεταξύ τους. Ο Γρούτσος παίζει περίπου 1,0 PR χαμηλότερα από τον Αυδή, πράγμα που δικαιολογεί κάποιες μικρές προσαρμογές στον χειρισμό του βίδου και, πιο σπάνια, των πουλίων.

Το λάθος αυτό είναι τόσο μικρό που μπορεί να δικαιωθεί με βάση τη διαφορά δυναμικότητας των παικτών. (Γενικά, ο ισχυρότερος παίκτης παίζει λίγο συντηριτικότερα με τη χρήση του βίδου, με σκοπό το ματς να κριθεί σε περισσότερα games, ώστε να δώσει στον αντίπαλο τη δυνατότητα να κάνει περισσότερα λάθη απ' ό,τι εκείνος. Το αντίθετο ισχύει για τον λιγότερο ισχυρό παίκτή: γενικά, πρέπει να είναι λιγο επιθετικότερος με τη χρήση του βίδου).


 
 33: 14/5* 13/10 
Pip=153-166
1.playedXG Roller++14/5* 13/10eq: +0.378
Player:
Opponent:		66.35% (G:25.05% B:1.68%)
33.65% (G:7.45% B:0.32%)
2.XG Roller++13/7(2)eq: +0.262 (-0.115)
Player:
Opponent:		64.02% (G:20.68% B:1.23%)
35.98% (G:8.69% B:0.37%)
3.XG Roller++14/11 13/10(3)eq: +0.229 (-0.149)
Player:
Opponent:		62.46% (G:21.28% B:1.25%)
37.54% (G:8.78% B:0.36%)
4.XG Roller++14/8 13/10(2)eq: +0.224 (-0.154)
Player:
Opponent:		61.95% (G:22.49% B:1.44%)
38.05% (G:9.48% B:0.41%)
5.4-ply14/5* 6/3eq: +0.144 (-0.233)
Player:
Opponent:		59.42% (G:21.44% B:1.29%)
40.58% (G:9.99% B:0.37%)
 
 21: Bar/23 6/5*  
Pip=141-171
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/23 6/5* eq: -0.551
Player:
Opponent:		30.88% (G:6.19% B:0.27%)
69.12% (G:33.46% B:2.85%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/24 6/4eq: -0.587 (-0.036)
Player:
Opponent:		28.30% (G:5.63% B:0.24%)
71.70% (G:30.63% B:2.28%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/24 13/11eq: -0.636 (-0.085)
Player:
Opponent:		26.98% (G:5.05% B:0.21%)
73.02% (G:31.49% B:2.58%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/23 2/1eq: -0.639 (-0.088)
Player:
Opponent:		24.62% (G:4.24% B:0.12%)
75.38% (G:25.74% B:1.55%)
5.4-plyBar/24 8/6eq: -0.720 (-0.170)
Player:
Opponent:		25.29% (G:4.27% B:0.16%)
74.71% (G:34.68% B:2.76%)

Ωραίο παίξιμο από τον Γρούτσο.
 
 54: Bar/20* 13/9 
Pip=146-168
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/20* 13/9eq: +0.562
Player:
Opponent:		69.04% (G:34.54% B:3.05%)
30.96% (G:5.98% B:0.28%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/20* 20/16eq: +0.540 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:		68.73% (G:33.55% B:2.83%)
31.27% (G:6.22% B:0.29%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/21 10/5eq: +0.513 (-0.050)
Player:
Opponent:		70.93% (G:25.40% B:1.62%)
29.07% (G:5.71% B:0.19%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/20* 22/18eq: +0.481 (-0.081)
Player:
Opponent:		67.34% (G:31.87% B:2.65%)
32.66% (G:6.78% B:0.32%)
5.XG Roller++Bar/20* 10/6eq: +0.462 (-0.101)
Player:
Opponent:		66.65% (G:31.30% B:2.33%)
33.35% (G:6.37% B:0.24%)
 
 11: Bar/23 6/5*(2)  
Pip=137-188
1.XG Roller++Bar/24 6/5* 5/3* eq: -0.451
Player:
Opponent:		35.32% (G:7.61% B:0.48%)
64.68% (G:35.45% B:4.51%)
2.xgXG Roller++Bar/24 6/5*(2) 2/1eq: -0.458 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:		33.83% (G:7.71% B:0.38%)
66.17% (G:33.14% B:3.23%)
3.playedXG Roller++Bar/23 6/5*(2) eq: -0.498 (-0.048)
Player:
Opponent:		33.37% (G:7.41% B:0.43%)
66.63% (G:35.60% B:3.29%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/24 8/7 6/5*(2) eq: -0.520 (-0.070)
Player:
Opponent:		34.21% (G:7.25% B:0.48%)
65.79% (G:38.27% B:5.65%)
5.4-plyBar/24 8/7(2) 6/5* eq: -0.676 (-0.226)
Player:
Opponent:		30.41% (G:4.88% B:0.23%)
69.59% (G:41.58% B:5.49%)

Από τα εξωγήινα παιξίματα των bots που δεν τα βρίσκουν εύκολα οι άνθρωποι. Η ιδέα (πρέπει να) είναι είτε να κερδίσει χρόνο με το διπλό χτύπημα αν ο Αυδής δεν βρει, είτε να φτιάξει 1-2 backgame αν βρει.
Ο Γρούτσος πάντως μπορούσε να αποφύγει το σημαντικό λάθος παίζοντας το φυσιολογικό b/24 6/5(2) 2/1.
 
 51: Bar/24 10/5 
Pip=142-184
1.played3-plyBar/24 10/5eq: +0.629
Player:
Opponent:		70.64% (G:36.65% B:2.86%)
29.36% (G:5.41% B:0.17%)
2.3-plyBar/24 9/4eq: +0.219 (-0.410)
Player:
Opponent:		59.78% (G:28.33% B:2.14%)
40.22% (G:10.38% B:0.49%)
3.3-plyBar/24 13/8eq: +0.082 (-0.547)
Player:
Opponent:		56.46% (G:27.46% B:2.29%)
43.54% (G:14.38% B:1.18%)
4.2-plyBar/24 6/1eq: -0.048 (-0.677)
Player:
Opponent:		52.77% (G:24.94% B:1.97%)
47.23% (G:15.64% B:1.08%)
 
 54: 23/14 
Pip=136-184
1.playedXG Roller++23/14eq: -0.685
Player:
Opponent:		28.74% (G:3.87% B:0.13%)
71.26% (G:38.77% B:3.23%)
2.XG Roller++23/18 13/9eq: -0.829 (-0.144)
Player:
Opponent:		27.78% (G:3.33% B:0.11%)
72.22% (G:48.41% B:5.32%)
3.4-ply13/4eq: -0.866 (-0.181)
Player:
Opponent:		25.32% (G:3.47% B:0.10%)
74.68% (G:46.53% B:4.79%)
4.4-ply13/9 13/8eq: -0.867 (-0.182)
Player:
Opponent:		25.44% (G:3.48% B:0.11%)
74.56% (G:47.04% B:4.76%)
5.4-ply13/8 6/2eq: -0.967 (-0.282)
Player:
Opponent:		20.79% (G:2.50% B:0.08%)
79.21% (G:45.24% B:3.80%)
 
 61: 24/23* 22/16 
Pip=136-175
1.playedXG Roller++24/23* 22/16eq: +0.689
Player:
Opponent:		69.43% (G:43.49% B:3.83%)
30.57% (G:3.95% B:0.15%)
2.XG Roller++24/23* 9/3eq: +0.611 (-0.079)
Player:
Opponent:		67.26% (G:42.19% B:3.49%)
32.74% (G:4.82% B:0.17%)
3.XG Roller++24/23* 13/7eq: +0.608 (-0.082)
Player:
Opponent:		67.22% (G:41.94% B:3.72%)
32.78% (G:5.01% B:0.18%)
4.4-ply24/18 22/21eq: +0.488 (-0.201)
Player:
Opponent:		68.72% (G:28.47% B:2.20%)
31.28% (G:6.13% B:0.27%)
5.4-ply22/15eq: +0.483 (-0.207)
Player:
Opponent:		67.59% (G:30.75% B:2.44%)
32.41% (G:6.29% B:0.28%)
 
 32: Bar/23 14/11 
Pip=129-198
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/23 14/11eq: -0.659
Player:
Opponent:		30.70% (G:3.80% B:0.12%)
69.30% (G:40.95% B:3.27%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/23 13/10eq: -0.807 (-0.148)
Player:
Opponent:		28.78% (G:3.00% B:0.09%)
71.22% (G:48.68% B:4.94%)
3.4-plyBar/23 8/5eq: -0.931 (-0.272)
Player:
Opponent:		25.80% (G:2.24% B:0.06%)
74.20% (G:52.20% B:5.59%)
4.3-plyBar/23 5/2* eq: -1.023 (-0.363)
Player:
Opponent:		23.41% (G:1.91% B:0.06%)
76.59% (G:54.22% B:6.50%)
5.3-plyBar/23 6/3eq: -1.107 (-0.448)
Player:
Opponent:		22.46% (G:1.25% B:0.05%)
77.54% (G:58.63% B:7.47%)
 
 31: 23/22 16/13 
Pip=129-193
1.playedXG Roller++23/22 16/13eq: +0.560
Player:
Opponent:		68.93% (G:33.11% B:2.24%)
31.07% (G:4.25% B:0.16%)
2.XG Roller++16/13 6/5eq: +0.465 (-0.095)
Player:
Opponent:		65.48% (G:32.96% B:2.29%)
34.52% (G:5.09% B:0.18%)
3.XG Roller++23/22 13/10eq: +0.435 (-0.125)
Player:
Opponent:		64.51% (G:33.72% B:2.80%)
35.49% (G:6.69% B:0.29%)
4.XG Roller++13/9eq: +0.429 (-0.130)
Player:
Opponent:		63.98% (G:33.86% B:2.65%)
36.02% (G:6.05% B:0.22%)
5.XG Roller++23/22 9/6eq: +0.426 (-0.134)
Player:
Opponent:		64.21% (G:33.13% B:2.44%)
35.79% (G:6.10% B:0.21%)
 
 61: 23/16*  
Pip=125-193
1.played3-ply23/16* eq: -0.334
Player:
Opponent:		37.78% (G:6.97% B:0.22%)
62.22% (G:29.74% B:2.51%)
2.3-ply23/17 11/10eq: -0.667 (-0.333)
Player:
Opponent:		29.95% (G:3.59% B:0.13%)
70.05% (G:39.64% B:3.24%)
3.3-ply13/6eq: -0.670 (-0.335)
Player:
Opponent:		27.73% (G:3.62% B:0.13%)
72.27% (G:35.02% B:2.54%)
4.3-ply13/7 11/10eq: -0.746 (-0.412)
Player:
Opponent:		28.16% (G:3.27% B:0.12%)
71.84% (G:42.17% B:3.92%)
5.3-ply13/7 8/7eq: -0.750 (-0.416)
Player:
Opponent:		27.87% (G:3.16% B:0.11%)
72.13% (G:41.82% B:3.83%)
 
 42: Bar/23 13/9*  
Pip=141-186
1.played4-plyBar/23 13/9* eq: +0.597
Player:
Opponent:		67.73% (G:39.52% B:3.63%)
32.27% (G:4.87% B:0.17%)
2.4-plyBar/21 6/4eq: +0.288 (-0.309)
Player:
Opponent:		61.69% (G:27.05% B:1.94%)
38.31% (G:7.19% B:0.26%)
3.4-plyBar/21 13/11eq: +0.274 (-0.323)
Player:
Opponent:		61.30% (G:26.66% B:1.98%)
38.70% (G:7.29% B:0.26%)
4.3-plyBar/23 22/18eq: +0.277 (-0.320)
Player:
Opponent:		61.53% (G:26.58% B:1.73%)
38.47% (G:7.23% B:0.24%)
5.2-plyBar/21 3/1eq: -0.083 (-0.680)
Player:
Opponent:		51.18% (G:21.38% B:1.30%)
48.82% (G:11.90% B:0.56%)
 
 64: Cannot Move 
Pip=135-195
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -0.691
Player:
Opponent:		30.77% (G:3.92% B:0.14%)
69.23% (G:43.82% B:4.06%)
 
 22: 13/7 9/7 
Pip=135-195
1.playedXG Roller++13/7 9/7eq: +0.720
Player:
Opponent:		70.46% (G:43.78% B:3.86%)
29.54% (G:3.83% B:0.12%)
2.XG Roller++23/21 13/11(3)eq: +0.693 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent:		70.16% (G:42.07% B:3.50%)
29.84% (G:3.78% B:0.13%)
3.XG Roller++23/21 13/9 6/4eq: +0.675 (-0.045)
Player:
Opponent:		69.73% (G:41.68% B:3.48%)
30.27% (G:4.04% B:0.15%)
4.XG Roller++23/21 13/11 9/5eq: +0.675 (-0.045)
Player:
Opponent:		69.52% (G:42.34% B:3.28%)
30.48% (G:4.09% B:0.15%)
5.XG Roller++23/21 13/11 13/9eq: +0.652 (-0.068)
Player:
Opponent:		69.03% (G:41.29% B:3.56%)
30.97% (G:4.38% B:0.16%)
 
 31: Bar/24 11/8 
Pip=127-195
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/24 11/8eq: -0.692
Player:
Opponent:		28.82% (G:3.85% B:0.14%)
71.18% (G:39.95% B:3.12%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/24 13/10eq: -0.726 (-0.033)
Player:
Opponent:		30.46% (G:3.97% B:0.15%)
69.54% (G:46.01% B:5.13%)
3.4-plyBar/24 8/5eq: -0.903 (-0.211)
Player:
Opponent:		27.04% (G:2.26% B:0.07%)
72.96% (G:51.54% B:7.26%)
4.3-plyBar/24 5/2* eq: -1.009 (-0.316)
Player:
Opponent:		24.25% (G:1.89% B:0.06%)
75.75% (G:54.48% B:7.37%)
5.3-plyBar/24 6/3* eq: -1.018 (-0.326)
Player:
Opponent:		24.66% (G:1.81% B:0.06%)
75.34% (G:55.77% B:8.01%)
 
 21: 23/21 22/21 
Pip=127-191
1.playedXG Roller++23/21 22/21eq: +0.682
Player:
Opponent:		71.53% (G:38.42% B:2.91%)
28.47% (G:4.11% B:0.16%)
2.xgXG Roller++23/21 6/5eq: +0.679 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		71.03% (G:39.17% B:3.28%)
28.97% (G:4.17% B:0.16%)
3.XG Roller++22/21 6/4eq: +0.614 (-0.068)
Player:
Opponent:		68.99% (G:38.62% B:3.15%)
31.01% (G:4.95% B:0.19%)
4.XG Roller++23/22 6/4eq: +0.576 (-0.106)
Player:
Opponent:		68.01% (G:37.95% B:2.99%)
31.99% (G:5.47% B:0.19%)
5.XG Roller++6/3eq: +0.575 (-0.107)
Player:
Opponent:		67.81% (G:38.29% B:3.13%)
32.19% (G:5.48% B:0.22%)
 
 42: 13/9 8/6 
Pip=124-191
1.xgXG Roller++13/7eq: -0.771
Player:
Opponent:		27.96% (G:3.44% B:0.13%)
72.04% (G:44.75% B:3.96%)
2.playedXG Roller++13/9 8/6eq: -0.782 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:		27.49% (G:3.33% B:0.13%)
72.51% (G:44.29% B:4.27%)
3.XG Roller++13/11 13/9eq: -0.817 (-0.045)
Player:
Opponent:		27.98% (G:3.21% B:0.12%)
72.02% (G:47.78% B:5.52%)
4.XG Roller++8/2eq: -0.866 (-0.095)
Player:
Opponent:		23.69% (G:2.75% B:0.09%)
76.31% (G:43.12% B:3.57%)
5.4-ply13/9 5/3eq: -1.001 (-0.229)
Player:
Opponent:		24.52% (G:2.00% B:0.07%)
75.48% (G:54.58% B:7.26%)
 
 53: 21/16* 16/13 
Pip=124-185
1.xgXG Roller++21/18 21/16* eq: +0.876
Player:
Opponent:		73.49% (G:48.93% B:5.98%)
26.51% (G:1.95% B:0.08%)
2.playedXG Roller++21/16* 16/13eq: +0.867 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		72.97% (G:49.19% B:6.20%)
27.03% (G:1.94% B:0.08%)
3.XG Roller++21/16* 13/10eq: +0.843 (-0.034)
Player:
Opponent:		72.14% (G:49.16% B:6.57%)
27.86% (G:2.62% B:0.11%)
4.XG Roller++21/16* 6/3eq: +0.811 (-0.065)
Player:
Opponent:		71.44% (G:48.03% B:6.29%)
28.56% (G:2.51% B:0.11%)
5.XG Roller++21/18 6/1* eq: +0.787 (-0.090)
Player:
Opponent:		72.94% (G:44.91% B:3.80%)
27.06% (G:4.39% B:0.20%)
 
 21: Bar/24 6/4*  
Pip=116-201
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/24 6/4* eq: -0.536
Player:
Opponent:		35.29% (G:2.17% B:0.12%)
64.71% (G:36.38% B:8.88%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/24 13/11eq: -0.545 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		34.29% (G:2.05% B:0.11%)
65.71% (G:35.51% B:7.71%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/24 8/6eq: -0.579 (-0.043)
Player:
Opponent:		33.26% (G:1.91% B:0.10%)
66.74% (G:36.07% B:7.73%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/24 5/3eq: -0.585 (-0.049)
Player:
Opponent:		33.25% (G:1.63% B:0.09%)
66.75% (G:36.13% B:8.10%)
5.XG Roller++Bar/23 24/23eq: -0.985 (-0.449)
Player:
Opponent:		22.09% (G:1.70% B:0.03%)
77.91% (G:49.46% B:3.70%)
 
 43: Bar/22 13/9 
Pip=120-198
1.xgXG Roller++Bar/18eq: +0.598
Player:
Opponent:		67.29% (G:36.38% B:7.85%)
32.71% (G:2.00% B:0.08%)
2.playedXG Roller++Bar/22 13/9eq: +0.529 (-0.068)
Player:
Opponent:		64.65% (G:35.94% B:8.73%)
35.35% (G:2.29% B:0.09%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/21* 13/10eq: +0.473 (-0.125)
Player:
Opponent:		61.45% (G:36.57% B:10.59%)
38.55% (G:1.69% B:0.05%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/21* 21/18eq: +0.463 (-0.135)
Player:
Opponent:		61.44% (G:36.03% B:9.98%)
38.56% (G:1.62% B:0.05%)
5.4-plyBar/21* 6/3eq: +0.397 (-0.200)
Player:
Opponent:		59.29% (G:35.21% B:10.56%)
40.71% (G:2.09% B:0.07%)

Ο Αυδής σωστά δεν χτυπάει, αφού το χτύπημα θα ευνοούσε το timing του 1-2 backgame.
Όμως το πούλι του 22 πρέπει να ελευθερωθεί, οπότε το b/18 είναι καλύτερο. Ποτέ δεν ξέρεις πότε θα πεταχτούν εκείνες οι 55 από το κουπάκι σου θα σου καταστρέψουν το timing.
 
 51: 13/7 
Pip=113-198
1.playedXG Roller++13/7eq: -0.533
Player:
Opponent:		35.17% (G:2.39% B:0.11%)
64.83% (G:36.28% B:8.48%)
2.XG Roller++8/7 8/3* eq: -0.578 (-0.044)
Player:
Opponent:		35.26% (G:1.53% B:0.08%)
64.74% (G:38.15% B:10.75%)
3.XG Roller++13/8 5/4eq: -0.587 (-0.053)
Player:
Opponent:		33.05% (G:2.16% B:0.10%)
66.95% (G:36.47% B:7.79%)
4.XG Roller++8/3* 5/4eq: -0.590 (-0.056)
Player:
Opponent:		34.72% (G:1.46% B:0.07%)
65.28% (G:38.07% B:10.60%)
5.XG Roller++13/8 4/3* eq: -0.616 (-0.083)
Player:
Opponent:		32.61% (G:2.06% B:0.11%)
67.39% (G:37.54% B:8.63%)

Είναι χαρακτηριστικό του 1-2 backgame το πόσο λάθος είναι η πόρτα στο κεφάλι (8/3 4/3). -0.134
 
 62: 22/16 13/11 
Pip=113-192
1.xgXG Roller++22/14eq: +0.608
Player:
Opponent:		68.15% (G:35.91% B:6.76%)
31.85% (G:1.92% B:0.07%)
2.XG Roller++22/16 9/7eq: +0.576 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:		67.15% (G:35.08% B:7.19%)
32.85% (G:2.05% B:0.07%)
3.playedXG Roller++22/16 13/11eq: +0.568 (-0.040)
Player:
Opponent:		66.33% (G:36.21% B:8.21%)
33.67% (G:2.87% B:0.14%)
4.XG Roller++22/16 6/4eq: +0.549 (-0.059)
Player:
Opponent:		66.26% (G:34.97% B:7.13%)
33.74% (G:2.30% B:0.09%)
5.4-ply13/11 13/7eq: +0.434 (-0.174)
Player:
Opponent:		62.35% (G:33.88% B:7.64%)
37.65% (G:2.73% B:0.10%)

Αχρείαστο. Το hit στο 13 μπορεί να στοιχήσει αν το πούλι εγκλωβιστεί 2-3 ζαριές και ο Γρούτσος βρει ένα εξάρι για να κερδίσει χρόνο.
 
 63: 23/17 7/4 
Pip=105-192
1.xgXG Roller++23/14* eq: -0.436
Player:
Opponent:		38.44% (G:3.26% B:0.17%)
61.56% (G:34.96% B:9.39%)
2.playedXG Roller++23/17 7/4eq: -0.499 (-0.063)
Player:
Opponent:		34.99% (G:2.17% B:0.10%)
65.01% (G:33.82% B:6.35%)
3.XG Roller++23/17 13/10eq: -0.506 (-0.070)
Player:
Opponent:		35.64% (G:1.68% B:0.08%)
64.36% (G:34.69% B:7.70%)
4.XG Roller++23/17 8/5eq: -0.523 (-0.087)
Player:
Opponent:		34.39% (G:1.71% B:0.07%)
65.61% (G:34.08% B:6.64%)
5.XG Roller++23/17 6/3eq: -0.547 (-0.111)
Player:
Opponent:		34.00% (G:1.35% B:0.06%)
66.00% (G:34.63% B:7.25%)

Ο Γρούτσος δεν είναι υποχρεωμένος να δεσμευτεί στο backgame. Με τόσα blots του Αυδή στο outfield υπάρχει πάντα η πιθανότητα να κλείσει αρκετά πίσω από το prime που είναι έτοιμος να φτιάξει και να υποχρεώσει τον Αυδή να χαλάσει τον δικο του αποκλεισμό.
Το σημαντικό εδώ είναι να καταλάβουμε ότι ο Γρούτσος δεν έχει να χάσει πολλά χτυπώντας τόσο νωρίς. Αν το χτύπημα δουλέψει (δηλαδή αν καταφέρει να αποκλείσει πούλια του Αυδή) τότε ίσως κερδίσει τη μάχη των αποκλεισμών. Αν το χτύπημα δεν δουλέψει, τότε ο Γρούτσος ελπίζει ο Αυδής να υποχρεωθεί να χτυπήσει κάπου, ώστε ο Γρουτσός να βελτιώσει σημαντικά το timing του.


 
 32: 13/8*  
Pip=105-183
1.xgXG Roller++16/13 11/9eq: +0.551
Player:
Opponent:		67.34% (G:33.04% B:5.45%)
32.66% (G:1.65% B:0.06%)
2.XG Roller++16/14 11/8* eq: +0.536 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:		65.67% (G:35.46% B:6.90%)
34.33% (G:2.36% B:0.11%)
3.XG Roller++16/13 9/7eq: +0.531 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:		66.74% (G:33.32% B:5.66%)
33.26% (G:2.79% B:0.11%)
4.playedXG Roller++13/8* eq: +0.512 (-0.039)
Player:
Opponent:		64.92% (G:34.96% B:6.94%)
35.08% (G:2.50% B:0.11%)
5.XG Roller++16/13 6/4eq: +0.500 (-0.051)
Player:
Opponent:		65.63% (G:33.30% B:6.03%)
34.37% (G:3.36% B:0.14%)

Επειδή σχεδόν πάντα το timing του 1-2 backgame είναι οριακό, τα χτυπήματα είναι συχνά υπέρ του αμυνόμενου.
 
 54: Cannot Move 
Pip=100-191
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -0.405
Player:
Opponent:		39.06% (G:1.49% B:0.06%)
60.94% (G:33.54% B:7.44%)
 
 54: 16/7 
Pip=100-191
1.playedXG Roller++16/7eq: +0.413
Player:
Opponent:		61.43% (G:33.17% B:7.08%)
38.57% (G:1.55% B:0.06%)
2.XG Roller++16/11 9/5eq: +0.393 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:		60.52% (G:33.09% B:7.44%)
39.48% (G:1.44% B:0.05%)
3.XG Roller++16/11 8/4eq: +0.375 (-0.037)
Player:
Opponent:		59.76% (G:32.94% B:7.60%)
40.24% (G:1.22% B:0.04%)
4.XG Roller++11/6 8/4eq: +0.342 (-0.070)
Player:
Opponent:		58.71% (G:32.48% B:7.97%)
41.29% (G:1.64% B:0.06%)
5.XG Roller++11/7 9/4eq: +0.342 (-0.071)
Player:
Opponent:		59.08% (G:32.51% B:7.57%)
40.92% (G:2.45% B:0.09%)
 
 51: Bar/24 8/3 
Pip=91-191
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/24 8/3eq: -0.586
Player:
Opponent:		32.90% (G:1.19% B:0.04%)
67.10% (G:35.93% B:6.53%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/24 13/8eq: -0.599 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:		32.62% (G:1.18% B:0.04%)
67.38% (G:36.34% B:6.61%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/24 6/1eq: -0.696 (-0.110)
Player:
Opponent:		29.88% (G:0.67% B:0.02%)
70.12% (G:38.12% B:7.24%)
 
 41: 9/8 7/3 
Pip=91-185
1.xgXG Roller++11/7 9/8eq: +0.675
Player:
Opponent:		70.23% (G:36.92% B:5.94%)
29.77% (G:0.98% B:0.04%)
2.XG Roller++9/5 8/7eq: +0.646 (-0.029)
Player:
Opponent:		69.10% (G:36.56% B:6.10%)
30.90% (G:0.84% B:0.03%)
3.XG Roller++11/7 8/7eq: +0.632 (-0.042)
Player:
Opponent:		68.89% (G:36.08% B:5.87%)
31.11% (G:0.96% B:0.04%)
4.XG Roller++11/10 8/4eq: +0.603 (-0.072)
Player:
Opponent:		67.51% (G:36.16% B:6.40%)
32.49% (G:0.95% B:0.03%)
5.XG Roller++11/10 9/5eq: +0.602 (-0.073)
Player:
Opponent:		67.43% (G:36.52% B:6.69%)
32.57% (G:1.60% B:0.06%)
6.playedXG Roller++9/8 7/3eq: +0.545 (-0.129)
Player:
Opponent:		65.78% (G:35.56% B:6.33%)
34.22% (G:1.56% B:0.05%)

Απορώ πώς το έχασε αυτό ο Αυδής, επειδή η ιδέα είναι πολύ γνωστή και την εφάρμοσε στην προηγούμνενη ζαριά: Σκοτώνουμε όσο πιο γρήγορα μπορούμε τα εξάρια, ώστε να κρατήσουμε το prime όσο περισσότερο γίνεται. Το 7/3 θάβει πολύ νωρίς ένα πούλι και αφήνει τα εξάρια να παίζουν από το 11.
 
 32: 8/3 
Pip=86-185
1.playedXG Roller++8/3eq: -0.487
Player:
Opponent:		36.13% (G:1.84% B:0.06%)
63.87% (G:34.78% B:6.48%)
2.XG Roller++13/10 5/3eq: -0.503 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:		35.86% (G:1.59% B:0.05%)
64.14% (G:35.21% B:6.73%)
3.XG Roller++13/11 13/10eq: -0.511 (-0.023)
Player:
Opponent:		35.69% (G:1.44% B:0.05%)
64.31% (G:35.35% B:6.80%)
4.XG Roller++13/11 6/3eq: -0.512 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:		35.64% (G:1.52% B:0.05%)
64.36% (G:35.37% B:6.76%)
5.XG Roller++13/10 8/6eq: -0.513 (-0.026)
Player:
Opponent:		35.56% (G:1.48% B:0.05%)
64.44% (G:35.36% B:6.72%)
 
 63: 11/5 8/5 
Pip=86-180
1.XG Roller++11/5 6/3eq: +0.400
Player:
Opponent:		60.96% (G:33.49% B:6.32%)
39.04% (G:2.13% B:0.07%)
2.playedXG Roller++11/5 8/5eq: +0.384 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:		60.63% (G:33.40% B:6.54%)
39.37% (G:3.14% B:0.12%)
3.4-ply11/5 7/4eq: +0.094 (-0.305)
Player:
Opponent:		52.77% (G:27.88% B:5.44%)
47.23% (G:5.25% B:0.18%)

Αυτή η ζαριά καταδεικνύει το προγούμενο λάθος. Αν είχε παιχτεί σωστά, τώρα το εξάρι δεν θα έπαιζε.


 
 63: 23/17* 17/14 
Pip=77-180
1.XG Roller++23/17* 13/10eq: -0.348
Player:
Opponent:		39.74% (G:6.63% B:0.28%)
60.26% (G:33.55% B:6.34%)
2.playedXG Roller++23/17* 17/14eq: -0.352 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		39.39% (G:6.49% B:0.27%)
60.61% (G:33.38% B:5.74%)
3.XG Roller++13/10 13/7eq: -0.517 (-0.169)
Player:
Opponent:		35.91% (G:1.36% B:0.04%)
64.09% (G:35.95% B:7.16%)
4.XG Roller++13/4eq: -0.540 (-0.191)
Player:
Opponent:		35.24% (G:1.22% B:0.03%)
64.76% (G:36.24% B:7.15%)
5.4-ply13/7 5/2eq: -0.555 (-0.207)
Player:
Opponent:		34.87% (G:0.96% B:0.03%)
65.13% (G:36.87% B:7.71%)
 
 52: Bar/18 
Pip=94-171
1.played3-plyBar/18eq: +0.564
Player:
Opponent:		66.17% (G:36.80% B:6.49%)
33.83% (G:3.32% B:0.11%)
2.3-plyBar/23 7/2* eq: +0.178 (-0.386)
Player:
Opponent:		54.80% (G:33.74% B:6.41%)
45.20% (G:9.18% B:0.47%)
 
 52: 14/7*  
Pip=87-171
1.played3-ply14/7* eq: -0.496
Player:
Opponent:		35.79% (G:4.93% B:0.17%)
64.21% (G:36.15% B:6.63%)
2.3-ply13/11 13/8eq: -0.959 (-0.464)
Player:
Opponent:		26.14% (G:1.51% B:0.08%)
73.86% (G:49.13% B:12.44%)
3.3-ply14/12 13/8eq: -1.033 (-0.537)
Player:
Opponent:		24.86% (G:1.35% B:0.08%)
75.14% (G:52.20% B:13.37%)
4.3-ply13/6eq: -1.043 (-0.547)
Player:
Opponent:		23.90% (G:1.09% B:0.06%)
76.10% (G:51.64% B:12.02%)
5.3-ply14/9 13/11eq: -1.054 (-0.558)
Player:
Opponent:		24.73% (G:1.47% B:0.08%)
75.27% (G:52.94% B:14.32%)
 
 22: Bar/23 6/2* 5/3 
Pip=94-164
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/23 6/2* 5/3eq: +0.466
Player:
Opponent:		63.05% (G:37.97% B:6.85%)
36.95% (G:6.94% B:0.32%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/23 5/3 4/2*(2) eq: +0.356 (-0.110)
Player:
Opponent:		59.39% (G:34.89% B:5.73%)
40.61% (G:5.24% B:0.17%)
3.4-plyBar/23 7/5 4/2*(2) eq: +0.199 (-0.267)
Player:
Opponent:		54.71% (G:32.66% B:5.77%)
45.29% (G:6.45% B:0.19%)
4.4-plyBar/23 6/2* 4/2eq: +0.161 (-0.306)
Player:
Opponent:		53.88% (G:32.61% B:5.91%)
46.12% (G:9.25% B:0.36%)
5.3-plyBar/23 6/4 5/3(2)eq: +0.145 (-0.322)
Player:
Opponent:		54.54% (G:29.10% B:5.09%)
45.46% (G:6.71% B:0.23%)
 
 66: Cannot Move 
Pip=86-166
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -0.745
Player:
Opponent:		31.88% (G:2.66% B:0.09%)
68.12% (G:46.03% B:8.98%)
 
 31: 5/2 3/2 
Pip=86-166
1.playedXG Roller++5/2 3/2eq: +0.756
Player:
Opponent:		68.72% (G:45.88% B:8.35%)
31.28% (G:2.56% B:0.08%)
2.XG Roller++7/4 3/2eq: +0.741 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:		68.28% (G:45.25% B:8.78%)
31.72% (G:2.85% B:0.09%)
3.XG Roller++7/6 5/2eq: +0.703 (-0.053)
Player:
Opponent:		67.40% (G:44.40% B:8.50%)
32.60% (G:3.11% B:0.10%)
4.3-ply7/6 7/4eq: +0.342 (-0.414)
Player:
Opponent:		58.19% (G:36.67% B:7.05%)
41.81% (G:6.42% B:0.21%)
5.3-ply6/2eq: +0.069 (-0.686)
Player:
Opponent:		51.88% (G:30.54% B:5.20%)
48.12% (G:8.70% B:0.30%)
 
 61: Bar/24 13/7 
Pip=82-166
1.played3-plyBar/24 13/7eq: -0.323
Player:
Opponent:		40.98% (G:5.24% B:0.11%)
59.02% (G:33.27% B:4.21%)
2.3-plyBar/24 7/1eq: -0.769 (-0.446)
Player:
Opponent:		28.32% (G:2.61% B:0.07%)
71.68% (G:42.27% B:5.82%)
 
 22: 7/3(2) 
Pip=82-159
1.playedXG Roller++7/3(2)eq: -0.036
Player:
Opponent:		49.23% (G:25.28% B:3.04%)
50.77% (G:7.13% B:0.23%)
2.XG Roller++7/5(2) 6/4(2)eq: -0.050 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:		48.08% (G:24.41% B:3.05%)
51.92% (G:4.51% B:0.13%)
3.XG Roller++6/2(2)eq: -0.176 (-0.140)
Player:
Opponent:		45.45% (G:22.69% B:2.32%)
54.55% (G:8.15% B:0.26%)
4.3-ply7/5 7/3 6/4eq: -0.385 (-0.349)
Player:
Opponent:		37.96% (G:18.24% B:2.43%)
62.04% (G:10.64% B:0.33%)
5.3-ply7/5(2) 4/2(2)eq: -0.421 (-0.386)
Player:
Opponent:		38.42% (G:18.10% B:1.88%)
61.58% (G:9.46% B:0.25%)
 
 21: 13/10 
Pip=74-159
1.played4-ply13/10eq: -0.035
Player:
Opponent:		49.52% (G:6.63% B:0.21%)
50.48% (G:27.54% B:3.50%)
2.4-ply7/6 7/5eq: -0.334 (-0.299)
Player:
Opponent:		41.01% (G:4.50% B:0.10%)
58.99% (G:33.35% B:4.56%)
3.3-ply13/11 3/2* eq: -0.405 (-0.370)
Player:
Opponent:		41.25% (G:5.82% B:0.14%)
58.75% (G:39.22% B:8.47%)
4.3-ply3/1 3/2* eq: -0.426 (-0.391)
Player:
Opponent:		39.77% (G:5.28% B:0.12%)
60.23% (G:38.21% B:7.31%)
5.3-ply13/12 3/1eq: -0.446 (-0.411)
Player:
Opponent:		38.84% (G:5.26% B:0.14%)
61.16% (G:38.30% B:6.55%)
 
 62: 23/15*  
Pip=74-156
1.played3-ply23/15* eq: +1.111
Player:
Opponent:		76.70% (G:56.56% B:11.45%)
23.30% (G:0.58% B:0.01%)
2.1-ply23/17 6/4eq: -0.170 (-1.280)
Player:
Opponent:		45.34% (G:23.30% B:3.00%)
54.66% (G:8.97% B:0.57%)
3.1-ply23/17 5/3eq: -0.302 (-1.413)
Player:
Opponent:		41.86% (G:21.25% B:2.64%)
58.14% (G:10.98% B:0.77%)
4.1-ply23/17 4/2eq: -0.368 (-1.479)
Player:
Opponent:		39.49% (G:21.10% B:2.63%)
60.51% (G:11.46% B:0.66%)
 
 31: Bar/24 7/4 
Pip=66-171
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/24 7/4eq: -1.124
Player:
Opponent:		22.02% (G:0.70% B:0.02%)
77.98% (G:56.39% B:9.64%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/24 5/2eq: -1.199 (-0.075)
Player:
Opponent:		20.12% (G:0.38% B:0.01%)
79.88% (G:58.29% B:10.16%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/24 6/3eq: -1.215 (-0.092)
Player:
Opponent:		19.57% (G:0.43% B:0.01%)
80.43% (G:58.70% B:10.03%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/24 4/1eq: -1.228 (-0.104)
Player:
Opponent:		19.39% (G:0.38% B:0.01%)
80.61% (G:59.12% B:10.39%)
 
 42: 15/9 
Pip=66-167
1.played4-ply15/9eq: +1.175
Player:
Opponent:		79.56% (G:57.21% B:9.75%)
20.44% (G:0.57% B:0.02%)
2.4-ply6/4 6/2eq: +0.921 (-0.254)
Player:
Opponent:		73.29% (G:50.75% B:7.73%)
26.71% (G:1.89% B:0.05%)
3.3-ply15/11 6/4eq: +0.646 (-0.528)
Player:
Opponent:		65.86% (G:44.95% B:7.78%)
34.14% (G:5.03% B:0.16%)
4.3-ply15/11 5/3eq: +0.534 (-0.641)
Player:
Opponent:		63.57% (G:41.92% B:6.72%)
36.43% (G:5.58% B:0.21%)
5.3-ply15/13 6/2eq: +0.475 (-0.700)
Player:
Opponent:		61.74% (G:41.23% B:6.66%)
38.26% (G:5.93% B:0.19%)
 
 33: 7/1 5/2(2) 
Pip=60-167
1.playedXG Roller++7/1 5/2(2)eq: -1.465
Player:
Opponent:		12.39% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
87.61% (G:64.95% B:10.32%)
2.xgXG Roller++7/1 5/2 4/1eq: -1.467 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		12.56% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
87.44% (G:65.23% B:10.65%)
3.XG Roller++7/1 6/3 4/1eq: -1.479 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:		12.08% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
87.92% (G:65.35% B:10.53%)
4.XG Roller++5/2(2) 4/1(2)eq: -1.486 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent:		11.99% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
88.01% (G:65.82% B:10.54%)
5.XG Roller++7/1 6/3(2)eq: -1.502 (-0.037)
Player:
Opponent:		11.41% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
88.59% (G:66.01% B:10.59%)
 
 62: 9/3 2/Off 
Pip=60-155
1.played4-ply9/3 2/Offeq: +1.510
Player:
Opponent:		88.90% (G:66.06% B:10.55%)
11.10% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply9/3 6/4eq: +1.237 (-0.273)
Player:
Opponent:		82.70% (G:56.83% B:8.62%)
17.30% (G:0.77% B:0.02%)
3.3-ply9/3 5/3eq: +1.087 (-0.423)
Player:
Opponent:		79.31% (G:52.47% B:7.01%)
20.69% (G:1.27% B:0.02%)
4.3-ply9/3 4/2eq: +0.988 (-0.521)
Player:
Opponent:		76.80% (G:49.82% B:6.29%)
23.20% (G:1.49% B:0.03%)
 
 55: 6/1(2) 
Pip=52-155
1.played3-ply6/1(2)eq: -1.682
Player:
Opponent:		6.21% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
93.79% (G:70.73% B:10.92%)
 
 41: 6/5 6/2 
Pip=52-145
1.played4-ply6/5 6/2eq: +1.676
Player:
Opponent:		94.35% (G:70.12% B:9.52%)
5.65% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply6/2 3/2eq: +1.510 (-0.166)
Player:
Opponent:		91.94% (G:61.39% B:7.64%)
8.06% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply5/Offeq: +1.507 (-0.169)
Player:
Opponent:		91.73% (G:61.09% B:8.25%)
8.27% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.4-ply4/3 4/Offeq: +1.504 (-0.172)
Player:
Opponent:		90.46% (G:63.75% B:8.44%)
9.54% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.4-ply4/Off 3/2eq: +1.414 (-0.261)
Player:
Opponent:		89.45% (G:57.94% B:7.82%)
10.55% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 52: 24/17 
Pip=47-145
1.playedXG Roller++24/17eq: -1.594
Player:
Opponent:		7.70% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
92.30% (G:67.87% B:8.52%)
2.XG Roller++24/19 4/2eq: -1.626 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:		6.82% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
93.18% (G:69.21% B:8.17%)
3.XG Roller++24/19 3/1eq: -1.687 (-0.093)
Player:
Opponent:		5.24% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
94.76% (G:71.28% B:8.34%)
 
 65: 5/Off(2) 
Pip=47-138
1.played3-ply5/Off(2)eq: +1.484
Player:
Opponent:		90.20% (G:62.88% B:7.83%)
9.80% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 32: 17/12 
Pip=37-138
1.playedXG Roller++17/12eq: -1.762
Player:
Opponent:		5.42% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
94.58% (G:75.38% B:12.13%)
2.XG Roller++17/14 4/2eq: -1.786 (-0.024)
Player:
Opponent:		4.71% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
95.29% (G:76.68% B:11.42%)
3.XG Roller++17/15 4/1eq: -1.797 (-0.035)
Player:
Opponent:		4.29% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
95.71% (G:77.05% B:11.11%)
4.XG Roller++17/14 3/1eq: -1.834 (-0.072)
Player:
Opponent:		3.49% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
96.51% (G:78.62% B:11.26%)
5.XG Roller++4/1 3/1eq: -1.898 (-0.136)
Player:
Opponent:		1.75% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.25% (G:82.34% B:9.59%)
 
 21: 5/2 
Pip=37-133
1.playedXG Roller++5/2eq: +1.769
Player:
Opponent:		95.24% (G:76.42% B:10.10%)
4.76% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++5/4 2/Offeq: +1.722 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:		94.57% (G:73.03% B:10.49%)
5.43% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply3/Offeq: +1.520 (-0.249)
Player:
Opponent:		91.11% (G:62.92% B:9.09%)
8.89% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.4-ply5/3 4/3eq: +1.478 (-0.291)
Player:
Opponent:		90.13% (G:62.63% B:7.59%)
9.87% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.3-ply4/3 4/2eq: +1.424 (-0.344)
Player:
Opponent:		88.87% (G:60.81% B:7.13%)
11.13% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 33: 12/3 4/1 
Pip=34-133
1.playedXG Roller++12/3 4/1eq: -1.871
Player:
Opponent:		2.28% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
97.72% (G:79.87% B:10.71%)
2.XG Roller++12/6 4/1(2)eq: -1.909 (-0.038)
Player:
Opponent:		1.65% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.35% (G:81.83% B:10.94%)
3.XG Roller++12/9 4/1(3)eq: -1.939 (-0.068)
Player:
Opponent:		0.99% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
99.01% (G:83.95% B:10.18%)
 
 41: 4/3 4/Off 
Pip=34-121
1.played4-ply4/3 4/Offeq: +1.850
Player:
Opponent:		97.81% (G:79.31% B:8.98%)
2.19% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply4/Off 3/2eq: +1.590 (-0.260)
Player:
Opponent:		94.00% (G:65.37% B:6.46%)
6.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 41: 24/19 
Pip=29-121
1.playedXG Roller++24/19eq: -1.873
Player:
Opponent:		1.95% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.05% (G:80.57% B:9.32%)
2.XG Roller++24/20 3/2eq: -1.878 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:		1.94% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.06% (G:81.06% B:9.27%)
3.XG Roller++24/20 2/1eq: -1.906 (-0.033)
Player:
Opponent:		1.46% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.54% (G:82.90% B:9.03%)
4.XG Roller++24/20 4/3eq: -1.940 (-0.067)
Player:
Opponent:		0.88% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
99.12% (G:85.32% B:8.57%)
 
 41: 3/2 3/Off 
Pip=29-116
1.played3-ply3/2 3/Offeq: +1.819
Player:
Opponent:		97.73% (G:77.82% B:7.64%)
2.27% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 21: 19/16 
Pip=25-116
1.playedXG Roller++19/16eq: -1.873
Player:
Opponent:		2.34% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
97.66% (G:79.50% B:11.33%)
2.XG Roller++19/17 3/2eq: -1.876 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		2.28% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
97.72% (G:79.96% B:11.10%)
3.XG Roller++19/18 3/1eq: -1.887 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:		1.98% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.02% (G:80.21% B:11.14%)
4.XG Roller++19/17 2/1eq: -1.910 (-0.037)
Player:
Opponent:		1.71% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.29% (G:82.02% B:10.97%)
5.XG Roller++19/17 4/3eq: -1.947 (-0.075)
Player:
Opponent:		0.98% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
99.02% (G:84.49% B:10.41%)
 
 65: 3/Off(2) 
Pip=25-113
1.played3-ply3/Off(2)eq: +1.890
Player:
Opponent:		97.78% (G:80.86% B:11.45%)
2.22% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 41: 24/19 
Pip=19-113
1.playedXG Roller++24/19eq: -1.905
Player:
Opponent:		2.06% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
97.94% (G:81.54% B:11.81%)
2.XG Roller++24/20 16/15eq: -1.912 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:		2.12% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
97.88% (G:81.27% B:12.94%)
3.XG Roller++24/20 3/2eq: -1.919 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:		2.04% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
97.96% (G:81.50% B:13.13%)
4.XG Roller++24/20 2/1eq: -1.955 (-0.049)
Player:
Opponent:		1.53% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.47% (G:84.26% B:12.70%)
5.XG Roller++16/12 3/2eq: -1.980 (-0.075)
Player:
Opponent:		2.22% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
97.78% (G:80.13% B:21.15%)
 
 42: 3/Off 2/Off 
Pip=19-108
1.played3-ply3/Off 2/Offeq: +2.016
Player:
Opponent:		99.05% (G:89.81% B:11.73%)
0.95% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 42: 24/18 
Pip=14-108
1.playedXG Roller++24/18eq: -2.044
Player:
Opponent:		0.74% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
99.26% (G:90.49% B:13.29%)
2.XG Roller++24/20 19/17eq: -2.056 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:		0.73% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
99.27% (G:90.40% B:14.57%)
3.XG Roller++24/20 16/14eq: -2.099 (-0.056)
Player:
Opponent:		0.77% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
99.23% (G:89.90% B:19.56%)
4.XG Roller++24/20 3/1eq: -2.106 (-0.062)
Player:
Opponent:		0.65% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
99.35% (G:90.29% B:19.52%)
5.XG Roller++19/17 16/12eq: -2.133 (-0.089)
Player:
Opponent:		0.96% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
99.04% (G:88.10% B:25.21%)
 
 32: 3/Off 2/Off 
Pip=14-102
1.playedXG Roller++3/Off 2/Offeq: +1.873
Player:
Opponent:		98.89% (G:82.52% B:5.24%)
1.11% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++3/1* 3/Offeq: +1.808 (-0.065)
Player:
Opponent:		98.38% (G:81.27% B:1.25%)
1.62% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 64: 24/18 19/15 
Pip=9-102
1.playedXG Roller++24/18 19/15eq: -2.027
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++24/18 16/12eq: -2.138 (-0.111)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:11.11%)
3.XG Roller++24/20 16/10eq: -2.138 (-0.111)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:11.11%)
4.XG Roller++24/14eq: -2.138 (-0.111)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:11.11%)
5.XG Roller++24/20 19/13eq: -2.138 (-0.111)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:11.11%)
 
 43: 3/Off 2/Off 
Pip=9-92
1.played3-ply3/Off 2/Offeq: +2.027
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:99.99% B:0.00%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 21: ???? 
Pip=4-92
1.XG Roller++15/14 4/2eq: -2.027
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++16/15 3/1eq: -2.027
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++16/13eq: -2.027
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++18/17 18/16eq: -2.027
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
5.xgXG Roller++15/12eq: -2.027
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
 
 Resigns a Gammon 4pts. 

Game Summary:

Avdis  Category Groutsos 
Expert (-0.0132) Total Error World Class (-0.0058)
Expert (-0.0131) Checker Play World Class (-0.0060)
Advanced (-0.0151) Cube Play World Champ. (+0.0000)
6.62 Performance Rating 2.92
5(2) Move Errors 3
-0.405(-2.95%) Equity lost (cost) -0.175(-1.25%)
     
1 Double Errors 0
-0.045(-0.19%) Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Take Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
6(2) Total Error 3
-0.450(-3.13%) Equity lost (cost) -0.175(-1.25%)
     
1 Jokers 3
+2.521(+18.18%) Luck -2.521(-18.18%)

 Game 3

15 point match, Score is Avdis: 5, Groutsos: 0

 
 42: 8/4 6/4 
Pip=167-167
1.playedBook18/4 6/4eq: +0.094
Player:
Opponent:		53.82% (G:16.43% B:0.74%)
46.18% (G:12.02% B:0.53%)
2.Book124/20 13/11eq: -0.076 (-0.170)
Player:
Opponent:		50.14% (G:13.62% B:0.66%)
49.86% (G:13.40% B:0.58%)
3.Book124/22 13/9eq: -0.078 (-0.172)
Player:
Opponent:		49.81% (G:14.00% B:0.60%)
50.19% (G:13.11% B:0.51%)
4.Book113/11 13/9eq: -0.084 (-0.178)
Player:
Opponent:		49.69% (G:15.06% B:0.73%)
50.31% (G:13.93% B:0.77%)
5.4-ply24/22 24/20eq: -0.106 (-0.200)
Player:
Opponent:		49.36% (G:11.94% B:0.53%)
50.64% (G:13.21% B:0.44%)
 
1 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++
 
 65: 24/13 
Pip=161-167
1.playedXG Roller++24/13eq: -0.124
Player:
Opponent:		46.34% (G:9.26% B:0.35%)
53.66% (G:15.69% B:0.44%)
2.XG Roller++24/18 13/8eq: -0.210 (-0.085)
Player:
Opponent:		44.02% (G:10.76% B:0.53%)
55.98% (G:19.29% B:0.69%)
3.4-ply13/8 13/7eq: -0.302 (-0.178)
Player:
Opponent:		40.83% (G:10.64% B:0.50%)
59.17% (G:18.78% B:1.19%)
4.4-ply13/2eq: -0.365 (-0.241)
Player:
Opponent:		39.49% (G:10.41% B:0.51%)
60.51% (G:20.61% B:1.28%)
5.4-ply24/18 8/3eq: -0.436 (-0.312)
Player:
Opponent:		39.17% (G:9.25% B:0.45%)
60.83% (G:24.46% B:1.28%)
 
 52: 24/22 13/8 
Pip=161-156
1.xgXG Roller++13/11 13/8eq: +0.053
Player:
Opponent:		52.05% (G:16.09% B:0.46%)
47.95% (G:10.87% B:0.52%)
2.playedXG Roller++24/22 13/8eq: +0.032 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:		51.21% (G:14.32% B:0.35%)
48.79% (G:9.48% B:0.32%)
3.XG Roller++13/8 6/4eq: -0.034 (-0.087)
Player:
Opponent:		49.84% (G:14.39% B:0.40%)
50.16% (G:10.91% B:0.47%)
4.XG Roller++24/22 6/1* eq: -0.062 (-0.114)
Player:
Opponent:		49.09% (G:14.87% B:0.32%)
50.91% (G:11.23% B:0.51%)
5.XG Roller++13/6eq: -0.063 (-0.115)
Player:
Opponent:		49.08% (G:14.34% B:0.37%)
50.92% (G:10.95% B:0.49%)

Ενδιαφέρον, καθώς πάει κόντρα στην κοινή λογική που λέει ότι εφόσον έχω καλύτερο στρατόπεδο και ο αντίπαλος έχει λιγότερα πούλια πίσω, διαχωρίζω για να πάρω περισσότερες βολές. Γι' αυτό κι εγώ θα έπαιζα 24/22.
 
 66: 24/18 13/7(3) 
Pip=154-156
1.xgXG Roller++13/7(4)eq: +0.310
Player:
Opponent:		56.10% (G:12.94% B:0.46%)
43.90% (G:9.82% B:0.28%)
2.playedXG Roller++24/18 13/7(3)eq: +0.288 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:		56.70% (G:10.39% B:0.39%)
43.30% (G:10.22% B:0.27%)
3.XG Roller++13/1*(2) eq: +0.188 (-0.122)
Player:
Opponent:		52.61% (G:14.50% B:0.27%)
47.39% (G:11.51% B:0.37%)
4.4-ply13/7(2) 13/1* eq: +0.113 (-0.197)
Player:
Opponent:		51.16% (G:12.60% B:0.31%)
48.84% (G:11.98% B:0.44%)
5.4-ply13/7(3) 8/2eq: +0.062 (-0.248)
Player:
Opponent:		50.06% (G:12.51% B:0.45%)
49.94% (G:13.61% B:0.48%)

Λεπτομέρεια. Συνήθως είναι σωστό το τρέξιμο σε τέτοιες περιπτώσεις που οι 66 σου έχουν δώσει προβάδισμα στην κούρσα.
 
 51: 13/7*  
Pip=154-132
1.played4-ply13/7* eq: -0.225
Player:
Opponent:		45.19% (G:11.92% B:0.28%)
54.81% (G:12.37% B:0.50%)
2.4-ply8/7* 7/2eq: -0.434 (-0.209)
Player:
Opponent:		40.25% (G:10.03% B:0.22%)
59.75% (G:14.32% B:0.68%)
3.4-ply8/7* 6/1eq: -0.500 (-0.276)
Player:
Opponent:		39.49% (G:9.88% B:0.20%)
60.51% (G:16.52% B:0.95%)
4.3-ply8/3 8/7* eq: -0.538 (-0.314)
Player:
Opponent:		39.01% (G:9.99% B:0.29%)
60.99% (G:18.20% B:1.18%)
5.3-ply13/8 6/5eq: -0.670 (-0.446)
Player:
Opponent:		33.85% (G:6.33% B:0.19%)
66.15% (G:12.84% B:0.45%)
 
 No double 
Pip=148-139
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 55.15% (G:11.95% B:0.54%) 55.07% (G:12.42% B:0.55%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 44.85% (G:11.85% B:0.33%) 44.93% (G:12.05% B:0.33%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.099 +0.226
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.244
     Double/Take:+0.064 (-0.180)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.756)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 16.1%
 
 51: Bar/20 8/7 
Pip=148-139
1.xgXG Roller++Bar/24 13/8eq: +0.116
Player:
Opponent:		51.40% (G:11.85% B:0.42%)
48.60% (G:12.07% B:0.33%)
2.playedXG Roller++Bar/20 8/7eq: +0.056 (-0.059)
Player:
Opponent:		50.68% (G:11.33% B:0.51%)
49.32% (G:14.44% B:0.37%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/24 6/1* eq: +0.028 (-0.087)
Player:
Opponent:		49.40% (G:11.82% B:0.39%)
50.60% (G:14.27% B:0.46%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/20 7/6eq: +0.007 (-0.109)
Player:
Opponent:		49.50% (G:10.88% B:0.49%)
50.50% (G:14.58% B:0.38%)
5.XG Roller++Bar/24 8/3* eq: -0.042 (-0.158)
Player:
Opponent:		47.36% (G:12.40% B:0.49%)
52.64% (G:15.76% B:0.57%)

Περίεργο παίξιμο από τον Γρούτσο, καθώς παραβιάζει τη γνωστή αρχή που λέει ότι δεν πρέπει να ερχόμαστε under the gun, δηλαδή υπό τα πυρά των αντίπαλων builders. Έπρεπε να μείνει στην ασφάλεια του 24.
 
 44: 13/5*(2)  
Pip=148-133
1.played3-ply13/5*(2) eq: +0.394
Player:
Opponent:		58.91% (G:23.52% B:0.53%)
41.09% (G:8.56% B:0.39%)
2.3-ply24/16 13/5* eq: -0.083 (-0.478)
Player:
Opponent:		49.59% (G:13.81% B:0.34%)
50.41% (G:13.40% B:0.67%)
3.3-ply13/5* 6/2(2)eq: -0.115 (-0.510)
Player:
Opponent:		47.75% (G:16.74% B:0.32%)
52.25% (G:12.76% B:0.76%)
4.3-ply13/9(2) 13/5* eq: -0.138 (-0.533)
Player:
Opponent:		47.43% (G:16.08% B:0.48%)
52.57% (G:13.07% B:0.66%)
5.3-ply24/20 13/5* 5/1eq: -0.213 (-0.608)
Player:
Opponent:		45.81% (G:12.40% B:0.28%)
54.19% (G:13.13% B:0.69%)
 
 51: Bar/24 13/8 
Pip=132-138
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/24 13/8eq: -0.487
Player:
Opponent:		37.22% (G:8.45% B:0.45%)
62.78% (G:21.86% B:0.54%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/24 6/1* eq: -0.561 (-0.074)
Player:
Opponent:		36.33% (G:7.76% B:0.31%)
63.67% (G:24.68% B:0.76%)
3.4-plyBar/24 7/2eq: -0.695 (-0.208)
Player:
Opponent:		33.52% (G:7.68% B:0.39%)
66.48% (G:30.17% B:0.88%)
4.3-plyBar/24 8/3* eq: -1.000 (-0.513)
Player:
Opponent:		29.40% (G:6.71% B:0.33%)
70.60% (G:33.67% B:2.04%)
 
 No double 
Pip=132-132
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 62.58% (G:21.97% B:0.58%) 62.48% (G:22.33% B:0.62%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 37.42% (G:8.68% B:0.46%) 37.52% (G:8.63% B:0.46%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.400 +0.779
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.473
     Double/Take:+0.312 (-0.161)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.527)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 19.0%
 
 41: 13/9 8/7 
Pip=132-132
1.xgXG Roller++24/20 8/7eq: +0.472
Player:
Opponent:		64.04% (G:17.09% B:0.65%)
35.96% (G:9.51% B:0.41%)
2.playedXG Roller++13/9 8/7eq: +0.415 (-0.057)
Player:
Opponent:		61.51% (G:18.04% B:0.67%)
38.49% (G:9.69% B:0.40%)
3.4-ply8/7 6/2eq: +0.210 (-0.261)
Player:
Opponent:		57.57% (G:17.98% B:0.76%)
42.43% (G:12.68% B:0.74%)
4.4-ply6/1* eq: +0.142 (-0.330)
Player:
Opponent:		53.98% (G:21.07% B:0.43%)
46.02% (G:12.70% B:0.94%)
5.3-ply8/7 8/4eq: -0.027 (-0.499)
Player:
Opponent:		50.73% (G:16.43% B:0.61%)
49.27% (G:13.03% B:0.65%)

Το 13/9 είναι η πρώτη ενστικτώδης σκέψη, αλλά τα υπόλοιπα χαρακτηριστικά της θέσης δείχνουν το 24/20:
Ο αντίπαλος δεν έχει στρατόπεδο, το άλλο πούλι είναι ψηλά, στο 22, οπότε αν χτυπηθεί το ένα μπορεί να δέσει καλή anchor με το άλλο, η αντίπαλη midpoint είναι γυμνή, οπότε ένα χτύπημα από κει αδυνατίζει τον έλεγχο του outfield από τον αντίπαλο. Επίσης, δεν υπάρχει πούλι για να κλείσει το εξάπορτο μετά το 13/9. Αντίθετα, ο αντίπαλος είναι έτοιμος να χτίσει prime.
Με δεδομένα τα παραπάνω, δεν υπάρχει λόγος να μην ξεκινήσει η προσπάθεια δραπέτευσης των πίσω πουλίων πριν προλάβει ο αντίπαλος να τα κλείσει μέσα.


 
 61: 24/23 13/7 
Pip=127-132
1.xgXG Roller++13/12 13/7eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		25.76% (G:4.84% B:0.19%)
74.24% (G:20.46% B:0.55%)
2.XG Roller++24/23 7/1* eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		27.67% (G:5.83% B:0.20%)
72.33% (G:27.51% B:0.89%)
3.XG Roller++13/6eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		25.07% (G:4.75% B:0.19%)
74.93% (G:21.57% B:0.55%)
4.XG Roller++8/1* eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		26.35% (G:5.57% B:0.18%)
73.65% (G:25.75% B:0.97%)
5.playedXG Roller++24/23 13/7eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		25.47% (G:4.73% B:0.19%)
74.53% (G:24.04% B:0.59%)
 
 Double/Pass 
Pip=127-125
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 74.38% (G:24.56% B:0.59%) 74.36% (G:26.06% B:0.66%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 25.62% (G:4.96% B:0.22%) 25.64% (G:5.00% B:0.22%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.703 +1.422
Cubeful Equities
     No double:+0.867 (-0.133)
     Double/Take:+1.115 (+0.115)
played Double/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Double / Pass

Το 61 ήταν καταστροφική ζαριά. Η αποτυχία να γίνει πόρτα σ' αυτή τη θέση, υποχρεώνει τον Γρούτσο σε πάσο.


 
 Wins 1pt. 

Game Summary:

Avdis  Category Groutsos 
Expert (-0.0110) Total Error Expert (-0.0116)
Advanced (-0.0154) Checker Play Advanced (-0.0162)
World Champ. (+0.0000) Cube Play World Champ. (+0.0000)
5.50 Performance Rating 5.80
2 Move Errors 2
-0.077(-0.30%) Equity lost (cost) -0.081(-0.32%)
     
0 Double Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Take Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
2 Total Error 2
-0.077(-0.30%) Equity lost (cost) -0.081(-0.32%)
     
2 Jokers 1
+1.041(+4.06%) Luck -1.041(-4.06%)

 Game 4

15 point match, Score is Avdis: 6, Groutsos: 0

 
 52: 24/22 13/8 
Pip=167-167
1.playedBook124/22 13/8eq: +0.128
Player:
Opponent:		50.27% (G:13.01% B:0.52%)
49.73% (G:12.81% B:0.47%)
2.Book113/11 13/8eq: +0.122 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:		49.79% (G:14.03% B:0.70%)
50.21% (G:13.63% B:0.64%)
3.Book113/8 6/4eq: +0.062 (-0.066)
Player:
Opponent:		48.75% (G:12.95% B:0.51%)
51.25% (G:14.03% B:0.70%)
4.Book113/6eq: +0.028 (-0.099)
Player:
Opponent:		47.52% (G:13.28% B:0.60%)
52.48% (G:14.59% B:0.66%)
5.XG Roller++13/11 8/3eq: -0.026 (-0.154)
Player:
Opponent:		46.43% (G:12.99% B:0.60%)
53.57% (G:15.70% B:0.92%)
 
1 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++
 
 43: 24/20 6/3*  
Pip=167-160
1.playedXG Roller++24/20 6/3* eq: -0.236
Player:
Opponent:		47.05% (G:11.06% B:0.39%)
52.95% (G:13.89% B:0.64%)
2.XG Roller++13/9 6/3* eq: -0.252 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:		47.27% (G:12.88% B:0.54%)
52.73% (G:15.88% B:1.04%)
3.XG Roller++24/21 24/20eq: -0.268 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:		46.36% (G:10.23% B:0.40%)
53.64% (G:14.08% B:0.46%)
4.XG Roller++24/20 13/10eq: -0.292 (-0.056)
Player:
Opponent:		45.71% (G:11.16% B:0.42%)
54.29% (G:14.60% B:0.65%)
5.XG Roller++13/6eq: -0.328 (-0.092)
Player:
Opponent:		44.90% (G:11.15% B:0.37%)
55.10% (G:14.97% B:0.69%)
 
 No double 
Pip=160-163
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 52.96% (G:14.33% B:0.66%) 52.97% (G:14.20% B:0.62%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 47.04% (G:11.56% B:0.40%) 47.03% (G:11.36% B:0.40%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.085 +0.219
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.242
     Double/Take:+0.085 (-0.157)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.758)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 14.7%
 
 11: Bar/23 6/5*(2)  
Pip=160-163
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/23 6/5*(2) eq: +0.644
Player:
Opponent:		60.87% (G:20.31% B:1.01%)
39.13% (G:8.96% B:0.35%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/24 8/7 6/5*(2) eq: +0.635 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		61.00% (G:20.19% B:1.04%)
39.00% (G:9.15% B:0.42%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/24 6/5*(3) eq: +0.584 (-0.059)
Player:
Opponent:		59.68% (G:19.77% B:0.98%)
40.32% (G:9.75% B:0.43%)
4.4-plyBar/22* 6/5* eq: +0.439 (-0.204)
Player:
Opponent:		56.71% (G:17.50% B:0.94%)
43.29% (G:9.79% B:0.39%)
5.3-plyBar/24 8/7(2) 6/5* eq: +0.299 (-0.344)
Player:
Opponent:		54.02% (G:15.98% B:0.80%)
45.98% (G:11.79% B:0.58%)
 
 65: Cannot Move 
Pip=165-159
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		33.59% (G:6.67% B:0.24%)
66.41% (G:27.53% B:1.83%)
 
 Double/Pass 
Pip=165-159
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 66.95% (G:26.73% B:1.66%) 66.61% (G:28.60% B:1.71%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 33.05% (G:6.40% B:0.23%) 33.39% (G:6.75% B:0.26%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.551 +1.199
Cubeful Equities
     No double:+0.919 (-0.081)
     Double/Take:+1.096 (+0.096)
played Double/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Double / Pass

Αν υπήρχε η παραμικρή αμφιβολία για τη θέση, το σκορ αποφασίζει πάσο.
 
 Wins 1pt. 

Game Summary:

Avdis  Category Groutsos 
World Champ. (+0.0000) Total Error World Champ. (+0.0000)
World Champ. (+0.0000) Checker Play World Champ. (+0.0000)
World Champ. (+0.0000) Cube Play World Champ. (+0.0000)
0.00 Performance Rating 0.00
0 Move Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Double Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Take Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Total Error 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Jokers 2
-0.883(-3.33%) Luck +0.883(+3.33%)

 Game 5

15 point match, Score is Avdis: 6, Groutsos: 1

 
 65: 24/13 
Pip=167-167
1.playedBook124/13eq: -0.002
Player:
Opponent:		52.79% (G:11.70% B:0.51%)
47.21% (G:11.73% B:0.35%)
2.Book124/18 13/8eq: -0.072 (-0.070)
Player:
Opponent:		51.05% (G:12.76% B:0.62%)
48.95% (G:13.03% B:0.44%)
3.Book113/8 13/7eq: -0.169 (-0.167)
Player:
Opponent:		48.18% (G:13.96% B:0.72%)
51.82% (G:14.13% B:0.71%)
4.4-ply13/2eq: -0.241 (-0.239)
Player:
Opponent:		46.49% (G:13.04% B:0.65%)
53.51% (G:15.48% B:0.81%)
5.4-ply24/18 8/3eq: -0.279 (-0.278)
Player:
Opponent:		46.29% (G:11.41% B:0.52%)
53.71% (G:16.64% B:0.75%)
 
1 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++
 
 41: 24/23 13/9 
Pip=156-167
1.xgXG Roller++13/9 6/5eq: -0.127
Player:
Opponent:		44.16% (G:11.13% B:0.35%)
55.84% (G:14.48% B:0.90%)
2.playedXG Roller++24/23 13/9eq: -0.130 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		43.76% (G:10.88% B:0.31%)
56.24% (G:12.81% B:0.55%)
3.XG Roller++24/20 6/5eq: -0.159 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:		43.71% (G:10.21% B:0.32%)
56.29% (G:14.30% B:0.67%)
4.XG Roller++24/23 24/20eq: -0.172 (-0.045)
Player:
Opponent:		43.02% (G:9.22% B:0.25%)
56.98% (G:11.98% B:0.42%)
5.XG Roller++13/8eq: -0.183 (-0.056)
Player:
Opponent:		42.67% (G:10.09% B:0.27%)
57.33% (G:13.34% B:0.62%)
 
 44: 24/16* 6/2*(2)  
Pip=156-162
1.playedXG Roller++24/16* 6/2*(2) eq: +0.602
Player:
Opponent:		65.74% (G:21.31% B:1.21%)
34.26% (G:6.78% B:0.24%)
2.XG Roller++24/16* 13/9(2)eq: +0.573 (-0.030)
Player:
Opponent:		66.25% (G:17.32% B:0.91%)
33.75% (G:6.62% B:0.22%)
3.XG Roller++13/9(2) 6/2*(2) eq: +0.511 (-0.092)
Player:
Opponent:		64.24% (G:18.11% B:1.07%)
35.76% (G:7.06% B:0.24%)
4.XG Roller++8/4(2) 6/2*(2) eq: +0.505 (-0.097)
Player:
Opponent:		62.81% (G:23.12% B:1.17%)
37.19% (G:8.17% B:0.31%)
5.4-ply13/5(2)eq: +0.423 (-0.179)
Player:
Opponent:		62.93% (G:17.34% B:0.66%)
37.07% (G:7.93% B:0.24%)
 
 53: Bar/22 Bar/20 
Pip=140-180
1.played3-plyBar/22 Bar/20eq: -0.490
Player:
Opponent:		35.69% (G:7.23% B:0.24%)
64.31% (G:18.65% B:0.81%)
 
 Double/Take 
Pip=140-172
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 64.14% (G:18.37% B:0.94%) 64.10% (G:18.64% B:0.97%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 35.86% (G:7.48% B:0.23%) 35.90% (G:7.48% B:0.22%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.403 +0.775
Cubeful Equities
xg No double:+0.495
played Double/Take:+0.326 (-0.168)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.505)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 20.0%

Η θέση του Αυδή είναι καλή, αλλά όχι χωρίς προβλήματα: Η midpoint είναι βαριά φορτωμένη με 6 πούλια, υπάρχει ένα πούλι σε κίνδυνο, και το στρατόπεδό του δεν είναι ιδιαίτερα δυνατό και κυρίως είναι αρκετά ασύνδετο.
Αντίθετα, η θέση του Γρούτσου, όσο κι αν είναι χειρότερη, παραμένει πολύ υγιής: Δεν έχει κάψει πούλια, και είναι έτοιμος να βρει βολή ή να δέσει anchor.
Τέλος, το σκορ συνηγορεί επίσης υπέρ του να περιμένει κανείς.
 
 64: 16/6 
Pip=140-172
1.played4-ply16/6eq: +0.171
Player:
Opponent:		64.83% (G:16.21% B:0.53%)
35.17% (G:6.77% B:0.24%)
2.4-ply13/3* eq: -0.040 (-0.210)
Player:
Opponent:		58.31% (G:16.70% B:0.80%)
41.69% (G:10.04% B:0.33%)
3.4-ply16/10 13/9eq: -0.097 (-0.267)
Player:
Opponent:		56.46% (G:15.82% B:0.66%)
43.54% (G:9.97% B:0.36%)
4.3-ply16/10 6/2eq: -0.155 (-0.326)
Player:
Opponent:		55.18% (G:14.21% B:0.50%)
44.82% (G:10.83% B:0.34%)
5.3-ply16/10 8/4eq: -0.171 (-0.341)
Player:
Opponent:		55.20% (G:12.77% B:0.48%)
44.80% (G:10.87% B:0.40%)
 
 64: 24/20 13/7 
Pip=130-172
1.playedXG Roller++24/20 13/7eq: -0.183
Player:
Opponent:		33.42% (G:6.04% B:0.13%)
66.58% (G:11.72% B:0.22%)
2.XG Roller++22/16 20/16eq: -0.216 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:		34.31% (G:6.31% B:0.14%)
65.69% (G:18.91% B:0.30%)
3.XG Roller++24/20 8/2eq: -0.248 (-0.064)
Player:
Opponent:		31.71% (G:5.72% B:0.12%)
68.29% (G:13.39% B:0.33%)
4.XG Roller++8/2 6/2eq: -0.259 (-0.076)
Player:
Opponent:		33.01% (G:6.92% B:0.15%)
66.99% (G:20.17% B:0.92%)
5.XG Roller++24/18 22/18eq: -0.278 (-0.094)
Player:
Opponent:		31.00% (G:4.62% B:0.07%)
69.00% (G:13.06% B:0.15%)
 
 51: 13/8 2/1 
Pip=130-162
1.playedXG Roller++13/8 2/1eq: +0.102
Player:
Opponent:		64.21% (G:10.71% B:0.17%)
35.79% (G:7.06% B:0.21%)
2.XG Roller++8/3* 3/2eq: +0.067 (-0.035)
Player:
Opponent:		62.76% (G:12.45% B:0.28%)
37.24% (G:7.62% B:0.25%)
3.XG Roller++6/1 2/1eq: +0.046 (-0.056)
Player:
Opponent:		62.36% (G:11.90% B:0.21%)
37.64% (G:8.17% B:0.25%)
4.XG Roller++13/7eq: -0.005 (-0.108)
Player:
Opponent:		60.38% (G:12.00% B:0.40%)
39.62% (G:8.06% B:0.24%)
5.4-ply8/2eq: -0.053 (-0.156)
Player:
Opponent:		59.15% (G:10.87% B:0.20%)
40.85% (G:9.11% B:0.29%)
 
 54: 13/4 
Pip=124-162
1.XG Roller++13/9 8/3eq: -0.141
Player:
Opponent:		34.64% (G:6.92% B:0.14%)
65.36% (G:11.64% B:0.28%)
2.xgXG Roller++8/3 7/3eq: -0.141 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		34.25% (G:6.74% B:0.12%)
65.75% (G:10.46% B:0.16%)
3.playedXG Roller++13/4eq: -0.144 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		34.39% (G:6.55% B:0.13%)
65.61% (G:10.71% B:0.17%)
4.XG Roller++8/4 8/3eq: -0.153 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent:		34.32% (G:6.78% B:0.13%)
65.68% (G:11.92% B:0.30%)
5.XG Roller++7/2 6/2eq: -0.165 (-0.023)
Player:
Opponent:		33.64% (G:6.52% B:0.10%)
66.36% (G:10.98% B:0.17%)
 
 41: 13/8 
Pip=124-153
1.playedXG Roller++13/8eq: +0.121
Player:
Opponent:		64.98% (G:9.17% B:0.15%)
35.02% (G:6.49% B:0.18%)
2.XG Roller++6/1eq: +0.106 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:		64.38% (G:10.10% B:0.16%)
35.62% (G:6.93% B:0.19%)
3.XG Roller++8/4 2/1eq: -0.005 (-0.126)
Player:
Opponent:		61.30% (G:10.79% B:0.26%)
38.70% (G:8.77% B:0.22%)
4.4-ply13/9 2/1eq: -0.090 (-0.211)
Player:
Opponent:		57.91% (G:12.17% B:0.33%)
42.09% (G:9.81% B:0.28%)
5.4-ply8/7 6/2eq: -0.128 (-0.250)
Player:
Opponent:		57.05% (G:12.30% B:0.39%)
42.95% (G:10.99% B:0.34%)
 
 52: 8/3 6/4 
Pip=119-153
1.playedXG Roller++8/3 6/4eq: -0.135
Player:
Opponent:		34.52% (G:6.63% B:0.11%)
65.48% (G:9.32% B:0.13%)
2.XG Roller++13/8 6/4eq: -0.172 (-0.037)
Player:
Opponent:		33.25% (G:6.04% B:0.11%)
66.75% (G:9.38% B:0.11%)
3.XG Roller++7/2 6/4eq: -0.181 (-0.045)
Player:
Opponent:		33.03% (G:6.08% B:0.09%)
66.97% (G:9.92% B:0.14%)
4.XG Roller++8/3 7/5eq: -0.194 (-0.059)
Player:
Opponent:		33.00% (G:6.34% B:0.12%)
67.00% (G:11.72% B:0.30%)
5.XG Roller++6/4 6/1eq: -0.210 (-0.074)
Player:
Opponent:		31.90% (G:6.03% B:0.07%)
68.10% (G:10.22% B:0.16%)
 
 11: 8/7(3) 2/1 
Pip=119-146
1.playedXG Roller++8/7(3) 2/1eq: +0.223
Player:
Opponent:		68.44% (G:7.95% B:0.11%)
31.56% (G:5.21% B:0.12%)
2.XG Roller++8/7(2) 8/6eq: +0.126 (-0.096)
Player:
Opponent:		65.06% (G:8.02% B:0.14%)
34.94% (G:6.53% B:0.17%)
3.4-ply8/6(2)eq: +0.004 (-0.219)
Player:
Opponent:		61.31% (G:7.43% B:0.11%)
38.69% (G:7.45% B:0.23%)
4.3-ply8/7 8/6 2/1eq: -0.245 (-0.468)
Player:
Opponent:		54.30% (G:11.27% B:0.33%)
45.70% (G:12.58% B:0.27%)
5.2-ply8/7(4)eq: -0.387 (-0.609)
Player:
Opponent:		49.93% (G:8.97% B:0.24%)
50.07% (G:16.10% B:0.35%)
 
 66: 22/10 8/2(2) 
Pip=115-146
1.xgXG Roller++13/7(2) 8/2(2)eq: -0.121
Player:
Opponent:		35.19% (G:4.53% B:0.05%)
64.81% (G:4.95% B:0.09%)
2.XG Roller++13/1(2)eq: -0.130 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		34.73% (G:4.74% B:0.03%)
65.27% (G:4.93% B:0.10%)
3.playedXG Roller++22/10 8/2(2)eq: -0.153 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:		34.24% (G:1.03% B:0.01%)
65.76% (G:1.35% B:0.01%)
4.XG Roller++22/10 13/7(2)eq: -0.154 (-0.033)
Player:
Opponent:		34.21% (G:1.06% B:0.02%)
65.79% (G:1.35% B:0.02%)
5.XG Roller++22/4 8/2eq: -0.154 (-0.033)
Player:
Opponent:		34.21% (G:1.06% B:0.01%)
65.79% (G:1.45% B:0.02%)

Κι εγώ το ίδιο θα έπαιζα. Το XG είναι πολύ αυστηρό στον κανόνα ότι δεν τρέχουμε όταν είμαστε πίσω. Μετά τις 66 ο Γρούτσος είναι 7 pips πίσω και το 22/10 ελευθερώνει τις θέσεις 3 και 4 του Αυδή.


 
 31: 6/2 
Pip=115-122
1.xgXG Roller++7/3eq: +0.015
Player:
Opponent:		60.32% (G:1.42% B:0.02%)
39.68% (G:1.34% B:0.01%)
2.playedXG Roller++6/2eq: -0.003 (-0.018)
Player:
Opponent:		59.65% (G:1.47% B:0.02%)
40.35% (G:1.43% B:0.01%)
3.4-ply13/9eq: -0.149 (-0.164)
Player:
Opponent:		55.47% (G:4.96% B:0.23%)
44.53% (G:7.43% B:0.10%)
4.4-ply13/10 7/6eq: -0.220 (-0.235)
Player:
Opponent:		53.05% (G:5.41% B:0.28%)
46.95% (G:9.03% B:0.13%)
5.4-ply8/4eq: -0.264 (-0.279)
Player:
Opponent:		51.70% (G:4.61% B:0.24%)
48.30% (G:9.52% B:0.14%)
 
 42: 10/8 7/3 
Pip=111-122
1.xgXG Roller++13/11 13/9eq: -0.087
Player:
Opponent:		36.83% (G:1.20% B:0.01%)
63.17% (G:1.38% B:0.02%)
2.XG Roller++10/6 7/5eq: -0.093 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:		36.65% (G:1.29% B:0.01%)
63.35% (G:1.64% B:0.03%)
3.XG Roller++7/3 6/4eq: -0.094 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:		36.60% (G:1.20% B:0.01%)
63.40% (G:1.53% B:0.02%)
4.XG Roller++10/4eq: -0.096 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:		36.48% (G:1.22% B:0.01%)
63.52% (G:1.59% B:0.03%)
5.playedXG Roller++10/8 7/3eq: -0.097 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent:		36.48% (G:1.23% B:0.01%)
63.52% (G:1.57% B:0.02%)
 
 32: 13/8 
Pip=111-116
1.playedXG Roller++13/8eq: -0.002
Player:
Opponent:		59.48% (G:1.45% B:0.02%)
40.52% (G:1.41% B:0.01%)
2.XG Roller++7/4 6/4eq: -0.010 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:		59.08% (G:1.75% B:0.03%)
40.92% (G:1.54% B:0.01%)
3.XG Roller++7/2eq: -0.029 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent:		58.48% (G:1.41% B:0.03%)
41.52% (G:1.53% B:0.01%)
4.XG Roller++6/1eq: -0.131 (-0.129)
Player:
Opponent:		54.50% (G:2.07% B:0.03%)
45.50% (G:2.22% B:0.03%)
5.3-ply8/6 7/4eq: -0.385 (-0.383)
Player:
Opponent:		47.06% (G:2.95% B:0.06%)
52.94% (G:11.92% B:0.15%)
 
 64: 13/9 13/7 
Pip=106-116
1.playedXG Roller++13/9 13/7eq: +0.026
Player:
Opponent:		41.54% (G:1.64% B:0.02%)
58.46% (G:1.62% B:0.03%)
2.XG Roller++20/10eq: -0.017 (-0.043)
Player:
Opponent:		40.37% (G:1.79% B:0.02%)
59.63% (G:3.06% B:0.04%)
3.XG Roller++8/2 6/2eq: -0.038 (-0.064)
Player:
Opponent:		39.14% (G:1.34% B:0.01%)
60.86% (G:2.20% B:0.04%)
4.XG Roller++20/16 20/14eq: -0.064 (-0.090)
Player:
Opponent:		38.87% (G:3.54% B:0.06%)
61.13% (G:6.62% B:0.10%)
5.XG Roller++13/7 8/4eq: -0.069 (-0.095)
Player:
Opponent:		37.57% (G:2.27% B:0.02%)
62.43% (G:2.49% B:0.05%)
 
 52: 8/6 7/2 
Pip=106-106
1.xgXG Roller++13/6eq: -0.064
Player:
Opponent:		56.41% (G:1.56% B:0.03%)
43.59% (G:1.83% B:0.02%)
2.XG Roller++7/2 6/4eq: -0.064 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		56.28% (G:1.88% B:0.08%)
43.72% (G:2.02% B:0.02%)
3.XG Roller++13/8 6/4eq: -0.070 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:		56.11% (G:2.31% B:0.08%)
43.89% (G:2.38% B:0.05%)
4.playedXG Roller++8/6 7/2eq: -0.082 (-0.019)
Player:
Opponent:		55.65% (G:1.71% B:0.05%)
44.35% (G:1.99% B:0.02%)
5.XG Roller++8/3 6/4eq: -0.101 (-0.037)
Player:
Opponent:		54.81% (G:2.03% B:0.06%)
45.19% (G:1.92% B:0.04%)
 
 65: 7/1 6/1 
Pip=99-106
1.playedXG Roller++7/1 6/1eq: +0.090
Player:
Opponent:		44.83% (G:2.49% B:0.03%)
55.17% (G:2.01% B:0.04%)
2.XG Roller++8/2 6/1eq: +0.070 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:		44.12% (G:2.23% B:0.02%)
55.88% (G:2.37% B:0.05%)
3.XG Roller++9/3 6/1eq: +0.065 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:		43.98% (G:2.13% B:0.02%)
56.02% (G:2.24% B:0.06%)
4.XG Roller++8/3 7/1eq: +0.051 (-0.039)
Player:
Opponent:		43.41% (G:2.31% B:0.02%)
56.59% (G:2.42% B:0.06%)
5.XG Roller++9/4 7/1eq: +0.050 (-0.040)
Player:
Opponent:		43.36% (G:2.19% B:0.02%)
56.64% (G:2.30% B:0.05%)
 
 54: 13/4 
Pip=99-95
1.playedXG Roller++13/4eq: -0.044
Player:
Opponent:		56.33% (G:2.06% B:0.04%)
43.67% (G:2.04% B:0.02%)
2.XG Roller++8/4 8/3eq: -0.105 (-0.062)
Player:
Opponent:		54.09% (G:2.34% B:0.06%)
45.91% (G:2.30% B:0.03%)
3.XG Roller++13/8 6/2eq: -0.137 (-0.093)
Player:
Opponent:		52.97% (G:1.49% B:0.03%)
47.03% (G:2.28% B:0.03%)
4.XG Roller++7/3 7/2eq: -0.182 (-0.138)
Player:
Opponent:		51.49% (G:1.67% B:0.03%)
48.51% (G:2.69% B:0.03%)
5.4-ply6/2 6/1eq: -0.293 (-0.249)
Player:
Opponent:		48.01% (G:0.89% B:0.01%)
51.99% (G:2.89% B:0.02%)
 
 22: 9/5 8/4 
Pip=90-95
1.playedXG Roller++9/5 8/4eq: -0.023
Player:
Opponent:		40.89% (G:2.26% B:0.03%)
59.11% (G:2.44% B:0.05%)
2.XG Roller++9/5 6/2eq: -0.030 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:		40.67% (G:1.90% B:0.02%)
59.33% (G:2.63% B:0.07%)
3.XG Roller++9/7 8/2eq: -0.035 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:		40.32% (G:1.43% B:0.02%)
59.68% (G:2.21% B:0.04%)
4.XG Roller++9/7 8/4 6/4eq: -0.038 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:		40.07% (G:1.32% B:0.01%)
59.93% (G:2.24% B:0.05%)
5.XG Roller++9/3 6/4eq: -0.039 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:		40.03% (G:1.28% B:0.01%)
59.97% (G:2.24% B:0.04%)
 
 42: 6/4 6/2 
Pip=90-87
1.xgXG Roller++8/6 8/4eq: -0.016
Player:
Opponent:		56.70% (G:2.50% B:0.05%)
43.30% (G:2.05% B:0.03%)
2.playedXG Roller++6/4 6/2eq: -0.032 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:		56.20% (G:2.26% B:0.04%)
43.80% (G:2.18% B:0.03%)
3.XG Roller++13/7eq: -0.163 (-0.147)
Player:
Opponent:		50.49% (G:2.23% B:0.05%)
49.51% (G:3.54% B:0.05%)
4.4-ply6/2 4/2eq: -0.223 (-0.207)
Player:
Opponent:		49.92% (G:1.32% B:0.02%)
50.08% (G:2.39% B:0.02%)
5.4-ply7/3 6/4eq: -0.254 (-0.238)
Player:
Opponent:		48.15% (G:4.95% B:0.14%)
51.85% (G:10.08% B:0.09%)
 
 54: 20/11 
Pip=84-87
1.playedXG Roller++20/11eq: +0.063
Player:
Opponent:		43.95% (G:4.41% B:0.04%)
56.05% (G:1.49% B:0.03%)
2.XG Roller++6/1 5/1eq: -0.052 (-0.114)
Player:
Opponent:		39.99% (G:1.39% B:0.01%)
60.01% (G:2.52% B:0.04%)
3.4-ply6/2 6/1eq: -0.077 (-0.139)
Player:
Opponent:		38.30% (G:0.94% B:0.00%)
61.70% (G:2.89% B:0.07%)
4.4-ply20/15 5/1eq: -0.209 (-0.271)
Player:
Opponent:		34.16% (G:2.48% B:0.02%)
65.84% (G:6.94% B:0.12%)
5.4-ply20/16 20/15eq: -0.213 (-0.275)
Player:
Opponent:		34.23% (G:1.85% B:0.02%)
65.77% (G:7.19% B:0.13%)

Πολύ σωστό παίξιμο. Ο Γρούτσος δεν έχει την πολυτέλεια να χαλάσει το στρατόπεδό του, αφού και θα μείνει πίσω στην κούρσα (στην οποία έχει πολύ καλές τύχες μετά το τρέξιμο) λόγω των καμένων πουλίων που θα έχει, και πιθανά χτυπήματά του δεν θα είναι πλεόν καθοριστικά.
 
 63: 8/2 8/5*  
Pip=84-78
1.playedXG Roller++8/2 8/5* eq: -0.238
Player:
Opponent:		48.31% (G:1.34% B:0.02%)
51.69% (G:9.94% B:0.06%)
2.XG Roller++13/4eq: -0.293 (-0.055)
Player:
Opponent:		44.98% (G:0.84% B:0.02%)
55.02% (G:2.07% B:0.02%)
3.XG Roller++13/7 8/5* eq: -0.329 (-0.091)
Player:
Opponent:		51.59% (G:1.90% B:0.03%)
48.41% (G:18.61% B:0.60%)
4.XG Roller++7/4 7/1eq: -0.384 (-0.146)
Player:
Opponent:		43.15% (G:0.23% B:0.00%)
56.85% (G:2.47% B:0.03%)
5.4-ply13/7 4/1eq: -0.568 (-0.330)
Player:
Opponent:		37.25% (G:0.48% B:0.01%)
62.75% (G:3.21% B:0.03%)

Σωστό χτύπημα.
Πρώτα απ' όλα να ξεκαθαρίσουμε ότι το "απολύτως" ασφαλές 7/1 7/4 καταστρέφει την κούρσα καίγοντας πούλια και δεν είναι και τόσο ασφαλές, αφού στην επόμενη ζαριά μπορεί να αφήσει άμεση βολή.
Μετά από 13/4 η κούρσα είναι στην ουσία ίση (μάλιστα ο Αυδής είναι περισσότερο καμένος) και  ο Γρούτσος έχει επίσης 5 έμμεσες βολές.
Οπότε το χτύπημα είναι υποχρεωτικό, αφού οι γκέλες ισοδυναμούν με σχεδόν σίγουρη νίκη, αφήνοντας έτσι τον αντίπαλο με λιγότερες νίκες από όσες στην ίση κούρσα με έξτρα βολές.
Όσο για το έξι, το 13/7 παραείναι ριψοκίνδυνο, οπότε 8/2.
 
 No double 
Pip=75-83
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No redouble Redouble/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 51.68% (G:10.04% B:0.05%) 51.55% (G:10.12% B:0.05%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 48.32% (G:1.22% B:0.02%) 48.45% (G:1.27% B:0.02%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.134 +0.401
Cubeful Equities
played No redouble:+0.243
     Redouble/Take:+0.234 (-0.009)
     Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.757)
 
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 1.2%
 
 43: Bar/22 11/7 
Pip=75-83
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/22 11/7eq: +0.012
Player:
Opponent:		42.40% (G:2.14% B:0.03%)
57.60% (G:0.68% B:0.01%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/22 6/2eq: -0.034 (-0.046)
Player:
Opponent:		41.15% (G:2.09% B:0.03%)
58.85% (G:1.14% B:0.02%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/22 5/1eq: -0.050 (-0.062)
Player:
Opponent:		40.43% (G:1.62% B:0.02%)
59.57% (G:0.76% B:0.01%)
 
 61: 13/7 5/4 
Pip=75-76
1.played3-ply13/7 5/4eq: -0.092
Player:
Opponent:		54.62% (G:0.39% B:0.01%)
45.38% (G:0.86% B:0.00%)
2.3-ply13/6eq: -0.453 (-0.361)
Player:
Opponent:		42.54% (G:1.14% B:0.02%)
57.46% (G:7.82% B:0.08%)
3.3-ply7/6 7/1eq: -0.530 (-0.438)
Player:
Opponent:		39.62% (G:0.74% B:0.01%)
60.38% (G:6.08% B:0.03%)
4.3-ply7/1 5/4eq: -0.607 (-0.515)
Player:
Opponent:		38.32% (G:0.53% B:0.01%)
61.68% (G:6.80% B:0.03%)
5.3-ply13/7 2/1eq: -0.629 (-0.537)
Player:
Opponent:		39.94% (G:1.15% B:0.02%)
60.06% (G:10.12% B:0.10%)
 
 51: 7/2 6/5 
Pip=68-76
1.xgXG Roller++22/17 6/5eq: -0.004
Player:
Opponent:		40.49% (G:0.53% B:0.01%)
59.51% (G:0.14% B:0.00%)
2.playedXG Roller++7/2 6/5eq: -0.047 (-0.043)
Player:
Opponent:		40.34% (G:0.60% B:0.01%)
59.66% (G:0.16% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++22/17 7/6eq: -0.070 (-0.065)
Player:
Opponent:		38.38% (G:0.31% B:0.00%)
61.62% (G:0.18% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++22/17 4/3eq: -0.103 (-0.099)
Player:
Opponent:		37.17% (G:0.39% B:0.00%)
62.83% (G:0.31% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++22/16eq: -0.111 (-0.107)
Player:
Opponent:		36.77% (G:0.29% B:0.00%)
63.23% (G:0.34% B:0.00%)

Τα επιχειρήματα υπέρ του 22/17 είναι τα εξής:
α) Δεν καίει πούλι, οπότε δεν βλάπτει την κούρσα.
β) Αυτό το αστείο τρίπορτο μπροστά στο πούλι μπορεί να αποδειχτεί πιο ενοχλητικό απ' όσο φαίνεται για την κούρσα (33, 43, 44 κλπ.).
γ) Το 22/17 έχει και τα τυχερά του αν ο αντίπαλος δεν μπορέσει να τρέξει (11, 21, 31) και
δ) το κυριότερο, αποφεύγει αρκετές ζαριές που κάνουν πόρτα πάνω του ή χτυπάνε en passant (11, 44, 33, 42, 22, 21).
Αξίζουν όλα τα παραπάνω τις 15 βολές που αφήνει το 22/17; Ναι, όταν η κούρσα είναι τόσο κοντά.

Τέλος, ο άσος είναι ξεκάθαρος 6/5, λόγω του ότι από το 17 ελέγχουμε καλύτερα, ενώ οι  βολές που δίνουμε είναι όσες και από το 16.
 
 65: 13/2 
Pip=68-70
1.played3-ply13/2eq: +0.070
Player:
Opponent:		61.37% (G:0.07% B:0.00%)
38.63% (G:0.09% B:0.00%)
2.3-ply13/8 7/1eq: -0.327 (-0.397)
Player:
Opponent:		42.27% (G:0.12% B:0.00%)
57.73% (G:2.24% B:0.02%)
3.3-ply7/2 7/1eq: -0.618 (-0.688)
Player:
Opponent:		39.86% (G:0.08% B:0.00%)
60.14% (G:9.26% B:0.21%)
4.2-ply13/7 6/1eq: -0.736 (-0.806)
Player:
Opponent:		34.52% (G:0.02% B:0.00%)
65.48% (G:4.65% B:0.03%)
5.2-ply7/1 6/1eq: -1.000 (-1.070)
Player:
Opponent:		31.66% (G:0.07% B:0.00%)
68.34% (G:12.29% B:0.15%)
 
 66: 22/4 6/Off 
Pip=57-70
1.played3-ply22/4 6/Offeq: +0.969
Player:
Opponent:		84.98% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
15.02% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 44: 7/3(3) 4/Off 
Pip=57-46
1.playedXG Roller++7/3(3) 4/Offeq: -0.598
Player:
Opponent:		35.38% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
64.62% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++7/3(3) 6/2eq: -0.841 (-0.243)
Player:
Opponent:		29.17% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
70.83% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++7/3(2) 6/2(2)eq: -1.000 (-0.402)
Player:
Opponent:		25.11% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
74.89% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 No double 
Pip=41-46
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No redouble Redouble/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 64.64% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 64.65% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 35.36% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 35.35% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.293 +0.678
Cubeful Equities
played No redouble:+0.597
     Redouble/Take:+0.570 (-0.027)
     Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.403)
 
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 6.0%

Σ' αυτές τις θέσεις ο υπολοιπόμενος στο σκορ πρέπει να προσέξει πολύ να μην χάσει το market. Θέλει οπωσδήποτε να παίξει με πλεονέκτημα για 4 πόντους, επειδή αυτό είναι μια μεγάλη ευκαιρία για να κλείσει την ψαλίδα του σκορ.
Εδώ ο Γρούτσος φαίνεται να είναι 5 pips πίσω, αλλά ο Αυδής έχει αρκετά καμένα και μία τρύπα στο 5.
Η μέθοδος που χρησιμοποιώ (Isight) δίνει 62,6%, οπότε No Double / Take. Πάντως δεν πρέπει να είναι μακριά.


 
 64: 6/Off 4/Off 
Pip=41-46
1.played4-ply6/Off 4/Offeq: +0.800
Player:
Opponent:		70.04% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
29.96% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply6/Off 5/1eq: +0.379 (-0.421)
Player:
Opponent:		56.33% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
43.67% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.3-ply6/2 5/Offeq: +0.315 (-0.485)
Player:
Opponent:		54.99% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
45.01% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 42: 4/Off 2/Off 
Pip=41-36
1.played4-ply4/Off 2/Offeq: -0.977
Player:
Opponent:		26.08% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
73.92% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply6/Offeq: -1.000 (-0.023)
Player:
Opponent:		20.76% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
79.24% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply4/Off 3/1eq: -1.000 (-0.023)
Player:
Opponent:		16.41% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
83.59% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.4-ply4/2 4/Offeq: -1.000 (-0.023)
Player:
Opponent:		14.88% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
85.12% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.4-ply6/4 6/2eq: -1.000 (-0.023)
Player:
Opponent:		17.65% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
82.35% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 No double 
Pip=35-36
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No redouble Redouble/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 73.91% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 73.91% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 26.09% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 26.09% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.478 +1.055
Cubeful Equities
played No redouble:+0.821 (-0.163)
xg Redouble/Take:+0.984
     Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.016)
 
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take

Isight: 67,7%
Κανονικά αυτό δεν θα αρκούσε για Redouble, αλλά το σκορ φωνάζει βίδο εδώ.
 
 22: 4/Off 2/Off(2) 
Pip=35-36
1.played4-ply4/Off 2/Off(2)eq: +0.914
Player:
Opponent:		80.86% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
19.14% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply5/3 2/Off(3)eq: +0.903 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:		78.39% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
21.61% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply5/3 4/Off 2/Offeq: +0.892 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:		76.71% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
23.29% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.4-ply3/1 2/Off(3)eq: +0.882 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:		76.05% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
23.95% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.4-ply4/Off(2)eq: +0.872 (-0.042)
Player:
Opponent:		75.29% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
24.71% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 33: 6/Off 3/Off(2) 
Pip=35-28
1.played4-ply6/Off 3/Off(2)eq: -0.566
Player:
Opponent:		36.45% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
63.55% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply6/Off(2)eq: -0.664 (-0.098)
Player:
Opponent:		33.30% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
66.70% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply6/3 6/Off 4/1eq: -1.000 (-0.434)
Player:
Opponent:		13.03% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
86.97% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.3-ply4/1 3/Off(3)eq: -1.000 (-0.434)
Player:
Opponent:		25.01% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
74.99% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.3-ply6/Off 4/1 3/Offeq: -1.000 (-0.434)
Player:
Opponent:		22.41% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
77.59% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 No double 
Pip=23-28
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No redouble Redouble/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 63.55% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 63.55% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 36.45% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 36.45% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.271 +0.634
Cubeful Equities
played No redouble:+0.597
     Redouble/Take:+0.565 (-0.032)
     Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.403)
 
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 6.9%

Isight: 64,7%
Κανονικά No Redouble, αλλά εδώ, λόγω σκορ, είναι οριακό.
 
 62: 5/Off 2/Off 
Pip=23-28
1.played4-ply5/Off 2/Offeq: +0.570
Player:
Opponent:		61.99% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
38.01% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply5/Off 4/2eq: +0.468 (-0.102)
Player:
Opponent:		59.04% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
40.96% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply5/3 5/Offeq: +0.306 (-0.263)
Player:
Opponent:		54.08% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
45.92% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.4-ply5/Off 3/1eq: +0.260 (-0.310)
Player:
Opponent:		52.14% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
47.86% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 32: 3/Off 2/Off 
Pip=23-21
1.played4-ply3/Off 2/Offeq: -0.800
Player:
Opponent:		30.28% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
69.72% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply6/3 2/Offeq: -0.888 (-0.088)
Player:
Opponent:		28.20% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
71.80% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply6/4 3/Offeq: -1.000 (-0.200)
Player:
Opponent:		23.22% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
76.78% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.4-ply4/1 2/Offeq: -1.000 (-0.200)
Player:
Opponent:		17.47% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
82.53% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.4-ply4/2 3/Offeq: -1.000 (-0.200)
Player:
Opponent:		17.09% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
82.91% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 No double 
Pip=18-21
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No redouble Redouble/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 69.72% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 69.72% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 30.28% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 30.28% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.394 +0.885
Cubeful Equities
played No redouble:+0.731 (-0.102)
xg Redouble/Take:+0.833
     Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.167)
 
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take

Isight: 69%

Redouble / Take, λόγω σκορ.


 
 41: 4/Off 1/Off 
Pip=18-21
1.played4-ply4/Off 1/Offeq: +0.698
Player:
Opponent:		65.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
35.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply4/Off 3/2eq: +0.496 (-0.202)
Player:
Opponent:		59.67% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
40.33% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply5/1 3/2eq: -0.399 (-1.098)
Player:
Opponent:		25.81% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
74.19% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.3-ply5/Offeq: +0.060 (-0.638)
Player:
Opponent:		46.57% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
53.43% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.2-ply4/3 4/Offeq: -0.031 (-0.730)
Player:
Opponent:		41.33% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
58.67% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 51: 6/Off 
Pip=18-16
1.played4-ply6/Offeq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		25.55% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
74.45% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply6/1 2/1eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		7.60% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
92.40% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply6/1 4/3eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		7.51% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
92.49% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 No double 
Pip=12-16
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No redouble Redouble/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 74.45% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 74.45% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 25.55% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 25.55% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.489 +1.077
Cubeful Equities
played No redouble:+0.737 (-0.263)
     Redouble/Take:+1.061 (+0.061)
xg Redouble/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass

Isight: 73%

Εδώ το Redouble παραείναι σαφές. Το πούλι που έσπασε ο Αυδής στην τελευταία ζαριά στην ουσία του δίνει πάσο λόγω σκορ.
Δεν ξέρω τι φοβήθηκε ο Χρίστος και άφησε τη μεγάλη ευκαιρία να πετάξει, αλλά εδώ δεν χωράει ούτε σκέψη για προσαρμογή λόγω διαφοράς δυναμικότητας.


 
 55: 5/Off 4/Off 3/Off(2) 
Pip=12-16
1.played3-ply5/Off 4/Off 3/Off(2)eq: +1.000
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 21: 2/Off 1/Off 
Pip=12-1
1.played4-ply2/Off 1/Offeq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply4/3 2/Offeq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply4/2 1/Offeq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.4-ply2/1 2/Offeq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.4-ply4/1eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 21: 1/Off 
Pip=9-1
1.played3-ply1/Offeq: +1.000
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 Wins a Single Game 2pts. 

Game Summary:

Avdis  Category Groutsos 
Expert (-0.0116) Total Error Intermediate (-0.0269)
World Champ. (-0.0029) Checker Play World Class (-0.0056)
Distracted (-0.1683) Cube Play Distracted (-0.0754)
5.81 Performance Rating 13.43
0 Move Errors 2
-0.052(-0.43%) Equity lost (cost) -0.090(-0.73%)
     
1(1) Double Errors 3(3)
-0.168(-0.69%) Equity lost (cost) -0.528(-4.32%)
     
0 Take Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
1(1) Total Error 5(3)
-0.221(-1.11%) Equity lost (cost) -0.618(-5.05%)
     
3 Jokers 2
-1.196(-12.11%) Luck +1.196(+12.11%)

 Game 6

15 point match, Score is Avdis: 6, Groutsos: 3

 
 32: 24/21 13/11 
Pip=167-167
1.playedBook124/21 13/11eq: +0.090
Player:
Opponent:		50.23% (G:13.52% B:0.59%)
49.77% (G:12.84% B:0.56%)
2.Book113/11 13/10eq: +0.077 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:		49.75% (G:14.57% B:0.63%)
50.25% (G:13.78% B:0.74%)
3.Book124/22 13/10eq: +0.076 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:		49.78% (G:13.39% B:0.54%)
50.22% (G:12.92% B:0.50%)
4.XG Roller++13/11 8/5eq: +0.034 (-0.056)
Player:
Opponent:		48.95% (G:13.79% B:0.58%)
51.05% (G:14.32% B:0.85%)
5.Book124/22 24/21eq: +0.030 (-0.060)
Player:
Opponent:		49.23% (G:11.77% B:0.51%)
50.77% (G:12.99% B:0.45%)
 
1 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++
 
 52: 13/8 6/4*  
Pip=167-162
1.playedXG Roller++13/8 6/4* eq: -0.186
Player:
Opponent:		47.42% (G:12.67% B:0.54%)
52.58% (G:14.72% B:0.80%)
2.XG Roller++24/22 13/8eq: -0.235 (-0.049)
Player:
Opponent:		46.17% (G:10.94% B:0.39%)
53.83% (G:14.63% B:0.50%)
3.XG Roller++13/11 13/8eq: -0.279 (-0.093)
Player:
Opponent:		45.18% (G:11.31% B:0.42%)
54.82% (G:15.13% B:0.75%)
4.XG Roller++24/22 6/1* eq: -0.290 (-0.103)
Player:
Opponent:		44.73% (G:10.91% B:0.33%)
55.27% (G:14.71% B:0.65%)
5.XG Roller++6/4* 6/1* eq: -0.312 (-0.126)
Player:
Opponent:		44.81% (G:11.90% B:0.40%)
55.19% (G:16.73% B:1.01%)
 
 21: Bar/23 6/5 
Pip=160-166
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/23 6/5eq: -0.029
Player:
Opponent:		48.22% (G:12.59% B:0.53%)
51.78% (G:16.60% B:0.93%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/24 13/11eq: -0.081 (-0.052)
Player:
Opponent:		46.58% (G:12.21% B:0.49%)
53.42% (G:16.05% B:0.83%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/23 11/10eq: -0.101 (-0.072)
Player:
Opponent:		45.99% (G:11.93% B:0.47%)
54.01% (G:15.86% B:0.70%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/24 11/9eq: -0.127 (-0.098)
Player:
Opponent:		45.29% (G:12.08% B:0.47%)
54.71% (G:16.24% B:0.93%)
5.XG Roller++Bar/22eq: -0.127 (-0.098)
Player:
Opponent:		45.59% (G:11.15% B:0.44%)
54.41% (G:16.01% B:0.72%)

Ωραίο παίξιμο, από αυτά που σχεδόν όλοι κάνουμε λάθος.
 
 31: 8/5 6/5 
Pip=160-163
1.xgXG Roller++24/20* eq: -0.021
Player:
Opponent:		50.83% (G:14.35% B:0.70%)
49.17% (G:12.43% B:0.57%)
2.playedXG Roller++8/5 6/5eq: -0.102 (-0.081)
Player:
Opponent:		49.31% (G:15.20% B:0.77%)
50.69% (G:15.07% B:0.83%)
3.XG Roller++8/4eq: -0.110 (-0.089)
Player:
Opponent:		48.93% (G:15.45% B:0.72%)
51.07% (G:15.17% B:0.70%)
4.4-ply6/3 4/3eq: -0.262 (-0.242)
Player:
Opponent:		45.33% (G:13.07% B:0.59%)
54.67% (G:16.59% B:0.78%)
5.3-ply24/23 4/1* eq: -0.356 (-0.335)
Player:
Opponent:		43.04% (G:11.16% B:0.38%)
56.96% (G:16.37% B:0.77%)

Πολύ δύσκολο. Το μόνο που μπορώ να σκεφτώ είναι η αρχή ότι στο ξεκίνημα της παρτίδας, όταν τα στρατόπεδα είναι ακόμα αδύναμα, μπορούμε να ρισκάρουμε περισσότερο.
Αν δεν χτυπήσει, αφήνει έτσι κι αλλιώς 13 ζαριές που χτυπάνε και κλείνουν την 5.
 
 53: 13/5 
Pip=156-163
1.playedXG Roller++13/5eq: -0.078
Player:
Opponent:		46.31% (G:13.97% B:0.65%)
53.69% (G:17.60% B:0.85%)
2.XG Roller++24/21* 21/16eq: -0.113 (-0.035)
Player:
Opponent:		46.65% (G:11.47% B:0.58%)
53.35% (G:17.75% B:1.09%)
3.XG Roller++24/21* 13/8eq: -0.141 (-0.063)
Player:
Opponent:		45.09% (G:12.36% B:0.66%)
54.91% (G:17.19% B:1.03%)
4.XG Roller++23/18 8/5eq: -0.160 (-0.082)
Player:
Opponent:		45.45% (G:11.87% B:0.59%)
54.55% (G:19.25% B:0.92%)
5.XG Roller++24/21* 11/6eq: -0.196 (-0.118)
Player:
Opponent:		43.57% (G:11.20% B:0.58%)
56.43% (G:16.44% B:0.77%)
 
 51: 8/3 4/3 
Pip=156-155
1.played4-ply8/3 4/3eq: -0.087
Player:
Opponent:		49.16% (G:16.52% B:0.70%)
50.84% (G:15.31% B:0.83%)
2.4-ply13/8 4/3eq: -0.367 (-0.280)
Player:
Opponent:		43.18% (G:12.32% B:0.50%)
56.82% (G:18.08% B:1.25%)
3.4-ply24/23 13/8eq: -0.399 (-0.312)
Player:
Opponent:		43.37% (G:11.71% B:0.55%)
56.63% (G:20.38% B:1.21%)
4.3-ply13/8 6/5eq: -0.410 (-0.322)
Player:
Opponent:		42.45% (G:11.82% B:0.55%)
57.55% (G:18.55% B:1.29%)
5.3-ply8/2* eq: -0.452 (-0.365)
Player:
Opponent:		42.77% (G:12.54% B:0.61%)
57.23% (G:21.03% B:2.02%)
 
 61: 13/7 8/7 
Pip=150-155
1.played4-ply13/7 8/7eq: +0.185
Player:
Opponent:		53.36% (G:16.32% B:0.91%)
46.64% (G:16.92% B:0.87%)
2.4-ply24/23 11/5eq: -0.071 (-0.256)
Player:
Opponent:		45.23% (G:14.49% B:0.48%)
54.77% (G:14.35% B:0.62%)
3.4-ply11/5 6/5eq: -0.084 (-0.268)
Player:
Opponent:		46.49% (G:14.15% B:0.74%)
53.51% (G:19.04% B:0.70%)
4.3-ply24/18 6/5eq: -0.177 (-0.362)
Player:
Opponent:		45.82% (G:12.93% B:0.78%)
54.18% (G:23.51% B:1.09%)
5.3-ply13/6eq: -0.195 (-0.380)
Player:
Opponent:		43.93% (G:13.33% B:0.73%)
56.07% (G:20.83% B:1.06%)
 
 43: 24/21 6/2*  
Pip=150-148
1.playedXG Roller++24/21 6/2* eq: -0.212
Player:
Opponent:		46.37% (G:15.49% B:0.82%)
53.63% (G:16.95% B:0.95%)
2.XG Roller++24/21 13/9eq: -0.266 (-0.054)
Player:
Opponent:		45.22% (G:15.74% B:0.88%)
54.78% (G:17.99% B:1.02%)
3.4-ply13/6eq: -0.379 (-0.167)
Player:
Opponent:		41.77% (G:14.76% B:0.66%)
58.23% (G:17.45% B:0.97%)
4.4-ply13/10 6/2* eq: -0.419 (-0.206)
Player:
Opponent:		41.70% (G:15.08% B:0.85%)
58.30% (G:19.67% B:1.57%)
5.4-ply13/10 13/9eq: -0.462 (-0.249)
Player:
Opponent:		40.72% (G:13.60% B:0.68%)
59.28% (G:18.81% B:1.33%)

Πολύ σωστό χτύπημα από τον Αυδή.
Μετά το κλείσιμο του αντίπαλου bar, το 24/21 είναι θεματικό. Για το τεσσάρι, το 13/9 θα άφηνε όλη τη ζαριά στον Γρούτσο για να επιτεθεί. Ο σκοπός του χτυπήματος είναι να προστατέψει το πούλι στο 21 ώστε να φτιαχτεί η anchor.


 
 No double 
Pip=143-150
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 53.42% (G:17.01% B:0.97%) 53.42% (G:17.12% B:0.95%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 46.58% (G:16.02% B:0.85%) 46.58% (G:15.93% B:0.84%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.080 +0.208
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.207
     Double/Take:+0.019 (-0.188)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.793)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 16.1%
 
 63: Cannot Move 
Pip=143-150
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -0.248
Player:
Opponent:		44.27% (G:11.76% B:0.62%)
55.73% (G:23.67% B:1.30%)
 
 62: 13/11 8/2 
Pip=143-150
1.xgXG Roller++24/22 8/2eq: +0.355
Player:
Opponent:		57.69% (G:25.46% B:1.43%)
42.31% (G:11.64% B:0.57%)
2.playedXG Roller++13/11 8/2eq: +0.301 (-0.053)
Player:
Opponent:		56.28% (G:25.75% B:1.53%)
43.72% (G:11.97% B:0.70%)
3.XG Roller++8/6 8/2eq: +0.291 (-0.064)
Player:
Opponent:		56.14% (G:25.67% B:1.38%)
43.86% (G:11.41% B:0.54%)
4.3-ply24/16eq: +0.011 (-0.343)
Player:
Opponent:		52.65% (G:17.66% B:1.18%)
47.35% (G:16.62% B:0.95%)
5.3-ply13/5eq: -0.102 (-0.457)
Player:
Opponent:		48.21% (G:18.58% B:0.97%)
51.79% (G:15.37% B:0.95%)

Και πάλι το κλειστό αντίπαλο bar είναι αποφασιστικής σημασίας. Το πούλι στο 24 πρέπει να ανέβεί τώρα που ο αντίπαλος είναι χτυμηπένος, είτε για να μπορέσει να δραπετεύσει, είτε για να αποτελέσει βάση για anchor.


 
 51: Bar/24 11/6 
Pip=135-150
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/24 11/6eq: -0.266
Player:
Opponent:		42.70% (G:11.62% B:0.61%)
57.30% (G:20.45% B:1.33%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/24 6/1* eq: -0.345 (-0.079)
Player:
Opponent:		41.11% (G:12.32% B:0.61%)
58.89% (G:22.96% B:2.13%)
3.4-plyBar/24 13/8eq: -0.426 (-0.160)
Player:
Opponent:		39.51% (G:9.80% B:0.61%)
60.49% (G:22.89% B:2.31%)
4.3-plyBar/24 8/3eq: -0.832 (-0.566)
Player:
Opponent:		33.65% (G:7.34% B:0.36%)
66.35% (G:32.30% B:5.07%)
5.2-plyBar/24 7/2eq: -1.000 (-0.734)
Player:
Opponent:		30.12% (G:6.23% B:0.37%)
69.88% (G:37.76% B:6.69%)
 
 53: 24/21 13/8 
Pip=135-144
1.playedXG Roller++24/21 13/8eq: +0.522
Player:
Opponent:		62.81% (G:21.93% B:0.89%)
37.19% (G:7.48% B:0.29%)
2.XG Roller++24/21 11/6eq: +0.451 (-0.071)
Player:
Opponent:		61.10% (G:21.19% B:0.85%)
38.90% (G:7.90% B:0.29%)
3.4-ply24/21 8/3eq: +0.330 (-0.192)
Player:
Opponent:		58.73% (G:17.70% B:0.72%)
41.27% (G:8.11% B:0.27%)
4.3-ply21/16 11/8eq: +0.134 (-0.389)
Player:
Opponent:		54.75% (G:18.51% B:1.35%)
45.25% (G:13.02% B:0.57%)
5.3-ply21/13eq: +0.109 (-0.414)
Player:
Opponent:		54.32% (G:17.20% B:1.12%)
45.68% (G:12.83% B:0.53%)
 
 63: 8/5 8/2 
Pip=127-144
1.xgXG Roller++24/15eq: -0.669
Player:
Opponent:		35.22% (G:7.01% B:0.32%)
64.78% (G:29.62% B:0.90%)
2.XG Roller++13/7 6/3eq: -0.805 (-0.136)
Player:
Opponent:		30.42% (G:5.88% B:0.26%)
69.58% (G:20.71% B:1.54%)
3.playedXG Roller++8/5 8/2eq: -0.824 (-0.155)
Player:
Opponent:		29.19% (G:5.93% B:0.18%)
70.81% (G:19.87% B:1.02%)
4.4-ply24/18 6/3eq: -0.822 (-0.153)
Player:
Opponent:		33.71% (G:7.56% B:0.38%)
66.29% (G:35.60% B:1.05%)
5.4-ply24/21 24/18eq: -0.847 (-0.178)
Player:
Opponent:		33.38% (G:6.65% B:0.35%)
66.62% (G:34.41% B:0.77%)

Ναι, το 24/15 φαίνεται πολύ επικίνδυνο, αλλά το ξήλωμα του prime είναι ακόμα χειρότερο, αφού αποκόπτει ακόμα περισσότερο τα πούλια του βλάπτοντας τη συνεκτικότητα της θέσης του (connectivity). Επίσης βάζει πρόωρα πούλι στο 2.
Ο Γρούτσος πρέπει να βγει στο outfield και να ελπίσει ότι θα τη γλιτώσει. Το να μείνει μέσα είναι αργός θάνατος.
Μετά από 24/15 ο Αυδής θα είχε οριακό βίδο (για 0,037) και φυσικά θα ήταν πολύ εύκολο take (0,305).
Μετά από 8/5 8/2 το take εξακολουθεί να είναι άνετο (0,177) αλλά η διαφορά είναι αισθητή.
 
 No double 
Pip=127-135
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 70.75% (G:20.01% B:1.05%) 70.72% (G:20.58% B:1.16%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 29.25% (G:5.90% B:0.19%) 29.28% (G:5.94% B:0.19%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.568 +1.136
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.780 (-0.043)
xg Double/Take:+0.823
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.177)
 
Best Cube action: Double / Take

Βίδος εδώ. Δεν ξέρω αν ο Αυδής σκεφτόταν ότι το take είναι εύκολο. Καμιά φορά αυτό μας μπερδεύει. Εύκολο take δεν σημαίνει πάντα ότι ο βίδος δεν είναι επίσης σωστός. Εδώ, με  οποιαδήποτε βελτίωση της θέσης, θα γίνει πάσο, οπότε τώρα είναι η στιγμή.


 
 55: 21/11(2) 
Pip=127-135
1.playedXG Roller++21/11(2)eq: +0.970
Player:
Opponent:		78.66% (G:12.11% B:0.55%)
21.34% (G:2.21% B:0.05%)
2.XG Roller++21/16(2) 13/8(2)eq: +0.906 (-0.064)
Player:
Opponent:		73.87% (G:15.58% B:0.70%)
26.13% (G:4.04% B:0.10%)
3.XG Roller++21/16(2) 13/8 11/6eq: +0.899 (-0.071)
Player:
Opponent:		73.46% (G:17.80% B:1.12%)
26.54% (G:4.38% B:0.11%)
4.XG Roller++21/16 21/6eq: +0.870 (-0.100)
Player:
Opponent:		74.53% (G:16.58% B:1.12%)
25.47% (G:4.70% B:0.14%)
5.4-ply21/16(2) 11/6 8/3eq: +0.790 (-0.180)
Player:
Opponent:		71.01% (G:17.38% B:0.81%)
28.99% (G:5.75% B:0.16%)
 
 51: 7/2 5/4 
Pip=107-135
1.XG Roller++7/2 6/5eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		20.35% (G:1.96% B:0.05%)
79.65% (G:11.58% B:0.48%)
2.playedXG Roller++7/2 5/4eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		20.19% (G:2.08% B:0.05%)
79.81% (G:12.30% B:0.61%)
3.XG Roller++6/1 2/1eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		19.22% (G:1.81% B:0.03%)
80.78% (G:11.62% B:0.45%)
4.XG Roller++7/6 7/2eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		18.87% (G:1.67% B:0.04%)
81.13% (G:12.21% B:0.52%)
5.XG Roller++6/1 5/4eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		18.26% (G:1.57% B:0.04%)
81.74% (G:12.16% B:0.58%)
 
 Double/Pass 
Pip=107-129
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 79.87% (G:12.50% B:0.63%) 79.76% (G:13.67% B:0.80%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 20.13% (G:2.11% B:0.08%) 20.24% (G:2.37% B:0.07%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.709 +1.439
Cubeful Equities
     No double:+0.968 (-0.032)
     Double/Take:+1.248 (+0.248)
played Double/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Double / Pass

Χαρακτηριστικό του πόσο καλή ήταν ήδη η θέση είναι ότι με τον τζόκερ των 55, κόντεψε να γίνει too good.
 
 Wins 1pt. 

Game Summary:

Avdis  Category Groutsos 
Advanced (-0.0198) Total Error Advanced (-0.0172)
Advanced (-0.0193) Checker Play Advanced (-0.0221)
Advanced (-0.0215) Cube Play World Champ. (+0.0000)
9.88 Performance Rating 8.59
2(1) Move Errors 1(1)
-0.135(-0.63%) Equity lost (cost) -0.155(-0.72%)
     
1 Double Errors 0
-0.043(-0.20%) Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Take Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
3(1) Total Error 1(1)
-0.178(-0.83%) Equity lost (cost) -0.155(-0.72%)
     
1 Jokers 0
+1.098(+5.13%) Luck -1.098(-5.13%)

 Game 7

15 point match, Score is Avdis: 7, Groutsos: 3

 
 64: 24/18 13/9 
Pip=167-167
1.xgBook18/2 6/2eq: +0.100
Player:
Opponent:		49.83% (G:15.10% B:0.75%)
50.17% (G:13.73% B:0.61%)
2.playedBook124/18 13/9eq: +0.088 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:		50.41% (G:13.15% B:0.59%)
49.59% (G:13.36% B:0.58%)
3.Book124/14eq: +0.074 (-0.026)
Player:
Opponent:		50.43% (G:11.83% B:0.51%)
49.57% (G:12.73% B:0.46%)
4.Book124/20 13/7eq: +0.015 (-0.085)
Player:
Opponent:		48.31% (G:13.08% B:0.57%)
51.69% (G:14.03% B:0.63%)
5.Book113/9 13/7eq: +0.007 (-0.093)
Player:
Opponent:		47.86% (G:13.88% B:0.67%)
52.14% (G:14.68% B:0.92%)
 
1 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++
 
 53: 24/16*  
Pip=167-157
1.played4-ply24/16* eq: +0.024
Player:
Opponent:		52.50% (G:12.68% B:0.50%)
47.50% (G:11.60% B:0.44%)
2.4-ply24/21 6/1* eq: -0.252 (-0.276)
Player:
Opponent:		45.48% (G:11.77% B:0.39%)
54.52% (G:14.46% B:0.70%)
3.4-ply8/3 6/3eq: -0.270 (-0.295)
Player:
Opponent:		44.65% (G:11.66% B:0.38%)
55.35% (G:14.28% B:0.71%)
4.3-ply24/21 13/8eq: -0.295 (-0.320)
Player:
Opponent:		44.37% (G:10.05% B:0.35%)
55.63% (G:14.08% B:0.54%)
5.3-ply13/5eq: -0.316 (-0.340)
Player:
Opponent:		43.81% (G:10.74% B:0.38%)
56.19% (G:14.54% B:0.74%)
 
 64: Bar/21 24/18 
Pip=159-173
1.played4-plyBar/21 24/18eq: +0.017
Player:
Opponent:		48.47% (G:10.45% B:0.31%)
51.53% (G:9.92% B:0.29%)
2.4-plyBar/21 13/7eq: -0.220 (-0.238)
Player:
Opponent:		43.07% (G:11.11% B:0.49%)
56.93% (G:17.60% B:1.13%)
3.4-plyBar/15eq: -0.236 (-0.253)
Player:
Opponent:		42.88% (G:9.90% B:0.41%)
57.12% (G:16.69% B:0.80%)
4.3-plyBar/21 8/2eq: -0.333 (-0.350)
Player:
Opponent:		40.77% (G:9.94% B:0.42%)
59.23% (G:19.69% B:1.20%)
 
 33: 24/21 16/10 13/10 
Pip=159-163
1.xgXG Roller++16/10 13/10(2)eq: +0.197
Player:
Opponent:		56.59% (G:10.89% B:0.34%)
43.41% (G:7.82% B:0.23%)
2.XG Roller++13/10(2) 6/3(2)eq: +0.197 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		56.40% (G:12.56% B:0.39%)
43.60% (G:8.71% B:0.29%)
3.playedXG Roller++24/21 16/10 13/10eq: +0.173 (-0.024)
Player:
Opponent:		56.28% (G:10.68% B:0.35%)
43.72% (G:8.40% B:0.24%)
4.XG Roller++16/10 13/10 6/3eq: +0.166 (-0.031)
Player:
Opponent:		55.85% (G:11.54% B:0.36%)
44.15% (G:8.70% B:0.26%)
5.XG Roller++24/21 13/10(3)eq: +0.101 (-0.097)
Player:
Opponent:		54.29% (G:11.18% B:0.38%)
45.71% (G:9.25% B:0.30%)

Όχι πως είναι κανένα μεγάλο λάθος, αλλά γενικά το ανέβασμα στο 21 δεν είναι καλή ιδέα όταν δεν υπάρχει κάποιο απειλητικό prime ή ένα δεύτερο πούλι πίσω με το οποίο θα μπορούσε να γίνει πόρτα.
 
 55: 21/11 18/13(2) 
Pip=147-163
1.xgXG Roller++21/6 13/8eq: +0.007
Player:
Opponent:		48.72% (G:4.42% B:0.08%)
51.28% (G:3.32% B:0.12%)
2.XG Roller++21/11 13/3eq: -0.006 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:		47.78% (G:6.79% B:0.12%)
52.22% (G:5.24% B:0.19%)
3.XG Roller++21/16 13/3 8/3eq: -0.010 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:		47.36% (G:9.45% B:0.21%)
52.64% (G:7.91% B:0.30%)
4.playedXG Roller++21/11 18/13(2)eq: -0.021 (-0.028)
Player:
Opponent:		48.66% (G:2.86% B:0.05%)
51.34% (G:2.97% B:0.06%)
5.XG Roller++21/6 8/3eq: -0.022 (-0.029)
Player:
Opponent:		47.80% (G:5.10% B:0.08%)
52.20% (G:4.19% B:0.15%)

Το πρόβλημα με το 18/13(2) είναι ότι φορτώνει άσχημα τη midpoint. Επίσης η κούρσα είναι ακριβώς ίση (4 pips μπροστά αλλά η ζαριά στον αντίπαλο).
Ένας επιπλεόν λόγος για τον Γρούτσο εδώ να κρατήσει την επαφή θα ήταν να ποντάρει στη διαφορά δυναμικότητας: 'Όσο περισσότερο επαφή υπάρχει, τόσο περισσότερο μετράει.
 
 44: 13/5(2) 
Pip=147-143
1.playedXG Roller++13/5(2)eq: +0.171
Player:
Opponent:		55.78% (G:4.82% B:0.09%)
44.22% (G:2.99% B:0.06%)
2.XG Roller++8/4(2) 6/2(2)eq: +0.158 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:		55.67% (G:3.72% B:0.05%)
44.33% (G:2.93% B:0.07%)
3.XG Roller++13/9(2) 8/4(2)eq: +0.147 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:		55.07% (G:5.32% B:0.13%)
44.93% (G:3.46% B:0.08%)
4.XG Roller++13/5 8/4(2)eq: +0.142 (-0.030)
Player:
Opponent:		54.65% (G:6.98% B:0.15%)
45.35% (G:3.96% B:0.11%)
5.XG Roller++13/9(2) 6/2(2)eq: +0.140 (-0.031)
Player:
Opponent:		55.16% (G:4.66% B:0.09%)
44.84% (G:3.61% B:0.08%)
 
 41: 11/7 8/7 
Pip=131-143
1.playedXG Roller++11/7 8/7eq: -0.345
Player:
Opponent:		38.31% (G:1.76% B:0.03%)
61.69% (G:2.33% B:0.04%)
2.XG Roller++11/6eq: -0.429 (-0.084)
Player:
Opponent:		36.20% (G:1.68% B:0.03%)
63.80% (G:4.11% B:0.07%)
3.XG Roller++13/8eq: -0.484 (-0.139)
Player:
Opponent:		34.75% (G:1.95% B:0.04%)
65.25% (G:6.01% B:0.10%)
4.XG Roller++11/10 8/4* eq: -0.490 (-0.145)
Player:
Opponent:		37.69% (G:3.97% B:0.10%)
62.31% (G:17.50% B:0.41%)
5.4-ply8/3eq: -0.516 (-0.171)
Player:
Opponent:		33.86% (G:1.95% B:0.03%)
66.14% (G:6.57% B:0.11%)
 
 41: 21/16 
Pip=131-138
1.playedXG Roller++21/16eq: +0.107
Player:
Opponent:		54.27% (G:1.50% B:0.03%)
45.73% (G:2.06% B:0.03%)
2.XG Roller++8/4 6/5eq: +0.105 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		54.06% (G:3.59% B:0.07%)
45.94% (G:2.83% B:0.06%)
3.XG Roller++10/5eq: +0.096 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent:		53.74% (G:3.86% B:0.07%)
46.26% (G:3.08% B:0.06%)
4.XG Roller++6/5 6/2eq: +0.080 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent:		53.27% (G:4.95% B:0.08%)
46.73% (G:3.74% B:0.08%)
5.XG Roller++10/9 8/4eq: +0.077 (-0.031)
Player:
Opponent:		53.24% (G:4.68% B:0.09%)
46.76% (G:3.42% B:0.10%)

Πολύ σωστά. Ο Αυδής, μετά το 41, είναι 12 pips μπροστά, άρα θέλει να τρέξει. Στο outfield ο Γρούτσος δεν είναι φαβορί να τον χτυπήσει. Αν το πούλι έμενε στο 21 θα ήταν  μόνο στόχος για πόρτα.
 
 52: 13/8 7/5 
Pip=126-138
1.playedXG Roller++13/8 7/5eq: -0.464
Player:
Opponent:		34.83% (G:0.10% B:0.00%)
65.17% (G:0.24% B:0.00%)
2.xgXG Roller++13/6eq: -0.464 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		34.77% (G:0.08% B:0.00%)
65.23% (G:0.13% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++13/8 6/4eq: -0.467 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		34.70% (G:0.08% B:0.00%)
65.30% (G:0.26% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++8/3 7/5eq: -0.470 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:		34.65% (G:0.10% B:0.00%)
65.35% (G:0.33% B:0.01%)
5.XG Roller++8/6 8/3eq: -0.474 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:		34.45% (G:0.07% B:0.00%)
65.55% (G:0.16% B:0.00%)
 
 No double 
Pip=126-131
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 65.10% (G:0.34% B:0.01%) 65.22% (G:0.22% B:0.00%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 34.90% (G:0.16% B:0.00%) 34.78% (G:0.11% B:0.00%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.304 +0.671
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.460
     Double/Take:+0.344 (-0.117)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.540)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 15.1%
 
 32: 16/11 
Pip=126-131
1.XG Roller++16/13 8/6eq: +0.315
Player:
Opponent:		60.39% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
39.61% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++16/13 6/4eq: +0.315 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		60.35% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
39.65% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++16/13 10/8eq: +0.315 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		60.34% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
39.66% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
4.playedXG Roller++16/11eq: +0.314 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		60.35% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
39.65% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++16/13 5/3eq: +0.314 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		60.33% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
39.67% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
 
 41: 13/9 6/5 
Pip=121-131
1.XG Roller++8/4 7/6eq: -0.485
Player:
Opponent:		34.17% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
65.83% (G:0.05% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++13/9 7/6eq: -0.486 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		34.15% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
65.85% (G:0.03% B:0.00%)
3.xgXG Roller++8/4 6/5eq: -0.487 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		34.10% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
65.90% (G:0.02% B:0.00%)
4.playedXG Roller++13/9 6/5eq: -0.487 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		34.09% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
65.91% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++8/4 5/4eq: -0.489 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		33.98% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
66.02% (G:0.02% B:0.00%)
 
 No double 
Pip=121-126
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 65.89% (G:0.01% B:0.00%) 65.86% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 34.11% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 34.14% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.318 +0.696
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.489
     Double/Take:+0.383 (-0.106)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.511)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 14.6%
 
 32: 13/11 13/10 
Pip=121-126
1.XG Roller++8/6 8/5eq: +0.320
Player:
Opponent:		60.51% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
39.49% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++11/9 8/5eq: +0.320 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		60.50% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
39.50% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++8/3eq: +0.320 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		60.50% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
39.50% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++10/5eq: +0.319 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		60.48% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
39.52% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++10/7 8/6eq: +0.319 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		60.48% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
39.52% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
6.playedXG Roller++13/11 13/10eq: +0.319 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		60.42% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
39.58% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 61: 13/6 
Pip=116-126
1.playedXG Roller++13/6eq: -0.389
Player:
Opponent:		37.11% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
62.89% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++13/12 13/7eq: -0.390 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		37.07% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
62.93% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++13/12 8/2eq: -0.393 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		36.99% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
63.01% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++8/2 7/6eq: -0.393 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		36.99% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
63.01% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++9/3 7/6eq: -0.393 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		36.97% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
63.03% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 No double 
Pip=116-119
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 62.81% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 62.83% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 37.19% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 37.17% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.256 +0.570
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.386
     Double/Take:+0.231 (-0.154)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.614)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 16.7%
 
 11: 10/9 8/7 6/4 
Pip=116-119
1.XG Roller++10/9(2) 8/7(2)eq: +0.158
Player:
Opponent:		55.39% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
44.61% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++10/9(3) 8/7eq: +0.158 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		55.39% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
44.61% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++11/9 10/9 6/5eq: +0.158 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		55.39% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
44.61% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++11/9 8/7 6/5eq: +0.158 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		55.38% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
44.62% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.xgXG Roller++11/9 10/9 8/7eq: +0.158 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		55.40% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
44.60% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
6.playedXG Roller++10/9 8/7 6/4eq: +0.158 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		55.38% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
44.62% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 32: 13/11 8/5 
Pip=112-119
1.XG Roller++13/11 7/4eq: -0.334
Player:
Opponent:		38.84% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
61.16% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.playedXG Roller++13/11 8/5eq: -0.334 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		38.82% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
61.18% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++8/6 7/4eq: -0.334 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		38.80% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
61.20% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++13/11 13/10eq: -0.335 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		38.80% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
61.20% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.xgXG Roller++8/5 7/5eq: -0.335 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		38.79% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
61.21% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 No double 
Pip=112-114
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 61.17% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 61.19% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 38.83% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 38.81% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.223 +0.502
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.337
     Double/Take:+0.148 (-0.189)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.663)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 18.1%
 
 54: 10/5 8/4 
Pip=112-114
1.playedXG Roller++10/5 8/4eq: +0.401
Player:
Opponent:		62.94% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
37.06% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++11/6 9/5eq: +0.401 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		62.94% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
37.06% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++10/6 9/4eq: +0.400 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		62.93% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
37.07% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++11/7 9/4eq: +0.400 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		62.92% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
37.08% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++11/6 8/4eq: +0.400 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		62.94% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
37.06% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 11: 13/12 8/6 5/4 
Pip=103-114
1.XG Roller++13/12(2) 7/5eq: -0.641
Player:
Opponent:		29.69% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
70.31% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++13/12(2) 11/10 6/5eq: -0.641 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		29.69% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
70.31% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++13/10 11/10eq: -0.641 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		29.69% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
70.31% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++13/12 7/4eq: -0.641 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		29.69% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
70.31% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.xgXG Roller++13/12 11/10 7/5eq: -0.641 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		29.68% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
70.32% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
6.playedXG Roller++13/12 8/6 5/4eq: -0.642 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		29.64% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
70.36% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 No double 
Pip=103-110
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 70.36% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 70.35% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 29.64% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 29.65% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.407 +0.882
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.643
     Double/Take:+0.622 (-0.021)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.357)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 5.3%

Αν ο Αυδής έπαιρνε υπόψη του τη διαφορά δυναμικότητας, θα μπορούσε να δοκιμάσει έναν βίδο εδώ: Είναι μπροστά 7 pips συν ένα crossover σε μια κατοστάρα κούρσα,  οπότε ο βίδος δεν θα μπορούσε να είναι πολύ λάθος.
 
 64: 11/5 8/4 
Pip=103-110
1.playedXG Roller++11/5 8/4eq: +0.815
Player:
Opponent:		73.87% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
26.13% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++11/5 10/6eq: +0.815 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		73.88% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
26.12% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++11/5 9/5eq: +0.814 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		73.84% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
26.16% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++10/4 9/5eq: +0.814 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		73.84% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
26.16% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++11/5 7/3eq: +0.814 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		73.84% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
26.16% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 21: 13/10 
Pip=93-110
1.XG Roller++11/10 7/5eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		18.44% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
81.56% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.playedXG Roller++13/10eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		18.44% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
81.56% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.xgXG Roller++12/10 6/5eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		18.44% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
81.56% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++12/10 7/6eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		18.44% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
81.56% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++7/5 6/5eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		18.44% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
81.56% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 Double/Pass 
Pip=93-107
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 81.57% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 81.66% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 18.43% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 18.34% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.631 +1.352
Cubeful Equities
     No double:+0.932 (-0.068)
     Double/Take:+1.197 (+0.197)
played Double/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
 
 Wins 1pt. 

Game Summary:

Avdis  Category Groutsos 
World Champ. (-0.0018) Total Error World Champ. (-0.0044)
World Champ. (-0.0031) Checker Play World Champ. (-0.0048)
World Champ. (+0.0000) Cube Play World Champ. (+0.0000)
0.92 Performance Rating 2.18
1 Move Errors 1
-0.027(-0.12%) Equity lost (cost) -0.044(-0.19%)
     
0 Double Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Take Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
1 Total Error 1
-0.027(-0.12%) Equity lost (cost) -0.044(-0.19%)
     
1 Jokers 0
+1.046(+4.66%) Luck -1.046(-4.66%)

 Game 8

15 point match, Score is Avdis: 8, Groutsos: 3

 
 51: 24/23 13/8 
Pip=167-167
1.playedBook124/23 13/8eq: +0.129
Player:
Opponent:		49.88% (G:13.05% B:0.48%)
50.12% (G:12.50% B:0.49%)
2.Book113/8 6/5eq: +0.114 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:		49.54% (G:13.18% B:0.50%)
50.46% (G:13.24% B:0.67%)
3.Book124/18eq: +0.077 (-0.052)
Player:
Opponent:		49.29% (G:11.55% B:0.46%)
50.71% (G:13.18% B:0.50%)
4.Book113/7eq: +0.050 (-0.079)
Player:
Opponent:		47.78% (G:13.41% B:0.62%)
52.22% (G:14.63% B:0.77%)
5.4-ply24/23 8/3eq: -0.052 (-0.181)
Player:
Opponent:		45.71% (G:12.10% B:0.49%)
54.29% (G:15.95% B:0.76%)
 
1 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++
 
 53: 8/3 6/3 
Pip=167-161
1.playedXG Roller++8/3 6/3eq: -0.174
Player:
Opponent:		48.87% (G:13.88% B:0.57%)
51.13% (G:14.23% B:0.63%)
2.XG Roller++24/21 13/8eq: -0.214 (-0.040)
Player:
Opponent:		48.04% (G:11.40% B:0.45%)
51.96% (G:13.74% B:0.49%)
3.XG Roller++24/16eq: -0.251 (-0.077)
Player:
Opponent:		47.84% (G:10.14% B:0.39%)
52.16% (G:14.81% B:0.50%)
4.XG Roller++13/10 13/8eq: -0.270 (-0.097)
Player:
Opponent:		46.57% (G:12.29% B:0.47%)
53.43% (G:14.56% B:0.72%)
5.XG Roller++24/21 6/1* eq: -0.299 (-0.125)
Player:
Opponent:		45.93% (G:11.38% B:0.34%)
54.07% (G:14.67% B:0.65%)
 
 No double 
Pip=159-161
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 51.27% (G:14.25% B:0.62%) 51.48% (G:14.12% B:0.62%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 48.73% (G:13.92% B:0.56%) 48.52% (G:14.03% B:0.58%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.026 +0.122
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.181
     Double/Take:+0.012 (-0.169)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.819)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 14.6%
 
 54: 23/14 
Pip=159-161
1.xgXG Roller++24/20 13/8eq: -0.025
Player:
Opponent:		46.74% (G:11.86% B:0.56%)
53.26% (G:16.40% B:0.60%)
2.playedXG Roller++23/14eq: -0.035 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:		46.94% (G:10.63% B:0.43%)
53.06% (G:15.81% B:0.61%)
3.XG Roller++13/9 13/8eq: -0.047 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent:		45.68% (G:13.10% B:0.55%)
54.32% (G:17.03% B:0.82%)
4.XG Roller++24/15eq: -0.057 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:		46.70% (G:10.82% B:0.47%)
53.30% (G:17.87% B:0.61%)
5.XG Roller++23/18 13/9eq: -0.065 (-0.039)
Player:
Opponent:		46.05% (G:12.25% B:0.63%)
53.95% (G:19.02% B:0.88%)
 
 42: 24/20 13/11*  
Pip=159-152
1.xgXG Roller++13/9 13/11* eq: +0.182
Player:
Opponent:		56.57% (G:19.95% B:1.00%)
43.43% (G:11.17% B:0.58%)
2.playedXG Roller++24/20 13/11* eq: +0.159 (-0.023)
Player:
Opponent:		56.13% (G:17.35% B:0.76%)
43.87% (G:10.00% B:0.39%)
3.XG Roller++13/11* 11/7eq: +0.055 (-0.127)
Player:
Opponent:		53.65% (G:18.13% B:0.80%)
46.35% (G:12.04% B:0.61%)
4.4-ply8/4 6/4eq: -0.057 (-0.239)
Player:
Opponent:		50.17% (G:16.73% B:0.45%)
49.83% (G:11.42% B:0.63%)
5.4-ply13/11* 6/2eq: -0.118 (-0.300)
Player:
Opponent:		50.02% (G:15.38% B:0.67%)
49.98% (G:14.08% B:0.85%)

Συνήθως το hit and split είναι σωστό, δηλαδή βρίσκουμε την ευκαιρία να διαχωρίσουμε τα πίσω πούλια μας όταν ο αντίπαλοε είναι χτυπημένος. Εδώ εικάζω ότι η επιπλεόν εσωτερική πόρτα δίνει μεγαλύτερη αξία στον buider (13/9) που θα ενισχύσει την επίθεση.
 
 61: Bar/18 
Pip=153-163
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/18eq: -0.288
Player:
Opponent:		41.41% (G:8.77% B:0.37%)
58.59% (G:20.96% B:0.72%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/24 13/7eq: -0.389 (-0.100)
Player:
Opponent:		38.29% (G:8.48% B:0.31%)
61.71% (G:19.51% B:1.33%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/24 8/2eq: -0.420 (-0.131)
Player:
Opponent:		37.44% (G:8.48% B:0.28%)
62.56% (G:20.06% B:1.30%)
 
 62: 13/11 13/7*  
Pip=153-156
1.playedXG Roller++13/11 13/7* eq: +0.230
Player:
Opponent:		57.28% (G:21.08% B:1.07%)
42.72% (G:10.08% B:0.46%)
2.XG Roller++13/7* 11/9eq: +0.204 (-0.026)
Player:
Opponent:		56.68% (G:21.38% B:1.04%)
43.32% (G:10.70% B:0.53%)
3.XG Roller++24/22 13/7* eq: +0.203 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent:		56.72% (G:19.89% B:0.93%)
43.28% (G:10.05% B:0.45%)
4.XG Roller++20/18 13/7* eq: +0.161 (-0.069)
Player:
Opponent:		56.32% (G:19.29% B:0.87%)
43.68% (G:11.31% B:0.57%)
5.XG Roller++13/7* 7/5eq: +0.142 (-0.089)
Player:
Opponent:		55.47% (G:19.29% B:0.84%)
44.53% (G:10.96% B:0.55%)

Χαρακτηριστικό παράδειγμα που το χτύπημα έχει προτεραιότητα έναντι της anchor στην αρχή της παρτίδας, όταν ο αντίπαλος δεν έχει στρατόπεδο.
 
 22: Bar/21 6/4(2) 
Pip=145-163
1.XG Roller++Bar/23 13/11 6/4(2)eq: -0.167
Player:
Opponent:		44.16% (G:11.20% B:0.56%)
55.84% (G:21.57% B:1.20%)
2.xgXG Roller++Bar/23 8/4 6/4eq: -0.170 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		43.77% (G:10.84% B:0.53%)
56.23% (G:20.33% B:0.78%)
3.playedXG Roller++Bar/21 6/4(2)eq: -0.192 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:		43.52% (G:10.62% B:0.56%)
56.48% (G:21.18% B:0.80%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/23 6/4(3)eq: -0.295 (-0.127)
Player:
Opponent:		40.84% (G:9.86% B:0.45%)
59.16% (G:22.30% B:0.87%)
5.4-plyBar/21 13/11(2)eq: -0.319 (-0.152)
Player:
Opponent:		40.68% (G:9.36% B:0.45%)
59.32% (G:23.19% B:0.91%)

Θυμάμαι να σκέφτομαι βλέποντάς το ότι το 23/21 είναι κάπως πιο τολμηρό απ' όσο θα έπρεπε, λόγω του επιπλέον builder στο bar. Όχι μεγάλη διαφορά, πάντως.
 
 32: 7/4* 6/4 
Pip=145-155
1.played3-ply7/4* 6/4eq: +0.517
Player:
Opponent:		63.95% (G:26.34% B:1.29%)
36.05% (G:8.14% B:0.33%)
2.3-ply6/4* 4/1* eq: +0.141 (-0.375)
Player:
Opponent:		55.27% (G:23.77% B:0.53%)
44.73% (G:11.99% B:0.67%)
3.3-ply8/5 7/5eq: -0.080 (-0.597)
Player:
Opponent:		50.65% (G:16.63% B:0.70%)
49.35% (G:13.22% B:0.70%)
4.3-ply24/22 7/4* eq: -0.097 (-0.614)
Player:
Opponent:		50.47% (G:17.09% B:0.72%)
49.53% (G:14.27% B:0.67%)
5.2-ply7/4* 4/2eq: -0.134 (-0.651)
Player:
Opponent:		49.27% (G:16.30% B:0.70%)
50.73% (G:14.38% B:0.75%)
 
 63: Cannot Move 
Pip=140-159
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -0.839
Player:
Opponent:		30.47% (G:5.97% B:0.26%)
69.53% (G:33.16% B:1.17%)
 
 No double 
Pip=140-159
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 70.20% (G:32.37% B:1.33%) 70.32% (G:32.39% B:1.36%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 29.80% (G:5.76% B:0.24%) 29.68% (G:5.71% B:0.24%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.687 +1.303
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.810 (-0.062)
xg Double/Take:+0.872
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.128)
 
Best Cube action: Double / Take

Αυτός είναι ένα υγιής βίδος, παρά το προβάδισμα στο σκορ. Ο Αυδής είναι σαφώς μπροστά στην κούρσα, έχει δύο επιπλεόν πόρτες, είναι έτοιμος να κάνει την χρυσή πόρτα με τα τεσσάρια που δεν του κάνουν για την 5, ενώ (το κυριότερο) ο αντίπαλος είναι στο bar.
 
 54: 24/20 11/6 
Pip=140-159
1.xgXG Roller++24/20 13/8eq: +0.781
Player:
Opponent:		68.57% (G:29.71% B:1.06%)
31.43% (G:5.12% B:0.19%)
2.playedXG Roller++24/20 11/6eq: +0.752 (-0.029)
Player:
Opponent:		68.39% (G:28.63% B:0.96%)
31.61% (G:5.14% B:0.19%)
3.XG Roller++20/11eq: +0.725 (-0.056)
Player:
Opponent:		68.56% (G:26.99% B:1.31%)
31.44% (G:6.12% B:0.23%)
4.XG Roller++24/20 6/1* eq: +0.693 (-0.088)
Player:
Opponent:		66.32% (G:33.44% B:0.59%)
33.68% (G:6.38% B:0.25%)
5.XG Roller++24/20 8/3eq: +0.670 (-0.111)
Player:
Opponent:		66.46% (G:28.20% B:0.87%)
33.54% (G:5.95% B:0.23%)

Κι εγώ θα φοβόμουν να χαλάσω τη midpoint, αλλά εδώ όλη η μάχη θα δοθεί για την 5 και δευτερευόντως για την bar. Η πολυτέλεια να χτυπηθεί κανείς στο 13 υπάρχει επειδή μόλις φτιάχτηκε η χρυση 20.
Και ολ' αυτά βέβαια επειδή η κατανομή που προκύπτει μετά από 13/8 είναι καλύτερη επιθετικά από εκείνη μετά από 11/6.


 
 43: Cannot Move 
Pip=131-159
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		27.30% (G:4.58% B:0.17%)
72.70% (G:41.08% B:0.83%)
 
 Double/Pass 
Pip=131-159
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 73.40% (G:39.78% B:0.91%) 73.29% (G:41.15% B:0.90%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 26.60% (G:4.29% B:0.16%) 26.71% (G:4.48% B:0.18%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.838 +1.607
Cubeful Equities
     No double:+0.950 (-0.050)
     Double/Take:+1.231 (+0.231)
played Double/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Double / Pass

Η ευκαιρία χάθηκε και πλεόν η θέση είναι πιο κοντά στο too good απ' όσο στο take.
 
 Wins 1pt. 

Game Summary:

Avdis  Category Groutsos 
Advanced (-0.0163) Total Error World Class (-0.0059)
Expert (-0.0105) Checker Play World Class (-0.0088)
Intermediate (-0.0310) Cube Play World Champ. (+0.0000)
8.17 Performance Rating 2.93
2 Move Errors 1
-0.052(-0.23%) Equity lost (cost) -0.035(-0.16%)
     
1 Double Errors 0
-0.062(-0.27%) Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Take Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
3 Total Error 1
-0.114(-0.51%) Equity lost (cost) -0.035(-0.16%)
     
2 Jokers 0
+1.196(+5.29%) Luck -1.196(-5.29%)

 Game 9

15 point match, Score is Avdis: 9, Groutsos: 3

 
 43: 24/21 13/9 
Pip=167-167
1.xgBook113/10 13/9eq: -0.135
Player:
Opponent:		49.77% (G:15.24% B:0.79%)
50.23% (G:13.61% B:0.75%)
2.playedBook124/21 13/9eq: -0.135 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		49.97% (G:13.77% B:0.70%)
50.03% (G:13.32% B:0.57%)
3.Book124/20 13/10eq: -0.136 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		50.02% (G:13.76% B:0.67%)
49.98% (G:13.43% B:0.58%)
4.Book124/21 24/20eq: -0.146 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:		50.00% (G:12.39% B:0.62%)
50.00% (G:13.60% B:0.47%)
5.Book113/9 8/5eq: -0.227 (-0.092)
Player:
Opponent:		48.05% (G:14.16% B:0.62%)
51.95% (G:14.81% B:0.92%)
 
1 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++

Μου κάνει εντύπωση που με τέτοιο προβάδισμα το 13/9 13/10 είναι εξίσου καλό.
 
 No double 
Pip=160-167
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 50.14% (G:13.39% B:0.56%) 50.14% (G:13.44% B:0.58%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 49.86% (G:13.81% B:0.71%) 49.86% (G:13.80% B:0.73%)
  Cubeless Equities -0.019 +0.022
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.139
     Double/Take:-0.048 (-0.187)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.861)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 15.1%
 
 62: 24/16*  
Pip=160-167
1.played4-ply24/16* eq: +0.253
Player:
Opponent:		53.91% (G:12.79% B:0.54%)
46.09% (G:12.04% B:0.43%)
2.4-ply13/7 6/4* eq: -0.043 (-0.296)
Player:
Opponent:		46.05% (G:12.06% B:0.55%)
53.95% (G:17.02% B:1.35%)
3.4-ply24/18 6/4* eq: -0.065 (-0.317)
Player:
Opponent:		46.14% (G:10.81% B:0.49%)
53.86% (G:17.24% B:0.87%)
4.3-ply24/18 13/11eq: -0.079 (-0.332)
Player:
Opponent:		45.85% (G:10.04% B:0.43%)
54.15% (G:16.19% B:0.70%)
5.3-ply24/22 13/7eq: -0.117 (-0.370)
Player:
Opponent:		44.21% (G:10.96% B:0.43%)
55.79% (G:16.48% B:0.82%)
 
 64: Bar/21 13/7 
Pip=176-159
1.xgXG Roller++Bar/21 24/18eq: -0.274
Player:
Opponent:		44.62% (G:9.62% B:0.32%)
55.38% (G:9.87% B:0.32%)
2.playedXG Roller++Bar/21 13/7eq: -0.296 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:		44.86% (G:11.88% B:0.35%)
55.14% (G:12.39% B:0.46%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/21 8/2eq: -0.373 (-0.099)
Player:
Opponent:		43.27% (G:11.30% B:0.31%)
56.73% (G:13.46% B:0.53%)
4.4-plyBar/15eq: -0.435 (-0.161)
Player:
Opponent:		42.77% (G:10.05% B:0.38%)
57.23% (G:15.82% B:0.79%)

Με high anchor συνήθως δεν είναι καλό να βγάζει κανείς πούλι στο bar, αλλά στο backgammon υπάρχουν εξαιρέσεις για τα πάντα. Τούτη εδώ ξεπερνάει τις γνώσεις και τη φαντασία μου.
 
 No double 
Pip=166-159
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 55.25% (G:12.08% B:0.44%) 55.38% (G:11.92% B:0.41%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 44.75% (G:11.72% B:0.34%) 44.62% (G:11.68% B:0.34%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.095 +0.241
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.299
     Double/Take:+0.167 (-0.131)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.701)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 13.6%
 
 64: 24/18* 18/14 
Pip=166-159
1.playedXG Roller++24/18* 18/14eq: +0.430
Player:
Opponent:		57.87% (G:14.02% B:0.54%)
42.13% (G:10.59% B:0.36%)
2.XG Roller++24/18* 13/9eq: +0.290 (-0.140)
Player:
Opponent:		53.97% (G:14.42% B:0.63%)
46.03% (G:12.47% B:0.52%)
3.4-ply24/18* 6/2eq: +0.191 (-0.239)
Player:
Opponent:		52.44% (G:12.97% B:0.43%)
47.56% (G:13.99% B:0.54%)
4.4-ply24/14eq: +0.095 (-0.335)
Player:
Opponent:		51.37% (G:9.48% B:0.33%)
48.63% (G:14.21% B:0.40%)
5.3-ply16/6eq: +0.068 (-0.363)
Player:
Opponent:		50.07% (G:10.10% B:0.28%)
49.93% (G:13.94% B:0.36%)
 
 62: Bar/23 24/18 
Pip=184-149
1.xgXG Roller++Bar/23 13/7eq: -0.615
Player:
Opponent:		37.99% (G:8.63% B:0.26%)
62.01% (G:15.19% B:0.59%)
2.playedXG Roller++Bar/23 24/18eq: -0.616 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		37.63% (G:7.81% B:0.26%)
62.37% (G:14.60% B:0.48%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/23 8/2eq: -0.695 (-0.080)
Player:
Opponent:		36.31% (G:8.28% B:0.21%)
63.69% (G:15.86% B:0.66%)
4.4-plyBar/23 21/15eq: -0.784 (-0.169)
Player:
Opponent:		36.71% (G:8.00% B:0.29%)
63.29% (G:20.11% B:1.25%)
 
 No double 
Pip=176-149
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 62.31% (G:14.37% B:0.48%) 62.28% (G:14.42% B:0.49%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 37.69% (G:7.77% B:0.25%) 37.72% (G:7.78% B:0.25%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.306 +0.661
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.615
     Double/Take:+0.579 (-0.037)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.385)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 8.0%
 
 51: 8/7* 7/2*  
Pip=176-149
1.playedXG Roller++8/7* 7/2* eq: +0.426
Player:
Opponent:		57.63% (G:14.19% B:0.43%)
42.37% (G:10.21% B:0.40%)
2.XG Roller++16/11 8/7* eq: +0.423 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		57.49% (G:13.88% B:0.50%)
42.51% (G:10.20% B:0.40%)
3.XG Roller++14/8eq: +0.419 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:		58.39% (G:12.09% B:0.40%)
41.61% (G:9.08% B:0.30%)
4.XG Roller++13/7* eq: +0.403 (-0.024)
Player:
Opponent:		56.90% (G:14.20% B:0.53%)
43.10% (G:10.66% B:0.43%)
5.XG Roller++16/11 14/13eq: +0.387 (-0.039)
Player:
Opponent:		58.01% (G:11.05% B:0.36%)
41.99% (G:9.23% B:0.29%)
 
 41: Bar/24 Bar/21 
Pip=185-143
1.played3-plyBar/24 Bar/21eq: -0.495
Player:
Opponent:		40.76% (G:9.82% B:0.33%)
59.24% (G:15.93% B:0.41%)
 
 No double 
Pip=180-143
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 59.77% (G:15.58% B:0.49%) 59.96% (G:15.51% B:0.47%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 40.23% (G:9.44% B:0.29%) 40.04% (G:9.33% B:0.29%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.248 +0.562
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.536
     Double/Take:+0.486 (-0.049)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.464)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 8.8%
 
 64: 16/10 14/10 
Pip=180-143
1.playedXG Roller++16/10 14/10eq: +0.587
Player:
Opponent:		61.91% (G:14.29% B:0.42%)
38.09% (G:8.22% B:0.27%)
2.XG Roller++14/8 6/2eq: +0.549 (-0.037)
Player:
Opponent:		59.72% (G:16.35% B:0.53%)
40.28% (G:8.88% B:0.31%)
3.4-ply16/10 6/2eq: +0.399 (-0.188)
Player:
Opponent:		56.36% (G:15.68% B:0.52%)
43.64% (G:10.67% B:0.38%)
4.4-ply16/6eq: +0.278 (-0.309)
Player:
Opponent:		53.78% (G:14.66% B:0.45%)
46.22% (G:12.63% B:0.44%)
5.3-ply13/7 6/2eq: +0.245 (-0.341)
Player:
Opponent:		52.64% (G:15.29% B:0.61%)
47.36% (G:12.95% B:0.64%)
 
 41: 24/23* 13/9 
Pip=180-133
1.playedXG Roller++24/23* 13/9eq: -0.574
Player:
Opponent:		38.65% (G:9.01% B:0.25%)
61.35% (G:14.34% B:0.49%)
2.XG Roller++24/20 21/20eq: -0.609 (-0.035)
Player:
Opponent:		36.40% (G:6.22% B:0.20%)
63.60% (G:11.71% B:0.20%)
3.XG Roller++24/23* 8/4eq: -0.620 (-0.046)
Player:
Opponent:		38.44% (G:8.64% B:0.25%)
61.56% (G:16.36% B:0.59%)
4.XG Roller++24/23* 6/2eq: -0.637 (-0.063)
Player:
Opponent:		37.70% (G:8.14% B:0.22%)
62.30% (G:15.72% B:0.57%)
5.XG Roller++8/4 6/5eq: -0.641 (-0.067)
Player:
Opponent:		38.08% (G:8.02% B:0.23%)
61.92% (G:16.79% B:0.48%)
 
 No double 
Pip=175-156
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 61.60% (G:14.27% B:0.51%) 61.65% (G:14.29% B:0.50%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 38.40% (G:8.82% B:0.24%) 38.35% (G:8.83% B:0.24%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.279 +0.613
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.580
     Double/Take:+0.539 (-0.041)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.420)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 8.2%
 
 43: Bar/18 
Pip=175-156
1.xgXG Roller++Bar/21 13/10eq: +0.544
Player:
Opponent:		60.93% (G:13.77% B:0.48%)
39.07% (G:9.05% B:0.28%)
2.playedXG Roller++Bar/18eq: +0.494 (-0.050)
Player:
Opponent:		60.29% (G:12.48% B:0.43%)
39.71% (G:9.38% B:0.28%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/22 6/2* eq: +0.471 (-0.073)
Player:
Opponent:		58.91% (G:14.16% B:0.45%)
41.09% (G:10.13% B:0.35%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/22 13/9eq: +0.415 (-0.129)
Player:
Opponent:		57.13% (G:14.64% B:0.56%)
42.87% (G:11.30% B:0.41%)
5.XG Roller++Bar/21 6/3eq: +0.387 (-0.157)
Player:
Opponent:		57.41% (G:12.86% B:0.44%)
42.59% (G:11.43% B:0.39%)

Άλλη μία εξαίρεση: Γενικά, δεν θέλουμε το μοναδικό πίσω πούλι να μένει σε πόρτα που θέλει να επιτεθεί ο αντίπαλος, αλλά εδώ η βαρυφορτωμένη midpoint έχει προτεραιότητα.


 
 41: 13/9 8/7*  
Pip=175-149
1.xgXG Roller++9/5 6/5eq: -0.481
Player:
Opponent:		39.51% (G:9.43% B:0.23%)
60.49% (G:11.44% B:0.34%)
2.playedXG Roller++13/9 8/7* eq: -0.593 (-0.111)
Player:
Opponent:		38.72% (G:9.14% B:0.29%)
61.28% (G:15.83% B:0.58%)
3.XG Roller++8/4 6/5eq: -0.619 (-0.138)
Player:
Opponent:		37.77% (G:8.57% B:0.24%)
62.23% (G:14.89% B:0.53%)
4.XG Roller++21/20 9/5eq: -0.622 (-0.140)
Player:
Opponent:		37.19% (G:8.20% B:0.25%)
62.81% (G:13.87% B:0.52%)
5.XG Roller++23/22 9/5eq: -0.629 (-0.147)
Player:
Opponent:		35.55% (G:6.97% B:0.19%)
64.45% (G:11.09% B:0.32%)

Το, υποχρεωτικό μετά το χτύπημα, 13/9 κόβει τον στρατό του Αυδή στα δύο, τη στιγμή που η εναλλακτική είναι η καλύτερη διαθέσιμη πόρτα. Μερικές φορές οι θυσίες για να γυρίσει πίσω το τελευταίο αντίπαλο πούλι δεν αξίζουν τον κόπο.
 
 No double 
Pip=170-156
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 61.37% (G:15.59% B:0.56%) 61.49% (G:15.48% B:0.55%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 38.63% (G:9.07% B:0.28%) 38.51% (G:9.03% B:0.29%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.285 +0.633
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.596
     Double/Take:+0.559 (-0.038)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.404)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 7.9%
 
 42: Bar/21 13/11 
Pip=170-156
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/21 13/11eq: +0.432
Player:
Opponent:		58.01% (G:13.99% B:0.50%)
41.99% (G:11.20% B:0.41%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/23 6/2* eq: +0.422 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:		57.71% (G:13.84% B:0.46%)
42.29% (G:10.61% B:0.40%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/23 13/9eq: +0.317 (-0.114)
Player:
Opponent:		54.94% (G:13.87% B:0.51%)
45.06% (G:12.31% B:0.47%)
4.4-plyBar/21 10/8eq: +0.120 (-0.312)
Player:
Opponent:		50.61% (G:12.53% B:0.47%)
49.39% (G:15.27% B:0.54%)
5.4-plyBar/23 10/6eq: +0.063 (-0.368)
Player:
Opponent:		48.96% (G:12.25% B:0.43%)
51.04% (G:15.29% B:0.57%)
 
 64: 13/7 6/2 
Pip=170-150
1.playedXG Roller++13/7 6/2eq: -0.583
Player:
Opponent:		37.51% (G:9.23% B:0.26%)
62.49% (G:12.87% B:0.44%)
2.XG Roller++13/7 8/4* eq: -0.645 (-0.061)
Player:
Opponent:		37.57% (G:9.40% B:0.32%)
62.43% (G:16.44% B:0.61%)
3.4-ply13/9 7/1eq: -0.740 (-0.157)
Player:
Opponent:		33.10% (G:6.66% B:0.12%)
66.90% (G:12.01% B:0.37%)
4.4-ply13/3eq: -0.786 (-0.203)
Player:
Opponent:		33.61% (G:7.16% B:0.18%)
66.39% (G:14.92% B:0.50%)
5.4-ply13/7 9/5eq: -0.793 (-0.209)
Player:
Opponent:		34.00% (G:6.83% B:0.19%)
66.00% (G:15.83% B:0.51%)
 
 No double 
Pip=160-150
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 62.65% (G:12.82% B:0.44%) 62.76% (G:12.72% B:0.43%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 37.35% (G:9.40% B:0.27%) 37.24% (G:9.29% B:0.26%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.278 +0.610
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.588
     Double/Take:+0.545 (-0.042)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.412)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 8.5%
 
 51: 21/15 
Pip=160-150
1.playedXG Roller++21/15eq: +0.502
Player:
Opponent:		61.44% (G:10.05% B:0.34%)
38.56% (G:8.50% B:0.25%)
2.XG Roller++13/8 11/10eq: +0.458 (-0.044)
Player:
Opponent:		59.37% (G:12.41% B:0.44%)
40.63% (G:10.35% B:0.29%)
3.XG Roller++10/5 6/5eq: +0.385 (-0.117)
Player:
Opponent:		56.73% (G:14.49% B:0.62%)
43.27% (G:13.38% B:0.58%)
4.XG Roller++21/20 13/8eq: +0.359 (-0.142)
Player:
Opponent:		56.48% (G:13.00% B:0.49%)
43.52% (G:11.79% B:0.40%)
5.4-ply13/12 13/8eq: +0.299 (-0.203)
Player:
Opponent:		55.56% (G:12.53% B:0.46%)
44.44% (G:13.39% B:0.54%)
 
 61: 21/14*  
Pip=160-144
1.played3-ply21/14* eq: -0.291
Player:
Opponent:		44.67% (G:12.53% B:0.47%)
55.33% (G:12.58% B:0.49%)
2.3-ply8/2 6/5eq: -0.644 (-0.353)
Player:
Opponent:		34.09% (G:6.19% B:0.15%)
65.91% (G:9.36% B:0.29%)
3.3-ply23/22 8/2eq: -0.705 (-0.414)
Player:
Opponent:		32.53% (G:5.28% B:0.14%)
67.47% (G:8.90% B:0.28%)
4.3-ply8/7 8/2eq: -0.705 (-0.414)
Player:
Opponent:		32.66% (G:5.57% B:0.14%)
67.34% (G:9.19% B:0.27%)
5.3-ply9/3 6/5eq: -0.709 (-0.419)
Player:
Opponent:		32.66% (G:5.46% B:0.16%)
67.34% (G:9.58% B:0.34%)
 
 No double 
Pip=153-158
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 55.61% (G:12.50% B:0.53%) 55.70% (G:12.35% B:0.51%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 44.39% (G:12.59% B:0.41%) 44.30% (G:12.58% B:0.42%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.098 +0.250
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.321
     Double/Take:+0.184 (-0.137)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.679)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 14.4%
 
 64: Bar/15 
Pip=153-158
1.played4-plyBar/15eq: +0.354
Player:
Opponent:		59.13% (G:7.16% B:0.25%)
40.87% (G:7.64% B:0.19%)
2.4-plyBar/21 15/9eq: +0.055 (-0.299)
Player:
Opponent:		49.70% (G:11.19% B:0.59%)
50.30% (G:16.89% B:0.56%)
3.3-plyBar/21 13/7eq: -0.025 (-0.380)
Player:
Opponent:		47.43% (G:11.84% B:0.59%)
52.57% (G:18.97% B:0.96%)
4.3-plyBar/21 8/2* eq: -0.131 (-0.486)
Player:
Opponent:		45.12% (G:10.15% B:0.41%)
54.88% (G:19.63% B:1.07%)
 
 64: 14/8 6/2 
Pip=153-148
1.playedXG Roller++14/8 6/2eq: -0.377
Player:
Opponent:		40.08% (G:8.02% B:0.14%)
59.92% (G:6.26% B:0.21%)
2.XG Roller++14/4eq: -0.416 (-0.038)
Player:
Opponent:		39.37% (G:7.98% B:0.20%)
60.63% (G:7.29% B:0.32%)
3.XG Roller++14/8 9/5eq: -0.448 (-0.071)
Player:
Opponent:		38.32% (G:7.18% B:0.16%)
61.68% (G:6.91% B:0.29%)
4.XG Roller++14/8 7/3eq: -0.492 (-0.115)
Player:
Opponent:		37.28% (G:6.99% B:0.15%)
62.72% (G:7.31% B:0.33%)
5.4-ply8/4 8/2eq: -0.591 (-0.214)
Player:
Opponent:		35.55% (G:7.61% B:0.15%)
64.45% (G:9.81% B:0.34%)
 
 No double 
Pip=143-148
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 60.06% (G:6.22% B:0.22%) 60.20% (G:6.06% B:0.20%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 39.94% (G:7.93% B:0.16%) 39.80% (G:7.94% B:0.17%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.175 +0.363
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.388
     Double/Take:+0.268 (-0.120)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.612)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 14.1%
 
 32: 13/8 
Pip=143-148
1.playedXG Roller++13/8eq: +0.310
Player:
Opponent:		58.07% (G:5.66% B:0.21%)
41.93% (G:7.60% B:0.14%)
2.XG Roller++15/10eq: +0.281 (-0.029)
Player:
Opponent:		57.42% (G:5.36% B:0.17%)
42.58% (G:7.83% B:0.14%)
3.XG Roller++13/11 13/10eq: +0.250 (-0.059)
Player:
Opponent:		56.38% (G:6.26% B:0.22%)
43.62% (G:9.47% B:0.29%)
4.XG Roller++15/13 15/12eq: +0.208 (-0.102)
Player:
Opponent:		55.55% (G:5.29% B:0.18%)
44.45% (G:9.06% B:0.14%)
5.XG Roller++6/1eq: +0.190 (-0.120)
Player:
Opponent:		54.89% (G:5.99% B:0.19%)
45.11% (G:10.28% B:0.24%)
 
 11: 23/22 21/20(2) 6/5 
Pip=143-143
1.XG Roller++21/20(2) 8/6eq: -0.264
Player:
Opponent:		42.52% (G:6.70% B:0.10%)
57.48% (G:4.33% B:0.17%)
2.xgXG Roller++21/20(2) 8/7 6/5eq: -0.265 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		42.50% (G:7.15% B:0.12%)
57.50% (G:4.57% B:0.19%)
3.XG Roller++21/20(2) 6/5(2)eq: -0.270 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:		42.42% (G:7.23% B:0.12%)
57.58% (G:4.71% B:0.20%)
4.XG Roller++21/20(2) 7/5eq: -0.277 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:		42.20% (G:7.13% B:0.10%)
57.80% (G:4.60% B:0.20%)
5.XG Roller++21/20(2) 6/4eq: -0.283 (-0.019)
Player:
Opponent:		42.19% (G:6.75% B:0.11%)
57.81% (G:4.62% B:0.19%)
6.playedXG Roller++23/22 21/20(2) 6/5eq: -0.289 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:		41.98% (G:6.08% B:0.10%)
58.02% (G:4.32% B:0.17%)

Ο λόγος που το 23/22 δεν είναι σημαντικό λάθος είναι ότι η κούρσα είναι ίση. Γενικά δεν ανεβαίνουμε με το τελευταίο πούλι όταν έχουμε ήδη high anchor.
 
 No double 
Pip=139-143
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 57.71% (G:4.28% B:0.18%) 57.91% (G:4.24% B:0.18%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 42.29% (G:5.98% B:0.11%) 42.09% (G:6.08% B:0.11%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.130 +0.259
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.282
     Double/Take:+0.136 (-0.146)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.718)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 14.4%
 
 44: 15/7(2) 
Pip=139-143
1.xgXG Roller++15/11(2) 13/9(2)eq: +0.552
Player:
Opponent:		65.09% (G:4.99% B:0.15%)
34.91% (G:4.36% B:0.09%)
2.XG Roller++13/9(2) 6/2(2)eq: +0.551 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		65.45% (G:3.82% B:0.11%)
34.55% (G:3.36% B:0.06%)
3.XG Roller++13/9(3) 6/2eq: +0.550 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		65.61% (G:3.35% B:0.09%)
34.39% (G:2.99% B:0.05%)
4.playedXG Roller++15/7(2)eq: +0.531 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent:		65.00% (G:2.83% B:0.06%)
35.00% (G:2.09% B:0.03%)
5.4-ply15/11(2) 6/2(2)eq: +0.396 (-0.156)
Player:
Opponent:		61.17% (G:4.65% B:0.14%)
38.83% (G:4.90% B:0.09%)

Η ίση κούρσα απαιτεί μπλοκάρισμα στα μεγάλα νούμερα. Αν ο Γρούτσος φοβόταν τις βολές, υπήρχε το 13/9(3) 6/2. Το λάθος δεν είναι σημαντικό, αλλά αυτά τα εικοσαράκια εδώ κι εκεί έχουν την τάση να μαζεύονται και να στοιχίζουν καμιά φορά.
 
 22: 22/20 8/4 7/5 
Pip=139-127
1.XG Roller++22/20 8/6(2) 7/5eq: -0.527
Player:
Opponent:		34.20% (G:1.31% B:0.01%)
65.80% (G:1.52% B:0.04%)
2.xgXG Roller++22/20 8/6 7/5(2)eq: -0.529 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		34.19% (G:1.33% B:0.02%)
65.81% (G:1.57% B:0.04%)
3.playedXG Roller++22/20 8/4 7/5eq: -0.529 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		34.16% (G:1.30% B:0.02%)
65.84% (G:1.52% B:0.04%)
4.XG Roller++22/20 8/6 8/4eq: -0.530 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		34.13% (G:1.29% B:0.02%)
65.87% (G:1.53% B:0.04%)
5.XG Roller++22/20 9/5 8/6eq: -0.532 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:		34.09% (G:1.27% B:0.01%)
65.91% (G:1.55% B:0.04%)
 
 No double 
Pip=131-127
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 65.84% (G:1.69% B:0.06%) 66.12% (G:1.60% B:0.06%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 34.16% (G:1.41% B:0.02%) 33.88% (G:1.34% B:0.02%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.318 +0.619
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.539
     Double/Take:+0.484 (-0.055)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.461)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 9.7%
 
 65: 13/7 6/1 
Pip=131-127
1.XG Roller++13/7 8/3eq: +0.607
Player:
Opponent:		67.70% (G:1.79% B:0.04%)
32.30% (G:1.54% B:0.02%)
2.XG Roller++13/2eq: +0.598 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		67.39% (G:1.86% B:0.05%)
32.61% (G:1.69% B:0.02%)
3.playedXG Roller++13/7 6/1eq: +0.591 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:		67.24% (G:1.80% B:0.05%)
32.76% (G:1.64% B:0.02%)
4.XG Roller++13/8 13/7eq: +0.563 (-0.044)
Player:
Opponent:		66.46% (G:1.55% B:0.02%)
33.54% (G:2.13% B:0.02%)
5.XG Roller++8/2 6/1eq: +0.553 (-0.055)
Player:
Opponent:		66.19% (G:1.92% B:0.04%)
33.81% (G:1.97% B:0.03%)
 
 61: 20/14 8/7 
Pip=131-116
1.XG Roller++20/14 7/6eq: -0.643
Player:
Opponent:		31.29% (G:2.71% B:0.05%)
68.71% (G:2.65% B:0.08%)
2.playedXG Roller++20/14 8/7eq: -0.645 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		31.41% (G:2.71% B:0.05%)
68.59% (G:2.79% B:0.10%)
3.XG Roller++20/14 4/3eq: -0.660 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:		31.05% (G:2.93% B:0.05%)
68.95% (G:3.08% B:0.11%)
4.XG Roller++9/3 8/7eq: -0.661 (-0.018)
Player:
Opponent:		30.54% (G:1.35% B:0.02%)
69.46% (G:1.60% B:0.06%)
5.XG Roller++9/3 5/4eq: -0.663 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:		30.58% (G:1.63% B:0.02%)
69.42% (G:1.81% B:0.04%)
 
 No double 
Pip=124-116
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 68.46% (G:2.76% B:0.11%) 68.68% (G:2.51% B:0.05%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 31.54% (G:2.55% B:0.06%) 31.32% (G:2.09% B:0.05%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.369 +0.733
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.643
xg Double/Take:+0.620 (-0.023)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.357)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 5.7%
 
 22: 13/11*(2) 11/9(2) 
Pip=124-116
1.xgXG Roller++13/11*(2) 6/4(2)eq: +0.750
Player:
Opponent:		69.36% (G:6.32% B:0.15%)
30.64% (G:5.70% B:0.10%)
2.playedXG Roller++13/11*(2) 11/9(2)eq: +0.744 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:		69.17% (G:6.99% B:0.21%)
30.83% (G:5.65% B:0.11%)
3.4-ply8/4 6/4(2)eq: +0.582 (-0.168)
Player:
Opponent:		67.29% (G:1.83% B:0.05%)
32.71% (G:1.88% B:0.02%)
4.4-ply10/8 10/4eq: +0.576 (-0.174)
Player:
Opponent:		67.21% (G:1.74% B:0.02%)
32.79% (G:1.21% B:0.02%)
5.4-ply10/8(2) 6/4(2)eq: +0.554 (-0.196)
Player:
Opponent:		66.66% (G:1.71% B:0.02%)
33.34% (G:1.38% B:0.01%)

Το χτύπημα είναι υποχρεωτικό λόγω κούρσας.
 
 41: Bar/24* 8/4 
Pip=135-108
1.played4-plyBar/24* 8/4eq: +0.014
Player:
Opponent:		50.61% (G:15.28% B:0.22%)
49.39% (G:7.16% B:0.28%)
2.4-plyBar/24* 24/20eq: -0.274 (-0.288)
Player:
Opponent:		43.65% (G:10.02% B:0.12%)
56.35% (G:8.51% B:0.32%)
3.3-plyBar/24* 9/5eq: -0.508 (-0.522)
Player:
Opponent:		38.32% (G:9.61% B:0.17%)
61.68% (G:12.36% B:0.55%)
4.2-plyBar/24* 7/3eq: -0.754 (-0.769)
Player:
Opponent:		34.78% (G:8.52% B:0.11%)
65.22% (G:15.88% B:0.80%)
5.2-plyBar/24* 5/1eq: -1.000 (-1.014)
Player:
Opponent:		26.66% (G:5.42% B:0.10%)
73.34% (G:19.69% B:0.99%)
 
 22: Cannot Move 
Pip=130-132
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -0.073
Player:
Opponent:		48.04% (G:6.59% B:0.27%)
51.96% (G:16.22% B:0.15%)
 
 42: 24/20 9/7 
Pip=130-132
1.playedXG Roller++24/20 9/7eq: -0.018
Player:
Opponent:		50.04% (G:12.79% B:0.11%)
49.96% (G:5.80% B:0.25%)
2.XG Roller++24/20 7/5eq: -0.110 (-0.092)
Player:
Opponent:		47.31% (G:12.35% B:0.08%)
52.69% (G:5.96% B:0.26%)
3.4-ply9/7 9/5eq: -0.156 (-0.139)
Player:
Opponent:		46.02% (G:13.17% B:0.17%)
53.98% (G:7.72% B:0.32%)
4.4-ply24/22 9/5eq: -0.235 (-0.217)
Player:
Opponent:		44.03% (G:12.04% B:0.12%)
55.97% (G:8.28% B:0.33%)
5.4-ply9/3eq: -0.285 (-0.267)
Player:
Opponent:		43.37% (G:13.38% B:0.18%)
56.63% (G:10.47% B:0.39%)

Το 24/20 είναι θεματικό. Τα τρία πούλια πίσω από το πεντάπορτο αντιπροσωπεύουν πολλή δουλειά που πρέπει να γίνει και δεν υπάρχει λόγος να μην ξεκινήσει αμέσως.
 
 54: Cannot Move 
Pip=124-132
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -0.122
Player:
Opponent:		46.60% (G:5.44% B:0.29%)
53.40% (G:15.29% B:0.08%)
 
 55: 9/4 7/2 6/1(2) 
Pip=124-132
1.playedXG Roller++9/4 7/2 6/1(2)eq: -0.558
Player:
Opponent:		37.78% (G:5.53% B:0.01%)
62.22% (G:9.96% B:0.48%)
2.XG Roller++9/4 7/2(3)eq: -0.683 (-0.125)
Player:
Opponent:		35.08% (G:5.34% B:0.03%)
64.92% (G:11.99% B:0.48%)
3.4-ply7/2(2) 6/1(2)eq: -0.739 (-0.181)
Player:
Opponent:		33.10% (G:4.86% B:0.01%)
66.90% (G:11.04% B:0.68%)
4.3-ply9/4 7/2(2) 6/1eq: -1.000 (-0.442)
Player:
Opponent:		26.49% (G:3.34% B:0.03%)
73.51% (G:13.79% B:0.52%)
5.3-ply7/2(3) 6/1eq: -1.000 (-0.442)
Player:
Opponent:		24.23% (G:2.92% B:0.03%)
75.77% (G:15.45% B:0.53%)
 
 No double 
Pip=104-132
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 62.01% (G:10.46% B:0.43%) 62.05% (G:10.46% B:0.42%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 37.99% (G:5.75% B:0.02%) 37.95% (G:5.72% B:0.02%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.285 +0.595
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.562
     Double/Take:+0.490 (-0.072)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.438)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 12.4%
 
 61: Bar/19 8/7 
Pip=104-132
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/19 8/7eq: +0.523
Player:
Opponent:		61.67% (G:9.13% B:0.21%)
38.33% (G:4.07% B:0.02%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/19 7/6eq: +0.500 (-0.023)
Player:
Opponent:		61.10% (G:8.79% B:0.21%)
38.90% (G:3.97% B:0.02%)
3.3-plyBar/19 10/9eq: -0.077 (-0.600)
Player:
Opponent:		47.72% (G:7.02% B:0.41%)
52.28% (G:15.77% B:0.04%)
4.3-plyBar/19 9/8eq: -0.082 (-0.605)
Player:
Opponent:		47.57% (G:7.27% B:0.41%)
52.43% (G:16.25% B:0.06%)
 
 53: 7/4 7/2 
Pip=104-125
1.played4-ply7/4 7/2eq: -0.693
Player:
Opponent:		34.36% (G:3.30% B:0.01%)
65.64% (G:10.85% B:0.65%)
2.4-ply7/2 4/1eq: -0.957 (-0.264)
Player:
Opponent:		29.94% (G:2.61% B:0.01%)
70.06% (G:13.33% B:0.68%)
3.3-ply7/2 5/2eq: -1.000 (-0.307)
Player:
Opponent:		28.70% (G:2.02% B:0.01%)
71.30% (G:13.44% B:0.40%)
 
 No double 
Pip=96-125
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 65.40% (G:11.65% B:0.39%) 65.27% (G:11.87% B:0.41%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 34.60% (G:3.35% B:0.02%) 34.73% (G:3.46% B:0.02%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.391 +0.803
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.712
     Double/Take:+0.690 (-0.022)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.288)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 6.7%

Vision laughs at counting. Ο Αυδής είναι 29 πόντους μπροστά, αλλά ο Γρούτσος είναι μια ανάσα από τον βίδο.
 
 41: 19/18 7/3 
Pip=96-125
1.Rollout17/2eq: +0.722
Player:
Opponent:		65.20% (G:12.92% B:0.53%)
34.80% (G:4.16% B:0.04%)		Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.709...+0.736) - [100.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 13 seconds
2.playedRollout119/18 7/3eq: +0.689 (-0.034)
Player:
Opponent:		64.51% (G:12.36% B:0.49%)
35.49% (G:3.86% B:0.02%)		Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.675...+0.702) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 43 seconds
3.XG Roller++7/6 7/3eq: +0.665 (-0.058)
Player:
Opponent:		64.30% (G:11.51% B:0.31%)
35.70% (G:3.56% B:0.02%)
4.XG Roller++19/18 6/2eq: +0.658 (-0.064)
Player:
Opponent:		64.45% (G:11.14% B:0.28%)
35.55% (G:3.65% B:0.02%)
5.XG Roller++6/1eq: +0.656 (-0.067)
Player:
Opponent:		64.32% (G:11.42% B:0.29%)
35.68% (G:3.57% B:0.02%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Αυτή η σημαντική διαφορά με ξεπερνάει.
 
 65: 20/9 
Pip=96-120
1.played3-ply20/9eq: -0.518
Player:
Opponent:		37.82% (G:4.03% B:0.02%)
62.18% (G:10.06% B:0.17%)
 
 No double 
Pip=85-120
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 62.84% (G:10.87% B:0.41%) 62.90% (G:11.02% B:0.43%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 37.16% (G:5.45% B:0.04%) 37.10% (G:5.82% B:0.04%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.309 +0.641
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.585
     Double/Take:+0.543 (-0.042)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.415)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 8.4%
 
 51: 7/2 3/2 
Pip=85-120
1.playedXG Roller++7/2 3/2eq: +0.437
Player:
Opponent:		58.42% (G:10.02% B:0.34%)
41.58% (G:6.53% B:0.05%)
2.XG Roller++18/12eq: +0.418 (-0.019)
Player:
Opponent:		58.96% (G:6.47% B:0.20%)
41.04% (G:4.94% B:0.03%)
3.XG Roller++18/17 6/1eq: +0.418 (-0.019)
Player:
Opponent:		58.24% (G:11.00% B:0.36%)
41.76% (G:8.84% B:0.08%)
4.XG Roller++18/17 7/2eq: +0.415 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:		58.06% (G:10.76% B:0.39%)
41.94% (G:8.10% B:0.07%)
5.XG Roller++18/13 3/2eq: +0.395 (-0.043)
Player:
Opponent:		58.33% (G:6.37% B:0.19%)
41.67% (G:5.37% B:0.03%)
 
 41: 9/5 4/3 
Pip=85-114
1.playedXG Roller++9/5 4/3eq: -0.430
Player:
Opponent:		40.65% (G:6.19% B:0.04%)
59.35% (G:8.17% B:0.30%)
2.XG Roller++9/5 2/1eq: -0.462 (-0.031)
Player:
Opponent:		40.01% (G:5.45% B:0.03%)
59.99% (G:8.10% B:0.28%)
3.XG Roller++9/4eq: -0.518 (-0.088)
Player:
Opponent:		38.87% (G:5.32% B:0.04%)
61.13% (G:9.26% B:0.33%)
4.4-ply5/1 4/3eq: -0.703 (-0.272)
Player:
Opponent:		35.32% (G:4.54% B:0.02%)
64.68% (G:13.70% B:0.54%)
5.3-ply5/1 2/1eq: -0.720 (-0.289)
Player:
Opponent:		34.40% (G:3.13% B:0.02%)
65.60% (G:12.54% B:0.30%)
 
 No double 
Pip=80-114
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 59.21% (G:8.30% B:0.29%) 59.22% (G:8.38% B:0.30%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 40.79% (G:6.62% B:0.06%) 40.78% (G:6.92% B:0.06%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.196 +0.401
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.422
     Double/Take:+0.309 (-0.114)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.578)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 14.1%
 
 52: 18/13 6/4 
Pip=80-114
1.playedXG Roller++18/13 6/4eq: +0.416
Player:
Opponent:		60.03% (G:6.45% B:0.20%)
39.97% (G:6.72% B:0.06%)
2.XG Roller++18/16 6/1eq: +0.304 (-0.112)
Player:
Opponent:		55.27% (G:9.19% B:0.30%)
44.73% (G:7.34% B:0.07%)
3.XG Roller++6/4 6/1eq: +0.298 (-0.118)
Player:
Opponent:		54.85% (G:10.41% B:0.32%)
45.15% (G:8.61% B:0.10%)
4.4-ply9/4 6/4eq: +0.187 (-0.228)
Player:
Opponent:		52.83% (G:9.75% B:0.36%)
47.17% (G:12.39% B:0.10%)
5.4-ply9/7 9/4eq: +0.168 (-0.247)
Player:
Opponent:		51.87% (G:8.81% B:0.27%)
48.13% (G:8.08% B:0.11%)
 
 63: 20/11 
Pip=80-107
1.played3-ply20/11eq: -0.556
Player:
Opponent:		33.00% (G:11.86% B:0.16%)
67.00% (G:6.05% B:0.24%)
2.3-ply20/14 5/2eq: -0.948 (-0.392)
Player:
Opponent:		30.11% (G:8.74% B:0.11%)
69.89% (G:15.18% B:0.74%)
3.3-ply20/14 4/1eq: -0.973 (-0.417)
Player:
Opponent:		29.44% (G:8.47% B:0.10%)
70.56% (G:14.89% B:0.72%)
 
 No double 
Pip=71-107
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 65.14% (G:6.09% B:0.28%) 65.27% (G:6.99% B:0.33%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 34.86% (G:11.95% B:0.19%) 34.73% (G:13.61% B:0.22%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.230 +0.495
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.467
xg Double/Take:+0.448 (-0.019)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.533)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 3.4%

Μου κάνει εντύπωση που είναι οριακός βίδος. Θα το φοβόμουν λόγω του εσωτερικού blot.
 
 44: 9/5*(2) 8/4(2) 
Pip=71-107
1.XG Roller++13/5* 9/5 8/4eq: +0.906
Player:
Opponent:		82.66% (G:6.23% B:0.21%)
17.34% (G:1.83% B:0.02%)
2.playedXG Roller++9/5*(2) 8/4(2)eq: +0.893 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:		79.34% (G:4.68% B:0.12%)
20.66% (G:1.65% B:0.02%)
3.XG Roller++10/6 9/5*(2) 8/4eq: +0.890 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:		79.74% (G:5.62% B:0.18%)
20.26% (G:2.83% B:0.04%)
4.XG Roller++9/5*(2) 8/4 6/2eq: +0.792 (-0.115)
Player:
Opponent:		73.77% (G:4.70% B:0.16%)
26.23% (G:3.37% B:0.05%)
5.4-ply13/5* 9/5(2)eq: +0.603 (-0.303)
Player:
Opponent:		67.54% (G:6.21% B:0.26%)
32.46% (G:4.31% B:0.03%)
 
 64: Cannot Move 
Pip=76-91
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		13.99% (G:0.74% B:0.01%)
86.01% (G:5.50% B:0.14%)
 
 Double/Pass 
Pip=76-91
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 84.88% (G:5.25% B:0.14%) 86.30% (G:6.57% B:0.19%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 15.12% (G:0.82% B:0.01%) 13.70% (G:1.01% B:0.01%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.743 +1.584
Cubeful Equities
     No double:+0.955 (-0.045)
     Double/Take:+1.537 (+0.537)
played Double/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
 
 Wins 1pt. 

Game Summary:

Avdis  Category Groutsos 
World Class (-0.0090) Total Error World Champ. (-0.0040)
World Class (-0.0096) Checker Play World Class (-0.0082)
World Champ. (+0.0000) Cube Play World Champ. (+0.0000)
4.52 Performance Rating 2.00
3(1) Move Errors 3
-0.163(-0.65%) Equity lost (cost) -0.140(-0.56%)
     
0 Double Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Take Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
3(1) Total Error 3
-0.163(-0.65%) Equity lost (cost) -0.140(-0.56%)
     
1 Jokers 3
-0.580(-2.33%) Luck +0.580(+2.33%)

 Game 10

15 point match, Score is Avdis: 9, Groutsos: 4

 
 42: 8/4 6/4 
Pip=167-167
1.playedBook18/4 6/4eq: +0.293
Player:
Opponent:		53.54% (G:16.42% B:0.68%)
46.46% (G:11.71% B:0.56%)
2.Book113/11 13/9eq: +0.126 (-0.167)
Player:
Opponent:		49.51% (G:14.97% B:0.64%)
50.49% (G:13.35% B:0.75%)
3.Book124/20 13/11eq: +0.125 (-0.167)
Player:
Opponent:		50.08% (G:13.69% B:0.67%)
49.92% (G:13.29% B:0.59%)
4.Book124/22 13/9eq: +0.120 (-0.173)
Player:
Opponent:		49.85% (G:13.97% B:0.55%)
50.15% (G:13.21% B:0.52%)
5.4-ply24/22 24/20eq: +0.065 (-0.228)
Player:
Opponent:		49.37% (G:11.96% B:0.53%)
50.63% (G:13.25% B:0.44%)
 
1 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++
 
 62: 24/18 13/11 
Pip=167-161
1.playedXG Roller++24/18 13/11eq: -0.450
Player:
Opponent:		43.87% (G:10.69% B:0.55%)
56.13% (G:20.36% B:0.91%)
2.XG Roller++24/16eq: -0.470 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:		43.16% (G:9.65% B:0.43%)
56.84% (G:19.52% B:0.73%)
3.XG Roller++13/5eq: -0.499 (-0.048)
Player:
Opponent:		42.01% (G:11.07% B:0.47%)
57.99% (G:18.65% B:1.14%)
4.XG Roller++24/22 24/18eq: -0.513 (-0.062)
Player:
Opponent:		42.27% (G:9.41% B:0.45%)
57.73% (G:21.10% B:0.67%)
5.XG Roller++24/22 13/7eq: -0.534 (-0.084)
Player:
Opponent:		41.01% (G:10.15% B:0.46%)
58.99% (G:19.97% B:1.02%)
 
 No double 
Pip=159-161
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 56.05% (G:20.15% B:0.89%) 56.05% (G:20.37% B:0.89%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 43.95% (G:10.56% B:0.52%) 43.95% (G:10.60% B:0.52%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.209 +0.479
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.444
     Double/Take:+0.378 (-0.066)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.556)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 9.6%
 
 11: 8/7*(2) 6/5(2) 
Pip=159-161
1.playedXG Roller++8/7*(2) 6/5(2)eq: +0.903
Player:
Opponent:		67.37% (G:24.14% B:1.45%)
32.63% (G:7.20% B:0.34%)
2.XG Roller++8/7* 7/5 6/5eq: +0.774 (-0.129)
Player:
Opponent:		62.81% (G:24.01% B:1.35%)
37.19% (G:8.74% B:0.43%)
3.4-ply24/23 8/7* 6/5(2)eq: +0.719 (-0.184)
Player:
Opponent:		63.34% (G:23.03% B:1.33%)
36.66% (G:8.54% B:0.41%)
4.3-ply24/22 8/7*(2) eq: +0.455 (-0.448)
Player:
Opponent:		57.36% (G:18.31% B:0.83%)
42.64% (G:9.51% B:0.38%)
5.3-ply24/23(2) 8/7*(2) eq: +0.389 (-0.513)
Player:
Opponent:		55.81% (G:17.92% B:0.81%)
44.19% (G:10.30% B:0.38%)
 
 51: Bar/24 13/8 
Pip=166-157
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/24 13/8eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		28.65% (G:6.89% B:0.29%)
71.35% (G:23.15% B:1.53%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/24 11/6eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		26.99% (G:6.18% B:0.25%)
73.01% (G:23.66% B:1.39%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/24 8/3eq: -1.030 (-0.030)
Player:
Opponent:		26.88% (G:5.83% B:0.25%)
73.12% (G:28.02% B:2.58%)
 
 Double/Pass 
Pip=160-157
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 71.34% (G:23.04% B:1.42%) 71.90% (G:24.10% B:1.43%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 28.65% (G:6.80% B:0.28%) 28.10% (G:6.82% B:0.30%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.595 +1.315
Cubeful Equities
     No double:+0.968 (-0.032)
     Double/Take:+1.250 (+0.250)
played Double/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Double / Pass

Ο Αυδής έχει αρκετές νίκες (29%), αλλά τα διπλα του Γρούτσου (23%) είναι αποφασιστικά.
 
 Wins 1pt. 

Game Summary:

Avdis  Category Groutsos 
World Champ. (+0.0000) Total Error World Champ. (+0.0000)
World Champ. (+0.0000) Checker Play World Champ. (+0.0000)
World Champ. (+0.0000) Cube Play World Champ. (+0.0000)
0.00 Performance Rating 0.00
0 Move Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Double Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Take Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Total Error 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Jokers 1
-0.891(-4.00%) Luck +0.891(+4.00%)

 Game 11

15 point match, Score is Avdis: 9, Groutsos: 5

 
 53: 8/3 6/3 
Pip=167-167
1.playedBook18/3 6/3eq: -0.019
Player:
Opponent:		51.53% (G:15.88% B:0.76%)
48.47% (G:13.01% B:0.58%)
2.Book124/21 13/8eq: -0.066 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:		50.79% (G:13.61% B:0.69%)
49.21% (G:13.24% B:0.48%)
3.Book113/10 13/8eq: -0.101 (-0.082)
Player:
Opponent:		49.77% (G:14.25% B:0.76%)
50.23% (G:13.58% B:0.67%)
4.Book124/16eq: -0.104 (-0.085)
Player:
Opponent:		50.35% (G:11.89% B:0.53%)
49.65% (G:13.72% B:0.48%)
5.Book113/5eq: -0.132 (-0.113)
Player:
Opponent:		49.15% (G:13.79% B:0.65%)
50.85% (G:13.80% B:0.68%)
 
1 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++
 
 11: 8/7(2) 6/5(2) 
Pip=159-167
1.playedXG Roller++8/7(2) 6/5(2)eq: +0.299
Player:
Opponent:		54.71% (G:15.78% B:0.69%)
45.29% (G:13.41% B:0.76%)
2.XG Roller++24/23 6/5(3)eq: +0.216 (-0.083)
Player:
Opponent:		52.88% (G:14.57% B:0.59%)
47.12% (G:13.57% B:0.60%)
3.XG Roller++24/23(2) 6/5(2)eq: +0.205 (-0.094)
Player:
Opponent:		52.04% (G:14.83% B:0.54%)
47.96% (G:12.46% B:0.55%)
4.XG Roller++8/5 6/5eq: +0.175 (-0.124)
Player:
Opponent:		51.75% (G:14.89% B:0.62%)
48.25% (G:14.44% B:0.75%)
5.4-ply24/23 8/7 6/5(2)eq: +0.116 (-0.183)
Player:
Opponent:		51.02% (G:14.00% B:0.62%)
48.98% (G:15.99% B:0.86%)
 
 21: 24/23 13/11 
Pip=159-163
1.xgXG Roller++24/23 24/22eq: -0.368
Player:
Opponent:		43.90% (G:11.56% B:0.55%)
56.10% (G:17.04% B:0.63%)
2.XG Roller++24/21eq: -0.411 (-0.043)
Player:
Opponent:		43.07% (G:11.87% B:0.64%)
56.93% (G:17.01% B:0.71%)
3.playedXG Roller++24/23 13/11eq: -0.419 (-0.051)
Player:
Opponent:		42.97% (G:12.65% B:0.63%)
57.03% (G:17.89% B:0.84%)
4.XG Roller++24/22 6/5eq: -0.451 (-0.083)
Player:
Opponent:		42.35% (G:11.50% B:0.59%)
57.65% (G:18.18% B:0.93%)
5.4-ply13/11 6/5eq: -0.518 (-0.149)
Player:
Opponent:		40.40% (G:11.68% B:0.62%)
59.60% (G:19.07% B:1.37%)

Μια χαρακτηριστική κίνηση σε τέτοιες θέσεις. Ανεβαίνουν και τα δύο πούλια, ώστε το ένα να υποστηρίζει το άλλο αυξάνοντας την πιθανότητα να φτιαχτεί anchor αν χτυπηθούν.
 
 No double 
Pip=156-163
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 56.97% (G:18.18% B:0.86%) 57.00% (G:18.23% B:0.85%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 43.03% (G:12.84% B:0.65%) 43.00% (G:12.82% B:0.66%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.184 +0.424
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.420
     Double/Take:+0.330 (-0.090)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.580)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 11.8%
 
 31: 24/21 8/7 
Pip=156-163
1.xgXG Roller++13/10 8/7eq: +0.200
Player:
Opponent:		52.14% (G:15.66% B:0.68%)
47.86% (G:14.59% B:0.85%)
2.XG Roller++24/23 8/5eq: +0.179 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:		51.72% (G:15.04% B:0.60%)
48.28% (G:14.08% B:0.58%)
3.playedXG Roller++24/21 8/7eq: +0.173 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent:		52.09% (G:13.72% B:0.54%)
47.91% (G:13.53% B:0.51%)
4.XG Roller++13/10 6/5eq: +0.084 (-0.116)
Player:
Opponent:		50.05% (G:14.36% B:0.68%)
49.95% (G:16.67% B:1.30%)
5.XG Roller++24/23 13/10eq: +0.069 (-0.130)
Player:
Opponent:		50.01% (G:14.02% B:0.69%)
49.99% (G:17.81% B:1.20%)

Το ξεφόρτωμα της midpoint  με τη δημιουργία builder στο outfield είναι οριακά καλύτερο.
 
 63: 23/17 11/8 
Pip=156-159
1.xgXG Roller++11/5 8/5eq: -0.236
Player:
Opponent:		46.04% (G:14.07% B:0.49%)
53.96% (G:14.05% B:0.65%)
2.playedXG Roller++23/17 11/8eq: -0.321 (-0.086)
Player:
Opponent:		45.06% (G:10.79% B:0.43%)
54.94% (G:15.51% B:0.56%)
3.XG Roller++24/21 23/17eq: -0.325 (-0.089)
Player:
Opponent:		45.36% (G:11.66% B:0.58%)
54.64% (G:17.24% B:0.80%)
4.XG Roller++24/15eq: -0.371 (-0.135)
Player:
Opponent:		44.30% (G:11.01% B:0.48%)
55.70% (G:17.14% B:0.72%)
5.XG Roller++13/4* eq: -0.382 (-0.146)
Player:
Opponent:		43.79% (G:13.61% B:0.67%)
56.21% (G:17.55% B:1.04%)

Αυτή η ζαριά αφήνει αναγκαστικά βολές. Αν ο αντίπαλος βρει μετά από 23/17, δεν έχουμε πετύχει τίποτα. Αν όμως ο αντίπαλος βρει αφού έχουμε κάνει την πόρτα 5, θα έχουμε κάνει την πόρτα 5, η οποία αξίζει το ρίσκο να γυρίσει τρίτο πούλι πίσω.


 
 No double 
Pip=147-159
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 54.94% (G:15.37% B:0.56%) 54.90% (G:15.59% B:0.58%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 45.06% (G:10.97% B:0.45%) 45.10% (G:11.21% B:0.46%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.134 +0.301
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.321
     Double/Take:+0.178 (-0.143)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.679)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 14.8%
 
 11: 24/23 21/20 7/5 
Pip=147-159
1.playedXG Roller++24/23 21/20 7/5eq: -0.031
Player:
Opponent:		47.11% (G:11.44% B:0.37%)
52.89% (G:13.80% B:0.46%)
2.XG Roller++21/20 7/5 6/5eq: -0.060 (-0.029)
Player:
Opponent:		46.32% (G:11.55% B:0.40%)
53.68% (G:14.26% B:0.53%)
3.XG Roller++24/23 7/5 6/5eq: -0.072 (-0.041)
Player:
Opponent:		45.84% (G:11.31% B:0.35%)
54.16% (G:14.19% B:0.50%)
4.XG Roller++24/23 7/6 5/4(2)eq: -0.079 (-0.049)
Player:
Opponent:		45.69% (G:11.28% B:0.36%)
54.31% (G:14.16% B:0.51%)
5.XG Roller++21/20 7/6 5/4(2)eq: -0.087 (-0.056)
Player:
Opponent:		45.64% (G:11.39% B:0.39%)
54.36% (G:14.13% B:0.55%)
 
 64: 8/2* 6/2 
Pip=147-155
1.played4-ply8/2* 6/2eq: +0.051
Player:
Opponent:		52.30% (G:19.29% B:0.58%)
47.70% (G:12.53% B:0.57%)
2.4-ply17/13 8/2* eq: -0.276 (-0.327)
Player:
Opponent:		45.60% (G:11.70% B:0.33%)
54.40% (G:14.85% B:0.53%)
3.4-ply17/7eq: -0.278 (-0.329)
Player:
Opponent:		45.29% (G:10.89% B:0.35%)
54.71% (G:14.02% B:0.50%)
4.3-ply17/11 6/2* eq: -0.338 (-0.389)
Player:
Opponent:		44.02% (G:11.78% B:0.39%)
55.98% (G:15.17% B:0.68%)
5.3-ply13/3eq: -0.364 (-0.415)
Player:
Opponent:		43.80% (G:11.51% B:0.40%)
56.20% (G:16.40% B:0.62%)
 
 43: Bar/21 13/10 
Pip=137-157
1.played4-plyBar/21 13/10eq: -0.167
Player:
Opponent:		45.25% (G:11.98% B:0.69%)
54.75% (G:22.55% B:1.06%)
2.4-plyBar/18eq: -0.328 (-0.161)
Player:
Opponent:		41.87% (G:10.18% B:0.57%)
58.13% (G:26.35% B:0.58%)
3.4-plyBar/21 6/3eq: -0.336 (-0.169)
Player:
Opponent:		41.54% (G:10.82% B:0.61%)
58.46% (G:27.08% B:1.12%)
4.4-plyBar/21 5/2eq: -0.363 (-0.196)
Player:
Opponent:		40.66% (G:10.24% B:0.55%)
59.34% (G:26.68% B:1.09%)
5.3-plyBar/21 7/4eq: -0.521 (-0.354)
Player:
Opponent:		37.36% (G:9.50% B:0.51%)
62.64% (G:30.95% B:2.04%)
 
 42: 17/15* 8/4*  
Pip=137-150
1.xgXG Roller++8/4* 6/4eq: +0.342
Player:
Opponent:		56.96% (G:27.75% B:1.40%)
43.04% (G:10.97% B:0.48%)
2.playedXG Roller++17/15* 8/4* eq: +0.248 (-0.095)
Player:
Opponent:		56.18% (G:26.18% B:1.48%)
43.82% (G:12.01% B:0.71%)
3.4-ply17/15* 15/11eq: +0.138 (-0.205)
Player:
Opponent:		53.80% (G:20.48% B:0.99%)
46.20% (G:11.37% B:0.50%)
4.4-ply17/15* 13/9eq: +0.114 (-0.228)
Player:
Opponent:		53.00% (G:22.22% B:1.27%)
47.00% (G:12.70% B:0.68%)
5.3-ply24/22 17/13eq: -0.087 (-0.429)
Player:
Opponent:		50.43% (G:12.25% B:0.53%)
49.57% (G:13.00% B:0.39%)

Σε τέτοιες περιπτώσεις, συνήθως σωστή είναι η πόρτα. Όπως και στην προηγούμενη ζαριά, η πόρτα είναι ένα μόνιμο πλεονέκτημα (permanent asset), ενώ το διπλό χτύπημα μπορεί να αναιρεθεί είτε άμεσα (με ανταποδοτική βολή) είτε αργότερα (με το να μην καταφέρουμε να φτιάξουμε την πόρτα).


 
 63: Cannot Move 
Pip=131-169
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		29.08% (G:6.07% B:0.35%)
70.92% (G:45.10% B:2.63%)
 
 No double 
Pip=131-169
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 71.38% (G:45.64% B:2.70%) 71.41% (G:45.84% B:2.70%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 28.62% (G:5.95% B:0.31%) 28.59% (G:5.96% B:0.31%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.912 +1.760
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.936 (-0.064)
     Double/Take:+1.316 (+0.316)
xg Double/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Double / Pass

Το διπλό χτύπημα δούλεψε και προφανώς ο Αυδής δεν σκέφτηκε το αν είναι good enough, αλλά αν είναι too good.
Το πούλι στο 24 απέναντί από την αντίπαλη bar, η πόρτα στο 4 που δεν έχει κλείσει ακόμα και το αντίπαλο blot στο 5 που είναι έτοιμο να φτιάξει τη χρυσή 20, μας λένε ότι η θέση δεν είναι too good, άρα το σωστό είναι cash (double / pass).
 
 32: 8/5* 6/4 
Pip=131-169
1.playedXG Roller++8/5* 6/4eq: +1.036
Player:
Opponent:		73.39% (G:49.55% B:3.15%)
26.61% (G:5.46% B:0.27%)
2.XG Roller++13/10 6/4eq: +0.908 (-0.128)
Player:
Opponent:		70.91% (G:43.73% B:2.77%)
29.09% (G:5.90% B:0.30%)
3.XG Roller++24/21 6/4eq: +0.907 (-0.129)
Player:
Opponent:		71.10% (G:39.43% B:2.27%)
28.90% (G:5.50% B:0.24%)
4.3-ply13/11 8/5* eq: +0.557 (-0.479)
Player:
Opponent:		63.36% (G:38.70% B:2.31%)
36.64% (G:10.46% B:0.82%)
5.3-ply24/22 8/5* eq: +0.527 (-0.509)
Player:
Opponent:		62.84% (G:35.98% B:2.02%)
37.16% (G:10.24% B:0.62%)
 
 43: Cannot Move 
Pip=126-174
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.381
Player:
Opponent:		18.87% (G:3.14% B:0.20%)
81.13% (G:62.87% B:4.03%)
 
 21: 24/23 13/11 
Pip=126-174
1.playedXG Roller++24/23 13/11eq: +1.262
Player:
Opponent:		77.97% (G:56.49% B:3.67%)
22.03% (G:4.44% B:0.26%)
2.XG Roller++15/14 13/11eq: +1.237 (-0.024)
Player:
Opponent:		77.34% (G:55.90% B:3.70%)
22.66% (G:4.35% B:0.23%)
3.xgXG Roller++13/11 5/4eq: +1.222 (-0.039)
Player:
Opponent:		77.28% (G:56.81% B:3.21%)
22.72% (G:4.02% B:0.19%)
4.XG Roller++13/10eq: +1.221 (-0.041)
Player:
Opponent:		77.01% (G:55.96% B:3.69%)
22.99% (G:4.66% B:0.26%)
5.XG Roller++24/22 5/4eq: +1.211 (-0.051)
Player:
Opponent:		77.19% (G:54.88% B:2.98%)
22.81% (G:3.93% B:0.19%)
 
 51: Bar/24 Bar/20*  
Pip=123-174
1.played3-plyBar/24 Bar/20* eq: -0.475
Player:
Opponent:		39.03% (G:10.43% B:0.50%)
60.97% (G:30.10% B:2.07%)
 
 No double 
Pip=143-168
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 60.83% (G:30.47% B:2.24%) 60.80% (G:30.50% B:2.31%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 39.17% (G:10.35% B:0.54%) 39.20% (G:10.22% B:0.54%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.474 +0.897
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.477
     Double/Take:+0.250 (-0.227)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.523)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 23.2%

Ίσως φαίνεται περίεργο που ο Αυδής από πολύ too good βρέθηκε να μην έχει βίδο στην επόμενη ζαριά, αλλά γι' αυτό ευθύνεται ο τζόκερ του Γρούτσου που έβαλε όχι ένα, αλλά δύο πούλια χτυπώντας. Με ένα σκέτο χτύπημα στο 5, θα ήταν double / take.
 
 51: Bar/24 15/10 
Pip=143-168
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/24 15/10eq: +0.409
Player:
Opponent:		58.54% (G:29.49% B:2.20%)
41.46% (G:11.23% B:0.62%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/24 13/8eq: +0.336 (-0.073)
Player:
Opponent:		56.86% (G:29.06% B:2.16%)
43.14% (G:12.48% B:0.83%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/24 11/6eq: +0.317 (-0.092)
Player:
Opponent:		56.83% (G:26.62% B:1.83%)
43.17% (G:11.35% B:0.56%)
4.2-plyBar/24 6/1* eq: -0.507 (-0.916)
Player:
Opponent:		41.49% (G:16.40% B:0.76%)
58.51% (G:23.09% B:1.94%)
 
 21: Bar/24 13/11 
Pip=137-168
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/24 13/11eq: -0.482
Player:
Opponent:		39.26% (G:10.10% B:0.63%)
60.74% (G:29.30% B:3.93%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/24 20/18eq: -0.500 (-0.018)
Player:
Opponent:		38.95% (G:9.24% B:0.52%)
61.05% (G:28.04% B:3.14%)
3.4-plyBar/24 5/3eq: -0.782 (-0.300)
Player:
Opponent:		34.63% (G:7.65% B:0.47%)
65.37% (G:37.82% B:5.88%)
4.3-plyBar/24 6/4eq: -0.829 (-0.347)
Player:
Opponent:		34.52% (G:7.29% B:0.39%)
65.48% (G:38.67% B:6.17%)
5.3-plyBar/24 7/5eq: -0.927 (-0.445)
Player:
Opponent:		32.05% (G:7.15% B:0.37%)
67.95% (G:36.59% B:5.54%)
 
 53: 13/5*  
Pip=137-165
1.xgXG Roller++24/21 10/5* eq: +0.442
Player:
Opponent:		60.45% (G:30.37% B:4.35%)
39.55% (G:10.94% B:0.69%)
2.playedXG Roller++13/5* eq: +0.441 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		60.61% (G:30.05% B:4.23%)
39.39% (G:11.30% B:0.92%)
3.XG Roller++11/8 10/5* eq: +0.300 (-0.142)
Player:
Opponent:		56.80% (G:26.78% B:3.52%)
43.20% (G:12.28% B:0.84%)
4.4-ply10/5* 5/2eq: +0.182 (-0.260)
Player:
Opponent:		53.83% (G:25.15% B:3.01%)
46.17% (G:11.65% B:0.53%)
5.4-ply13/10 11/6eq: +0.150 (-0.292)
Player:
Opponent:		54.09% (G:21.65% B:1.77%)
45.91% (G:11.80% B:0.54%)
 
 22: Cannot Move 
Pip=129-170
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		28.08% (G:4.71% B:0.26%)
71.92% (G:39.44% B:6.08%)
 
 Double/Pass 
Pip=129-170
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 71.59% (G:39.99% B:6.36%) 71.74% (G:40.64% B:6.57%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 28.41% (G:4.41% B:0.24%) 28.26% (G:4.50% B:0.27%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.903 +1.766
Cubeful Equities
     No double:+0.988 (-0.012)
     Double/Take:+1.331 (+0.331)
played Double/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
 
 Wins 1pt. 

Game Summary:

Avdis  Category Groutsos 
Intermediate (-0.0269) Total Error World Champ. (-0.0033)
Intermediate (-0.0257) Checker Play World Class (-0.0053)
Intermediate (-0.0321) Cube Play World Champ. (+0.0000)
13.45 Performance Rating 1.66
3(2) Move Errors 1
-0.232(-1.15%) Equity lost (cost) -0.027(-0.13%)
     
1 Double Errors 0
-0.064(-0.32%) Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Take Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
4(2) Total Error 1
-0.296(-1.47%) Equity lost (cost) -0.027(-0.13%)
     
4 Jokers 1
+1.376(+6.83%) Luck -1.376(-6.83%)

 Game 12

15 point match, Score is Avdis: 10, Groutsos: 5

 
 51: 24/23 13/8 
Pip=167-167
1.playedBook124/23 13/8eq: +0.165
Player:
Opponent:		49.88% (G:13.09% B:0.48%)
50.12% (G:12.55% B:0.49%)
2.Book113/8 6/5eq: +0.151 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:		49.52% (G:13.22% B:0.50%)
50.48% (G:13.31% B:0.69%)
3.Book124/18eq: +0.114 (-0.051)
Player:
Opponent:		49.30% (G:11.52% B:0.46%)
50.70% (G:13.13% B:0.50%)
4.Book113/7eq: +0.088 (-0.077)
Player:
Opponent:		47.74% (G:13.40% B:0.60%)
52.26% (G:14.54% B:0.77%)
5.4-ply24/23 8/3eq: -0.013 (-0.178)
Player:
Opponent:		45.70% (G:12.10% B:0.48%)
54.30% (G:15.94% B:0.76%)
 
1 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++
 
 53: 8/3 6/3 
Pip=167-161
1.playedXG Roller++8/3 6/3eq: -0.215
Player:
Opponent:		48.89% (G:13.88% B:0.58%)
51.11% (G:14.28% B:0.62%)
2.XG Roller++24/21 13/8eq: -0.248 (-0.034)
Player:
Opponent:		48.03% (G:11.57% B:0.46%)
51.97% (G:13.77% B:0.50%)
3.XG Roller++24/16eq: -0.287 (-0.073)
Player:
Opponent:		47.81% (G:10.17% B:0.40%)
52.19% (G:14.90% B:0.49%)
4.XG Roller++13/10 13/8eq: -0.307 (-0.093)
Player:
Opponent:		46.57% (G:12.32% B:0.47%)
53.43% (G:14.56% B:0.72%)
5.XG Roller++24/21 6/1* eq: -0.335 (-0.120)
Player:
Opponent:		45.93% (G:11.36% B:0.34%)
54.07% (G:14.71% B:0.64%)
 
 No double 
Pip=159-161
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 51.16% (G:14.44% B:0.61%) 51.33% (G:14.14% B:0.60%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 48.84% (G:14.01% B:0.60%) 48.67% (G:13.69% B:0.55%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.030 +0.148
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.220
     Double/Take:+0.085 (-0.135)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.780)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 12.9%
 
 21: 23/20 
Pip=159-161
1.xgXG Roller++13/11 6/5eq: +0.024
Player:
Opponent:		47.12% (G:13.00% B:0.57%)
52.88% (G:18.91% B:1.30%)
2.XG Roller++24/21eq: +0.009 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:		46.51% (G:11.58% B:0.46%)
53.49% (G:15.96% B:0.58%)
3.XG Roller++24/23 13/11eq: +0.008 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:		45.77% (G:12.59% B:0.43%)
54.23% (G:14.90% B:0.70%)
4.XG Roller++13/10eq: +0.002 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:		46.19% (G:12.55% B:0.52%)
53.81% (G:17.09% B:0.83%)
5.playedXG Roller++23/20eq: -0.006 (-0.030)
Player:
Opponent:		46.05% (G:11.63% B:0.52%)
53.95% (G:16.16% B:0.67%)

To 13/11 6/5 είναι σίγουρα το πιο παραγωγικό παίξιμο. Εφόσον το split στο 23 έχει ήδη γίνει, η επόμενη σκέψη είναι είτε να δέσουμε στο εκεί (γενικά, αυτό είναι πολύ καλύτερο απ' ό,τι νομίζει ο πολύ κόσμος) είτε να εκθέσουμε στο 5. Η αντίπαλη πόρτα στο 3 δεν είναι καταδικαστική. Στην αρχή της παρτίδας έχουμε την πολυτέλεια (και την υποχρεώση) να παίρνουμε τέτοια ρίσκα για να εξασφαλίσουμε καλές πόρτες.
Το 23/20 ανεβαίνει στην πόρτα που ο αντίπαλος θέλει να φτιάξει περισσότερο από όλες, οπότε είναι σίγουρο ότι θα χτυπηθούμε εκεί ακόμα και ελέυθερα, χωρίε πόρτα (loose hit) ενώ το στρατόπεδό μας είναι χειρότερο.
 
 61: 24/18 6/5*  
Pip=159-158
1.xgXG Roller++13/7 6/5* eq: -0.122
Player:
Opponent:		50.83% (G:16.04% B:0.64%)
49.17% (G:13.53% B:0.82%)
2.playedXG Roller++24/18 6/5* eq: -0.144 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:		50.73% (G:13.45% B:0.57%)
49.27% (G:13.61% B:0.56%)
3.XG Roller++13/7 8/7eq: -0.163 (-0.041)
Player:
Opponent:		49.50% (G:14.03% B:0.48%)
50.50% (G:12.54% B:0.57%)
4.XG Roller++24/23 24/18eq: -0.222 (-0.100)
Player:
Opponent:		48.65% (G:11.41% B:0.43%)
51.35% (G:13.67% B:0.43%)
5.XG Roller++13/6eq: -0.222 (-0.100)
Player:
Opponent:		48.25% (G:13.08% B:0.42%)
51.75% (G:12.99% B:0.55%)

Λεπτομέρεια, αλλά το 13/7 ξεφορτώνει τη midpoint και γενικά παίζει εκεί που είμαστε δυντότεροι: στην επίθεση λόγω καλύτερου στρατοπέδου.
 
 No double 
Pip=152-163
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 49.49% (G:13.34% B:0.55%) 49.55% (G:13.52% B:0.56%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 50.51% (G:13.24% B:0.58%) 50.45% (G:13.44% B:0.61%)
  Cubeless Equities -0.007 +0.068
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.150
     Double/Take:-0.008 (-0.158)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.850)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 13.6%
 
 43: Bar/21 24/21 
Pip=152-163
1.played4-plyBar/21 24/21eq: +0.011
Player:
Opponent:		46.36% (G:9.29% B:0.29%)
53.64% (G:9.66% B:0.34%)
2.4-plyBar/21 8/5eq: -0.198 (-0.209)
Player:
Opponent:		41.42% (G:10.04% B:0.39%)
58.58% (G:18.38% B:1.05%)
3.4-plyBar/21 13/10eq: -0.231 (-0.242)
Player:
Opponent:		40.67% (G:9.55% B:0.37%)
59.33% (G:18.55% B:1.02%)
4.4-plyBar/21 6/3eq: -0.247 (-0.258)
Player:
Opponent:		40.48% (G:9.10% B:0.33%)
59.52% (G:18.93% B:1.03%)
5.4-plyBar/18eq: -0.273 (-0.283)
Player:
Opponent:		40.34% (G:8.27% B:0.32%)
59.66% (G:19.73% B:0.76%)
 
 62: 13/5 
Pip=152-156
1.playedXG Roller++13/5eq: +0.016
Player:
Opponent:		54.66% (G:9.92% B:0.33%)
45.34% (G:9.56% B:0.24%)
2.XG Roller++24/18 13/11eq: -0.039 (-0.055)
Player:
Opponent:		52.53% (G:9.39% B:0.29%)
47.47% (G:8.80% B:0.26%)
3.XG Roller++24/18 5/3eq: -0.113 (-0.129)
Player:
Opponent:		50.68% (G:6.91% B:0.19%)
49.32% (G:8.85% B:0.25%)
4.4-ply24/18 8/6eq: -0.202 (-0.218)
Player:
Opponent:		48.00% (G:9.33% B:0.24%)
52.00% (G:10.76% B:0.30%)
5.4-ply24/18 3/1eq: -0.211 (-0.226)
Player:
Opponent:		47.85% (G:7.63% B:0.17%)
52.15% (G:10.21% B:0.32%)

Σωστά. Ο αντίπαλος δεν έχει στρατόπεδο, οπότε το δέσιμο στο bar δεν επείγει και τόσο.
 
 41: 13/9 8/7*  
Pip=144-156
1.playedXG Roller++13/9 8/7* eq: -0.166
Player:
Opponent:		41.88% (G:9.02% B:0.26%)
58.12% (G:13.88% B:0.50%)
2.XG Roller++13/8eq: -0.208 (-0.042)
Player:
Opponent:		40.38% (G:6.35% B:0.15%)
59.62% (G:8.45% B:0.23%)
3.XG Roller++8/7* 7/3eq: -0.248 (-0.082)
Player:
Opponent:		39.59% (G:7.85% B:0.22%)
60.41% (G:13.21% B:0.44%)
4.XG Roller++6/1* eq: -0.291 (-0.125)
Player:
Opponent:		38.22% (G:7.02% B:0.15%)
61.78% (G:11.14% B:0.36%)
5.XG Roller++8/3eq: -0.316 (-0.150)
Player:
Opponent:		37.75% (G:6.40% B:0.17%)
62.25% (G:11.07% B:0.33%)
 
 63: Bar/22 24/18*  
Pip=151-151
1.XG Roller++Bar/16* eq: +0.479
Player:
Opponent:		65.33% (G:17.99% B:0.65%)
34.67% (G:6.40% B:0.22%)
2.playedXG Roller++Bar/22 24/18* eq: +0.477 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		65.27% (G:18.96% B:0.75%)
34.73% (G:6.69% B:0.23%)
3.3-plyBar/22 13/7eq: -0.169 (-0.647)
Player:
Opponent:		49.90% (G:10.16% B:0.32%)
50.10% (G:12.31% B:0.50%)
4.2-plyBar/22 8/2eq: -0.331 (-0.810)
Player:
Opponent:		45.70% (G:10.91% B:0.36%)
54.30% (G:15.53% B:0.78%)
 
 21: Bar/24 9/7*  
Pip=142-169
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/24 9/7* eq: -0.348
Player:
Opponent:		37.91% (G:8.09% B:0.26%)
62.09% (G:19.03% B:0.95%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/23 8/7* eq: -0.457 (-0.110)
Player:
Opponent:		36.31% (G:7.20% B:0.26%)
63.69% (G:24.21% B:1.13%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/23 9/8eq: -0.497 (-0.149)
Player:
Opponent:		33.31% (G:5.98% B:0.18%)
66.69% (G:15.47% B:0.55%)
4.4-plyBar/23 6/5eq: -0.538 (-0.190)
Player:
Opponent:		34.22% (G:6.19% B:0.24%)
65.78% (G:24.73% B:1.04%)
5.4-plyBar/24 6/4eq: -0.565 (-0.217)
Player:
Opponent:		33.99% (G:6.00% B:0.23%)
66.01% (G:25.83% B:1.39%)
 
 31: Bar/22 6/5 
Pip=149-166
1.xgRollout1Bar/21eq: +0.190
Player:
Opponent:		58.11% (G:16.82% B:1.08%)
41.89% (G:10.98% B:0.34%)		Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.177...+0.202) - [99.8%]
Duration: 29 minutes 02 seconds
2.playedRollout1Bar/22 6/5eq: +0.162 (-0.028)
Player:
Opponent:		57.68% (G:16.18% B:0.88%)
42.32% (G:10.53% B:0.36%)		Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.148...+0.176) - [0.2%]
Duration: 27 minutes 46 seconds
3.XG Roller++Bar/24 13/10eq: +0.120 (-0.070)
Player:
Opponent:		57.06% (G:16.73% B:0.87%)
42.94% (G:11.26% B:0.44%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/24 6/3eq: +0.058 (-0.132)
Player:
Opponent:		55.63% (G:15.46% B:0.65%)
44.37% (G:11.50% B:0.38%)
5.4-plyBar/24 8/5eq: -0.005 (-0.194)
Player:
Opponent:		53.91% (G:15.60% B:0.69%)
46.09% (G:12.32% B:0.49%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Μερικές φορές είναι εντυπωσιακό να βλέπεις την τεχνητή νοημοσύνη να παίζει backgammon. Ποιος άνθρωπος που ξέρει έστω και τις βασικές αρχές του παιχνιδιού θα σκεφτόταν εδώ σοβαρά το bar/21;
 
 52: 13/8 7/5 
Pip=145-166
1.playedXG Roller++13/8 7/5eq: -0.382
Player:
Opponent:		36.85% (G:8.17% B:0.27%)
63.15% (G:19.18% B:0.87%)
2.XG Roller++13/11 7/2eq: -0.415 (-0.033)
Player:
Opponent:		35.46% (G:8.06% B:0.24%)
64.54% (G:17.37% B:0.77%)
3.XG Roller++7/2 6/4eq: -0.435 (-0.053)
Player:
Opponent:		35.39% (G:7.61% B:0.22%)
64.61% (G:19.01% B:0.88%)
4.XG Roller++13/8 6/4eq: -0.452 (-0.070)
Player:
Opponent:		36.26% (G:7.42% B:0.26%)
63.74% (G:23.67% B:1.29%)
5.XG Roller++8/6 7/2eq: -0.458 (-0.076)
Player:
Opponent:		34.10% (G:6.94% B:0.18%)
65.90% (G:15.31% B:0.59%)
 
 31: 13/9 
Pip=145-159
1.xgXG Roller++5/1* eq: +0.166
Player:
Opponent:		57.75% (G:17.30% B:0.60%)
42.25% (G:10.25% B:0.36%)
2.playedXG Roller++13/9eq: +0.096 (-0.070)
Player:
Opponent:		56.09% (G:15.67% B:0.68%)
43.91% (G:10.56% B:0.36%)
3.XG Roller++22/18eq: +0.091 (-0.075)
Player:
Opponent:		57.26% (G:14.66% B:0.64%)
42.74% (G:12.36% B:0.38%)
4.XG Roller++22/21 13/10eq: +0.029 (-0.137)
Player:
Opponent:		55.23% (G:17.37% B:1.07%)
44.77% (G:13.29% B:0.59%)
5.4-ply5/2 3/2eq: -0.038 (-0.204)
Player:
Opponent:		52.83% (G:13.74% B:0.47%)
47.17% (G:11.67% B:0.38%)

Ένα παίξιμο που έρχεται σε αντίθεση με την κοινή λογική και προφανώς θα το έπαιζα κι εγώ λάθος.
Γενικά, δεν πρέπει (α) να χτυπάμε πίσω από την αντίπαλη anchor, (β) να χτυπάμε χωρίς πόρτα τόσο νωρίς στον άσο, ειδικά αν δεν έχουμε φτιάξει όλες τις μεγαλυτερες πόρτες, (α) να χτυπάμε στον άσο όταν δεν έχουμε πούλια για να κάνουμε την πόρτα αν δεν χτυπηθούμε, και (δ) να προκαλούμε ανταλλαγή χτυπημάτων ενώ είμαστε μπροστά στην κούρσα.
Στη συγκεκριμένη θέση η εξαίρεση πρέπει να είναι ότι (α) έχουμε σαφώς καλύτερο board, το οποίο ευνοεί την ανταλλαγή πυρών και (β) ότι ο αντίπαλος είναι έτοιμος να φτιάξει την καλύτερη πόρτα του και οι άσοι του μετά το χτύπημα είναι ντουμπλαρισμένοι (με άσο μπαίνει και με άσο κλείνει). Το γιατί αυτό αναιρεί όλα τα παραπάνω, και μάλιστα με σοβαρό προβάδισμα στο σκορ, είναι κάτι που δεν ισχυρίζομαι ότι μπορώ να το εξηγήσω.
 
 63: 24/18 8/5 
Pip=141-159
1.playedXG Roller++24/18 8/5eq: -0.023
Player:
Opponent:		45.35% (G:10.57% B:0.37%)
54.65% (G:13.08% B:0.47%)
2.XG Roller++8/5 8/2eq: -0.122 (-0.099)
Player:
Opponent:		42.48% (G:11.14% B:0.35%)
57.52% (G:14.94% B:0.64%)
3.4-ply8/2 5/2eq: -0.322 (-0.298)
Player:
Opponent:		37.20% (G:8.31% B:0.22%)
62.80% (G:14.85% B:0.56%)
4.4-ply13/7 8/5eq: -0.354 (-0.330)
Player:
Opponent:		38.08% (G:8.69% B:0.33%)
61.92% (G:21.60% B:1.08%)
5.3-ply24/15eq: -0.378 (-0.354)
Player:
Opponent:		37.21% (G:7.76% B:0.29%)
62.79% (G:18.88% B:0.78%)
 
 21: 9/7* 7/6 
Pip=141-150
1.playedXG Roller++9/7* 7/6eq: +0.089
Player:
Opponent:		56.43% (G:12.71% B:0.43%)
43.57% (G:10.08% B:0.30%)
2.XG Roller++9/7* 8/7eq: +0.071 (-0.018)
Player:
Opponent:		55.74% (G:13.74% B:0.55%)
44.26% (G:10.53% B:0.33%)
3.XG Roller++22/21 9/7* eq: -0.006 (-0.096)
Player:
Opponent:		54.37% (G:14.85% B:0.68%)
45.63% (G:12.67% B:0.51%)
4.4-ply8/6 8/7* eq: -0.108 (-0.197)
Player:
Opponent:		50.81% (G:12.83% B:0.48%)
49.19% (G:11.66% B:0.39%)
5.4-ply8/7* 7/5eq: -0.128 (-0.217)
Player:
Opponent:		50.39% (G:13.15% B:0.49%)
49.61% (G:12.34% B:0.40%)
 
 32: Bar/23 8/5 
Pip=138-157
1.played4-plyBar/23 8/5eq: -0.160
Player:
Opponent:		41.41% (G:10.09% B:0.32%)
58.59% (G:14.20% B:0.45%)
2.4-plyBar/23 13/10eq: -0.395 (-0.234)
Player:
Opponent:		36.74% (G:8.03% B:0.30%)
63.26% (G:20.34% B:0.81%)
3.3-plyBar/23 5/2eq: -0.599 (-0.438)
Player:
Opponent:		32.09% (G:6.34% B:0.21%)
67.91% (G:22.81% B:0.97%)
4.3-plyBar/23 21/18eq: -0.620 (-0.460)
Player:
Opponent:		32.38% (G:7.70% B:0.29%)
67.62% (G:34.25% B:2.03%)
 
 32: 13/8 
Pip=138-152
1.playedXG Roller++13/8eq: +0.093
Player:
Opponent:		56.17% (G:14.23% B:0.52%)
43.83% (G:10.28% B:0.33%)
2.XG Roller++13/11 5/2* eq: +0.028 (-0.065)
Player:
Opponent:		54.58% (G:14.79% B:0.55%)
45.42% (G:11.34% B:0.42%)
3.XG Roller++13/11 6/3eq: -0.013 (-0.106)
Player:
Opponent:		53.23% (G:15.56% B:0.62%)
46.77% (G:11.70% B:0.44%)
4.XG Roller++6/1eq: -0.021 (-0.114)
Player:
Opponent:		53.19% (G:14.59% B:0.44%)
46.81% (G:11.51% B:0.40%)
5.4-ply6/3 5/3eq: -0.107 (-0.200)
Player:
Opponent:		50.98% (G:13.42% B:0.48%)
49.02% (G:12.45% B:0.38%)
 
 65: 13/2 
Pip=133-152
1.xgXG Roller++13/8 13/7eq: -0.397
Player:
Opponent:		36.09% (G:7.93% B:0.26%)
63.91% (G:16.25% B:0.56%)
2.playedXG Roller++13/2eq: -0.444 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:		35.10% (G:8.37% B:0.30%)
64.90% (G:19.12% B:0.80%)
3.XG Roller++23/18 13/7eq: -0.465 (-0.068)
Player:
Opponent:		36.14% (G:7.60% B:0.29%)
63.86% (G:25.46% B:1.05%)
4.XG Roller++23/18 8/2eq: -0.523 (-0.127)
Player:
Opponent:		33.56% (G:6.99% B:0.24%)
66.44% (G:20.99% B:0.83%)
5.XG Roller++21/16 21/15eq: -0.539 (-0.142)
Player:
Opponent:		35.25% (G:7.70% B:0.33%)
64.75% (G:34.79% B:1.69%)

Το 13/7 13/8 εγκαταλείπει τον έλεγχο του outfield, αλλά δεν θάβει πούλι και αναγκάζει τον αντίπαλο να λύσει την anchor για να χτυπήσει. Γενικά, αν δεν δραπετεύσει το πούλι του στο 23, η θέση του Γρούτσου εδώ είναι έτοιμη να καταρρεύσει, επειδή έχει πολλά πούλια στο εσωτερικό board του και κανένα spare στο outfield, οπότε το να κρατήσει ένα επιπλέον πούλι εκεί θα ήταν πολύ χρήσιμο.
 
 32: 8/3 
Pip=133-141
1.xgXG Roller++8/6 5/2* eq: +0.191
Player:
Opponent:		58.81% (G:16.13% B:0.56%)
41.19% (G:10.33% B:0.39%)
2.playedXG Roller++8/3eq: +0.175 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:		58.62% (G:14.32% B:0.49%)
41.38% (G:10.03% B:0.34%)
3.XG Roller++13/11 5/2* eq: +0.109 (-0.082)
Player:
Opponent:		57.20% (G:15.68% B:0.62%)
42.80% (G:11.85% B:0.51%)
4.XG Roller++6/1eq: +0.090 (-0.101)
Player:
Opponent:		56.57% (G:14.45% B:0.45%)
43.43% (G:11.17% B:0.39%)
5.XG Roller++13/8eq: +0.049 (-0.142)
Player:
Opponent:		54.49% (G:14.41% B:0.74%)
45.51% (G:9.79% B:0.32%)
 
 31: 6/2 
Pip=128-141
1.playedXG Roller++6/2eq: -0.266
Player:
Opponent:		39.46% (G:10.09% B:0.37%)
60.54% (G:18.29% B:0.66%)
2.XG Roller++13/10 6/5eq: -0.326 (-0.060)
Player:
Opponent:		37.65% (G:9.37% B:0.34%)
62.35% (G:17.76% B:0.61%)
3.XG Roller++13/10 2/1eq: -0.422 (-0.156)
Player:
Opponent:		35.38% (G:8.19% B:0.23%)
64.62% (G:17.52% B:0.59%)
4.4-ply13/10 5/4eq: -0.447 (-0.181)
Player:
Opponent:		35.94% (G:8.60% B:0.36%)
64.06% (G:25.71% B:1.16%)
5.4-ply13/9eq: -0.541 (-0.275)
Player:
Opponent:		32.65% (G:6.98% B:0.26%)
67.35% (G:21.05% B:0.66%)
 
 32: 6/1 
Pip=128-137
1.playedXG Roller++6/1eq: +0.012
Player:
Opponent:		53.89% (G:15.20% B:0.54%)
46.11% (G:11.55% B:0.41%)
2.XG Roller++13/8eq: -0.118 (-0.130)
Player:
Opponent:		49.78% (G:13.36% B:0.70%)
50.22% (G:10.71% B:0.35%)
3.XG Roller++5/2* 3/1eq: -0.119 (-0.131)
Player:
Opponent:		51.57% (G:15.15% B:0.47%)
48.43% (G:14.43% B:0.60%)
4.XG Roller++8/6 8/5eq: -0.121 (-0.133)
Player:
Opponent:		50.30% (G:12.29% B:0.33%)
49.70% (G:11.85% B:0.43%)
5.XG Roller++13/11 5/2* eq: -0.151 (-0.163)
Player:
Opponent:		50.50% (G:13.92% B:0.49%)
49.50% (G:14.76% B:0.66%)
 
 21: 6/4 5/4 
Pip=123-137
1.played4-ply6/4 5/4eq: +0.171
Player:
Opponent:		50.19% (G:14.68% B:0.58%)
49.81% (G:15.91% B:0.43%)
2.4-ply23/21 6/5eq: -0.025 (-0.196)
Player:
Opponent:		44.96% (G:11.60% B:0.36%)
55.04% (G:14.12% B:0.34%)
3.4-ply23/21 5/4eq: -0.070 (-0.241)
Player:
Opponent:		44.31% (G:12.67% B:0.44%)
55.69% (G:18.52% B:0.53%)
4.4-ply13/10eq: -0.086 (-0.257)
Player:
Opponent:		43.50% (G:11.90% B:0.47%)
56.50% (G:16.56% B:0.49%)
5.4-ply13/11 6/5eq: -0.086 (-0.257)
Player:
Opponent:		43.70% (G:11.50% B:0.43%)
56.30% (G:16.71% B:0.45%)
 
 52: 13/11 13/8 
Pip=123-134
1.xgXG Roller++13/8 3/1eq: -0.404
Player:
Opponent:		42.82% (G:11.41% B:0.39%)
57.18% (G:12.48% B:0.40%)
2.playedXG Roller++13/11 13/8eq: -0.440 (-0.036)
Player:
Opponent:		41.69% (G:10.24% B:0.35%)
58.31% (G:12.71% B:0.43%)
3.XG Roller++13/6eq: -0.529 (-0.125)
Player:
Opponent:		39.80% (G:10.11% B:0.30%)
60.20% (G:13.50% B:0.50%)
4.XG Roller++8/6 8/3eq: -0.562 (-0.158)
Player:
Opponent:		40.13% (G:10.83% B:0.23%)
59.87% (G:16.48% B:0.59%)
5.3-ply13/8 5/3eq: -0.779 (-0.375)
Player:
Opponent:		34.88% (G:8.41% B:0.33%)
65.12% (G:16.49% B:0.64%)

Άλλο ένα εξαιρετικά δύσκολο παίξιμο για ανθρώπους. Προφανώς έχει να κάνει με την ενίσχυση του στρατοπέδου και την επικείμενη επίθεση στο αντίπαλο blot εκεί, καθώς και με τον καλύτερο έλεγχο του outfield.
 
 No double 
Pip=116-134
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 58.36% (G:12.78% B:0.44%) 58.70% (G:12.55% B:0.39%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 41.64% (G:10.30% B:0.35%) 41.30% (G:10.25% B:0.34%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.194 +0.458
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.450
     Double/Take:+0.377 (-0.073)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.550)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 10.5%
 
 53: 23/15 
Pip=116-134
1.playedXG Roller++23/15eq: +0.489
Player:
Opponent:		59.36% (G:12.48% B:0.37%)
40.64% (G:8.70% B:0.17%)
2.XG Roller++23/18 13/10eq: +0.329 (-0.160)
Player:
Opponent:		55.07% (G:12.19% B:0.38%)
44.93% (G:10.64% B:0.21%)
3.XG Roller++23/18 21/18eq: +0.327 (-0.161)
Player:
Opponent:		56.22% (G:12.10% B:0.41%)
43.78% (G:15.66% B:0.30%)
4.4-ply13/5eq: +0.186 (-0.303)
Player:
Opponent:		51.04% (G:11.88% B:0.33%)
48.96% (G:11.21% B:0.30%)
5.3-ply21/13eq: +0.090 (-0.399)
Player:
Opponent:		50.13% (G:12.66% B:0.40%)
49.87% (G:20.23% B:0.34%)
 
 54: 11/6 5/1 
Pip=116-126
1.playedXG Roller++11/6 5/1eq: -0.624
Player:
Opponent:		37.40% (G:6.51% B:0.10%)
62.60% (G:12.72% B:0.35%)
2.XG Roller++11/2eq: -0.663 (-0.039)
Player:
Opponent:		36.51% (G:6.04% B:0.10%)
63.49% (G:12.91% B:0.37%)
3.3-ply11/7 8/3eq: -0.883 (-0.259)
Player:
Opponent:		31.27% (G:4.94% B:0.14%)
68.73% (G:13.28% B:0.42%)
4.3-ply8/3 5/1eq: -0.889 (-0.265)
Player:
Opponent:		31.49% (G:5.40% B:0.13%)
68.51% (G:14.07% B:0.45%)
5.3-ply6/2 6/1eq: -1.000 (-0.376)
Player:
Opponent:		28.56% (G:3.90% B:0.09%)
71.44% (G:13.58% B:0.40%)
 
 No double 
Pip=107-126
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 62.58% (G:13.19% B:0.37%) 62.78% (G:13.26% B:0.36%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 37.42% (G:6.79% B:0.12%) 37.22% (G:6.91% B:0.13%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.317 +0.694
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.631
     Double/Take:+0.606 (-0.025)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.369)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 6.0%

Είναι πολύ ενδιαφέρον να δούμε πόσο κοντά στον βίδο είναι ο Γρούτσος, λόγω του καλύτερου timing. Το πούλι του στο 23 δραπέτευσε, ελέγωχει το outfield και η θέση του Αυδή έχει αρχίσει να χαλάει και μάλλον θα χειροτερεύσει κι άλλο.
 
 32: 13/8 
Pip=107-126
1.playedXG Roller++13/8eq: +0.621
Player:
Opponent:		61.79% (G:14.03% B:0.40%)
38.21% (G:7.22% B:0.14%)
2.XG Roller++13/10 6/4eq: +0.483 (-0.138)
Player:
Opponent:		58.83% (G:13.27% B:0.40%)
41.17% (G:9.49% B:0.18%)
3.XG Roller++6/1eq: +0.462 (-0.160)
Player:
Opponent:		57.54% (G:15.72% B:0.38%)
42.46% (G:12.74% B:0.35%)
4.XG Roller++15/10eq: +0.420 (-0.201)
Player:
Opponent:		57.35% (G:12.57% B:0.38%)
42.65% (G:9.21% B:0.20%)
5.4-ply15/12 13/11eq: +0.365 (-0.256)
Player:
Opponent:		56.09% (G:12.11% B:0.35%)
43.91% (G:9.56% B:0.16%)
 
 53: 8/5 6/1 
Pip=107-121
1.played4-ply8/5 6/1eq: -0.729
Player:
Opponent:		35.57% (G:5.40% B:0.06%)
64.43% (G:14.98% B:0.33%)
2.4-ply8/3 6/3eq: -0.891 (-0.162)
Player:
Opponent:		32.37% (G:4.79% B:0.04%)
67.63% (G:15.78% B:0.36%)
3.4-ply8/5 8/3eq: -0.979 (-0.250)
Player:
Opponent:		29.18% (G:4.23% B:0.04%)
70.82% (G:13.43% B:0.30%)
4.4-ply8/3 5/2eq: -1.000 (-0.271)
Player:
Opponent:		27.34% (G:3.47% B:0.03%)
72.66% (G:15.72% B:0.43%)
5.4-ply6/1 5/2eq: -1.000 (-0.271)
Player:
Opponent:		26.59% (G:3.09% B:0.02%)
73.41% (G:16.27% B:0.43%)
 
 No double 
Pip=99-121
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 65.60% (G:15.86% B:0.45%) 65.80% (G:16.32% B:0.45%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 34.40% (G:6.37% B:0.12%) 34.20% (G:6.67% B:0.12%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.408 +0.889
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.796 (-0.012)
xg Double/Take:+0.808
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.192)
 
Best Cube action: Double / Take

Η θέση του Αυδή χειροτέρεψε, και ο Γρούτσος τεχνικά έχει φτάσει στον βίδο, ακριβώς επειδή το timing του (για πόσες ζαριές μπορεί να παίζει άνετα χωρίς να χαλάει το στρατόπεδό του)  είναι τόσο καλό, αφού είναι σαφώς πίσω στην κούρσα.
 
 22: 15/11 8/4 
Pip=99-121
1.playedXG Roller++15/11 8/4eq: +0.749
Player:
Opponent:		63.81% (G:16.09% B:0.49%)
36.19% (G:6.24% B:0.12%)
2.XG Roller++8/2 6/4eq: +0.698 (-0.052)
Player:
Opponent:		63.16% (G:15.64% B:0.47%)
36.84% (G:7.17% B:0.14%)
3.XG Roller++15/13 8/2eq: +0.653 (-0.097)
Player:
Opponent:		62.01% (G:14.96% B:0.44%)
37.99% (G:7.28% B:0.18%)
4.XG Roller++15/13 8/4 6/4eq: +0.641 (-0.108)
Player:
Opponent:		61.95% (G:14.19% B:0.44%)
38.05% (G:6.82% B:0.17%)
5.4-ply15/11 6/2eq: +0.492 (-0.257)
Player:
Opponent:		59.04% (G:12.70% B:0.35%)
40.96% (G:7.03% B:0.09%)
 
 51: 6/5 6/1 
Pip=99-113
1.playedXG Roller++6/5 6/1eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		29.76% (G:3.69% B:0.06%)
70.24% (G:17.19% B:0.46%)
2.XG Roller++8/2eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		26.63% (G:3.88% B:0.07%)
73.37% (G:15.03% B:0.43%)
3.XG Roller++8/7 8/3eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		26.39% (G:3.43% B:0.07%)
73.61% (G:16.22% B:0.49%)
4.XG Roller++6/1 3/2eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		25.67% (G:3.00% B:0.04%)
74.33% (G:16.95% B:0.45%)
5.XG Roller++8/3 6/5eq: -1.079 (-0.079)
Player:
Opponent:		18.49% (G:1.87% B:0.03%)
81.51% (G:23.21% B:0.63%)

Εδώ πλέον ό,τι και να παίξει θα γίνει double out.
 
 Double/Pass 
Pip=93-113
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 70.46% (G:16.76% B:0.45%) 71.20% (G:17.40% B:0.46%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 29.54% (G:3.40% B:0.05%) 28.80% (G:3.35% B:0.04%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.543 +1.184
Cubeful Equities
     No double:+0.869 (-0.131)
     Double/Take:+1.098 (+0.098)
played Double/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
 
 Wins 1pt. 

Game Summary:

Avdis  Category Groutsos 
Expert (-0.0115) Total Error World Champ. (-0.0044)
Expert (-0.0123) Checker Play World Class (-0.0055)
World Champ. (+0.0000) Cube Play World Champ. (-0.0019)
5.76 Performance Rating 2.21
4 Move Errors 2
-0.173(-0.85%) Equity lost (cost) -0.077(-0.38%)
     
0 Double Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) -0.012(-0.06%)
     
0 Take Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
4 Total Error 2
-0.173(-0.85%) Equity lost (cost) -0.088(-0.44%)
     
1 Jokers 0
-0.696(-3.43%) Luck +0.696(+3.43%)

 Game 13

15 point match, Score is Avdis: 10, Groutsos: 6

 
 63: 24/18 13/10 
Pip=167-167
1.playedBook124/18 13/10eq: +0.140
Player:
Opponent:		50.63% (G:13.33% B:0.58%)
49.37% (G:14.16% B:0.79%)		Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.139...+0.142) - [100.0%]
2.Book124/15eq: +0.119 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent:		50.41% (G:12.12% B:0.50%)
49.59% (G:13.63% B:0.68%)		Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.118...+0.121) - [0.0%]
3.Book213/4eq: +0.088 (-0.053)
Player:
Opponent:		48.41% (G:13.45% B:0.59%)
51.59% (G:14.03% B:0.75%)
4.Book224/21 13/7eq: +0.086 (-0.055)
Player:
Opponent:		48.47% (G:13.05% B:0.56%)
51.53% (G:13.62% B:0.58%)
5.Book213/10 13/7eq: +0.066 (-0.074)
Player:
Opponent:		47.80% (G:13.55% B:0.57%)
52.20% (G:14.47% B:0.86%)
 
1 Generated by Steven Carey on 31-Jul-12 using eXtreme Gammon 2.10
93312 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 53850934
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++
 
 43: 24/21 13/9 
Pip=167-158
1.playedXG Roller++24/21 13/9eq: -0.388
Player:
Opponent:		43.76% (G:10.61% B:0.42%)
56.24% (G:15.22% B:0.73%)
2.XG Roller++24/20 13/10eq: -0.399 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent:		43.83% (G:10.32% B:0.41%)
56.17% (G:15.66% B:0.78%)
3.XG Roller++24/21 24/20eq: -0.421 (-0.033)
Player:
Opponent:		43.05% (G:10.03% B:0.43%)
56.95% (G:15.64% B:0.58%)
4.XG Roller++13/6eq: -0.467 (-0.078)
Player:
Opponent:		41.98% (G:10.40% B:0.34%)
58.02% (G:15.69% B:0.76%)
5.XG Roller++8/1* eq: -0.468 (-0.080)
Player:
Opponent:		41.77% (G:11.01% B:0.33%)
58.23% (G:15.65% B:0.88%)

Κανόνας απομνημόνευσης: Όταν μετά την πρώτη ζαριά του αντιπάλου φέρουμε 43 ή 32 και δεν μπορούμε να χτυπήσουμε πουθενά, τότε πολύ συχνά τα πιο σωστά παιξίματα είναι:
43: 24/21 13/9
32: 242/1 13/11
 
 No double 
Pip=160-158
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 56.22% (G:15.32% B:0.76%) 56.34% (G:15.36% B:0.74%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 43.78% (G:10.58% B:0.42%) 43.66% (G:10.46% B:0.41%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.171 +0.411
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.394
     Double/Take:+0.317 (-0.077)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.606)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 10.2%
 
 42: 8/4* 6/4 
Pip=160-158
1.playedXG Roller++8/4* 6/4eq: +0.516
Player:
Opponent:		58.21% (G:18.75% B:1.08%)
41.79% (G:10.61% B:0.47%)
2.XG Roller++18/16* 8/4* eq: +0.477 (-0.039)
Player:
Opponent:		57.07% (G:17.74% B:1.01%)
42.93% (G:10.88% B:0.54%)
3.4-ply24/20 18/16* eq: +0.302 (-0.214)
Player:
Opponent:		54.48% (G:14.21% B:0.66%)
45.52% (G:11.52% B:0.46%)
4.4-ply18/16* 10/6eq: +0.299 (-0.216)
Player:
Opponent:		54.37% (G:14.67% B:0.67%)
45.63% (G:11.85% B:0.43%)
5.4-ply18/16* 13/9eq: +0.249 (-0.267)
Player:
Opponent:		52.54% (G:15.24% B:0.84%)
47.46% (G:13.23% B:0.73%)
 
 64: Cannot Move 
Pip=164-152
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		32.13% (G:6.51% B:0.27%)
67.87% (G:26.58% B:1.65%)
 
 Double/Pass 
Pip=164-152
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 68.13% (G:26.05% B:1.49%) 67.85% (G:27.15% B:1.53%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 31.87% (G:6.42% B:0.25%) 32.15% (G:6.80% B:0.29%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.559 +1.220
Cubeful Equities
     No double:+0.921 (-0.079)
     Double/Take:+1.136 (+0.136)
played Double/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Double / Pass

Πολύ σωστό πάσο. Ομολογώ ότι αυτή είναι μια θέση που πιθανόν να έσφαλα βαριά. Το σκορ εδώ παίζει μεγάλο ρόλο. Για να γίνει take (οριακό) πρέπει να το σκορ να είναι ισόπαλο μέχρι και το 10-10 ή να είναι πολύ νωρίς στο ματς και μακριά από το τέλος του.
Χαρακτηριστικό είναι το πόσο πάσο είναι στο επικίνδυνο για τα gammons 11-11: 0,300!
Το backgammon είναι δύσκολο παιχνίδι.
 
 Wins 1pt. 

Game Summary:

Avdis  Category Groutsos 
World Champ. (+0.0000) Total Error World Champ. (+0.0000)
World Champ. (+0.0000) Checker Play World Champ. (+0.0000)
World Champ. (+0.0000) Cube Play World Champ. (+0.0000)
0.00 Performance Rating 0.00
0 Move Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Double Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Take Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Total Error 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Jokers 1
-0.850(-4.68%) Luck +0.850(+4.68%)

 Game 14

15 point match, Score is Avdis: 10, Groutsos: 7

 
 51: 24/23 13/8 
Pip=167-167
1.playedBook124/23 13/8eq: +0.135
Player:
Opponent:		50.11% (G:13.87% B:0.54%)
49.89% (G:13.41% B:0.68%)		Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.132...+0.139) - [100.0%]
2.Book113/8 6/5eq: +0.123 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:		49.89% (G:13.99% B:0.59%)
50.11% (G:14.35% B:0.96%)		Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.119...+0.127) - [0.0%]
3.Book224/18eq: +0.089 (-0.046)
Player:
Opponent:		49.28% (G:11.55% B:0.46%)
50.72% (G:13.15% B:0.50%)
4.Book213/7eq: +0.061 (-0.075)
Player:
Opponent:		47.81% (G:13.38% B:0.62%)
52.19% (G:14.68% B:0.78%)
5.Book324/23 8/3eq: -0.045 (-0.180)
Player:
Opponent:		45.59% (G:12.06% B:0.48%)
54.41% (G:15.90% B:0.75%)
 
1 Generated by Steven Carey on 06-Aug-12 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
20736 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 5
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++

3 Generated by Dmitriy Obukhov on 05-Feb-13 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++
 
 64: 8/2* 6/2 
Pip=167-161
1.playedXG Roller++8/2* 6/2eq: -0.094
Player:
Opponent:		50.68% (G:15.25% B:0.62%)
49.32% (G:12.95% B:0.58%)
2.XG Roller++24/14eq: -0.242 (-0.148)
Player:
Opponent:		48.11% (G:10.47% B:0.41%)
51.89% (G:14.57% B:0.45%)
3.4-ply24/18 13/9eq: -0.288 (-0.195)
Player:
Opponent:		46.76% (G:11.17% B:0.48%)
53.24% (G:15.66% B:0.65%)
4.4-ply24/20 24/18eq: -0.314 (-0.220)
Player:
Opponent:		46.41% (G:8.76% B:0.32%)
53.59% (G:15.17% B:0.45%)
5.4-ply24/20 8/2* eq: -0.322 (-0.228)
Player:
Opponent:		45.44% (G:10.97% B:0.37%)
54.56% (G:14.74% B:0.68%)
 
 21: Bar/22 
Pip=157-163
1.xgXG Roller++Bar/24 13/11eq: +0.035
Player:
Opponent:		47.72% (G:13.02% B:0.52%)
52.28% (G:16.09% B:0.91%)
2.playedXG Roller++Bar/22eq: +0.030 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:		47.85% (G:12.01% B:0.47%)
52.15% (G:15.65% B:0.53%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/24 6/4eq: -0.029 (-0.065)
Player:
Opponent:		46.63% (G:11.88% B:0.48%)
53.37% (G:17.24% B:1.15%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/24 8/6eq: -0.060 (-0.096)
Player:
Opponent:		45.43% (G:12.09% B:0.49%)
54.57% (G:17.03% B:0.97%)
 
 41: 24/23 24/20 
Pip=157-160
1.xgXG Roller++13/8eq: -0.183
Player:
Opponent:		48.62% (G:14.10% B:0.43%)
51.38% (G:13.51% B:0.56%)
2.playedXG Roller++24/23 24/20eq: -0.207 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:		48.26% (G:13.11% B:0.51%)
51.74% (G:13.94% B:0.48%)
3.XG Roller++24/23 13/9eq: -0.270 (-0.087)
Player:
Opponent:		46.42% (G:13.71% B:0.47%)
53.58% (G:14.53% B:0.67%)
4.XG Roller++8/3* eq: -0.320 (-0.138)
Player:
Opponent:		46.01% (G:14.31% B:0.55%)
53.99% (G:16.27% B:1.02%)
5.XG Roller++6/1* eq: -0.331 (-0.149)
Player:
Opponent:		45.49% (G:13.27% B:0.35%)
54.51% (G:15.75% B:0.77%)

Μικρό λάθος, αλλά η ιδέα είναι απλή: να βελτιωθεί η κατανομή των πουλίων ανάμεσα στη βαρυφορτωμένη midpoint και τη γυμνή 8. Ο διαχωρισμός των πίσω πουλίων δεν επείγει, αφού ο αντίπαλος δεν έχει δραπετεύσει πούλι ούτε έχει ξεκινήσει να φτιάχνει στρατόπεδο ή prime.
 
 No double 
Pip=152-160
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 51.89% (G:13.87% B:0.47%) 51.90% (G:13.98% B:0.48%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 48.11% (G:12.93% B:0.51%) 48.10% (G:12.87% B:0.52%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.049 +0.154
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.211
     Double/Take:+0.053 (-0.158)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.789)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 14.3%
 
 33: 8/5*(2) 6/3(2) 
Pip=152-160
1.playedXG Roller++8/5*(2) 6/3(2)eq: +0.894
Player:
Opponent:		65.58% (G:25.37% B:0.99%)
34.42% (G:7.93% B:0.32%)
2.XG Roller++13/10(2) 8/5*(2) eq: +0.738 (-0.156)
Player:
Opponent:		62.39% (G:20.87% B:0.84%)
37.61% (G:9.20% B:0.37%)
3.4-ply24/21 13/10 8/5*(2) eq: +0.624 (-0.270)
Player:
Opponent:		60.17% (G:19.98% B:0.85%)
39.83% (G:10.25% B:0.42%)
4.3-ply13/7 8/5*(2) eq: +0.522 (-0.372)
Player:
Opponent:		57.81% (G:19.93% B:0.72%)
42.19% (G:10.75% B:0.48%)
5.3-ply8/5*(3) 5/2* eq: +0.515 (-0.379)
Player:
Opponent:		56.72% (G:22.46% B:0.71%)
43.28% (G:12.15% B:0.65%)
 
 51: Bar/24 13/8 
Pip=157-148
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/24 13/8eq: -0.899
Player:
Opponent:		35.90% (G:8.59% B:0.32%)
64.10% (G:24.08% B:0.86%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/24 23/18eq: -1.000 (-0.101)
Player:
Opponent:		34.36% (G:7.93% B:0.34%)
65.64% (G:27.83% B:1.14%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/24 6/1* eq: -1.000 (-0.101)
Player:
Opponent:		32.04% (G:7.77% B:0.22%)
67.96% (G:26.25% B:1.53%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/24 8/3* eq: -1.000 (-0.101)
Player:
Opponent:		32.40% (G:8.23% B:0.34%)
67.60% (G:29.58% B:2.46%)
 
 No double 
Pip=151-148
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 64.11% (G:23.92% B:0.81%) 63.79% (G:25.08% B:0.84%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 35.89% (G:8.52% B:0.33%) 36.21% (G:8.88% B:0.40%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.444 +0.992
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.808 (-0.093)
xg Double/Take:+0.901
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.099)
 
Best Cube action: Double / Take

Το ότι ο Αυδής έχει ένα υγιές take, δεν σημαίνει ότι ο Γρούτσος πρέπει να φοβηθεί να βιδάρει.
Έχει ισχυρότερο και ποιοτικότερο στρατόπεδο, πιθανότητες διπλού και είναι πίσω στο σκορ.
 
 66: 13/7(2) 8/2*(2)  
Pip=151-148
1.xgXG Roller++13/1* 8/2*(2) eq: +1.129
Player:
Opponent:		74.12% (G:48.27% B:0.62%)
25.88% (G:6.03% B:0.30%)
2.playedXG Roller++13/7(2) 8/2*(2) eq: +1.120 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		76.03% (G:41.20% B:1.21%)
23.97% (G:5.00% B:0.24%)
3.XG Roller++22/10 8/2*(2) eq: +1.080 (-0.049)
Player:
Opponent:		74.48% (G:35.18% B:1.11%)
25.52% (G:4.77% B:0.20%)
4.XG Roller++13/1*(2) eq: +1.058 (-0.071)
Player:
Opponent:		72.18% (G:39.76% B:0.73%)
27.82% (G:6.06% B:0.29%)
5.XG Roller++22/16 13/7 8/2*(2) eq: +1.053 (-0.076)
Player:
Opponent:		72.53% (G:38.21% B:1.10%)
27.47% (G:6.30% B:0.32%)
 
 21: Bar/24 13/11 
Pip=153-124
1.XG Roller++Bar/24 8/6eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		24.22% (G:4.39% B:0.13%)
75.78% (G:22.81% B:1.81%)
2.playedXG Roller++Bar/24 13/11eq: -1.001 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		26.11% (G:5.00% B:0.17%)
73.89% (G:24.35% B:2.15%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/24 6/4eq: -1.057 (-0.057)
Player:
Opponent:		25.59% (G:4.01% B:0.16%)
74.41% (G:29.81% B:3.12%)
 
 Double/Pass 
Pip=150-124
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 73.87% (G:24.17% B:2.09%) 73.86% (G:24.47% B:2.25%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 26.13% (G:5.02% B:0.19%) 26.14% (G:5.36% B:0.20%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.692 +1.497
Cubeful Equities
     No double:+0.997 (-0.003)
     Double/Take:+1.414 (+0.414)
played Double/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Double / Pass

Τυπική περίπτωση χαμένου market. Όταν αποτυγχάνουμε να βιδάρουμε τη σωστή στιγμή, υπάρχει πάντα ο κίνδυνος να μην έχουμε δεύτερη ευκαρία για την αγορά μας.
 
 Wins 1pt. 

Game Summary:

Avdis  Category Groutsos 
World Class (-0.0052) Total Error Advanced (-0.0155)
World Class (-0.0065) Checker Play World Champ. (-0.0038)
World Champ. (+0.0000) Cube Play Intermediate (-0.0311)
2.59 Performance Rating 7.75
1 Move Errors 0
-0.026(-0.15%) Equity lost (cost) -0.015(-0.09%)
     
0 Double Errors 1(1)
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) -0.093(-0.56%)
     
0 Take Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
1 Total Error 1(1)
-0.026(-0.15%) Equity lost (cost) -0.108(-0.65%)
     
0 Jokers 2
-0.899(-5.36%) Luck +0.899(+5.36%)

 Game 15

15 point match, Score is Avdis: 10, Groutsos: 8

 
 43: 24/21 13/9 
Pip=167-167
1.xgBook113/10 13/9eq: -0.091
Player:
Opponent:		49.66% (G:15.88% B:1.02%)
50.34% (G:14.21% B:0.81%)		Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.095...-0.087) - [52.5%]
2.playedBook224/21 13/9eq: -0.091 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		49.85% (G:14.71% B:0.92%)
50.15% (G:13.93% B:0.65%)		Conf.: ± 0.003 (-0.093...-0.088) - [46.1%]
3.Book124/20 13/10eq: -0.095 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		49.77% (G:14.30% B:0.89%)
50.23% (G:13.74% B:0.64%)		Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.099...-0.091) - [1.4%]
4.Book224/21 24/20eq: -0.103 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:		49.74% (G:12.73% B:0.78%)
50.26% (G:13.59% B:0.52%)		Conf.: ± 0.002 (-0.106...-0.101) - [0.0%]
5.Book313/9 8/5eq: -0.181 (-0.091)
Player:
Opponent:		47.97% (G:14.08% B:0.58%)
52.03% (G:14.56% B:0.91%)
 
1 Generated by Steven Carey on 08-Aug-12 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
20736 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 19
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 Generated by Steven Carey on 08-Aug-12 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
46656 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 19
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

3 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++
 
 31: 8/5 6/5 
Pip=160-167
1.played4-ply8/5 6/5eq: +0.093
Player:
Opponent:		50.09% (G:12.95% B:0.50%)
49.91% (G:13.40% B:0.66%)
2.4-ply8/4* eq: -0.109 (-0.202)
Player:
Opponent:		45.18% (G:11.84% B:0.53%)
54.82% (G:16.73% B:1.08%)
3.4-ply24/20eq: -0.153 (-0.246)
Player:
Opponent:		44.35% (G:10.18% B:0.43%)
55.65% (G:16.07% B:0.65%)
4.4-ply24/23 24/21eq: -0.172 (-0.265)
Player:
Opponent:		44.09% (G:9.40% B:0.34%)
55.91% (G:16.14% B:0.58%)
5.4-ply24/21 6/5eq: -0.189 (-0.282)
Player:
Opponent:		44.07% (G:9.68% B:0.36%)
55.93% (G:17.78% B:0.89%)
 
 51: 21/16 9/8 
Pip=160-163
1.playedXG Roller++21/16 9/8eq: -0.411
Player:
Opponent:		43.53% (G:9.94% B:0.43%)
56.47% (G:17.85% B:0.66%)
2.XG Roller++21/15eq: -0.431 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:		42.89% (G:9.93% B:0.44%)
57.11% (G:17.75% B:0.81%)
3.XG Roller++13/8 9/8eq: -0.440 (-0.029)
Player:
Opponent:		42.52% (G:11.24% B:0.56%)
57.48% (G:18.02% B:0.73%)
4.XG Roller++24/23 13/8eq: -0.442 (-0.031)
Player:
Opponent:		42.28% (G:11.12% B:0.54%)
57.72% (G:18.10% B:0.86%)
5.XG Roller++21/16 6/5eq: -0.463 (-0.052)
Player:
Opponent:		42.83% (G:10.18% B:0.44%)
57.17% (G:20.18% B:1.34%)
 
 No double 
Pip=154-163
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 56.51% (G:18.02% B:0.65%) 56.49% (G:18.33% B:0.68%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 43.49% (G:10.20% B:0.44%) 43.51% (G:10.19% B:0.45%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.216 +0.481
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.412
     Double/Take:+0.317 (-0.095)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.588)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 12.3%
 
 43: 24/21 13/9*  
Pip=154-163
1.xgXG Roller++13/10 13/9* eq: +0.590
Player:
Opponent:		60.03% (G:20.47% B:0.93%)
39.97% (G:10.07% B:0.50%)
2.playedXG Roller++24/21 13/9* eq: +0.561 (-0.029)
Player:
Opponent:		59.83% (G:19.16% B:0.83%)
40.17% (G:9.27% B:0.38%)
3.XG Roller++13/9* 9/6eq: +0.476 (-0.113)
Player:
Opponent:		57.77% (G:19.28% B:0.73%)
42.23% (G:10.04% B:0.46%)
4.4-ply13/9* 8/5eq: +0.397 (-0.193)
Player:
Opponent:		55.71% (G:19.38% B:0.84%)
44.29% (G:11.41% B:0.62%)
5.4-ply13/9* 6/3eq: +0.390 (-0.200)
Player:
Opponent:		56.08% (G:18.45% B:0.79%)
43.92% (G:12.22% B:0.80%)

Η αρχή εδώ είναι ότι κατεβάζουμε builers στο  outfield όταν ο αντίπαλος είναι χτυπημένος. Φυσικά το 24/21 που παίχτηκε είναι ένα πολύ εύλογο hit and split (γι' αυτό και δεν είναι πολύ λάθος) όμως ταιριάζει περισσότερο σε κάποιον που είναι μπροστά στο σκορ και όχι σε μια θέση όπου έχουμε ήδη καλύτερο στρατόπεδο.
 
 33: Bar/22 8/5(2) 6/3 
Pip=163-156
1.xgXG Roller++Bar/22 24/21 8/5(2)eq: -0.376
Player:
Opponent:		44.27% (G:11.79% B:0.57%)
55.73% (G:18.21% B:0.64%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/22 13/10 8/5(2)eq: -0.419 (-0.043)
Player:
Opponent:		42.58% (G:12.27% B:0.55%)
57.42% (G:18.50% B:1.02%)
3.playedXG Roller++Bar/22 8/5(2) 6/3eq: -0.452 (-0.076)
Player:
Opponent:		42.59% (G:11.49% B:0.53%)
57.41% (G:19.71% B:1.05%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/22 24/21 6/3(2)eq: -0.537 (-0.162)
Player:
Opponent:		40.48% (G:10.20% B:0.55%)
59.52% (G:21.05% B:0.68%)
5.4-plyBar/22 8/5(3)eq: -0.528 (-0.153)
Player:
Opponent:		40.14% (G:11.56% B:0.57%)
59.86% (G:20.56% B:1.16%)

Και πάλι βλέπουμε μια εφαρμογή της ιδέας που λέει ότι όταν είσαι υποχρεωμένος να αφήσεις ένα πούλι under the gun, τότε μπορείς να ανεβάσεις και ένα δεύτερο για να φτιάξεις τη μία από τις δύο anchor.
To 6/3, αν και ξεφορτώνει την 6, δεν είναι ιδιαίτερα παραγωγικό.


 
 No double 
Pip=151-156
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 57.44% (G:19.55% B:1.02%) 57.26% (G:19.96% B:1.02%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 42.56% (G:11.54% B:0.55%) 42.74% (G:11.58% B:0.57%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.240 +0.526
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.453
     Double/Take:+0.381 (-0.072)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.547)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 10.4%
 
 52: 24/22* 8/3*  
Pip=151-156
1.playedXG Roller++24/22* 8/3* eq: +0.414
Player:
Opponent:		55.38% (G:21.31% B:1.47%)
44.62% (G:13.26% B:0.85%)
2.XG Roller++24/22* 21/16eq: +0.375 (-0.040)
Player:
Opponent:		56.17% (G:16.51% B:0.94%)
43.83% (G:12.06% B:0.54%)
3.XG Roller++9/4 6/4eq: +0.343 (-0.071)
Player:
Opponent:		55.20% (G:18.68% B:1.01%)
44.80% (G:14.55% B:0.67%)
4.XG Roller++24/22* 13/8eq: +0.338 (-0.076)
Player:
Opponent:		54.60% (G:17.36% B:0.99%)
45.40% (G:11.98% B:0.54%)
5.XG Roller++24/22* 6/1* eq: +0.320 (-0.094)
Player:
Opponent:		54.02% (G:18.79% B:0.77%)
45.98% (G:12.92% B:0.64%)
 
 51: Bar/24 
Pip=176-149
1.played3-plyBar/24eq: -0.726
Player:
Opponent:		38.27% (G:8.93% B:0.41%)
61.73% (G:24.01% B:2.30%)
 
 No double 
Pip=175-149
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 61.90% (G:24.22% B:2.19%) 62.09% (G:24.20% B:2.20%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 38.10% (G:9.12% B:0.43%) 37.91% (G:9.10% B:0.44%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.414 +0.901
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.736 (-0.011)
xg Double/Take:+0.747
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.253)
 
Best Cube action: Double / Take

Οριακός βίδος. Εδώ ίσως ο Γρούτσος να έπαιξε με γνώμονα τη διαφορά δυναμικότητας.
 
 43: 13/9 6/3 
Pip=175-149
1.playedXG Roller++13/9 6/3eq: +0.759
Player:
Opponent:		62.40% (G:24.18% B:2.36%)
37.60% (G:9.02% B:0.41%)
2.XG Roller++9/5 6/3eq: +0.693 (-0.066)
Player:
Opponent:		60.72% (G:23.98% B:2.26%)
39.28% (G:9.65% B:0.42%)
3.XG Roller++22/18 6/3eq: +0.632 (-0.127)
Player:
Opponent:		60.56% (G:22.67% B:2.13%)
39.44% (G:11.18% B:0.65%)
4.4-ply8/4 6/3eq: +0.496 (-0.262)
Player:
Opponent:		57.64% (G:21.57% B:1.91%)
42.36% (G:11.85% B:0.62%)
5.3-ply22/18 21/18eq: +0.399 (-0.360)
Player:
Opponent:		56.29% (G:17.37% B:1.20%)
43.71% (G:12.46% B:0.55%)
 
 51: Bar/24 13/8 
Pip=175-142
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/24 13/8eq: -0.999
Player:
Opponent:		33.73% (G:7.97% B:0.34%)
66.27% (G:25.60% B:2.66%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/24 8/3* eq: -1.000 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		33.93% (G:7.67% B:0.36%)
66.07% (G:32.66% B:5.10%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/24 6/1eq: -1.000 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		28.22% (G:6.45% B:0.21%)
71.78% (G:28.71% B:3.09%)
 
 No double 
Pip=169-142
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 66.55% (G:25.36% B:2.59%) 66.51% (G:25.92% B:2.68%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 33.45% (G:7.66% B:0.32%) 33.49% (G:8.11% B:0.37%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.538 +1.151
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.892 (-0.108)
     Double/Take:+1.014 (+0.014)
xg Double/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Double / Pass

Εδώ όμως ο βίδος είναι ξεκάθαρος. Γενικά, τρία πούλια στο 24 είναι ένας πολύ άσχημος σχηματισμός. Αυτό, μαζί με την επιπλέον πόρτα και το μεγάλο προβάδισμα στην κούρσα, κάνει τη θέση τεχνικά πάσο.
 
 43: 22/18 21/18 
Pip=169-142
1.played4-ply22/18 21/18eq: +0.923
Player:
Opponent:		68.36% (G:22.58% B:1.70%)
31.64% (G:6.60% B:0.24%)
2.4-ply21/14eq: +0.667 (-0.256)
Player:
Opponent:		60.28% (G:24.00% B:2.69%)
39.72% (G:11.64% B:0.57%)
3.4-ply22/15eq: +0.613 (-0.309)
Player:
Opponent:		59.78% (G:22.66% B:2.37%)
40.22% (G:11.96% B:0.59%)
4.3-ply13/9 8/5eq: +0.566 (-0.357)
Player:
Opponent:		57.72% (G:24.09% B:2.79%)
42.28% (G:10.95% B:0.36%)
5.3-ply22/18 8/5eq: +0.566 (-0.357)
Player:
Opponent:		58.56% (G:22.95% B:2.57%)
41.44% (G:11.91% B:0.43%)
 
 63: 24/18 8/5 
Pip=169-135
1.playedXG Roller++24/18 8/5eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		30.34% (G:6.37% B:0.25%)
69.66% (G:24.57% B:1.96%)
2.XG Roller++24/15eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		29.12% (G:5.39% B:0.21%)
70.88% (G:21.93% B:1.51%)
3.XG Roller++24/21 8/2eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		29.32% (G:6.69% B:0.26%)
70.68% (G:25.02% B:2.22%)
4.XG Roller++24/18 6/3eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		30.10% (G:6.26% B:0.26%)
69.90% (G:26.11% B:2.33%)
5.XG Roller++13/4eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		27.61% (G:6.06% B:0.23%)
72.39% (G:24.79% B:2.07%)
 
 Double/Pass 
Pip=160-135
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 69.74% (G:24.05% B:1.86%) 70.06% (G:24.82% B:1.92%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 30.26% (G:6.37% B:0.24%) 29.94% (G:6.50% B:0.27%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.594 +1.281
Cubeful Equities
     No double:+0.902 (-0.098)
     Double/Take:+1.154 (+0.154)
played Double/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Double / Pass

Πολύ αργά. Ο Γρούτσος έκανε μεγάλη πρόοδο φτιάχνοντας το αντίπαλο bar, έτσι που είναι εξαιρετικά δύσκολο να πάρει εδώ ένα λανθασμένο take, ειδικά όντας πίσω στο σκορ.
 
 Wins 1pt. 

Game Summary:

Avdis  Category Groutsos 
Expert (-0.0127) Total Error Expert (-0.0148)
Advanced (-0.0153) Checker Play World Class (-0.0057)
World Champ. (+0.0000) Cube Play Advanced (-0.0238)
6.36 Performance Rating 7.39
1 Move Errors 1
-0.076(-0.51%) Equity lost (cost) -0.029(-0.19%)
     
0 Double Errors 1(1)
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) -0.119(-0.79%)
     
0 Take Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
1 Total Error 2(1)
-0.076(-0.51%) Equity lost (cost) -0.148(-0.98%)
     
0 Jokers 1
-0.976(-6.48%) Luck +0.976(+6.48%)

 Game 16

15 point match, Score is Avdis: 10, Groutsos: 9

 
 61: 13/7 8/7 
Pip=167-167
1.playedBook113/7 8/7eq: +0.229
Player:
Opponent:		53.46% (G:15.01% B:0.63%)
46.54% (G:11.83% B:0.51%)
2.4-ply24/23 13/7eq: +0.006 (-0.223)
Player:
Opponent:		48.29% (G:13.16% B:0.52%)
51.71% (G:13.75% B:0.62%)
3.Book124/23 24/18eq: +0.006 (-0.223)
Player:
Opponent:		49.01% (G:11.43% B:0.45%)
50.99% (G:13.88% B:0.46%)
4.4-ply13/7 6/5eq: -0.022 (-0.251)
Player:
Opponent:		47.97% (G:12.68% B:0.53%)
52.03% (G:14.89% B:1.00%)
5.Book113/6eq: -0.025 (-0.254)
Player:
Opponent:		47.55% (G:13.28% B:0.59%)
52.45% (G:14.73% B:0.69%)
 
1 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++
 
 66: 13/7(2) 8/2(2) 
Pip=167-160
1.playedXG Roller++13/7(2) 8/2(2)eq: -0.196
Player:
Opponent:		46.51% (G:14.98% B:0.95%)
53.49% (G:15.55% B:0.75%)
2.XG Roller++13/7(4)eq: -0.211 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:		45.61% (G:13.48% B:0.65%)
54.39% (G:13.44% B:0.64%)
3.XG Roller++13/7(3) 8/2eq: -0.229 (-0.033)
Player:
Opponent:		46.08% (G:13.85% B:0.81%)
53.92% (G:15.80% B:0.81%)
4.3-ply13/7 8/2(3)eq: -0.614 (-0.419)
Player:
Opponent:		37.12% (G:11.25% B:0.59%)
62.88% (G:19.18% B:1.15%)
 
 No double 
Pip=143-160
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 53.59% (G:15.98% B:0.78%) 53.72% (G:15.97% B:0.76%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 46.41% (G:15.05% B:0.99%) 46.28% (G:15.19% B:1.00%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.096 +0.222
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.212
     Double/Take:+0.019 (-0.194)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.788)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 16.5%
 
 62: 13/11 13/7 
Pip=143-160
1.playedXG Roller++13/11 13/7eq: +0.067
Player:
Opponent:		50.13% (G:15.11% B:0.70%)
49.87% (G:15.98% B:1.10%)
2.XG Roller++13/7 6/4eq: +0.022 (-0.046)
Player:
Opponent:		49.62% (G:14.03% B:0.67%)
50.38% (G:16.98% B:1.33%)
3.XG Roller++24/22 13/7eq: +0.009 (-0.059)
Player:
Opponent:		50.11% (G:13.20% B:0.70%)
49.89% (G:19.13% B:0.54%)
4.XG Roller++13/5eq: -0.005 (-0.072)
Player:
Opponent:		49.03% (G:13.82% B:0.64%)
50.97% (G:17.29% B:1.34%)
5.XG Roller++24/16eq: -0.071 (-0.138)
Player:
Opponent:		49.07% (G:10.97% B:0.58%)
50.93% (G:20.09% B:0.52%)
 
 63: 24/15 
Pip=143-152
1.playedXG Roller++24/15eq: -0.133
Player:
Opponent:		48.61% (G:15.42% B:0.97%)
51.39% (G:16.14% B:0.71%)
2.XG Roller++24/21 13/7eq: -0.179 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:		47.20% (G:15.08% B:1.01%)
52.80% (G:16.23% B:0.73%)
3.4-ply24/21 8/2eq: -0.341 (-0.208)
Player:
Opponent:		43.46% (G:12.90% B:0.79%)
56.54% (G:17.51% B:0.68%)
4.4-ply13/7 6/3eq: -0.356 (-0.223)
Player:
Opponent:		43.25% (G:13.45% B:0.83%)
56.75% (G:18.14% B:1.10%)
5.4-ply13/7 8/5eq: -0.357 (-0.225)
Player:
Opponent:		42.78% (G:13.27% B:0.72%)
57.22% (G:17.22% B:1.00%)
 
 65: 7/1* 6/1 
Pip=134-152
1.played4-ply7/1* 6/1eq: -0.099
Player:
Opponent:		44.30% (G:16.41% B:0.47%)
55.70% (G:15.77% B:1.07%)
2.4-ply11/5 6/1* eq: -0.364 (-0.264)
Player:
Opponent:		40.08% (G:11.30% B:0.47%)
59.92% (G:19.87% B:1.73%)
3.4-ply8/2 7/2eq: -0.385 (-0.285)
Player:
Opponent:		38.73% (G:11.14% B:0.37%)
61.27% (G:18.34% B:1.46%)
4.4-ply13/8 13/7eq: -0.406 (-0.306)
Player:
Opponent:		37.89% (G:8.75% B:0.34%)
62.11% (G:15.39% B:0.95%)
5.4-ply11/6 7/1* eq: -0.408 (-0.309)
Player:
Opponent:		38.13% (G:10.37% B:0.36%)
61.87% (G:18.13% B:1.28%)
 
 62: Bar/23 15/9 
Pip=135-141
1.played4-plyBar/23 15/9eq: -0.036
Player:
Opponent:		51.93% (G:15.16% B:1.07%)
48.07% (G:17.82% B:0.48%)
2.4-plyBar/23 13/7eq: -0.257 (-0.221)
Player:
Opponent:		47.41% (G:14.94% B:1.22%)
52.59% (G:23.53% B:0.81%)
3.4-plyBar/23 8/2eq: -0.346 (-0.311)
Player:
Opponent:		44.85% (G:11.92% B:0.79%)
55.15% (G:21.59% B:0.49%)
 
 62: 24/16*  
Pip=127-141
1.played3-ply24/16* eq: +0.300
Player:
Opponent:		55.66% (G:17.55% B:0.56%)
44.34% (G:13.52% B:0.67%)
2.3-ply11/5 7/5eq: -0.160 (-0.461)
Player:
Opponent:		43.15% (G:15.23% B:0.35%)
56.85% (G:15.38% B:1.03%)
3.2-ply13/11 13/7eq: -0.359 (-0.660)
Player:
Opponent:		38.38% (G:10.50% B:0.24%)
61.62% (G:15.65% B:0.78%)
4.2-ply24/22 8/2* eq: -0.379 (-0.679)
Player:
Opponent:		39.06% (G:14.66% B:0.55%)
60.94% (G:26.06% B:2.52%)
5.2-ply11/9 8/2* eq: -0.446 (-0.746)
Player:
Opponent:		36.63% (G:12.46% B:0.31%)
63.37% (G:20.51% B:1.80%)
 
 55: Bar/20 13/8 6/1*(2)  
Pip=143-133
1.played4-plyBar/20 13/8 6/1*(2) eq: +0.394
Player:
Opponent:		59.19% (G:31.67% B:1.66%)
40.81% (G:11.56% B:0.36%)
2.4-plyBar/15 6/1*(2) eq: +0.219 (-0.175)
Player:
Opponent:		55.02% (G:27.90% B:1.10%)
44.98% (G:14.03% B:0.53%)
3.4-plyBar/20 8/3 6/1*(2) eq: +0.073 (-0.321)
Player:
Opponent:		51.43% (G:25.63% B:1.21%)
48.57% (G:15.75% B:0.57%)
4.3-plyBar/20 6/1*(3) eq: +0.064 (-0.330)
Player:
Opponent:		50.32% (G:22.32% B:0.80%)
49.68% (G:14.93% B:0.64%)
5.3-plyBar/20 7/2 6/1*(2) eq: +0.061 (-0.334)
Player:
Opponent:		49.85% (G:24.61% B:1.08%)
50.15% (G:16.97% B:0.93%)
 
 62: Cannot Move 
Pip=123-134
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.037
Player:
Opponent:		25.28% (G:6.27% B:0.23%)
74.72% (G:49.68% B:2.08%)
 
 No double 
Pip=123-134
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 75.52% (G:49.46% B:2.13%) 75.58% (G:50.36% B:2.18%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 24.48% (G:6.04% B:0.33%) 24.42% (G:6.38% B:0.35%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.942 +2.086
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+1.051
     Double/Take:+1.835 (+0.785)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (-0.051)
 
Best Cube action: Too good to double / Pass
Percentage of wrong take needed to make the double decision right: 6.1%

Χαρακτηριστική περίπτωση όπου λιγότερο έμπειροι παίκτες, μετά από τέτοιο άκρως ευνοϊκό sequence (55, γκέλα) θα στρέφονταν χαρούμενοι προς το βίδο.
Ο Αυδής, πιο ψύχραιμός, βλέπει ότι είναι ήδη εκτός παραθύρου βίδου και πρέπει να πάει για διπλό. Έχει τα ρίσκα του βέβαια, αλλά έχει ακόμα περισσότερα να κερδίσει.
 
 53: 8/3 6/3 
Pip=123-134
1.played4-ply8/3 6/3eq: +0.809
Player:
Opponent:		68.22% (G:45.77% B:2.55%)
31.78% (G:8.96% B:0.36%)
2.4-ply23/20 13/8eq: +0.625 (-0.184)
Player:
Opponent:		63.57% (G:31.46% B:1.24%)
36.43% (G:6.12% B:0.18%)
3.4-ply23/15eq: +0.580 (-0.230)
Player:
Opponent:		63.87% (G:34.90% B:1.99%)
36.13% (G:11.16% B:0.33%)
4.4-ply23/20 7/2eq: +0.550 (-0.259)
Player:
Opponent:		62.03% (G:29.20% B:0.77%)
37.97% (G:7.60% B:0.28%)
5.4-ply23/20 8/3eq: +0.522 (-0.288)
Player:
Opponent:		60.76% (G:32.00% B:1.09%)
39.24% (G:7.98% B:0.26%)
 
 55: Bar/20 16/11 7/2*(2)  
Pip=115-134
1.played4-plyBar/20 16/11 7/2*(2) eq: +0.324
Player:
Opponent:		56.92% (G:20.12% B:0.78%)
43.08% (G:13.52% B:0.23%)
2.4-plyBar/20 11/6 7/2*(2) eq: +0.072 (-0.252)
Player:
Opponent:		49.10% (G:16.84% B:0.68%)
50.90% (G:21.31% B:0.38%)
3.4-plyBar/20 16/11 8/3(2)eq: +0.018 (-0.306)
Player:
Opponent:		49.48% (G:15.81% B:0.78%)
50.52% (G:17.56% B:0.24%)
4.3-plyBar/10 16/11eq: -0.038 (-0.362)
Player:
Opponent:		49.70% (G:7.27% B:0.20%)
50.30% (G:14.18% B:0.09%)
5.3-plyBar/15 7/2*(2) eq: -0.059 (-0.383)
Player:
Opponent:		47.06% (G:15.54% B:0.42%)
52.94% (G:25.97% B:0.95%)
 
 43: Bar/21 8/5*  
Pip=117-114
1.played3-plyBar/21 8/5* eq: +0.074
Player:
Opponent:		51.56% (G:20.45% B:0.32%)
48.44% (G:16.65% B:0.62%)
2.2-plyBar/22 8/4eq: -0.584 (-0.658)
Player:
Opponent:		37.66% (G:13.08% B:0.51%)
62.34% (G:25.60% B:0.55%)
3.2-plyBar/22 20/16eq: -0.873 (-0.948)
Player:
Opponent:		35.25% (G:12.22% B:0.41%)
64.75% (G:28.74% B:0.95%)
4.2-plyBar/18eq: -1.000 (-1.074)
Player:
Opponent:		33.39% (G:10.99% B:0.34%)
66.61% (G:32.11% B:1.06%)
5.2-plyBar/21 7/4eq: -1.000 (-1.074)
Player:
Opponent:		33.23% (G:12.00% B:0.52%)
66.77% (G:33.97% B:2.46%)
 
 No double 
Pip=110-119
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 48.31% (G:16.89% B:0.65%) 47.93% (G:18.27% B:0.69%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 51.69% (G:20.92% B:0.34%) 52.07% (G:21.69% B:0.43%)
  Cubeless Equities -0.049 -0.113
Cubeful Equities
played No double:-0.108
     Double/Take:-0.276 (-0.168)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+1.108)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 11.6%
 
 53: Bar/20* 20/17 
Pip=110-119
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/20* 20/17eq: +0.592
Player:
Opponent:		64.43% (G:17.08% B:0.62%)
35.57% (G:8.69% B:0.17%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/20* 8/5* eq: +0.565 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent:		63.33% (G:28.21% B:1.09%)
36.67% (G:14.25% B:0.54%)
3.4-plyBar/20* 11/8eq: +0.312 (-0.279)
Player:
Opponent:		57.23% (G:21.06% B:0.85%)
42.77% (G:16.32% B:0.36%)
4.3-plyBar/20* 6/3eq: +0.270 (-0.322)
Player:
Opponent:		56.82% (G:20.82% B:0.71%)
43.18% (G:17.31% B:0.33%)
5.3-plyBar/20* 13/10eq: +0.053 (-0.538)
Player:
Opponent:		50.17% (G:21.36% B:0.91%)
49.83% (G:23.58% B:1.07%)
 
 52: Bar/20 7/5 
Pip=130-111
1.played4-plyBar/20 7/5eq: -0.442
Player:
Opponent:		37.57% (G:6.34% B:0.04%)
62.43% (G:7.67% B:0.16%)
2.4-plyBar/20 6/4eq: -0.602 (-0.160)
Player:
Opponent:		33.84% (G:5.90% B:0.06%)
66.16% (G:10.06% B:0.20%)
3.3-plyBar/20 3/1eq: -0.813 (-0.371)
Player:
Opponent:		30.07% (G:3.95% B:0.06%)
69.93% (G:9.84% B:0.19%)
4.3-plyBar/20 13/11eq: -1.000 (-0.558)
Player:
Opponent:		29.73% (G:6.29% B:0.17%)
70.27% (G:20.78% B:0.47%)
5.3-plyBar/18eq: -1.000 (-0.558)
Player:
Opponent:		31.76% (G:9.73% B:0.36%)
68.24% (G:29.24% B:1.15%)
 
 No double 
Pip=123-111
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 61.72% (G:7.79% B:0.23%) 61.77% (G:7.85% B:0.23%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 38.28% (G:7.38% B:0.08%) 38.23% (G:7.12% B:0.07%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.249 +0.552
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.443
     Double/Take:+0.335 (-0.108)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.557)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 13.9%
 
 41: 17/13 2/1 
Pip=123-111
1.played4-ply17/13 2/1eq: +0.254
Player:
Opponent:		57.58% (G:4.47% B:0.07%)
42.42% (G:6.38% B:0.09%)
2.4-ply6/1eq: +0.087 (-0.167)
Player:
Opponent:		52.92% (G:9.16% B:0.24%)
47.08% (G:13.02% B:0.16%)
3.4-ply17/16 6/2eq: +0.075 (-0.180)
Player:
Opponent:		52.77% (G:9.03% B:0.28%)
47.23% (G:13.28% B:0.16%)
4.4-ply17/16 8/4* eq: +0.006 (-0.248)
Player:
Opponent:		50.13% (G:10.88% B:0.34%)
49.87% (G:24.01% B:0.89%)
5.4-ply8/4* 4/3eq: +0.006 (-0.248)
Player:
Opponent:		50.39% (G:11.43% B:0.40%)
49.61% (G:23.58% B:0.87%)
 
 43: 13/10 13/9 
Pip=123-106
1.playedXG Roller++13/10 13/9eq: -0.291
Player:
Opponent:		42.05% (G:7.02% B:0.07%)
57.95% (G:4.49% B:0.12%)
2.XG Roller++13/9 7/4eq: -0.354 (-0.063)
Player:
Opponent:		41.15% (G:10.43% B:0.21%)
58.85% (G:9.82% B:0.36%)
3.XG Roller++13/6eq: -0.362 (-0.071)
Player:
Opponent:		40.56% (G:9.04% B:0.17%)
59.44% (G:7.87% B:0.20%)
4.4-ply20/13eq: -0.465 (-0.174)
Player:
Opponent:		37.63% (G:5.89% B:0.06%)
62.37% (G:10.78% B:0.18%)
5.4-ply21/18 13/9eq: -0.468 (-0.177)
Player:
Opponent:		37.23% (G:6.36% B:0.07%)
62.77% (G:8.93% B:0.24%)
 
 32: 13/8 
Pip=116-106
1.playedXG Roller++13/8eq: +0.287
Player:
Opponent:		57.68% (G:3.46% B:0.06%)
42.32% (G:5.91% B:0.08%)
2.XG Roller++13/11 6/3eq: +0.272 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:		57.28% (G:3.96% B:0.10%)
42.72% (G:6.27% B:0.09%)
3.4-ply6/1eq: +0.039 (-0.248)
Player:
Opponent:		51.55% (G:3.06% B:0.04%)
48.45% (G:7.78% B:0.11%)
4.3-ply6/4* 4/1eq: -0.110 (-0.396)
Player:
Opponent:		47.88% (G:4.29% B:0.09%)
52.12% (G:14.94% B:0.06%)
5.3-ply11/6eq: -0.328 (-0.615)
Player:
Opponent:		40.41% (G:6.50% B:0.34%)
59.59% (G:21.91% B:0.25%)
 
 52: 21/16 7/5 
Pip=116-101
1.xgXG Roller++9/4 7/5eq: -0.318
Player:
Opponent:		41.50% (G:6.79% B:0.09%)
58.50% (G:4.15% B:0.09%)
2.playedXG Roller++21/16 7/5eq: -0.340 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:		40.18% (G:5.07% B:0.07%)
59.82% (G:2.57% B:0.04%)
3.XG Roller++10/5 7/5eq: -0.354 (-0.036)
Player:
Opponent:		40.25% (G:5.65% B:0.08%)
59.75% (G:3.55% B:0.06%)
4.XG Roller++10/5 9/7eq: -0.368 (-0.050)
Player:
Opponent:		39.75% (G:5.30% B:0.07%)
60.25% (G:3.68% B:0.06%)
5.XG Roller++20/15 7/5eq: -0.378 (-0.060)
Player:
Opponent:		40.32% (G:7.83% B:0.14%)
59.68% (G:9.06% B:0.33%)

Μικρό λάθος, αλλά αφήνει τον έλεγχο της θέσης 21 στον αντίπαλο ενώ είναι πίσω στην κούρσα. Το prime του Γρούτσου δεν είναι σοβαρό, οπότε μάλλον δεν θα έχει πρόβλημα να φύγει στην επόμενη ζαριά, αν χρειαστεί.
 
 No double 
Pip=109-101
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 59.98% (G:2.75% B:0.04%) 59.98% (G:2.79% B:0.05%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 40.02% (G:5.11% B:0.07%) 40.02% (G:4.90% B:0.06%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.180 +0.411
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.360
     Double/Take:+0.186 (-0.175)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.640)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 17.7%
 
 33: 13/7(2) 
Pip=109-101
1.xgXG Roller++13/10(2) 11/8(2)eq: +0.701
Player:
Opponent:		69.96% (G:1.10% B:0.01%)
30.04% (G:1.06% B:0.01%)
2.playedXG Roller++13/7(2)eq: +0.665 (-0.036)
Player:
Opponent:		69.12% (G:1.21% B:0.01%)
30.88% (G:1.22% B:0.01%)
3.4-ply13/10(2) 6/3(2)eq: +0.408 (-0.293)
Player:
Opponent:		62.55% (G:1.59% B:0.02%)
37.45% (G:3.35% B:0.03%)
4.4-ply11/8(2) 6/3(2)eq: +0.384 (-0.317)
Player:
Opponent:		61.70% (G:2.87% B:0.02%)
38.30% (G:3.97% B:0.05%)
5.2-ply6/3(4)eq: -0.086 (-0.787)
Player:
Opponent:		48.75% (G:2.51% B:0.03%)
51.25% (G:10.37% B:0.18%)

Λογικά ο Γρούτσος θα μέτρησε την κούρσα μετά τις 33, οπότε δεν καταλαβαίνω γιατί έπαιξε έτσι. Είναι 20 pips μπροστά. Απλώς καθαρίζουμε τις πόρτες από πίσω και σιγουρευόμαστε ότι θα έχουμε πούλια να παίζουμε. Όλα δείχνουν 11/8(2).
 
 31: 16/12 
Pip=109-89
1.xgXG Roller++16/13 5/4eq: -0.802
Player:
Opponent:		27.35% (G:1.13% B:0.01%)
72.65% (G:1.11% B:0.01%)
2.playedXG Roller++16/12eq: -0.804 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		27.28% (G:1.20% B:0.01%)
72.72% (G:1.10% B:0.01%)
3.XG Roller++16/15 9/6eq: -0.809 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:		27.16% (G:1.32% B:0.01%)
72.84% (G:1.31% B:0.01%)
4.XG Roller++10/7 5/4eq: -0.815 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:		27.13% (G:1.17% B:0.01%)
72.87% (G:1.44% B:0.01%)
5.XG Roller++16/13 9/8eq: -0.815 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:		27.12% (G:1.16% B:0.01%)
72.88% (G:1.14% B:0.01%)
 
 Double/Pass 
Pip=105-89
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 72.77% (G:1.05% B:0.01%) 73.01% (G:1.02% B:0.01%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 27.23% (G:1.07% B:0.01%) 26.99% (G:0.98% B:0.01%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.456 +0.992
Cubeful Equities
     No double:+0.777 (-0.052)
xg Double/Take:+0.829
played Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.171)
 
Best Cube action: Double / Take

Ο Αυδής φοβήθηκε υπερβολικά εδώ.
Αν τα πούλια της 11 ήταν πίσω στη midpoint με την ίδια διαφορά στην κούρσα, σίγουρα θα έκανε take. Τα πούλια στην 11 αυξάνουν την επαφή, το οποίο ευνοεί τον αμυνόμενο, οπότε το take θα έπρεπε να είναι σαφές.
Επίσης, αυτό που τείνουμε να ξεχνάμε σε τέτοιες θέσεις, είναι οι πιθανότητες να κερδίσουμε την κούρσα χωρίς χτύπημα. Δεν είναι πολλές, αλλά αθροίζονται μ' αυτές του χτυπήματος και είναι ο συνδυασμός αυτός που δίνει το take.
Για να καταλάβουμε πόσο καλές τύχες έχει ακόμα η θέση, σκεφτείτε ότι θα ήταν εύκολο take (0,132) ακόμα και αν ο Γρούτσος είχε παίξει τις σωστές 33 (13/10(2), 11/8(2)).
 
 Wins 1pt. 

Game Summary:

Avdis  Category Groutsos 
Advanced (-0.0163) Total Error World Champ. (-0.0026)
World Champ. (-0.0024) Checker Play World Champ. (-0.0040)
Distracted (-0.0856) Cube Play World Champ. (+0.0000)
8.14 Performance Rating 1.28
1 Move Errors 1
-0.024(-0.17%) Equity lost (cost) -0.036(-0.26%)
     
0 Double Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
1(1) Take Errors 0
-0.171(-1.22%) Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
2(1) Total Error 1
-0.195(-1.39%) Equity lost (cost) -0.036(-0.26%)
     
3 Jokers 3
-0.741(-5.29%) Luck +0.741(+5.29%)

 Game 17

15 point match, Score is Avdis: 10, Groutsos: 10

 
 51: 24/23 13/8 
Pip=167-167
1.playedBook124/23 13/8eq: +0.008
Player:
Opponent:		50.07% (G:14.01% B:0.70%)
49.93% (G:13.56% B:0.60%)		Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.006...+0.011) - [100.0%]
2.Book113/8 6/5eq: -0.010 (-0.019)
Player:
Opponent:		49.69% (G:13.99% B:0.71%)
50.31% (G:13.99% B:0.82%)		Conf.: ± 0.003 (-0.013...-0.008) - [0.0%]
3.Book224/18eq: -0.040 (-0.048)
Player:
Opponent:		49.48% (G:12.39% B:0.68%)
50.52% (G:14.47% B:0.63%)		Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.047...-0.033) - [0.0%]
4.Book313/7eq: -0.083 (-0.091)
Player:
Opponent:		47.87% (G:13.10% B:0.60%)
52.13% (G:14.52% B:0.74%)
5.4-ply24/23 8/3eq: -0.180 (-0.188)
Player:
Opponent:		45.71% (G:12.09% B:0.48%)
54.29% (G:15.95% B:0.76%)
 
1 Generated by Steven Carey on 06-Aug-12 using eXtreme Gammon 2.10
46656 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 98044190
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: 4-ply

2 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 26-Feb-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 38613390
Moves: 2-ply, cube decisions: 3-ply Red

3 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++
 
 53: 8/3 6/3 
Pip=167-161
1.playedXG Roller++8/3 6/3eq: -0.040
Player:
Opponent:		48.87% (G:13.55% B:0.52%)
51.13% (G:14.12% B:0.64%)
2.XG Roller++24/21 13/8eq: -0.091 (-0.052)
Player:
Opponent:		48.02% (G:11.40% B:0.44%)
51.98% (G:13.60% B:0.49%)
3.XG Roller++24/16eq: -0.129 (-0.089)
Player:
Opponent:		47.87% (G:9.89% B:0.37%)
52.13% (G:14.68% B:0.50%)
4.XG Roller++13/10 13/8eq: -0.135 (-0.096)
Player:
Opponent:		46.61% (G:12.36% B:0.45%)
53.39% (G:14.65% B:0.74%)
5.XG Roller++13/10 6/1* eq: -0.172 (-0.132)
Player:
Opponent:		46.04% (G:12.31% B:0.39%)
53.96% (G:15.62% B:0.89%)
 
 42: 8/4 6/4 
Pip=159-161
1.played4-ply8/4 6/4eq: +0.146
Player:
Opponent:		53.36% (G:16.01% B:0.75%)
46.64% (G:12.95% B:0.50%)
2.4-ply24/20 13/11eq: -0.144 (-0.291)
Player:
Opponent:		47.25% (G:12.53% B:0.64%)
52.75% (G:16.72% B:0.77%)
3.4-ply24/20 23/21eq: -0.163 (-0.309)
Player:
Opponent:		46.93% (G:11.78% B:0.61%)
53.07% (G:16.75% B:0.59%)
4.4-ply23/21 13/9eq: -0.169 (-0.315)
Player:
Opponent:		46.44% (G:12.30% B:0.59%)
53.56% (G:16.83% B:0.81%)
5.4-ply13/11 13/9eq: -0.184 (-0.331)
Player:
Opponent:		46.25% (G:13.10% B:0.67%)
53.75% (G:18.31% B:1.14%)
 
 53: 13/10 13/8 
Pip=159-155
1.playedXG Roller++13/10 13/8eq: -0.244
Player:
Opponent:		44.17% (G:12.84% B:0.54%)
55.83% (G:17.24% B:0.97%)
2.XG Roller++13/10 6/1* eq: -0.356 (-0.113)
Player:
Opponent:		42.13% (G:12.49% B:0.41%)
57.87% (G:19.47% B:1.29%)
3.XG Roller++13/5eq: -0.359 (-0.115)
Player:
Opponent:		41.86% (G:11.33% B:0.45%)
58.14% (G:18.65% B:1.18%)
4.XG Roller++13/8 6/3eq: -0.360 (-0.116)
Player:
Opponent:		41.76% (G:11.34% B:0.43%)
58.24% (G:18.35% B:0.91%)
5.4-ply6/3 6/1* eq: -0.536 (-0.292)
Player:
Opponent:		37.96% (G:9.88% B:0.31%)
62.04% (G:21.18% B:1.21%)
 
 65: 24/18 23/18 
Pip=151-155
1.played4-ply24/18 23/18eq: +0.319
Player:
Opponent:		58.26% (G:14.70% B:0.51%)
41.74% (G:9.50% B:0.28%)
2.4-ply24/13eq: +0.069 (-0.250)
Player:
Opponent:		52.91% (G:13.03% B:0.60%)
47.09% (G:14.99% B:0.39%)
3.3-ply24/18 13/8eq: -0.055 (-0.374)
Player:
Opponent:		49.92% (G:14.11% B:0.81%)
50.08% (G:18.36% B:0.51%)
4.3-ply13/8 13/7eq: -0.111 (-0.430)
Player:
Opponent:		47.55% (G:15.13% B:0.81%)
52.45% (G:17.72% B:1.01%)
5.3-ply23/18 13/7eq: -0.128 (-0.447)
Player:
Opponent:		48.17% (G:14.74% B:0.93%)
51.83% (G:19.50% B:1.03%)
 
 31: 24/23 13/10 
Pip=151-144
1.xgXG Roller++8/5 6/5eq: -0.358
Player:
Opponent:		40.56% (G:10.06% B:0.28%)
59.44% (G:14.67% B:0.52%)
2.playedXG Roller++24/23 13/10eq: -0.393 (-0.035)
Player:
Opponent:		40.39% (G:9.06% B:0.28%)
59.61% (G:15.69% B:0.50%)
3.XG Roller++13/10 6/5eq: -0.413 (-0.055)
Player:
Opponent:		39.67% (G:9.27% B:0.29%)
60.33% (G:15.78% B:0.57%)
4.XG Roller++24/20eq: -0.442 (-0.084)
Player:
Opponent:		39.20% (G:9.05% B:0.29%)
60.80% (G:17.17% B:0.68%)
5.XG Roller++24/23 8/5eq: -0.489 (-0.131)
Player:
Opponent:		38.38% (G:10.08% B:0.32%)
61.62% (G:19.24% B:1.04%)

Η 5 σχεδόν πάντα αξίζει τον κόπο, όταν τα στρατόπεδα δεν είναι πολυ ισχυρά. Εδώ μάλιστα ο αντίπαλος θα πρέπει να χαλάσει τη δική του καλύτερη πόρτα για να χτυπήσει.
 
 No double 
Pip=147-144
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 59.74% (G:15.34% B:0.47%) 59.81% (G:15.13% B:0.45%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 40.26% (G:8.81% B:0.27%) 40.19% (G:8.69% B:0.26%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.257 +0.541
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.401
     Double/Take:+0.241 (-0.160)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.599)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 17.4%
 
 31: 8/5 6/5 
Pip=147-144
1.played3-ply8/5 6/5eq: +0.704
Player:
Opponent:		66.33% (G:18.92% B:0.75%)
33.67% (G:7.09% B:0.17%)
2.3-ply13/9eq: +0.227 (-0.477)
Player:
Opponent:		56.09% (G:13.75% B:0.50%)
43.91% (G:10.02% B:0.23%)
3.3-ply8/4eq: +0.215 (-0.489)
Player:
Opponent:		55.74% (G:13.52% B:0.49%)
44.26% (G:9.96% B:0.25%)
4.3-ply6/2* eq: +0.071 (-0.633)
Player:
Opponent:		52.00% (G:13.10% B:0.48%)
48.00% (G:12.29% B:0.33%)
5.2-ply13/10 6/5eq: -0.006 (-0.710)
Player:
Opponent:		51.01% (G:12.09% B:0.37%)
48.99% (G:15.11% B:0.50%)
 
 31: 8/5 6/5 
Pip=147-140
1.playedXG Roller++8/5 6/5eq: -0.682
Player:
Opponent:		33.66% (G:7.60% B:0.25%)
66.34% (G:18.83% B:0.61%)
2.XG Roller++23/22 8/5eq: -0.798 (-0.117)
Player:
Opponent:		33.03% (G:8.38% B:0.30%)
66.97% (G:23.21% B:0.86%)
3.XG Roller++24/23 8/5eq: -0.806 (-0.124)
Player:
Opponent:		29.38% (G:6.62% B:0.21%)
70.62% (G:15.48% B:0.61%)
4.4-ply23/22 6/3eq: -0.868 (-0.187)
Player:
Opponent:		31.64% (G:7.70% B:0.26%)
68.36% (G:23.66% B:0.84%)
5.4-ply24/23 6/3eq: -0.896 (-0.214)
Player:
Opponent:		27.77% (G:5.44% B:0.15%)
72.23% (G:15.38% B:0.54%)
 
 No double 
Pip=143-140
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 66.07% (G:19.08% B:0.60%) 65.89% (G:19.95% B:0.65%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 33.93% (G:7.76% B:0.27%) 34.11% (G:7.95% B:0.28%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.429 +0.916
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.674
     Double/Take:+0.661 (-0.013)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.326)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 3.6%
 
 54: 13/9 13/8 
Pip=143-140
1.playedXG Roller++13/9 13/8eq: +0.663
Player:
Opponent:		65.65% (G:16.96% B:0.54%)
34.35% (G:7.76% B:0.26%)
2.XG Roller++13/4eq: +0.661 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		65.42% (G:18.88% B:0.59%)
34.58% (G:8.12% B:0.27%)
3.XG Roller++18/14 18/13eq: +0.479 (-0.184)
Player:
Opponent:		63.61% (G:12.12% B:0.57%)
36.39% (G:9.26% B:0.28%)
4.4-ply13/8 6/2* eq: +0.480 (-0.184)
Player:
Opponent:		60.99% (G:19.78% B:0.73%)
39.01% (G:11.47% B:0.38%)
5.4-ply13/9 6/1* eq: +0.370 (-0.293)
Player:
Opponent:		59.10% (G:19.21% B:0.54%)
40.90% (G:12.97% B:0.50%)
 
 51: 23/18 6/5 
Pip=143-131
1.xgXG Roller++24/23 10/5eq: -0.956
Player:
Opponent:		26.70% (G:5.68% B:0.16%)
73.30% (G:15.39% B:0.63%)
2.XG Roller++24/23 6/1eq: -1.000 (-0.044)
Player:
Opponent:		25.48% (G:4.93% B:0.11%)
74.52% (G:14.83% B:0.54%)
3.playedXG Roller++23/18 6/5eq: -1.000 (-0.044)
Player:
Opponent:		29.81% (G:6.83% B:0.30%)
70.19% (G:25.38% B:0.87%)
4.XG Roller++24/23 8/3eq: -1.000 (-0.044)
Player:
Opponent:		25.16% (G:5.05% B:0.15%)
74.84% (G:15.66% B:0.63%)
5.XG Roller++24/18eq: -1.000 (-0.044)
Player:
Opponent:		29.68% (G:6.82% B:0.28%)
70.32% (G:27.44% B:0.74%)

Όπως σχολίασα και σε άλλο σημείο, η πόρτα 23 είναι γενικά υποτιμημένη. Παράγει όμως νωρίς βολές με αποτελεσμα να έχει πολύ παιχνίδι ακόμα και απέναντι σε καλά prime όπως αυτό εδώ.
Ενδιαφέρον είναι ότι το 10/5 24/23 είναι το μοναδικό παίξιμο που επιτρέπει (οριακό) take.
 
 No double 
Pip=137-131
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 70.21% (G:25.38% B:0.86%) 69.99% (G:27.27% B:0.90%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 29.79% (G:6.87% B:0.29%) 30.01% (G:7.11% B:0.31%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.580 +1.283
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.808 (-0.192)
     Double/Take:+1.051 (+0.051)
xg Double/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Double / Pass

Υποψιάζομαι ότι ο Γρούτσος περίμενε έχοντας κατά νου και τη διαφορά δυναμικότητας, αλλά ο Αυδής δεν έχει δείξει δείγματα λανθασμένων take (αντίθετα έχει μέχρι τώρα ένα λανθασμένο πάσο) και η θέση είναι ήδη πάσο.
 
 61: 13/7* 8/7 
Pip=137-131
1.played4-ply13/7* 8/7eq: +0.983
Player:
Opponent:		77.16% (G:28.41% B:1.49%)
22.84% (G:5.05% B:0.24%)
2.4-ply13/7* 7/6eq: +0.809 (-0.174)
Player:
Opponent:		67.91% (G:26.46% B:1.09%)
32.09% (G:7.94% B:0.36%)
3.4-ply8/7* 7/1* eq: +0.762 (-0.221)
Player:
Opponent:		66.66% (G:32.21% B:0.71%)
33.34% (G:9.67% B:0.43%)
4.3-ply13/7* 9/8eq: +0.564 (-0.419)
Player:
Opponent:		64.65% (G:22.47% B:0.99%)
35.35% (G:9.79% B:0.37%)
5.3-ply13/7* 6/5eq: +0.549 (-0.434)
Player:
Opponent:		65.28% (G:23.47% B:1.09%)
34.72% (G:10.69% B:0.53%)
 
 41: Bar/24 5/1 
Pip=144-124
1.xgXG Roller++Bar/24 8/4eq: -1.018
Player:
Opponent:		18.73% (G:3.33% B:0.16%)
81.27% (G:22.78% B:1.75%)
2.playedXG Roller++Bar/24 5/1eq: -1.023 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:		16.06% (G:2.51% B:0.07%)
83.94% (G:19.32% B:1.15%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/24 10/6eq: -1.031 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:		18.15% (G:3.24% B:0.12%)
81.85% (G:22.28% B:1.49%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/24 6/2eq: -1.035 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:		15.35% (G:2.45% B:0.09%)
84.65% (G:19.57% B:1.21%)
5.XG Roller++Bar/24 13/9eq: -1.114 (-0.096)
Player:
Opponent:		16.53% (G:2.14% B:0.10%)
83.47% (G:29.43% B:2.76%)
 
 No double 
Pip=139-124
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 83.87% (G:19.12% B:1.14%) 84.90% (G:18.48% B:1.03%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 16.13% (G:2.54% B:0.07%) 15.10% (G:2.04% B:0.05%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.842 +1.768
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+1.020
     Double/Take:+1.640 (+0.620)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (-0.020)
 
Best Cube action: Too good to double / Pass
Percentage of wrong take needed to make the double decision right: 3.2%
 
 54: 18/9 
Pip=139-124
1.playedXG Roller++18/9eq: +1.032
Player:
Opponent:		84.53% (G:18.06% B:1.06%)
15.47% (G:2.18% B:0.09%)
2.XG Roller++18/13 9/5eq: +0.995 (-0.037)
Player:
Opponent:		80.30% (G:19.09% B:1.39%)
19.70% (G:3.88% B:0.10%)
3.XG Roller++18/14 18/13eq: +0.993 (-0.038)
Player:
Opponent:		83.34% (G:16.29% B:0.92%)
16.66% (G:2.74% B:0.10%)
4.XG Roller++13/8 9/5eq: +0.986 (-0.046)
Player:
Opponent:		80.82% (G:19.87% B:1.05%)
19.18% (G:3.44% B:0.09%)
5.XG Roller++9/4 6/2eq: +0.975 (-0.056)
Player:
Opponent:		76.78% (G:21.25% B:1.32%)
23.22% (G:5.95% B:0.23%)

Φυσικά, από δω και πέρα ο Γρούτσος παίζει too good.
 
 42: 13/7*  
Pip=139-115
1.XG Roller++10/8 10/6eq: -1.035
Player:
Opponent:		13.33% (G:1.43% B:0.04%)
86.67% (G:16.60% B:0.81%)
2.xgXG Roller++8/6 8/4eq: -1.044 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		14.28% (G:1.67% B:0.06%)
85.72% (G:18.53% B:1.14%)
3.XG Roller++6/4 5/1eq: -1.049 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:		11.94% (G:0.97% B:0.02%)
88.06% (G:16.71% B:0.82%)
4.XG Roller++6/4 6/2eq: -1.056 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:		12.21% (G:0.96% B:0.02%)
87.79% (G:17.60% B:1.02%)
5.XG Roller++6/2 3/1eq: -1.060 (-0.024)
Player:
Opponent:		11.50% (G:0.87% B:0.02%)
88.50% (G:17.48% B:0.95%)
6.playedXG Roller++13/7* eq: -1.088 (-0.053)
Player:
Opponent:		17.89% (G:2.52% B:0.10%)
82.11% (G:28.35% B:2.72%)

Γενικά, σε τέτοιες περιπτώσεις είναι δύσκολο να ξέρει κανείς πότε πρέπει να διεκδικήσει να σπάσει το αντίπαλο εξάπορτο και πότε να εγκαταλείψει την παρτίδα και να προσπαθησει να σώσει το διπλό.
Εδώ ίσως ένας σημαντικός παράγοντας να είναι το πούλι του Αυδή στον άσο: Μετά το 13/7 ο Αυδής ιδανικά θα ήθελε το πούλι του Γρούτσου να μπεί όσο πιο γρήγορα γίνεται στον άσο και να μην δραπετεύσει ποτέ. Όμως αυτό, θα σήμαινε ένα καταστροφικό χτύπημα. Επίσης, το πούλι αυτό δεν μπορεί να συμμετάσχει στον σχηματισμό prime.
Και τρίτον και κυριότερο, ο βίδος είναι ακόμα στη διάθεση του Γρούτσου, οπότε αν δει τα σκούρα θα κάνει το double out. Αυτό σημαίνει ότι ο Αυδής δεν μπορεί να διεκδικήσει παρά μόνο το κόψιμο, και αυτό γίνεται πολύ πιο εύκολα χωρίς χτύπημα.


 
 No double 
Pip=133-122
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 81.75% (G:28.41% B:2.80%) 82.16% (G:28.07% B:2.75%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 18.25% (G:2.55% B:0.11%) 17.84% (G:2.38% B:0.10%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.905 +1.929
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+1.081
     Double/Take:+1.761 (+0.680)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (-0.081)
 
Best Cube action: Too good to double / Pass
Percentage of wrong take needed to make the double decision right: 10.6%
 
 22: Bar/21 13/9 
Pip=133-122
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/21 13/9eq: +1.024
Player:
Opponent:		84.34% (G:18.51% B:0.98%)
15.66% (G:2.15% B:0.08%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/21 13/11 6/4eq: +1.015 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		83.91% (G:18.18% B:0.99%)
16.09% (G:2.34% B:0.09%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/21 6/2eq: +1.011 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:		81.14% (G:20.42% B:1.22%)
18.86% (G:3.79% B:0.18%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/23 13/11 6/2eq: +1.001 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:		77.41% (G:21.31% B:1.29%)
22.59% (G:4.40% B:0.21%)
5.XG Roller++Bar/23 13/7eq: +0.999 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:		79.46% (G:21.15% B:1.28%)
20.54% (G:3.58% B:0.15%)
 
 61: 24/23 13/7 
Pip=133-114
1.xgXG Roller++13/12 7/1eq: -1.023
Player:
Opponent:		14.76% (G:2.33% B:0.06%)
85.24% (G:18.23% B:0.81%)
2.XG Roller++13/7 3/2eq: -1.041 (-0.019)
Player:
Opponent:		12.65% (G:1.20% B:0.04%)
87.35% (G:16.94% B:0.82%)
3.playedXG Roller++24/23 13/7eq: -1.047 (-0.024)
Player:
Opponent:		18.89% (G:2.92% B:0.13%)
81.11% (G:25.35% B:1.10%)
4.XG Roller++13/6eq: -1.055 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:		14.79% (G:2.13% B:0.08%)
85.21% (G:22.08% B:1.42%)
5.XG Roller++8/7 8/2eq: -1.056 (-0.033)
Player:
Opponent:		12.59% (G:1.29% B:0.04%)
87.41% (G:18.40% B:0.98%)

Το λύσιμο είναι πάντα πολύ επικίνδυνο σε τέτοιες θέσεις. Μπορεί η πολυπόθητη anchor να μην ξαναγίνει ποτέ και τότε το gammon είναι προ των πυλών.
 
 No double 
Pip=126-114
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 80.75% (G:25.42% B:1.05%) 80.46% (G:26.37% B:1.25%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 19.25% (G:2.99% B:0.14%) 19.54% (G:3.09% B:0.15%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.831 +1.772
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+1.042
     Double/Take:+1.601 (+0.559)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (-0.042)
 
Best Cube action: Too good to double / Pass
Percentage of wrong take needed to make the double decision right: 7.1%
 
 65: 21/10 
Pip=126-114
1.playedXG Roller++21/10eq: +1.075
Player:
Opponent:		85.69% (G:18.09% B:0.51%)
14.31% (G:0.96% B:0.03%)
2.xgXG Roller++21/16 9/3eq: +1.075 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		84.35% (G:21.29% B:0.82%)
15.65% (G:1.67% B:0.08%)
3.XG Roller++9/3 6/1* eq: +0.950 (-0.125)
Player:
Opponent:		73.16% (G:26.37% B:1.16%)
26.84% (G:6.24% B:0.31%)
4.3-ply9/3 8/3eq: +0.721 (-0.354)
Player:
Opponent:		68.19% (G:24.70% B:1.60%)
31.81% (G:7.67% B:0.21%)
5.3-ply8/2* 7/2eq: +0.670 (-0.405)
Player:
Opponent:		66.30% (G:29.63% B:1.51%)
33.70% (G:8.75% B:0.35%)
 
 43: 8/4 7/4 
Pip=126-103
1.playedXG Roller++8/4 7/4eq: -1.106
Player:
Opponent:		14.78% (G:1.34% B:0.04%)
85.22% (G:24.18% B:0.91%)
2.XG Roller++10/7 10/6eq: -1.115 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		14.61% (G:1.36% B:0.04%)
85.39% (G:25.49% B:0.68%)
3.XG Roller++8/1eq: -1.121 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:		13.57% (G:1.00% B:0.02%)
86.43% (G:24.42% B:0.64%)
4.XG Roller++10/3eq: -1.136 (-0.030)
Player:
Opponent:		13.90% (G:1.27% B:0.04%)
86.10% (G:26.86% B:0.89%)
5.XG Roller++8/5 8/4eq: -1.138 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:		15.79% (G:2.19% B:0.08%)
84.21% (G:31.61% B:1.26%)
 
 No double 
Pip=119-103
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 85.26% (G:24.60% B:1.02%) 85.48% (G:25.03% B:1.03%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 14.74% (G:1.38% B:0.05%) 14.52% (G:1.37% B:0.04%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.929 +1.971
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+1.113
     Double/Take:+1.844 (+0.731)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (-0.113)
 
Best Cube action: Too good to double / Pass
Percentage of wrong take needed to make the double decision right: 13.4%
 
 52: 10/5 9/7 
Pip=119-103
1.XG Roller++9/2* eq: +1.093
Player:
Opponent:		84.45% (G:24.46% B:1.05%)
15.55% (G:1.75% B:0.08%)
2.playedXG Roller++10/5 9/7eq: +1.084 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		85.64% (G:18.75% B:0.55%)
14.36% (G:0.80% B:0.03%)
3.XG Roller++9/7 6/1* eq: +1.081 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:		82.81% (G:20.70% B:0.95%)
17.19% (G:1.63% B:0.06%)
4.XG Roller++10/8 6/1* eq: +1.079 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:		82.77% (G:20.82% B:0.99%)
17.23% (G:1.71% B:0.06%)
5.XG Roller++10/8 9/4eq: +1.078 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:		85.40% (G:18.63% B:0.54%)
14.60% (G:1.00% B:0.04%)
 
 43: 10/7 10/6 
Pip=119-96
1.playedXG Roller++10/7 10/6eq: -1.110
Player:
Opponent:		14.07% (G:1.16% B:0.04%)
85.93% (G:24.86% B:0.72%)
2.XG Roller++10/7 8/4eq: -1.117 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:		13.80% (G:1.04% B:0.03%)
86.20% (G:25.12% B:0.70%)
3.XG Roller++8/1eq: -1.132 (-0.023)
Player:
Opponent:		13.13% (G:0.96% B:0.02%)
86.87% (G:26.17% B:0.61%)
4.XG Roller++8/5 7/3eq: -1.149 (-0.039)
Player:
Opponent:		13.25% (G:1.28% B:0.04%)
86.75% (G:29.10% B:0.80%)
5.XG Roller++10/6 8/5eq: -1.151 (-0.042)
Player:
Opponent:		14.20% (G:1.60% B:0.06%)
85.80% (G:30.82% B:1.77%)
 
 No double 
Pip=112-96
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 85.99% (G:23.80% B:0.68%) 85.75% (G:26.28% B:0.79%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 14.01% (G:1.10% B:0.04%) 14.25% (G:1.52% B:0.06%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.935 +2.004
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+1.108
     Double/Take:+1.878 (+0.770)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (-0.108)
 
Best Cube action: Too good to double / Pass
Percentage of wrong take needed to make the double decision right: 12.3%
 
 42: 7/3 5/3 
Pip=112-96
1.playedXG Roller++7/3 5/3eq: +1.099
Player:
Opponent:		88.43% (G:19.49% B:0.56%)
11.57% (G:0.47% B:0.02%)
2.XG Roller++7/1* eq: +1.048 (-0.052)
Player:
Opponent:		82.35% (G:20.08% B:0.60%)
17.65% (G:1.82% B:0.07%)
3.XG Roller++9/7 9/5eq: +1.041 (-0.059)
Player:
Opponent:		83.80% (G:14.74% B:0.41%)
16.20% (G:0.87% B:0.02%)
4.XG Roller++6/4 5/1* eq: +1.041 (-0.059)
Player:
Opponent:		81.49% (G:18.66% B:0.57%)
18.51% (G:1.75% B:0.06%)
5.XG Roller++7/5 6/2* eq: +1.037 (-0.063)
Player:
Opponent:		81.47% (G:20.92% B:0.76%)
18.53% (G:2.47% B:0.10%)
 
 51: 24/23 7/2 
Pip=112-90
1.playedXG Roller++24/23 7/2eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		14.16% (G:0.29% B:0.01%)
85.84% (G:5.41% B:0.07%)
2.XG Roller++24/23 8/3eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		13.79% (G:0.27% B:0.01%)
86.21% (G:5.58% B:0.08%)
3.XG Roller++24/23 6/1eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		13.70% (G:0.25% B:0.01%)
86.30% (G:5.60% B:0.08%)
4.XG Roller++8/2eq: -1.140 (-0.140)
Player:
Opponent:		13.11% (G:1.19% B:0.05%)
86.89% (G:30.41% B:1.11%)
5.XG Roller++8/3 6/5eq: -1.148 (-0.148)
Player:
Opponent:		11.36% (G:0.67% B:0.02%)
88.64% (G:27.82% B:0.79%)
 
 64: 9/5 9/3 
Pip=106-90
1.playedXG Roller++9/5 9/3eq: +1.000
Player:
Opponent:		85.91% (G:5.15% B:0.08%)
14.09% (G:0.37% B:0.01%)
2.XG Roller++7/3 7/1eq: +0.990 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:		85.78% (G:5.13% B:0.08%)
14.22% (G:0.38% B:0.01%)
3.3-ply9/3 8/4eq: +0.617 (-0.383)
Player:
Opponent:		72.57% (G:9.94% B:0.88%)
27.43% (G:6.55% B:0.15%)
4.3-ply9/3 7/3eq: +0.563 (-0.437)
Player:
Opponent:		69.64% (G:8.41% B:0.73%)
30.36% (G:8.36% B:0.19%)
5.3-ply9/5 7/1eq: +0.563 (-0.437)
Player:
Opponent:		71.10% (G:9.46% B:0.84%)
28.90% (G:9.12% B:0.28%)
 
 33: 8/2 7/1 
Pip=106-80
1.playedXG Roller++8/2 7/1eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		15.60% (G:0.66% B:0.01%)
84.40% (G:5.03% B:0.09%)
2.XG Roller++8/2 7/4 6/3eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		14.94% (G:0.58% B:0.01%)
85.06% (G:5.27% B:0.09%)
3.XG Roller++8/5 7/1 6/3eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		14.80% (G:0.59% B:0.01%)
85.20% (G:5.42% B:0.10%)
4.XG Roller++7/1 6/3 5/2eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		13.82% (G:0.45% B:0.01%)
86.18% (G:5.94% B:0.13%)
5.XG Roller++8/2 6/3 4/1eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		13.59% (G:0.42% B:0.01%)
86.41% (G:6.11% B:0.13%)
 
 Double/Pass 
Pip=94-80
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 84.44% (G:5.04% B:0.09%) 85.39% (G:4.99% B:0.06%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 15.56% (G:0.68% B:0.01%) 14.61% (G:0.56% B:0.01%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.730 +1.466
Cubeful Equities
     No double:+0.944 (-0.056)
     Double/Take:+1.376 (+0.376)
played Double/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
 
 Wins 1pt. 

Game Summary:

Avdis  Category Groutsos 
Expert (-0.0134) Total Error World Class (-0.0096)
Expert (-0.0147) Checker Play World Champ. (-0.0007)
World Champ. (+0.0000) Cube Play Advanced (-0.0213)
6.72 Performance Rating 4.79
4 Move Errors 0
-0.161(-1.25%) Equity lost (cost) -0.009(-0.07%)
     
0 Double Errors 1(1)
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) -0.192(-1.49%)
     
0 Take Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
4 Total Error 1(1)
-0.161(-1.25%) Equity lost (cost) -0.201(-1.55%)
     
0 Jokers 2
-1.034(-8.00%) Luck +1.034(+8.00%)

 Game 18

15 point match, Score is Avdis: 10, Groutsos: 11

 
 52: 24/22 13/8 
Pip=167-167
1.playedBook124/22 13/8eq: +0.053
Player:
Opponent:		50.05% (G:14.00% B:1.20%)
49.95% (G:13.66% B:0.57%)		Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.050...+0.056) - [100.0%]
2.Book113/11 13/8eq: +0.036 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:		49.64% (G:15.23% B:1.62%)
50.36% (G:14.67% B:0.82%)		Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.033...+0.039) - [0.0%]
3.Book213/8 6/4eq: -0.002 (-0.055)
Player:
Opponent:		48.77% (G:14.41% B:1.81%)
51.23% (G:14.30% B:0.94%)		Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.010...+0.006) - [0.0%]
4.Book313/6eq: -0.059 (-0.112)
Player:
Opponent:		47.66% (G:13.36% B:0.64%)
52.34% (G:14.82% B:0.66%)
5.4-ply13/11 8/3eq: -0.128 (-0.181)
Player:
Opponent:		46.34% (G:12.97% B:0.65%)
53.66% (G:15.91% B:0.96%)
 
1 Generated by Steven Carey on 05-Aug-12 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
46656 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 35844429
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 26-Feb-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 38613390
Moves: 2-ply, cube decisions: 3-ply Red

3 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++
 
 65: 24/13 
Pip=167-160
1.playedXG Roller++24/13eq: -0.118
Player:
Opponent:		49.27% (G:9.26% B:0.30%)
50.73% (G:12.53% B:0.33%)
2.XG Roller++24/18 13/8eq: -0.167 (-0.049)
Player:
Opponent:		47.99% (G:10.34% B:0.38%)
52.01% (G:14.06% B:0.47%)
3.XG Roller++24/18 6/1* eq: -0.269 (-0.151)
Player:
Opponent:		45.93% (G:9.75% B:0.29%)
54.07% (G:15.78% B:0.62%)
4.XG Roller++13/7 6/1* eq: -0.277 (-0.160)
Player:
Opponent:		44.75% (G:11.89% B:0.34%)
55.25% (G:15.94% B:1.00%)
5.4-ply13/8 13/7eq: -0.276 (-0.158)
Player:
Opponent:		44.40% (G:11.28% B:0.38%)
55.60% (G:15.29% B:0.85%)
 
 43: 24/21 13/9 
Pip=156-160
1.playedXG Roller++24/21 13/9eq: -0.076
Player:
Opponent:		46.17% (G:10.95% B:0.39%)
53.83% (G:11.06% B:0.42%)
2.XG Roller++24/20 13/10eq: -0.089 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:		46.20% (G:10.49% B:0.34%)
53.80% (G:11.54% B:0.44%)
3.XG Roller++13/10 13/9eq: -0.097 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:		45.73% (G:12.64% B:0.42%)
54.27% (G:12.89% B:0.63%)
4.XG Roller++22/15eq: -0.098 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:		46.77% (G:10.03% B:0.31%)
53.23% (G:12.78% B:0.44%)
5.XG Roller++22/18 13/10eq: -0.101 (-0.026)
Player:
Opponent:		46.45% (G:11.00% B:0.36%)
53.55% (G:12.92% B:0.50%)
 
 66: 24/18 13/7(3) 
Pip=156-153
1.xgXG Roller++13/7(4)eq: +0.359
Player:
Opponent:		60.04% (G:13.73% B:0.46%)
39.96% (G:7.47% B:0.23%)
2.playedXG Roller++24/18 13/7(3)eq: +0.346 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:		59.99% (G:13.61% B:0.59%)
40.01% (G:7.93% B:0.26%)
3.XG Roller++13/7(3) 8/2eq: +0.243 (-0.116)
Player:
Opponent:		56.96% (G:14.66% B:0.45%)
43.04% (G:8.97% B:0.31%)
4.XG Roller++13/7(2) 13/1eq: +0.205 (-0.154)
Player:
Opponent:		56.15% (G:14.03% B:0.34%)
43.85% (G:9.34% B:0.32%)
5.4-ply13/1(2)eq: +0.182 (-0.177)
Player:
Opponent:		54.75% (G:15.26% B:0.31%)
45.25% (G:10.02% B:0.37%)
 
 42: 13/7*  
Pip=132-153
1.playedXG Roller++13/7* eq: -0.486
Player:
Opponent:		37.05% (G:7.68% B:0.24%)
62.95% (G:15.85% B:0.82%)
2.XG Roller++9/7* 7/3eq: -0.531 (-0.045)
Player:
Opponent:		35.99% (G:6.87% B:0.20%)
64.01% (G:15.92% B:0.61%)
3.XG Roller++9/7* 8/4eq: -0.553 (-0.067)
Player:
Opponent:		35.78% (G:7.19% B:0.23%)
64.22% (G:17.31% B:0.95%)
4.XG Roller++9/7* 6/2eq: -0.559 (-0.073)
Player:
Opponent:		35.95% (G:7.04% B:0.21%)
64.05% (G:18.27% B:0.89%)
5.XG Roller++8/4 6/4eq: -0.643 (-0.157)
Player:
Opponent:		31.71% (G:5.09% B:0.15%)
68.29% (G:13.03% B:0.45%)
 
 No double 
Pip=139-147
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 62.83% (G:15.84% B:0.84%) 63.04% (G:16.08% B:0.90%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 37.17% (G:7.63% B:0.24%) 36.96% (G:7.78% B:0.26%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.319 +0.673
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.482
     Double/Take:+0.409 (-0.074)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.518)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 11.1%
 
 55: Bar/20 13/3* 8/3 
Pip=139-147
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/20 13/3* 8/3eq: +0.817
Player:
Opponent:		69.42% (G:22.92% B:1.30%)
30.58% (G:5.23% B:0.19%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/15 8/3*(2) eq: +0.699 (-0.118)
Player:
Opponent:		67.56% (G:19.86% B:0.98%)
32.44% (G:5.87% B:0.23%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/15 6/1(2)eq: +0.678 (-0.138)
Player:
Opponent:		67.44% (G:14.76% B:0.47%)
32.56% (G:5.32% B:0.18%)
4.4-plyBar/20 8/3*(3) eq: +0.638 (-0.179)
Player:
Opponent:		64.34% (G:20.94% B:0.96%)
35.66% (G:6.52% B:0.22%)
5.4-plyBar/10 13/8eq: +0.622 (-0.195)
Player:
Opponent:		67.24% (G:12.66% B:0.39%)
32.76% (G:5.17% B:0.16%)
 
 61: Bar/24 9/3 
Pip=119-150
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/24 9/3eq: -1.004
Player:
Opponent:		23.39% (G:3.57% B:0.14%)
76.61% (G:27.26% B:1.23%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/24 21/15eq: -1.062 (-0.057)
Player:
Opponent:		24.88% (G:4.19% B:0.18%)
75.12% (G:37.29% B:2.63%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/24 13/7eq: -1.064 (-0.060)
Player:
Opponent:		23.06% (G:3.16% B:0.15%)
76.94% (G:30.94% B:2.57%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/24 7/1eq: -1.078 (-0.073)
Player:
Opponent:		21.68% (G:3.43% B:0.12%)
78.32% (G:31.45% B:1.60%)
5.XG Roller++Bar/24 8/2eq: -1.086 (-0.082)
Player:
Opponent:		22.86% (G:3.69% B:0.15%)
77.14% (G:33.39% B:2.87%)
 
 Double/Pass 
Pip=119-143
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 76.62% (G:27.36% B:1.18%) 74.66% (G:32.16% B:1.62%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 23.38% (G:3.51% B:0.13%) 25.34% (G:4.79% B:0.22%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.765 +1.818
Cubeful Equities
xg No double:+1.010
     Double/Take:+1.606 (+0.596)
played Double/Pass:+1.000 (-0.010)
 
Best Cube action: Too good to double / Pass
Percentage of wrong take needed to make the double decision right: 1.6%

Ενδιαφέρον το ότι μέσα σε μια ζαριά έγινε τεχνικά too good. Μεγάλο προβάδισμα στην κούρσα, καλύτερο στρατόπεδο, στόχοι στο 18 και στο 4, και 12 πούλια στη ζώνη.
Στην πράξη, βέβαια, πάντα λες βίδο σε τέτοια θέση. Ποτέ δεν ξέρεις ποιος αντίπαλος έχει ξυπνήσει υπερβολικά αισιόδοξος εκείνο το πρωί.
 
 Wins 1pt. 

Game Summary:

Avdis  Category Groutsos 
World Champ. (-0.0045) Total Error World Champ. (+0.0000)
World Champ. (-0.0042) Checker Play World Champ. (+0.0000)
World Champ. (-0.0050) Cube Play World Champ. (+0.0000)
2.26 Performance Rating 0.00
0 Move Errors 0
-0.013(-0.09%) Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Double Errors 0
-0.010(-0.07%) Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Take Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Total Error 0
-0.023(-0.17%) Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
1 Jokers 0
+1.067(+7.89%) Luck -1.067(-7.89%)

 Game 19

15 point match, Score is Avdis: 11, Groutsos: 11

 
 62: 24/18 13/11 
Pip=167-167
1.playedBook124/18 13/11eq: +0.010
Player:
Opponent:		50.71% (G:13.40% B:1.16%)
49.29% (G:14.22% B:1.01%)		Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.007...+0.014) - [100.0%]
2.Book124/16eq: -0.019 (-0.029)
Player:
Opponent:		50.35% (G:12.37% B:0.98%)
49.65% (G:14.27% B:0.89%)		Conf.: ± 0.003 (-0.022...-0.015) - [0.0%]
3.Book113/5eq: -0.025 (-0.035)
Player:
Opponent:		49.16% (G:14.68% B:1.29%)
50.84% (G:14.38% B:1.41%)		Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.029...-0.022) - [0.0%]
4.Book213/11 13/7eq: -0.082 (-0.092)
Player:
Opponent:		48.20% (G:13.73% B:0.69%)
51.80% (G:14.88% B:0.88%)
5.Book224/22 13/7eq: -0.085 (-0.095)
Player:
Opponent:		48.00% (G:12.86% B:0.51%)
52.00% (G:13.94% B:0.60%)
 
1 Generated by Steven Carey on 02-Aug-12 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
46656 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 38795213
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++
 
 62: 13/11 13/7*  
Pip=167-159
1.xgXG Roller++24/22 13/7* eq: -0.031
Player:
Opponent:		48.92% (G:13.16% B:0.58%)
51.08% (G:13.20% B:0.58%)
2.playedXG Roller++13/11 13/7* eq: -0.042 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent:		48.81% (G:14.13% B:0.67%)
51.19% (G:14.37% B:0.86%)
3.XG Roller++13/7* 7/5eq: -0.101 (-0.069)
Player:
Opponent:		47.66% (G:13.15% B:0.55%)
52.34% (G:14.53% B:0.78%)
4.XG Roller++13/7* 8/6eq: -0.176 (-0.145)
Player:
Opponent:		45.92% (G:12.77% B:0.54%)
54.08% (G:14.91% B:0.82%)
5.4-ply13/7* 6/4eq: -0.199 (-0.167)
Player:
Opponent:		46.13% (G:12.05% B:0.53%)
53.87% (G:16.33% B:1.26%)
 
 31: Bar/24 13/10 
Pip=159-166
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/24 13/10eq: -0.201
Player:
Opponent:		46.18% (G:12.98% B:0.67%)
53.82% (G:16.80% B:1.03%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/21eq: -0.221 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:		46.29% (G:11.68% B:0.61%)
53.71% (G:16.99% B:0.71%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/22 6/5eq: -0.241 (-0.040)
Player:
Opponent:		46.39% (G:12.04% B:0.64%)
53.61% (G:19.51% B:1.18%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/22 11/10eq: -0.243 (-0.043)
Player:
Opponent:		45.65% (G:11.68% B:0.56%)
54.35% (G:17.51% B:0.77%)
5.XG Roller++Bar/22 24/23eq: -0.245 (-0.045)
Player:
Opponent:		45.81% (G:11.67% B:0.58%)
54.19% (G:17.84% B:0.76%)
 
 51: 13/7 
Pip=159-162
1.playedXG Roller++13/7eq: +0.079
Player:
Opponent:		51.60% (G:15.42% B:0.90%)
48.40% (G:14.31% B:0.73%)
2.XG Roller++11/6 8/7eq: -0.098 (-0.177)
Player:
Opponent:		48.14% (G:13.83% B:0.73%)
51.86% (G:15.68% B:0.75%)
3.4-ply13/8 6/5eq: -0.211 (-0.291)
Player:
Opponent:		46.11% (G:13.11% B:0.65%)
53.89% (G:17.36% B:1.43%)
4.4-ply24/23 13/8eq: -0.226 (-0.306)
Player:
Opponent:		45.59% (G:13.07% B:0.72%)
54.41% (G:17.79% B:1.10%)
5.4-ply24/18eq: -0.244 (-0.324)
Player:
Opponent:		45.94% (G:12.66% B:0.78%)
54.06% (G:18.90% B:1.26%)
 
 54: 24/15 
Pip=153-162
1.playedXG Roller++24/15eq: -0.339
Player:
Opponent:		44.58% (G:11.36% B:0.62%)
55.42% (G:20.08% B:1.12%)
2.XG Roller++13/9 10/5eq: -0.441 (-0.102)
Player:
Opponent:		41.38% (G:11.87% B:0.61%)
58.62% (G:20.17% B:1.79%)
3.4-ply13/4eq: -0.483 (-0.144)
Player:
Opponent:		40.49% (G:11.22% B:0.57%)
59.51% (G:20.00% B:1.58%)
4.4-ply10/5 8/4eq: -0.498 (-0.159)
Player:
Opponent:		40.76% (G:10.71% B:0.53%)
59.24% (G:21.42% B:2.02%)
5.4-ply24/20 13/8eq: -0.500 (-0.161)
Player:
Opponent:		40.91% (G:11.15% B:0.70%)
59.09% (G:22.60% B:1.32%)
 
 42: 8/4 6/4 
Pip=153-153
1.played4-ply8/4 6/4eq: +0.187
Player:
Opponent:		52.74% (G:18.15% B:0.81%)
47.26% (G:12.38% B:0.73%)
2.4-ply24/22 11/7eq: -0.043 (-0.230)
Player:
Opponent:		48.23% (G:13.77% B:0.53%)
51.77% (G:12.89% B:0.51%)
3.4-ply13/11 13/9eq: -0.118 (-0.305)
Player:
Opponent:		46.14% (G:13.79% B:0.53%)
53.86% (G:13.13% B:0.69%)
4.3-ply13/9 11/9eq: -0.162 (-0.348)
Player:
Opponent:		45.74% (G:12.74% B:0.57%)
54.26% (G:13.68% B:0.70%)
5.3-ply24/18eq: -0.172 (-0.359)
Player:
Opponent:		46.49% (G:12.60% B:0.62%)
53.51% (G:15.64% B:0.80%)
 
 21: 15/14* 13/11 
Pip=147-153
1.playedXG Roller++15/14* 13/11eq: -0.284
Player:
Opponent:		45.40% (G:12.63% B:0.82%)
54.60% (G:19.99% B:1.16%)
2.XG Roller++24/22 15/14* eq: -0.334 (-0.050)
Player:
Opponent:		44.61% (G:11.89% B:0.79%)
55.39% (G:21.80% B:1.43%)
3.XG Roller++15/14* 10/8eq: -0.358 (-0.075)
Player:
Opponent:		44.15% (G:11.60% B:0.71%)
55.85% (G:19.84% B:0.95%)
4.XG Roller++15/14* 11/9eq: -0.396 (-0.113)
Player:
Opponent:		43.09% (G:11.92% B:0.84%)
56.91% (G:21.39% B:1.43%)
5.4-ply15/13 11/10eq: -0.464 (-0.180)
Player:
Opponent:		42.08% (G:9.18% B:0.40%)
57.92% (G:20.63% B:0.51%)
 
 55: Bar/15* 6/1*(2)  
Pip=161-150
1.played4-plyBar/15* 6/1*(2) eq: +1.044
Player:
Opponent:		68.62% (G:42.67% B:1.94%)
31.38% (G:7.11% B:0.40%)
2.4-plyBar/15* 8/3(2)eq: +0.873 (-0.171)
Player:
Opponent:		64.81% (G:30.77% B:1.90%)
35.19% (G:8.35% B:0.45%)
3.4-plyBar/15* 15/10 6/1* eq: +0.781 (-0.263)
Player:
Opponent:		63.35% (G:32.08% B:1.60%)
36.65% (G:9.08% B:0.54%)
4.3-plyBar/15* 13/8 6/1* eq: +0.691 (-0.353)
Player:
Opponent:		61.63% (G:31.77% B:1.64%)
38.37% (G:10.24% B:0.73%)
5.3-plyBar/15* 15/10 13/8eq: +0.615 (-0.429)
Player:
Opponent:		59.83% (G:24.75% B:1.40%)
40.17% (G:9.89% B:0.58%)
 
 62: Bar/23 
Pip=141-166
1.played3-plyBar/23eq: -1.084
Player:
Opponent:		30.25% (G:6.88% B:0.41%)
69.75% (G:44.65% B:1.97%)
 
 Double/Pass 
Pip=141-164
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 70.25% (G:44.95% B:1.83%) 70.14% (G:46.02% B:1.86%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 29.75% (G:6.80% B:0.40%) 29.86% (G:6.91% B:0.42%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.953 +2.762
Cubeful Equities
xg No double:+1.106
     Double/Take:+2.273 (+1.167)
played Double/Pass:+1.000 (-0.106)
 
Best Cube action: Too good to double / Pass
Percentage of wrong take needed to make the double decision right: 8.3%

Μια λύση σ' αυτές τις θέσεις είναι να τις συγκρίνει κανείς με τις (αρκετά γνωστές) θέσεις που προκύπτουν έπειτα από 55 στη δεύτερη ζαριά.
Εδώ ο αμυνόμενος έχει ως σχετικό πλεονέκτημα την πόρτα στο 11 και το ότι το μέσα blot του είναι στην καλύτερη δυνατή θέση, στο 23 και, φυσικά ως σχετικό μειονέκτημα το ευάλωτο τρίτο πούλι στο 14.
Ο επιτιθέμενος όμως έχει κάνει ακόμα μεγαλύτερη πρόοδο: έχει την πόρτα 4 αντί για την 3, έχει δέκα πούλια στη ζώνη, έχει φτιάξει το bar, και φυσικά έχει double shot στο τρίτο πούλι. Τέλος, κανένα από τα νούμερα που χτυπάνε (6, 5 4 και 2) δεν είναι ντουμπλαρισμένο.
Όλα αυτά, και κυρίως το double shot και τα διαφοροποιημένα επιπλεόν επιτιθέμενα πούλια αρκούν (σε συνδυασμό βέβαια με το ότι ο αντίπαλος είναι ήδη χτυπημένος) για να παίξει κανείς too good με μεγάλη σιγουριά ότι θα πάρει τον πόντο με τον βίδο αν τα πράγματα αρχίσουν να στραβώνουν.
 
 Wins 1pt. 

Game Summary:

Avdis  Category Groutsos 
Advanced (-0.0233) Total Error World Champ. (+0.0000)
World Champ. (-0.0026) Checker Play World Champ. (+0.0000)
Distracted (-0.1060) Cube Play World Champ. (+0.0000)
11.66 Performance Rating 0.00
0 Move Errors 0
-0.011(-0.08%) Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
1(1) Double Errors 0
-0.106(-0.76%) Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Take Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
1(1) Total Error 0
-0.117(-0.83%) Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
1 Jokers 0
+1.094(+7.82%) Luck -1.094(-7.82%)

 Game 20

15 point match, Score is Avdis: 12, Groutsos: 11

 
 41: 24/23 13/9 
Pip=167-167
1.xgBook113/9 6/5eq: +0.160
Player:
Opponent:		49.87% (G:14.61% B:1.12%)
50.13% (G:15.97% B:1.83%)		Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.157...+0.163) - [99.6%]
2.playedBook124/23 13/9eq: +0.155 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:		50.02% (G:14.51% B:1.08%)
49.98% (G:14.87% B:1.28%)		Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.153...+0.158) - [0.4%]
3.Book213/8eq: +0.094 (-0.066)
Player:
Opponent:		48.95% (G:13.81% B:1.21%)
51.05% (G:15.27% B:1.27%)		Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.088...+0.099) - [0.0%]
4.Book324/23 24/20eq: +0.062 (-0.098)
Player:
Opponent:		48.83% (G:12.16% B:0.51%)
51.17% (G:13.13% B:0.50%)
5.Book324/20 6/5eq: +0.054 (-0.106)
Player:
Opponent:		48.65% (G:12.34% B:0.49%)
51.35% (G:14.21% B:0.67%)
 
1 Generated by Neil Kazaross on 13-Jun-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.10
46656 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 78623594
Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply

2 Generated by Steven Carey on 11-Aug-12 using eXtreme Gammon 2.10
15552 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 75804804
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

3 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++
 
 54: 24/15 
Pip=167-162
1.xgXG Roller++24/20 6/1* eq: -0.280
Player:
Opponent:		46.98% (G:12.02% B:0.42%)
53.02% (G:15.08% B:0.71%)
2.XG Roller++24/20 13/8eq: -0.287 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:		47.05% (G:11.52% B:0.50%)
52.95% (G:15.14% B:0.55%)
3.playedXG Roller++24/15eq: -0.301 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent:		47.24% (G:10.70% B:0.47%)
52.76% (G:16.12% B:0.54%)
4.XG Roller++13/9 13/8eq: -0.321 (-0.041)
Player:
Opponent:		46.03% (G:13.02% B:0.55%)
53.97% (G:15.79% B:0.86%)
5.XG Roller++13/8 6/2* eq: -0.339 (-0.059)
Player:
Opponent:		45.89% (G:11.90% B:0.50%)
54.11% (G:15.97% B:0.86%)

Χμμ, ομολογώ ότι ούτε που θα το εξέταζα το χτύπημα στον άσο. Συνήθως αυτό το δυναμικό παίξιμο χρησιμοποιείται όταν ο αντίπαλος έχει κάνει μεγάλο διαχωρισμό με 6 στην πρώτη ζαριά, επειδή τότε τα εξάρια του παίζουν άσχημα από το bar.


 
 62: 13/7 9/7 
Pip=158-162
1.played4-ply13/7 9/7eq: +0.159
Player:
Opponent:		50.44% (G:13.88% B:0.42%)
49.56% (G:10.57% B:0.41%)
2.4-ply13/5eq: -0.048 (-0.207)
Player:
Opponent:		45.96% (G:12.98% B:0.46%)
54.04% (G:13.92% B:0.76%)
3.4-ply24/18 23/21eq: -0.068 (-0.227)
Player:
Opponent:		46.42% (G:11.14% B:0.54%)
53.58% (G:14.24% B:0.63%)
4.4-ply23/21 13/7eq: -0.086 (-0.245)
Player:
Opponent:		45.17% (G:12.38% B:0.50%)
54.83% (G:14.00% B:0.75%)
5.4-ply9/1* eq: -0.088 (-0.247)
Player:
Opponent:		44.90% (G:12.17% B:0.31%)
55.10% (G:12.70% B:0.59%)
 
 44: 8/4(2) 6/2*(2)  
Pip=158-154
1.playedXG Roller++8/4(2) 6/2*(2) eq: +0.180
Player:
Opponent:		55.63% (G:18.65% B:0.68%)
44.37% (G:11.21% B:0.50%)
2.xgXG Roller++13/9(2) 6/2*(2) eq: +0.175 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:		56.04% (G:16.37% B:0.70%)
43.96% (G:10.70% B:0.44%)
3.XG Roller++13/5(2)eq: +0.167 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:		56.16% (G:16.15% B:0.68%)
43.84% (G:11.41% B:0.40%)
4.XG Roller++24/16 6/2*(2) eq: +0.119 (-0.061)
Player:
Opponent:		55.97% (G:11.89% B:0.47%)
44.03% (G:10.94% B:0.36%)
5.XG Roller++24/20 15/11 6/2*(2) eq: +0.098 (-0.082)
Player:
Opponent:		54.91% (G:13.00% B:0.57%)
45.09% (G:10.93% B:0.36%)
 
 65: Bar/20 13/7 
Pip=142-156
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/20 13/7eq: -0.225
Player:
Opponent:		43.26% (G:11.64% B:0.58%)
56.74% (G:20.93% B:0.76%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/14eq: -0.382 (-0.157)
Player:
Opponent:		40.68% (G:8.54% B:0.34%)
59.32% (G:20.36% B:0.70%)
3.4-plyBar/20 24/18eq: -0.413 (-0.188)
Player:
Opponent:		40.48% (G:8.96% B:0.49%)
59.52% (G:25.27% B:0.71%)
4.4-plyBar/20 7/1* eq: -0.455 (-0.230)
Player:
Opponent:		38.56% (G:9.88% B:0.39%)
61.44% (G:23.72% B:1.81%)
5.4-plyBar/20 8/2eq: -0.460 (-0.235)
Player:
Opponent:		38.75% (G:10.21% B:0.51%)
61.25% (G:25.19% B:1.35%)
 
 42: 15/11 13/11 
Pip=142-145
1.played4-ply15/11 13/11eq: -0.048
Player:
Opponent:		50.91% (G:13.87% B:0.45%)
49.09% (G:12.58% B:0.47%)
2.4-ply13/9 8/6eq: -0.219 (-0.171)
Player:
Opponent:		47.64% (G:14.02% B:0.56%)
52.36% (G:15.50% B:0.71%)
3.4-ply24/20 8/6eq: -0.243 (-0.195)
Player:
Opponent:		47.62% (G:10.19% B:0.33%)
52.38% (G:14.28% B:0.44%)
4.4-ply24/22 15/11eq: -0.250 (-0.201)
Player:
Opponent:		46.23% (G:11.80% B:0.36%)
53.77% (G:14.59% B:0.56%)
5.4-ply15/13 8/4eq: -0.254 (-0.206)
Player:
Opponent:		46.96% (G:11.07% B:0.28%)
53.04% (G:14.08% B:0.38%)
 
 62: 24/18 20/18 
Pip=136-145
1.played3-ply24/18 20/18eq: +0.172
Player:
Opponent:		53.01% (G:8.92% B:0.26%)
46.99% (G:7.21% B:0.11%)
2.2-ply24/22 7/1* eq: -0.518 (-0.690)
Player:
Opponent:		37.21% (G:9.71% B:0.47%)
62.79% (G:24.65% B:1.16%)
3.2-ply13/11 13/7eq: -0.632 (-0.804)
Player:
Opponent:		34.61% (G:8.60% B:0.46%)
65.39% (G:26.03% B:1.22%)
4.2-ply8/6 7/1* eq: -0.639 (-0.811)
Player:
Opponent:		34.42% (G:8.85% B:0.39%)
65.58% (G:25.45% B:1.44%)
5.2-ply20/18 7/1* eq: -0.679 (-0.851)
Player:
Opponent:		34.34% (G:8.75% B:0.44%)
65.66% (G:28.79% B:1.54%)
 
 32: 24/22 8/5 
Pip=136-137
1.playedXG Roller++24/22 8/5eq: -0.225
Player:
Opponent:		46.89% (G:6.85% B:0.18%)
53.11% (G:9.82% B:0.20%)
2.XG Roller++24/21 8/6eq: -0.252 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent:		46.66% (G:5.93% B:0.17%)
53.34% (G:10.14% B:0.20%)
3.XG Roller++13/11 8/5eq: -0.252 (-0.028)
Player:
Opponent:		45.76% (G:7.73% B:0.18%)
54.24% (G:9.72% B:0.19%)
4.XG Roller++13/8eq: -0.260 (-0.035)
Player:
Opponent:		45.86% (G:6.96% B:0.16%)
54.14% (G:9.81% B:0.19%)
5.XG Roller++24/21 13/11eq: -0.291 (-0.067)
Player:
Opponent:		45.02% (G:7.33% B:0.18%)
54.98% (G:10.62% B:0.23%)

Ωραίο παίξιμο από τον Αυδή. Το φυσιολογικό 13/8 φτιάχνει μια πόρτα μειωμένης αξίας (εφόσον ο αντίπαλος έχει δέσει στο bar) αλλά κυρίως αποτυγχάνει να προωθήσει το πίσω πούλι του 24 τη στιγμή που ο αντίπαλος είναι έτοιμος να χτισεί prime μπροστά του.
Επίσης, καλό είναι εδώ να προσέξουμε ότι συνήθως η προώθηση πρέπει να σταματά στο 22. Το 21 είναι μία πόρτα που ο αντίπαλος θέλει πολύ να φτιάξει, οπότε θα χαρεί να χτυπήσει ακόμα και χωρίς πόρτα εκεί.
 
 61: 8/1 
Pip=131-137
1.playedXG Roller++8/1eq: -0.104
Player:
Opponent:		45.96% (G:5.39% B:0.07%)
54.04% (G:6.72% B:0.17%)
2.XG Roller++8/2 7/6eq: -0.139 (-0.035)
Player:
Opponent:		45.13% (G:5.59% B:0.09%)
54.87% (G:8.01% B:0.19%)
3.XG Roller++13/6eq: -0.206 (-0.102)
Player:
Opponent:		43.58% (G:5.91% B:0.18%)
56.42% (G:9.30% B:0.18%)
4.XG Roller++13/7 8/7eq: -0.216 (-0.112)
Player:
Opponent:		43.45% (G:5.93% B:0.19%)
56.55% (G:9.98% B:0.20%)
5.XG Roller++8/2 6/5eq: -0.216 (-0.112)
Player:
Opponent:		43.38% (G:7.40% B:0.20%)
56.62% (G:12.71% B:0.31%)
 
 21: 22/20 6/5 
Pip=131-130
1.xgXG Roller++13/11 6/5eq: -0.010
Player:
Opponent:		51.07% (G:7.45% B:0.18%)
48.93% (G:6.75% B:0.07%)
2.playedXG Roller++22/20 6/5eq: -0.071 (-0.061)
Player:
Opponent:		49.78% (G:6.52% B:0.21%)
50.22% (G:7.30% B:0.09%)
3.XG Roller++22/21 13/11eq: -0.073 (-0.064)
Player:
Opponent:		49.96% (G:7.39% B:0.19%)
50.04% (G:8.21% B:0.12%)
4.XG Roller++11/9 6/5eq: -0.075 (-0.066)
Player:
Opponent:		50.06% (G:9.23% B:0.25%)
49.94% (G:9.10% B:0.14%)
5.XG Roller++13/10eq: -0.094 (-0.084)
Player:
Opponent:		49.70% (G:8.84% B:0.23%)
50.30% (G:9.32% B:0.15%)

Εδώ ο Αυδής δεν τηρεί την προηγούμενη παρατήρηση. Το πούλι πρέπει να μείνει στο 22 και ας δραπετεύει δυσκολότερα από κει.
Το 13/11 βελτιώνει την κατανομή των πουλίων, αλλά κυρίως ο Γρούτσος θα επιτεθεί μετά χαράς ελεύθερα στο 20, αλλά πολύ πιο απρόθυμα στο 22.
 
 21: 7/5* 6/5 
Pip=128-130
1.played4-ply7/5* 6/5eq: +0.095
Player:
Opponent:		50.67% (G:10.57% B:0.21%)
49.33% (G:11.34% B:0.32%)
2.4-ply6/3eq: -0.123 (-0.219)
Player:
Opponent:		45.45% (G:4.25% B:0.05%)
54.55% (G:4.58% B:0.14%)
3.4-ply7/4eq: -0.130 (-0.225)
Player:
Opponent:		45.26% (G:4.36% B:0.05%)
54.74% (G:4.83% B:0.16%)
4.4-ply8/7 8/6eq: -0.202 (-0.298)
Player:
Opponent:		43.66% (G:4.60% B:0.06%)
56.34% (G:7.22% B:0.22%)
5.3-ply8/7 6/4eq: -0.364 (-0.459)
Player:
Opponent:		40.17% (G:4.47% B:0.09%)
59.83% (G:11.89% B:0.19%)
 
 65: Cannot Move 
Pip=133-127
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -0.511
Player:
Opponent:		42.28% (G:9.29% B:0.35%)
57.72% (G:17.54% B:0.19%)
 
 No double 
Pip=133-127
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 56.81% (G:18.66% B:0.19%) 56.48% (G:19.61% B:0.21%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 43.19% (G:10.05% B:0.40%) 43.52% (G:10.94% B:0.48%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.177 +0.734
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.536
     Double/Take:+0.490 (-0.046)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.464)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 8.3%
 
 53: 13/10 6/1 
Pip=133-127
1.playedXG Roller++13/10 6/1eq: +0.549
Player:
Opponent:		56.48% (G:19.60% B:0.20%)
43.52% (G:11.06% B:0.45%)
2.XG Roller++8/5 6/1eq: +0.512 (-0.037)
Player:
Opponent:		55.93% (G:17.84% B:0.12%)
44.07% (G:9.01% B:0.33%)
3.4-ply8/3 6/3eq: +0.328 (-0.221)
Player:
Opponent:		53.29% (G:16.11% B:0.22%)
46.71% (G:13.10% B:0.42%)
4.4-ply13/10 13/8eq: +0.289 (-0.260)
Player:
Opponent:		53.97% (G:12.65% B:0.22%)
46.03% (G:10.32% B:0.35%)
5.4-ply13/5eq: +0.257 (-0.292)
Player:
Opponent:		53.78% (G:12.65% B:0.23%)
46.22% (G:11.48% B:0.38%)
 
 33: Bar/22 13/10 11/8(2) 
Pip=133-119
1.played4-plyBar/22 13/10 11/8(2)eq: -0.535
Player:
Opponent:		41.86% (G:9.25% B:0.38%)
58.14% (G:18.47% B:0.22%)
2.4-plyBar/22 11/8 11/5eq: -0.770 (-0.236)
Player:
Opponent:		40.18% (G:10.73% B:0.55%)
59.82% (G:21.84% B:0.27%)
3.4-plyBar/22 13/10 6/3(2)eq: -0.848 (-0.313)
Player:
Opponent:		40.07% (G:9.88% B:0.43%)
59.93% (G:23.35% B:0.33%)
4.3-plyBar/22 11/2eq: -0.871 (-0.337)
Player:
Opponent:		38.47% (G:8.42% B:0.32%)
61.53% (G:21.55% B:0.29%)
5.3-plyBar/22 13/10 4/1(2)eq: -0.947 (-0.412)
Player:
Opponent:		38.38% (G:9.34% B:0.27%)
61.62% (G:23.33% B:0.31%)

Πολύ σωστό παίξιμο σε μια θέση που θα μπορούσε εύκολα να γίνει το λάθος.
Το 13/10 11/8(2) ντουμπλάρει τα τριάρια του αντιπάλου, διατηρεί την πόρτα του, ενώ με τις επιπλέον βολές που δίνει σε σχέση με το 11/8 11/5 (μόνο το ασόδυο) ο Γρούτσος δεν μπορεί να χτυπήσει.
 
 No double 
Pip=121-119
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 58.54% (G:17.59% B:0.20%) 57.77% (G:20.20% B:0.22%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 41.46% (G:8.89% B:0.35%) 42.23% (G:10.71% B:0.60%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.220 +0.831
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.442 (-0.163)
xg Double/Take:+0.606
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.394)
 
Best Cube action: Double / Take

Προφανώς λόγω σκορ. Το 3-away - 4-away στο οποίο βρίσκεται το ματς (ο Αυδής θέλει 3 πόντους για να κερδίσει, ενώ ο Γρούτσος 4) είναι ένα επικίνδυνο σκορ για τον προηγούμενο, επειδή ο υπολοιπόμενος με ένα gammon βγαίνει ακριβώς.
Εδώ ο επιτιθέμενος ποντάρει στο blitz, δηλαδή πρώτα επίθεση στο 3 και μετά ίσως καταφέρει να μαζέψει και το άλλο πούλι στο outfield και να πάει για το ματς. Ή αντίστροφα, χτύπημα στο outfield, o αντίπαλος δεν μπορεί να δέσει ή να ανταποδώσει και close out πάλι για το ματς. (Σημειώστε δε ότι το close out κερδίζει αρκετά διπλα ακόμα και χωρίς το δεύτερο πούλι.)
Σίγουρα αυτό το σενάριο δεν είναι τόσο πιθανό, γι' αυτό και ο Αυδής έχει τεράστιο take, αλλά η θέση είναι πολυ ρευστή (high volatility) και το market είναι εύκολο να χαθεί.
Πάντως δεν μπορώ να κατηγορήσω τον Γρούτσο που το έχασε αυτό. Οι βίδοι από το αντίπαλο bar είναι συχνά πολύ δύσκολοι, ιδιαίτερα όταν ο αντίπαλος έχει ισχυρότερο στρατόπεδο, όπως εδώ.
 
 62: 13/7 10/8 
Pip=121-119
1.XG Roller++13/5eq: +0.384
Player:
Opponent:		56.05% (G:13.50% B:0.10%)
43.95% (G:7.41% B:0.25%)
2.xgXG Roller++10/4 6/4eq: +0.342 (-0.042)
Player:
Opponent:		54.34% (G:13.93% B:0.18%)
45.66% (G:9.44% B:0.31%)
3.playedXG Roller++13/7 10/8eq: +0.289 (-0.095)
Player:
Opponent:		55.99% (G:9.26% B:0.08%)
44.01% (G:5.54% B:0.15%)
4.3-ply13/7 6/4eq: +0.035 (-0.349)
Player:
Opponent:		49.96% (G:9.58% B:0.11%)
50.04% (G:11.87% B:0.24%)
5.3-ply13/11 10/4eq: +0.016 (-0.368)
Player:
Opponent:		48.85% (G:9.98% B:0.11%)
51.15% (G:10.98% B:0.26%)

Το 10/8 γλιτώνει δύο αντίπαλες βολές με 61. Το 13/5 όμως φτιάχνει τον τέταρτο builder με στόχο το πούλι στο 3. Οι τέσσερις builders έχουν μεγάλη διαφορά από τους τρεις.
Στη συγκεκριμένη θέση, αν υποθέσουμε ότι το πούλι παραμένει στο 3, μετά από 10/8 ο Γρούτσος κάνει πόρτα πάνω του 8 ζαριές (43, 53, 54, 44 και 55) ενώ με άλλες 6 (32, 42, 22 και 33) κάνει την πόρτα 4.
Μετά από 13/5, 13 ζαριές χτυπάνε το πούλι με πόρτα (32, 42, 52, 43, 53, 54, 22, 44 και 55) ενώ άλλες (21, 62, 62 και 11) κάνουν την πόρτα 4.
Η διαφορά μεταξύ 4 και 3 builder είναι πάντα μεγάλη και εδώ σαφώς και αξίζει τις μόνο δύο βολές που αφήνει με 61.
Είναι χαρακτηριστικό ότι το 13/7 10/8 είναι χειρότερο και από την άμεση πόρτα στο 4 που αφήνει 13 βολές στo 13.


 
 53: 10/2 
Pip=121-111
1.played4-ply10/2eq: -0.485
Player:
Opponent:		39.68% (G:5.41% B:0.12%)
60.32% (G:13.27% B:0.10%)
2.4-ply13/5eq: -0.688 (-0.203)
Player:
Opponent:		39.80% (G:9.28% B:0.29%)
60.20% (G:19.14% B:0.27%)
3.3-ply10/5 4/1eq: -0.895 (-0.410)
Player:
Opponent:		37.59% (G:8.19% B:0.16%)
62.41% (G:20.95% B:0.26%)
4.3-ply10/5 8/5eq: -0.902 (-0.417)
Player:
Opponent:		37.08% (G:7.58% B:0.26%)
62.92% (G:20.13% B:0.26%)
5.3-ply10/5 6/3eq: -0.911 (-0.425)
Player:
Opponent:		37.28% (G:7.86% B:0.19%)
62.72% (G:20.84% B:0.26%)
 
 No double 
Pip=113-111
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 59.79% (G:13.58% B:0.12%) 59.48% (G:16.01% B:0.14%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 40.21% (G:6.56% B:0.19%) 40.52% (G:7.78% B:0.27%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.241 +0.780
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.491 (-0.052)
     Double/Take:+0.543
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.457)
 
Best Cube action: Double / Take

Παρά το προηγούμενο λάθος, ο Γρούτσος εξακολουθεί να έχει (πιο αδύναμο) βίδο, με το ίδιο σκεπτικό της προηγούμενης κίνησης.
 
 64: 8/2 6/2 
Pip=113-111
1.played4-ply8/2 6/2eq: +0.303
Player:
Opponent:		56.66% (G:9.37% B:0.05%)
43.34% (G:5.41% B:0.11%)
2.4-ply7/1 6/2eq: +0.039 (-0.264)
Player:
Opponent:		50.59% (G:6.55% B:0.05%)
49.41% (G:8.30% B:0.18%)
3.4-ply8/2 7/3* eq: -0.018 (-0.321)
Player:
Opponent:		47.76% (G:12.05% B:0.12%)
52.24% (G:15.68% B:0.35%)
4.3-ply7/1 7/3* eq: -0.147 (-0.450)
Player:
Opponent:		45.49% (G:8.17% B:0.09%)
54.51% (G:14.85% B:0.32%)
5.3-ply8/4 7/1eq: -0.156 (-0.458)
Player:
Opponent:		45.75% (G:5.84% B:0.07%)
54.25% (G:10.03% B:0.20%)
 
 42: 8/6 8/4 
Pip=113-101
1.played3-ply8/6 8/4eq: -0.360
Player:
Opponent:		41.15% (G:6.19% B:0.12%)
58.85% (G:11.02% B:0.06%)
2.2-ply6/4 6/2eq: -1.000 (-0.640)
Player:
Opponent:		32.46% (G:4.78% B:0.10%)
67.54% (G:20.54% B:0.13%)
3.2-ply5/3 5/1eq: -1.000 (-0.640)
Player:
Opponent:		31.64% (G:6.76% B:0.16%)
68.36% (G:24.73% B:0.17%)
4.2-ply8/2eq: -1.000 (-0.640)
Player:
Opponent:		32.42% (G:6.91% B:0.18%)
67.58% (G:27.14% B:0.29%)
5.2-ply13/11 8/4eq: -1.000 (-0.640)
Player:
Opponent:		30.65% (G:7.10% B:0.21%)
69.35% (G:32.68% B:0.99%)
 
 No double 
Pip=107-101
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 59.50% (G:11.72% B:0.07%) 59.17% (G:13.18% B:0.10%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 40.50% (G:8.15% B:0.24%) 40.83% (G:9.58% B:0.36%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.184 +0.591
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.379 (-0.002)
     Double/Take:+0.381
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.619)
 
Best Cube action: Double / Take
 
 52: 8/3* 3/1 
Pip=107-101
1.xgXG Roller++8/6 8/3* eq: +0.343
Player:
Opponent:		56.97% (G:11.72% B:0.06%)
43.03% (G:8.24% B:0.17%)
2.XG Roller++8/3* 7/5eq: +0.302 (-0.041)
Player:
Opponent:		56.40% (G:13.58% B:0.06%)
43.60% (G:13.03% B:0.39%)
3.playedXG Roller++8/3* 3/1eq: +0.249 (-0.094)
Player:
Opponent:		56.31% (G:8.13% B:0.05%)
43.69% (G:8.20% B:0.24%)
4.4-ply8/3* 5/3eq: +0.142 (-0.201)
Player:
Opponent:		51.05% (G:10.94% B:0.05%)
48.95% (G:15.24% B:0.32%)
5.4-ply18/11eq: +0.067 (-0.276)
Player:
Opponent:		51.27% (G:8.14% B:0.16%)
48.73% (G:10.66% B:0.25%)

Ο Γρούτσος πρέπει να ρισκάρει. Έχει να καθαρίσει την πόρτα στο αντίπαλο bar και ο καλύτερος τρόπος να το κάνει είναι να βάλει τον Αυδή στο bar για έστω και για λίγο. Επίσης, έχει δύο άσχημες τρύπες στο 3 και στο 4, οι οπίες δύσκολα θα κλείσουν φυσιολογικά με τόσους λίγους builders.
Το 3/1 καίει ένα πούλι σε μια ασύνδετη θέση που είναι έτοιμη να καταρρεύσει (crunch).
Γενικά πάντως, το τετράπορτο εναντίον τετράπορτου στρατόπεδου δημιουργεί τις πιο δύσκολες αποφάσεις για χτύπημα και γι' αυτό καταννοώ απόλυτα και τα missed doubles του Γρούτσου στις δύο προηγούμενες ζαριές.


 
 52: Cannot Move 
Pip=110-94
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -0.536
Player:
Opponent:		36.49% (G:7.42% B:0.21%)
63.51% (G:11.16% B:0.05%)
 
 No double 
Pip=110-94
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 64.06% (G:10.19% B:0.06%) 63.76% (G:11.46% B:0.05%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 35.94% (G:7.36% B:0.24%) 36.24% (G:8.42% B:0.34%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.270 +0.760
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.515 (-0.054)
xg Double/Take:+0.569
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.431)
 
Best Cube action: Double / Take

Ο βίδος τώρα είναι πιο σαφής στα ανθρώπινα μάτια. Ο αντίπαλος είναι χτυπημένος και έχουμε ένα σημαντικό προβάδισμα στην κούρσα.
 
 52: 18/11 
Pip=110-94
1.xgXG Roller++18/13 8/6eq: +0.388
Player:
Opponent:		59.24% (G:9.37% B:0.07%)
40.76% (G:8.98% B:0.24%)
2.playedXG Roller++18/11eq: +0.355 (-0.033)
Player:
Opponent:		59.87% (G:9.36% B:0.06%)
40.13% (G:10.55% B:0.40%)
3.XG Roller++18/16 18/13eq: +0.296 (-0.092)
Player:
Opponent:		59.14% (G:8.83% B:0.06%)
40.86% (G:12.63% B:0.58%)
4.XG Roller++8/6 7/2eq: +0.296 (-0.092)
Player:
Opponent:		58.15% (G:7.07% B:0.03%)
41.85% (G:6.82% B:0.26%)
5.XG Roller++8/3 7/5eq: +0.273 (-0.115)
Player:
Opponent:		54.35% (G:9.79% B:0.05%)
45.65% (G:9.94% B:0.28%)

Η διαφορά εδώ πρέπει να οφείλεται στο πόσο δύσκολα καλύπτονται τα blots στην επόμενη ζαριά. Μετά απο 8/6 αρκεί ένα απλό 5 για να κλείσουν και τα δύο.
 
 32: Bar/22 6/4 
Pip=110-87
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/22 6/4eq: -0.465
Player:
Opponent:		36.46% (G:4.75% B:0.14%)
63.54% (G:8.33% B:0.08%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/22 4/2eq: -0.505 (-0.041)
Player:
Opponent:		35.63% (G:4.24% B:0.12%)
64.37% (G:8.36% B:0.07%)
3.3-plyBar/22 13/11eq: -0.825 (-0.360)
Player:
Opponent:		36.26% (G:7.34% B:0.25%)
63.74% (G:17.09% B:0.19%)
4.3-plyBar/22 5/3eq: -1.000 (-0.535)
Player:
Opponent:		30.15% (G:7.21% B:0.35%)
69.85% (G:16.78% B:0.21%)
 
 No double 
Pip=105-87
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 63.54% (G:8.29% B:0.06%) 63.46% (G:10.31% B:0.06%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 36.46% (G:4.68% B:0.13%) 36.54% (G:6.77% B:0.25%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.286 +0.727
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.461 (-0.053)
xg Double/Take:+0.514
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.486)
 
Best Cube action: Double / Take

Και πάλι οι συνδυασμένες πιθανότητες επίθεσης και το σημαντικό προβάδισμα στην κούρσα δίνουν βίδο. Από την άλλη, το διάτρητο αντίπαλο στρατόπεδο και οι λίγοι builders δίνουν στον Αυδή ένα massive take.
 
 32: 18/16 11/8 
Pip=105-87
1.xgXG Roller++11/8 7/5eq: +0.352
Player:
Opponent:		58.08% (G:8.50% B:0.13%)
41.92% (G:5.06% B:0.16%)
2.playedXG Roller++18/16 11/8eq: +0.292 (-0.060)
Player:
Opponent:		57.90% (G:5.41% B:0.10%)
42.10% (G:3.97% B:0.09%)
3.4-ply8/3* eq: +0.171 (-0.181)
Player:
Opponent:		55.76% (G:9.71% B:0.06%)
44.24% (G:13.64% B:0.49%)
4.4-ply18/15 8/6eq: +0.091 (-0.261)
Player:
Opponent:		51.88% (G:4.76% B:0.06%)
48.12% (G:7.48% B:0.19%)
5.3-ply18/16 8/5eq: +0.014 (-0.338)
Player:
Opponent:		49.72% (G:5.34% B:0.07%)
50.28% (G:8.05% B:0.20%)

Πρώτ' απ' όλα να ξεκαθαρίσουμε ότι το 8/3* είναι μεγάλο σφάλμα γιατί είμαστε μπροστά στην κούρσα και άρα δεν θέλουμε ανταλλαγή χτυπημάτων όταν έχουμε τρία πούλια ανοιχτά, πράγμα που σημαίνει ότι, αν ο αντίπάλος βρει και κάνουμε γκέλα, θα πάει για διπλό (too good to double)
Από κει και πέρα, σχεδόν όλοι θα παίζαμε ενστικτωδώς 18/16 για να μειώσουμε τις βολές απο 17 σε 15. Έτσι όμως ξεντουμπλάρουμε τα εξάρια του αντιπάλου.
Μετά από 11/8 7/5 ο Αυδής χρειάζεται εξάρια για να χτυπήσει και εξάρια για να βγει στο outfield. Αντίθετα, μετά από 18/16, με εξάρια βγαίνει στο outfield και με τεσσάρια χτυπάει, έχει λοιπόν περισσοτερες καλές ζαριές.
Επίσης, εξίσου σημαντικό, μετά από 7/5 δημιουργείται ένας τρίτος builder, που θα ενισχύσει πολύ την επίθεση στο πίσω αντίπαλο πούλι (10 καλές ζαριές με τρεις builders έναντι 6 με δύο).
 
 61: 22/16 4/3 
Pip=105-82
1.playedXG Roller++22/16 4/3eq: -0.826
Player:
Opponent:		26.83% (G:1.38% B:0.02%)
73.17% (G:4.06% B:0.05%)
2.XG Roller++22/16 2/1eq: -0.838 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:		26.52% (G:1.37% B:0.02%)
73.48% (G:3.81% B:0.04%)
3.XG Roller++13/6eq: -0.933 (-0.107)
Player:
Opponent:		25.45% (G:1.64% B:0.03%)
74.55% (G:4.20% B:0.03%)
4.XG Roller++22/15eq: -0.965 (-0.139)
Player:
Opponent:		25.60% (G:0.92% B:0.02%)
74.40% (G:5.22% B:0.02%)
5.4-ply13/7 4/3eq: -0.981 (-0.155)
Player:
Opponent:		26.12% (G:2.60% B:0.05%)
73.88% (G:6.78% B:0.06%)
 
 Double/Pass 
Pip=98-82
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 73.20% (G:3.86% B:0.05%) 73.17% (G:3.94% B:0.04%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 26.80% (G:1.41% B:0.02%) 26.83% (G:1.30% B:0.03%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.486 +1.021
Cubeful Equities
     No double:+0.665 (-0.157)
xg Double/Take:+0.822
played Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.178)
 
Best Cube action: Double / Take

Όπως το παρακολουθούσα, το πάσο μού φάνηκε αυτόματο, καθώς η κούρσα δείχνει καταδικαστική.
Ας προσπαθήσουμε, από την άνεση του καναπέ μας, αλλά χωρίς εξωτερική βοήθεια, να μετρήσουμε, σκεπτόμενοι όπως (ιδανικά) θα κάναμε over the board.
Το σημαντικό γι' αυτό το σκορ είναι ότι τα διπλά της θέσης είναι ελάχιστα. Το take point του προηγούμενου με 0% διπλά είναι (γνωστό από πίνακες τους οποίους ξέρουμε απ' έξω) 20%, δηλαδή σημαντικά πιο άνετο από ότι σε money game ή στην αρχή ενός μεγάλου σε match length ματς. (Εδώ, με τον Γρούτσο να έχει 4% διπλά το take point γίνεται 23%, αλλά εμείς δεν το ξέρουμε την ώρα που παίζουμε.)
Το ερώτημα, λοιπόν είναι, έχουμε 20%;
Υπάρχουν 13 ζαριές με τις οποίες δεν σώζεται το αντίπαλο πούλι (21,31, 32, 42, 51, 11, 22 και 44). Από αυτές περιμένουμε να κερδίσουμε περίπου το ένα τρίτο (θα έχουμε βολές που αντίστοιχουν σε πάνω από 33%, αλλά θα έχει και ο αντίπαλος άλλες τόσες στο δικό μας board, οπότε θεωρούμε ότι αυτά αλληλοαναιρούνται). Το ένα τρίτο του 13 είναι κάπου 4,3 ζαριές.
Από τις 36 ζαριές χρειαζόμαστε 20%, δηλαδή 7,2 ζαριές συνολικά. Αυτό σημαίνει ότι από την κούρσα, η οποία δεν είναι εντελώς χαμένη, χρειάζεται να κερδίζουμε ακόμα μόλις 7,8 - 4,3 = 3,5 φορές σε 36 παιχνίδια. Δηλαδή για να πάρουμε αυτόν τον βίδο χρειάζεται να κερδίσπουμε την κούρσα χωρίς χτύπημα λιγότερο από μία στις δέκα (3,5/36)! Σίγουρα έχουμε τόσες νίκες με κούρσα 82-98, οπότε σίγουρα έχουμε take.
Μια από τις περιπτώσεις που η γνώση και οι πράξεις θα έδιναν την σωστή απάντηση, αν μόνο είχαμε τον χρόνο και την υπομονή να την ψάξουμ ψύχραιμα over the board.
Ο Αυδής δεν είχε αρκετό χρόνο γι' αυτό, οπότε το πάσο ήταν αναμενόμενο.
 
 Wins 1pt. 

Game Summary:

Avdis  Category Groutsos 
Advanced (-0.0236) Total Error Intermediate (-0.0322)
World Class (-0.0082) Checker Play Advanced (-0.0239)
Distracted (-0.1780) Cube Play Beginner (-0.0464)
11.81 Performance Rating 16.08
2 Move Errors 4(2)
-0.082(-0.69%) Equity lost (cost) -0.286(-2.42%)
     
0 Double Errors 4(1)
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) -0.325(-2.74%)
     
1(1) Take Errors 0
-0.178(-1.50%) Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
3(1) Total Error 8(3)
-0.260(-2.19%) Equity lost (cost) -0.611(-5.15%)
     
1 Jokers 2
-1.069(-9.01%) Luck +1.069(+9.01%)

 Game 21

15 point match, Score is Avdis: 12, Groutsos: 12

 
 42: 8/4 6/4 
Pip=167-167
1.playedBook18/4 6/4eq: +0.196
Player:
Opponent:		53.66% (G:16.21% B:0.68%)
46.34% (G:11.67% B:0.52%)
2.Book124/22 13/9eq: +0.006 (-0.190)
Player:
Opponent:		49.83% (G:13.87% B:0.57%)
50.17% (G:12.96% B:0.50%)
3.Book124/20 13/11eq: +0.002 (-0.193)
Player:
Opponent:		50.03% (G:13.55% B:0.69%)
49.97% (G:13.32% B:0.56%)
4.Book113/11 13/9eq: +0.000 (-0.195)
Player:
Opponent:		49.52% (G:14.73% B:0.67%)
50.48% (G:13.53% B:0.74%)
5.4-ply24/22 24/20eq: -0.038 (-0.234)
Player:
Opponent:		49.38% (G:11.93% B:0.52%)
50.62% (G:13.23% B:0.44%)
 
1 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++
 
 41: 24/23 13/9 
Pip=167-161
1.playedXG Roller++24/23 13/9eq: -0.334
Player:
Opponent:		43.58% (G:11.29% B:0.48%)
56.42% (G:18.39% B:0.86%)
2.XG Roller++24/23 24/20eq: -0.369 (-0.036)
Player:
Opponent:		42.94% (G:10.19% B:0.48%)
57.06% (G:18.19% B:0.69%)
3.XG Roller++13/8eq: -0.389 (-0.055)
Player:
Opponent:		42.22% (G:10.71% B:0.47%)
57.78% (G:18.28% B:0.90%)
4.XG Roller++13/9 6/5eq: -0.389 (-0.056)
Player:
Opponent:		42.66% (G:10.81% B:0.46%)
57.34% (G:19.59% B:1.55%)
5.XG Roller++24/20 6/5eq: -0.416 (-0.083)
Player:
Opponent:		42.33% (G:9.80% B:0.43%)
57.67% (G:20.08% B:1.18%)
 
 64: 8/2* 6/2 
Pip=162-161
1.played4-ply8/2* 6/2eq: +0.443
Player:
Opponent:		57.46% (G:22.28% B:1.23%)
42.54% (G:10.68% B:0.54%)
2.4-ply24/18 13/9eq: +0.196 (-0.247)
Player:
Opponent:		54.39% (G:15.52% B:0.79%)
45.61% (G:12.42% B:0.52%)
3.4-ply24/14eq: +0.186 (-0.257)
Player:
Opponent:		54.54% (G:13.76% B:0.58%)
45.46% (G:11.94% B:0.42%)
4.4-ply24/18 6/2* eq: +0.110 (-0.334)
Player:
Opponent:		52.41% (G:14.87% B:0.73%)
47.59% (G:13.56% B:0.64%)
5.3-ply13/7 6/2* eq: +0.079 (-0.365)
Player:
Opponent:		51.14% (G:16.59% B:0.85%)
48.86% (G:14.14% B:1.04%)
 
 65: Bar/14 
Pip=164-151
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/14eq: -0.463
Player:
Opponent:		41.98% (G:9.50% B:0.47%)
58.02% (G:23.92% B:1.07%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/20 9/3eq: -0.625 (-0.163)
Player:
Opponent:		38.92% (G:9.61% B:0.51%)
61.08% (G:27.16% B:1.55%)
3.4-plyBar/20 13/7eq: -0.683 (-0.220)
Player:
Opponent:		38.56% (G:9.44% B:0.54%)
61.44% (G:28.93% B:2.72%)
4.4-plyBar/20 24/18eq: -0.699 (-0.236)
Player:
Opponent:		38.64% (G:8.61% B:0.47%)
61.36% (G:29.45% B:1.41%)
5.4-plyBar/20 8/2eq: -0.764 (-0.301)
Player:
Opponent:		37.31% (G:9.13% B:0.47%)
62.69% (G:28.82% B:2.22%)
 
 No double 
Pip=153-151
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 58.12% (G:23.93% B:1.07%) 58.37% (G:23.60% B:1.07%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 41.88% (G:9.29% B:0.47%) 41.63% (G:9.25% B:0.47%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.400 +0.781
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.472
     Double/Take:+0.366 (-0.106)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.528)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 14.4%
 
 42: 24/20 13/11*  
Pip=153-151
1.playedXG Roller++24/20 13/11* eq: +0.678
Player:
Opponent:		62.49% (G:26.56% B:1.65%)
37.51% (G:8.74% B:0.44%)
2.XG Roller++13/9 13/11* eq: +0.626 (-0.052)
Player:
Opponent:		61.28% (G:27.34% B:1.77%)
38.72% (G:9.64% B:0.54%)
3.XG Roller++13/11* 8/4eq: +0.536 (-0.142)
Player:
Opponent:		59.14% (G:25.56% B:1.46%)
40.86% (G:10.42% B:0.51%)
4.4-ply13/11* 11/7eq: +0.490 (-0.189)
Player:
Opponent:		58.91% (G:25.01% B:1.39%)
41.09% (G:10.27% B:0.58%)
5.3-ply13/11* 6/2eq: +0.304 (-0.374)
Player:
Opponent:		54.36% (G:22.16% B:1.26%)
45.64% (G:11.96% B:0.73%)
 
 42: Cannot Move 
Pip=164-145
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.063
Player:
Opponent:		29.33% (G:5.98% B:0.29%)
70.67% (G:38.24% B:2.35%)
 
 Double/Pass 
Pip=164-145
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 71.30% (G:37.74% B:2.28%) 71.11% (G:38.65% B:2.33%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 28.70% (G:5.59% B:0.25%) 28.89% (G:5.77% B:0.27%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.966 +1.888
Cubeful Equities
xg No double:+1.099
     Double/Take:+1.578 (+0.478)
played Double/Pass:+1.000 (-0.099)
 
Best Cube action: Too good to double / Pass
Percentage of wrong take needed to make the double decision right: 17.2%

Για πολλοστή φορά ο Γρούτσος παίζει πιο συντηρητικά από όσο χρειάζεται. Το 3-away - 3-away είναι δύσκολο σκορ όταν υπάρχουν διπλά, με το take point να ανεβαίνει μέχρι και το 30% όταν ο αντίπαλος έχει 25% (από πίνακες take point).
Εδώ ο Γρούτσος, έχοντας κάνει τρεις πόρτες και βλέποντας ένα τρίτο πούλι ενώ το άλλο είναι ακόμα στο bar, έχει σίγουρα πάνω από 25% (για την ακρίβεια έχει 38% διπλά).
Επίσης, πολύ σημαντικό, τα τεσσάρια του που χτυπάνε δεν κάνουν καμία πόρτα μέσα, άρα οι καλές ζαριές του είναι πολλές.
Όλα αυτά σημαίνουν ότι ο Γρούτσος δεν κινδυνεύει σοβαρά να χάσει το double out, μέχρι την επόμενη ζαριά, δηλαδή αν τα πράγματα δεν πάνε καλά, θα μπορέσει να πάρει τον ένα πόντο με τον βίδο. Άρα πρέπει να παίξει μια ζαριά για το διπλό και να επανεκτιμήσει την κατάσταση μετά.
 
 Wins 1pt. 

Game Summary:

Avdis  Category Groutsos 
World Champ. (+0.0000) Total Error Advanced (-0.0199)
World Champ. (+0.0000) Checker Play World Champ. (+0.0000)
World Champ. (+0.0000) Cube Play Beginner (-0.0497)
0.00 Performance Rating 9.93
0 Move Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Double Errors 1(1)
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) -0.099(-0.99%)
     
0 Take Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Total Error 1(1)
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) -0.099(-0.99%)
     
0 Jokers 1
-1.056(-10.51%) Luck +1.056(+10.51%)

 Game 22

15 point match, Score is Avdis: 12, Groutsos: 13

 
 32: 24/21 13/11 
Pip=167-167
1.xgBook113/11 13/10eq: +0.225
Player:
Opponent:		49.98% (G:15.39% B:1.64%)
50.02% (G:16.43% B:2.24%)		Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.221...+0.228) - [100.0%]
2.playedBook124/21 13/11eq: +0.211 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:		50.40% (G:13.90% B:1.49%)
49.60% (G:15.46% B:1.65%)		Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.207...+0.215) - [0.0%]
3.Book224/22 13/10eq: +0.197 (-0.028)
Player:
Opponent:		49.93% (G:14.20% B:1.39%)
50.07% (G:15.30% B:1.79%)		Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.194...+0.200) - [0.0%]
4.Book313/11 8/5eq: +0.186 (-0.039)
Player:
Opponent:		49.34% (G:14.79% B:1.33%)
50.66% (G:17.22% B:2.83%)		Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.181...+0.190) - [0.0%]
5.Book313/10 6/4eq: +0.181 (-0.044)
Player:
Opponent:		49.29% (G:14.41% B:1.33%)
50.71% (G:17.31% B:2.82%)		Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.176...+0.186) - [0.0%]
 
1 Generated by Neil Kazaross on 14-Jun-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
15552 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 1
Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply

2 Generated by Steven Carey on 11-Aug-12 using eXtreme Gammon 2.10
46656 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 98720603
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: 4-ply

3 Generated by Steven Carey on 11-Aug-12 using eXtreme Gammon 2.10
15552 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 75804804
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
 64: 24/14*  
Pip=162-167
1.played3-ply24/14* eq: +0.020
Player:
Opponent:		53.92% (G:12.76% B:0.52%)
46.08% (G:11.63% B:0.41%)
2.3-ply24/20 13/7eq: -0.386 (-0.405)
Player:
Opponent:		45.04% (G:11.21% B:0.44%)
54.96% (G:14.75% B:0.72%)
3.3-ply8/2 6/2eq: -0.388 (-0.408)
Player:
Opponent:		45.46% (G:12.41% B:0.47%)
54.54% (G:14.95% B:0.79%)
4.3-ply24/18 8/4* eq: -0.407 (-0.427)
Player:
Opponent:		45.66% (G:11.21% B:0.52%)
54.34% (G:16.65% B:0.81%)
5.3-ply24/20 24/18eq: -0.450 (-0.470)
Player:
Opponent:		44.80% (G:9.32% B:0.40%)
55.20% (G:16.66% B:0.54%)
 
 No double 
Pip=176-157
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 46.33% (G:11.94% B:0.40%) 46.39% (G:12.23% B:0.42%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 53.67% (G:13.35% B:0.64%) 53.61% (G:14.14% B:0.74%)
  Cubeless Equities -0.160 -0.167
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.005
     Double/Take:-0.167 (-0.172)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.995)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 12.8%
 
 31: Bar/21 
Pip=176-157
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/21eq: -0.079
Player:
Opponent:		44.17% (G:11.02% B:0.29%)
55.83% (G:12.10% B:0.43%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/22 6/5eq: -0.155 (-0.076)
Player:
Opponent:		43.17% (G:10.63% B:0.35%)
56.83% (G:17.52% B:1.04%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/24 13/10eq: -0.173 (-0.094)
Player:
Opponent:		42.28% (G:10.87% B:0.35%)
57.72% (G:15.85% B:1.08%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/24 8/5eq: -0.193 (-0.114)
Player:
Opponent:		41.98% (G:10.76% B:0.34%)
58.02% (G:16.94% B:1.22%)
5.XG Roller++Bar/24 21/18eq: -0.204 (-0.125)
Player:
Opponent:		42.13% (G:9.82% B:0.34%)
57.87% (G:16.22% B:0.99%)
 
 41: 24/20 14/13 
Pip=172-157
1.playedXG Roller++24/20 14/13eq: -0.132
Player:
Opponent:		51.71% (G:11.02% B:0.42%)
48.29% (G:14.06% B:0.38%)
2.XG Roller++13/8eq: -0.154 (-0.023)
Player:
Opponent:		50.83% (G:11.69% B:0.44%)
49.17% (G:13.54% B:0.43%)
3.XG Roller++14/9eq: -0.164 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:		50.27% (G:11.76% B:0.45%)
49.73% (G:12.94% B:0.44%)
4.XG Roller++24/23 14/10eq: -0.193 (-0.061)
Player:
Opponent:		49.86% (G:12.16% B:0.49%)
50.14% (G:13.73% B:0.48%)
5.XG Roller++14/13 6/2eq: -0.211 (-0.079)
Player:
Opponent:		49.92% (G:11.30% B:0.39%)
50.08% (G:14.54% B:0.43%)
 
 No double 
Pip=172-152
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 48.24% (G:14.10% B:0.39%) 48.29% (G:14.28% B:0.39%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 51.76% (G:11.11% B:0.44%) 51.71% (G:11.44% B:0.47%)
  Cubeless Equities -0.047 -0.012
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.134
     Double/Take:-0.012 (-0.145)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.866)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 12.6%
 
 32: 13/11 8/5*  
Pip=172-152
1.playedXG Roller++13/11 8/5* eq: +0.074
Player:
Opponent:		47.11% (G:13.42% B:0.38%)
52.89% (G:13.06% B:0.52%)
2.XG Roller++8/5* 6/4eq: -0.027 (-0.101)
Player:
Opponent:		45.51% (G:12.01% B:0.35%)
54.49% (G:15.12% B:0.66%)
3.XG Roller++8/5* 5/3eq: -0.058 (-0.132)
Player:
Opponent:		44.48% (G:12.04% B:0.32%)
55.52% (G:13.10% B:0.53%)
4.XG Roller++24/22 8/5* eq: -0.064 (-0.138)
Player:
Opponent:		44.56% (G:11.14% B:0.32%)
55.44% (G:12.43% B:0.43%)
5.XG Roller++6/4 6/3eq: -0.076 (-0.150)
Player:
Opponent:		43.85% (G:11.68% B:0.30%)
56.15% (G:11.77% B:0.46%)
 
 53: Bar/20* 13/10 
Pip=167-157
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/20* 13/10eq: +0.087
Player:
Opponent:		55.30% (G:17.15% B:0.76%)
44.70% (G:11.36% B:0.41%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/20* 6/3eq: -0.001 (-0.088)
Player:
Opponent:		53.62% (G:14.62% B:0.57%)
46.38% (G:12.07% B:0.42%)
3.4-plyBar/20* 8/5eq: -0.056 (-0.143)
Player:
Opponent:		52.30% (G:13.71% B:0.46%)
47.70% (G:12.51% B:0.44%)
4.3-plyBar/22 13/8eq: -0.202 (-0.289)
Player:
Opponent:		50.49% (G:10.18% B:0.29%)
49.51% (G:15.78% B:0.34%)
5.3-plyBar/22 6/1* eq: -0.241 (-0.328)
Player:
Opponent:		49.36% (G:9.92% B:0.25%)
50.64% (G:15.37% B:0.42%)
 
 No double 
Pip=187-149
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 44.96% (G:11.39% B:0.42%) 44.86% (G:11.47% B:0.43%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 55.04% (G:17.27% B:0.81%) 55.14% (G:17.65% B:0.85%)
  Cubeless Equities -0.272 -0.269
Cubeful Equities
played No double:-0.074
     Double/Take:-0.269 (-0.195)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+1.074)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 13.3%
 
 33: Bar/22 13/10 8/5*(2)  
Pip=187-149
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/22 13/10 8/5*(2) eq: +0.158
Player:
Opponent:		48.49% (G:15.39% B:0.47%)
51.51% (G:13.64% B:0.63%)
2.xgXG Roller++Bar/22 8/5*(2) 6/3eq: +0.154 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		48.51% (G:15.23% B:0.46%)
51.49% (G:14.10% B:0.65%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/22 11/5* 8/5eq: +0.122 (-0.036)
Player:
Opponent:		47.75% (G:14.91% B:0.45%)
52.25% (G:13.77% B:0.64%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/22 21/18 8/5*(2) eq: +0.110 (-0.048)
Player:
Opponent:		48.16% (G:13.86% B:0.43%)
51.84% (G:14.68% B:0.77%)
5.XG Roller++Bar/22 24/21 8/5*(2) eq: +0.096 (-0.061)
Player:
Opponent:		47.50% (G:13.49% B:0.39%)
52.50% (G:12.04% B:0.41%)
 
 62: Bar/17 
Pip=175-154
1.played4-plyBar/17eq: -0.343
Player:
Opponent:		48.00% (G:11.65% B:0.55%)
52.00% (G:18.01% B:0.62%)
2.4-plyBar/23 13/7eq: -0.508 (-0.165)
Player:
Opponent:		44.41% (G:11.35% B:0.55%)
55.59% (G:19.13% B:1.03%)
3.4-plyBar/23 8/2eq: -0.533 (-0.190)
Player:
Opponent:		44.22% (G:11.65% B:0.54%)
55.78% (G:20.03% B:0.96%)
 
 No double 
Pip=175-146
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 52.29% (G:18.61% B:0.62%) 52.22% (G:18.74% B:0.61%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 47.71% (G:12.15% B:0.62%) 47.78% (G:12.63% B:0.68%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.083 +0.316
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.385
     Double/Take:+0.316 (-0.069)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.615)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 9.1%
 
 21: 10/8* 6/5 
Pip=175-146
1.playedXG Roller++10/8* 6/5eq: +0.258
Player:
Opponent:		49.95% (G:17.06% B:0.52%)
50.05% (G:12.85% B:0.61%)
2.XG Roller++10/8* 8/7eq: +0.167 (-0.090)
Player:
Opponent:		48.48% (G:15.67% B:0.46%)
51.52% (G:13.51% B:0.66%)
3.XG Roller++22/21 10/8* eq: +0.160 (-0.097)
Player:
Opponent:		48.36% (G:15.39% B:0.43%)
51.64% (G:12.51% B:0.52%)
4.XG Roller++11/8* eq: +0.158 (-0.099)
Player:
Opponent:		48.22% (G:15.72% B:0.48%)
51.78% (G:13.70% B:0.64%)
5.XG Roller++24/23 10/8* eq: +0.132 (-0.126)
Player:
Opponent:		47.99% (G:14.96% B:0.45%)
52.01% (G:13.58% B:0.57%)
 
 51: Bar/24 13/8 
Pip=172-154
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/24 13/8eq: -0.421
Player:
Opponent:		46.56% (G:12.51% B:0.61%)
53.44% (G:18.43% B:0.68%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/24 10/5eq: -0.490 (-0.069)
Player:
Opponent:		45.52% (G:11.08% B:0.49%)
54.48% (G:19.39% B:0.69%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/24 6/1* eq: -0.491 (-0.071)
Player:
Opponent:		45.47% (G:12.05% B:0.46%)
54.53% (G:19.73% B:0.88%)
4.4-plyBar/24 8/3* eq: -0.567 (-0.146)
Player:
Opponent:		44.22% (G:11.58% B:0.55%)
55.78% (G:21.02% B:1.11%)
 
 No double 
Pip=172-148
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 53.48% (G:18.72% B:0.69%) 53.46% (G:18.79% B:0.68%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 46.52% (G:12.62% B:0.66%) 46.54% (G:12.78% B:0.68%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.101 +0.384
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.432
     Double/Take:+0.384 (-0.049)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.568)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 7.3%
 
 33: 21/15* 6/3(2) 
Pip=172-148
1.playedXG Roller++21/15* 6/3(2)eq: +0.722
Player:
Opponent:		58.69% (G:22.31% B:1.08%)
41.31% (G:11.18% B:0.67%)
2.XG Roller++24/15* 11/8eq: +0.717 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:		58.93% (G:20.14% B:0.76%)
41.07% (G:9.13% B:0.34%)
3.XG Roller++21/18 21/15* 11/8eq: +0.634 (-0.088)
Player:
Opponent:		57.53% (G:19.52% B:0.93%)
42.47% (G:11.55% B:0.63%)
4.XG Roller++21/15*(2) eq: +0.571 (-0.151)
Player:
Opponent:		56.19% (G:19.14% B:0.82%)
43.81% (G:11.63% B:0.61%)
5.4-ply24/15* 8/5eq: +0.500 (-0.221)
Player:
Opponent:		55.21% (G:18.56% B:0.74%)
44.79% (G:10.27% B:0.36%)
 
 54: Bar/21 8/3*  
Pip=160-163
1.xgXG Roller++Bar/21 6/1* eq: -0.786
Player:
Opponent:		40.64% (G:10.67% B:0.48%)
59.36% (G:21.79% B:1.19%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/21 13/8eq: -0.834 (-0.049)
Player:
Opponent:		40.51% (G:11.37% B:0.68%)
59.49% (G:23.38% B:0.95%)
3.playedXG Roller++Bar/21 8/3* eq: -0.865 (-0.079)
Player:
Opponent:		39.81% (G:10.82% B:0.67%)
60.19% (G:23.26% B:1.45%)
4.4-plyBar/16eq: -1.000 (-0.214)
Player:
Opponent:		38.52% (G:9.60% B:0.57%)
61.48% (G:26.78% B:1.13%)

Δεν είναι η ώρα για pure play. Ο Γρούτσος πρέπει να ελαχιστοποιήσει τις βολές, χτυπώντας στον άσο. Το 13/8 αφήνει τον αντίπαλο ανενόχλητο να εκμεταλλευτεί και τα δύο ζάρια του σε μια επικίνδυνη θέση που ο χρόνος μετράει.
 
 Double/Pass 
Pip=163-154
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 60.29% (G:23.38% B:1.43%) 60.25% (G:23.63% B:1.41%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 39.71% (G:10.72% B:0.69%) 39.75% (G:10.77% B:0.72%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.360 +0.875
Cubeful Equities
     No double:+0.709 (-0.166)
xg Double/Take:+0.875
played Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.125)
 
Best Cube action: Double / Take

Το 2-away - 3-away είναι το πιο επικίνδυνο σκορ από όλα. Παρακολουθώντας το ματς είχα την ακαθόριστη (και λανθασμένη) αίσθηση ότι ο Αυδής είχε ήδη χάσει τουλάχιστον μια ευκαιρία να βιδάρει (είναι εξαιρετικά εύκολο να κάνει κανείς missed double σ' αυτό το σκορ) και συνεπώς πίστεψα ότι εδώ ήταν too good.
Όμως ο Αυδής έχει πολλή δουλειά να κάνει πριν φτάσει στο gammon. Έχει τρία πούλια πίσω και έχει χάσει την πόρτα 8, συνεπώς δεν διαθέτει αρκετά πούλια στη ζώνη για μια καλή επίθεση.
Από την άλλη, ο Γρούτσος είναι έτοιμος να κάνει μια καλή anchor ή να βρει κάποια βολή στο outfield. Σε κάθε περίπτωση η παρτίδα έχει ακόμα πολύ ψωμί.
Ο Γρούτσος δεν έχει την πολυτέλεια να χάσει το market, αλλά η θέση του Αυδή δεν έχει χαλάσει στο ελάχιστο για να την εγκαταλείψει.
 
 Wins 1pt. 

Game Summary:

Avdis  Category Groutsos 
World Champ. (-0.0012) Total Error Intermediate (-0.0291)
World Champ. (-0.0023) Checker Play Expert (-0.0132)
World Champ. (+0.0000) Cube Play Distracted (-0.1246)
0.58 Performance Rating 14.54
0 Move Errors 1
-0.014(-0.17%) Equity lost (cost) -0.079(-0.99%)
     
0 Double Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Take Errors 1(1)
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) -0.125(-1.56%)
     
0 Total Error 2(1)
-0.014(-0.17%) Equity lost (cost) -0.204(-2.55%)
     
1 Jokers 0
+0.647(+8.11%) Luck -0.647(-8.11%)

 Game 23

15 point match, Score is Avdis: 13, Groutsos: 13

 
 63: 24/15 
Pip=167-167
1.xgBook124/18 13/10eq: +0.023
Player:
Opponent:		50.41% (G:15.40% B:2.03%)
49.59% (G:15.69% B:1.76%)		Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.021...+0.025) - [100.0%]
2.playedBook124/15eq: +0.009 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:		50.15% (G:13.97% B:1.73%)
49.85% (G:14.72% B:1.53%)		Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.007...+0.010) - [0.0%]
3.Book224/21 24/18eq: -0.067 (-0.090)
Player:
Opponent:		48.81% (G:19.78% B:1.94%)
51.19% (G:22.74% B:1.88%)		Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.074...-0.060) - [0.0%]
4.Book224/21 13/7eq: -0.074 (-0.097)
Player:
Opponent:		48.69% (G:21.45% B:1.83%)
51.31% (G:23.35% B:2.10%)		Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.081...-0.067) - [0.0%]
5.Book313/4eq: -0.079 (-0.102)
Player:
Opponent:		48.60% (G:15.59% B:2.13%)
51.40% (G:16.72% B:2.38%)		Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.083...-0.075) - [0.0%]
 
1 Generated by Steven Carey on 27-Apr-13 using eXtreme Gammon 2.10
46656 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 71196285
Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply

2 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 27-Feb-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 38613390
Moves: 2-ply, cube decisions: 3-ply Red

3 Generated by Steven Carey on 02-Aug-12 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
20736 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 13
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Λόγω του θεματικού γρήγορου βίδου στο 2-away - 2-away, αυτή θα είναι και η τελευταία παρτίδα του ματς (Double Match Point), η οποία, σε περίπτωση νίκης του Γρούτσου, θα κρίνει το πρωτάθλημα.
 
 No double 
Pip=158-167
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 49.98% (G:13.40% B:0.95%) 49.86% (G:12.58% B:0.47%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 50.02% (G:13.40% B:1.21%) 50.14% (G:11.88% B:0.55%)
  Cubeless Equities 0.000 -0.008
Cubeful Equities
played No double:-0.001
xg Double/Take:-0.008 (-0.006)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+1.001)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 0.6%
 
 63: 24/18 13/10*  
Pip=158-167
1.playedBook124/18 13/10* eq: +0.101
Player:
Opponent:		51.79% (G:12.95% B:0.57%)
48.21% (G:11.92% B:0.49%)
2.Book113/7 13/10* eq: -0.011 (-0.112)
Player:
Opponent:		49.81% (G:14.68% B:0.62%)
50.19% (G:13.40% B:0.79%)
3.Book113/10* 10/4eq: -0.072 (-0.173)
Player:
Opponent:		48.73% (G:13.72% B:0.51%)
51.27% (G:13.56% B:0.74%)
4.3-ply13/10* 8/2eq: -0.219 (-0.320)
Player:
Opponent:		46.12% (G:12.26% B:0.48%)
53.88% (G:15.46% B:1.02%)
5.3-ply24/21 24/18eq: -0.286 (-0.388)
Player:
Opponent:		44.92% (G:8.77% B:0.35%)
55.08% (G:12.89% B:0.41%)
 
1 Generated by Miran Tuhtan on 08-May-12 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++
 
 No double 
Pip=168-158
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 48.21% (G:13.15% B:0.98%) 48.19% (G:12.27% B:0.52%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 51.79% (G:14.40% B:1.19%) 51.81% (G:12.94% B:0.57%)
  Cubeless Equities -0.058 -0.102
Cubeful Equities
played No double:-0.101
xg Double/Take:-0.102 (-0.001)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+1.101)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 0.1%
 
 21: Bar/23 8/7*  
Pip=168-158
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/23 8/7* eq: -0.220
Player:
Opponent:		46.10% (G:11.99% B:0.48%)
53.90% (G:15.22% B:0.81%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/23 6/5eq: -0.377 (-0.157)
Player:
Opponent:		43.31% (G:9.95% B:0.33%)
56.69% (G:14.78% B:0.68%)
3.4-plyBar/22eq: -0.407 (-0.187)
Player:
Opponent:		42.79% (G:9.44% B:0.29%)
57.21% (G:14.64% B:0.56%)
4.4-plyBar/24 6/4eq: -0.442 (-0.222)
Player:
Opponent:		42.16% (G:9.62% B:0.34%)
57.84% (G:15.55% B:0.87%)
5.4-plyBar/24 13/11eq: -0.470 (-0.250)
Player:
Opponent:		41.67% (G:9.71% B:0.33%)
58.33% (G:16.02% B:0.91%)
 
 Double/Take 
Pip=165-165
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 53.97% (G:15.34% B:0.85%) 53.98% (G:15.35% B:0.85%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 46.03% (G:12.15% B:0.52%) 46.02% (G:12.15% B:0.52%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.138 +0.224
Cubeful Equities
     No double:+0.224 (0.000)
played Double/Take:+0.224
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.776)
 
Best Cube action: Double / Take
 
 65: Bar/20 24/18*  
Pip=165-165
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/20 24/18* eq: +0.111
Player:
Opponent:		55.57% (G:16.14% B:0.90%)
44.43% (G:10.86% B:0.42%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/14eq: +0.012 (-0.099)
Player:
Opponent:		50.60% (G:13.22% B:0.64%)
49.40% (G:13.72% B:0.55%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/20 8/2* eq: -0.039 (-0.151)
Player:
Opponent:		48.03% (G:13.90% B:0.65%)
51.97% (G:14.95% B:0.85%)
4.4-plyBar/20 10/4eq: -0.060 (-0.172)
Player:
Opponent:		46.99% (G:12.32% B:0.52%)
53.01% (G:15.21% B:0.74%)
5.4-plyBar/20 13/7eq: -0.090 (-0.202)
Player:
Opponent:		45.48% (G:12.12% B:0.55%)
54.52% (G:16.68% B:1.03%)
 
 52: Bar/20 24/22 
Pip=183-154
1.xgXG Roller++Bar/20 6/4eq: -0.192
Player:
Opponent:		40.40% (G:9.38% B:0.32%)
59.60% (G:18.50% B:1.22%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/18eq: -0.202 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:		39.91% (G:8.78% B:0.30%)
60.09% (G:17.85% B:0.96%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/20 23/21eq: -0.213 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent:		39.33% (G:8.87% B:0.32%)
60.67% (G:18.27% B:1.10%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/23 13/8eq: -0.216 (-0.024)
Player:
Opponent:		39.19% (G:9.21% B:0.29%)
60.81% (G:17.08% B:0.95%)
5.playedXG Roller++Bar/20 24/22eq: -0.219 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent:		39.07% (G:8.61% B:0.29%)
60.93% (G:17.60% B:0.86%)

Προέχει το ξεφόρτωμα της πόρτας 6 τώρα που μπορεί να γίνει χωρίς να δοθούν βολές.
Ο αντίπαλος δεν έχει ακόμα στρατόπεδο, οπότε το slot στο 20 μπορεί να γίνει με σχετική άνεση, αφού υποστηρίζεται από πολλές βολές σε περίπτωση loose hit (ελεύθερου χτυπήματος).
 
 53: 10/5* 8/5 
Pip=176-154
1.playedXG Roller++10/5* 8/5eq: +0.274
Player:
Opponent:		63.70% (G:22.74% B:1.29%)
36.30% (G:7.42% B:0.28%)
2.XG Roller++18/10eq: +0.217 (-0.057)
Player:
Opponent:		60.87% (G:16.53% B:0.87%)
39.13% (G:8.61% B:0.27%)
3.XG Roller++20/15 18/15eq: +0.196 (-0.078)
Player:
Opponent:		59.79% (G:13.53% B:0.53%)
40.21% (G:8.66% B:0.29%)
4.XG Roller++8/3* 6/3eq: +0.173 (-0.101)
Player:
Opponent:		58.67% (G:19.65% B:1.01%)
41.33% (G:9.27% B:0.36%)
5.XG Roller++20/15 13/10eq: +0.157 (-0.117)
Player:
Opponent:		57.86% (G:15.64% B:0.82%)
42.14% (G:10.17% B:0.36%)
 
 33: Bar/22 13/10 8/5*(2)  
Pip=181-146
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/22 13/10 8/5*(2) eq: -0.164
Player:
Opponent:		41.82% (G:11.17% B:0.35%)
58.18% (G:17.34% B:0.82%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/22 13/7* 8/5* eq: -0.169 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:		41.57% (G:10.65% B:0.39%)
58.43% (G:20.93% B:1.12%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/22 8/5*(2) 6/3eq: -0.180 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:		40.98% (G:10.20% B:0.34%)
59.02% (G:18.70% B:0.90%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/22 8/5* 6/3(2)eq: -0.208 (-0.044)
Player:
Opponent:		39.60% (G:9.41% B:0.35%)
60.40% (G:22.02% B:1.13%)
5.XG Roller++Bar/22 13/10(2) 8/5* eq: -0.225 (-0.062)
Player:
Opponent:		38.75% (G:8.98% B:0.35%)
61.25% (G:23.56% B:1.34%)
 
 65: Cannot Move 
Pip=169-151
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -0.012
Player:
Opponent:		49.41% (G:13.06% B:0.52%)
50.59% (G:17.17% B:0.58%)
 
 42: 13/7*  
Pip=169-151
1.playedXG Roller++13/7* eq: +0.010
Player:
Opponent:		50.51% (G:17.23% B:0.63%)
49.49% (G:14.45% B:0.68%)
2.XG Roller++13/9 6/4eq: -0.142 (-0.152)
Player:
Opponent:		42.90% (G:11.73% B:0.41%)
57.10% (G:21.45% B:1.29%)
3.4-ply22/18 6/4eq: -0.161 (-0.171)
Player:
Opponent:		41.95% (G:10.92% B:0.38%)
58.05% (G:23.58% B:2.10%)
4.4-ply23/21 13/9eq: -0.162 (-0.172)
Player:
Opponent:		41.91% (G:11.35% B:0.39%)
58.09% (G:17.43% B:0.79%)
5.4-ply23/21 22/18eq: -0.164 (-0.174)
Player:
Opponent:		41.82% (G:10.74% B:0.37%)
58.18% (G:18.80% B:1.10%)
 
 66: Cannot Move 
Pip=163-158
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -0.146
Player:
Opponent:		42.69% (G:10.96% B:0.45%)
57.31% (G:22.76% B:0.76%)
 
 42: 13/9 10/8 
Pip=163-158
1.xgXG Roller++13/7eq: +0.076
Player:
Opponent:		53.81% (G:19.86% B:0.77%)
46.19% (G:13.10% B:0.63%)
2.XG Roller++13/9 6/4eq: +0.065 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent:		53.25% (G:20.05% B:0.83%)
46.75% (G:16.31% B:1.04%)
3.XG Roller++23/21 13/9eq: +0.060 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:		53.00% (G:20.74% B:0.74%)
47.00% (G:13.73% B:0.68%)
4.playedXG Roller++13/9 10/8eq: +0.057 (-0.019)
Player:
Opponent:		52.87% (G:21.82% B:0.76%)
47.13% (G:14.16% B:0.73%)
5.XG Roller++22/18 7/5eq: +0.053 (-0.023)
Player:
Opponent:		52.66% (G:17.62% B:0.61%)
47.34% (G:14.19% B:0.70%)
 
 65: Cannot Move 
Pip=157-158
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -0.216
Player:
Opponent:		39.21% (G:10.20% B:0.47%)
60.79% (G:28.63% B:0.87%)

Σίγουρα η κατάλληλη στιγμή για τρεις γκέλες στο δίπορτο δεν είναι με δύο πούλια στο DMP ενός τελικού πρωταθλήματος. Ο Γρούτσος δεν κίνησε βλέφαρο.
 
 61: 13/7 6/5 
Pip=157-158
1.playedXG Roller++13/7 6/5eq: +0.165
Player:
Opponent:		58.25% (G:27.32% B:1.04%)
41.75% (G:11.75% B:0.61%)
2.XG Roller++13/7 9/8eq: +0.145 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:		57.25% (G:22.75% B:0.90%)
42.75% (G:11.24% B:0.49%)
3.XG Roller++22/16 6/5eq: +0.133 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:		56.67% (G:25.25% B:0.91%)
43.33% (G:14.41% B:1.07%)
4.XG Roller++23/16eq: +0.131 (-0.034)
Player:
Opponent:		56.54% (G:22.95% B:0.77%)
43.46% (G:12.09% B:0.55%)
5.XG Roller++22/16 8/7eq: +0.126 (-0.039)
Player:
Opponent:		56.29% (G:21.06% B:0.80%)
43.71% (G:12.72% B:0.67%)

Το 22/16 6/5 δεν θα ήταν άσχημο, αλλά με την κούρσα τόσο κοντά ο καλύτερος τρόπος να κερδίσει κανείς είναι η επίθεση και όχι το τρέξιμο, άρα σωστά κατεβάζει πούλι ο Αυδής.
 
 42: Bar/23 Bar/21 
Pip=150-158
1.played3-plyBar/23 Bar/21eq: -0.103
Player:
Opponent:		44.84% (G:13.27% B:0.69%)
55.16% (G:24.20% B:0.93%)
 
 61: 13/7 9/8 
Pip=150-152
1.playedXG Roller++13/7 9/8eq: +0.020
Player:
Opponent:		50.98% (G:17.84% B:0.82%)
49.02% (G:11.28% B:0.44%)
2.XG Roller++8/2* 5/4* eq: -0.006 (-0.026)
Player:
Opponent:		49.68% (G:21.23% B:0.78%)
50.32% (G:19.44% B:1.36%)
3.XG Roller++22/16 9/8eq: -0.081 (-0.101)
Player:
Opponent:		45.94% (G:14.02% B:0.79%)
54.06% (G:19.45% B:1.40%)
4.XG Roller++13/7 5/4* eq: -0.109 (-0.129)
Player:
Opponent:		44.55% (G:15.23% B:0.64%)
55.45% (G:19.88% B:1.11%)
5.4-ply22/16 5/4* eq: -0.154 (-0.174)
Player:
Opponent:		42.29% (G:13.58% B:0.74%)
57.71% (G:27.36% B:3.67%)
 
 53: 21/13 
Pip=143-152
1.xgXG Roller++21/16 13/10eq: -0.108
Player:
Opponent:		44.59% (G:11.10% B:0.49%)
55.41% (G:22.91% B:1.18%)
2.playedXG Roller++21/13eq: -0.130 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:		43.49% (G:9.45% B:0.37%)
56.51% (G:20.94% B:0.61%)
3.XG Roller++13/5eq: -0.215 (-0.106)
Player:
Opponent:		39.27% (G:10.78% B:0.52%)
60.73% (G:24.76% B:1.03%)
4.XG Roller++13/10 13/8eq: -0.236 (-0.128)
Player:
Opponent:		38.18% (G:10.30% B:0.50%)
61.82% (G:27.19% B:1.64%)
5.4-ply13/10 6/1eq: -0.300 (-0.192)
Player:
Opponent:		35.01% (G:9.36% B:0.35%)
64.99% (G:28.56% B:1.87%)

Αυτές οι μικρές διαφορές, μη μετρήσιμες από τους ανθρώπους παρουσιάζονται συχνά σε games όπου τα διπλα δεν μετράνε.
Το 13/10 είναι πιο δημιουργικό και πιο επικίνδυνο συγχρόνως. Αδύνατον να υπολογιστεί.
 
 51: 23/18 6/5 
Pip=143-144
1.playedXG Roller++23/18 6/5eq: +0.055
Player:
Opponent:		52.76% (G:16.08% B:0.54%)
47.24% (G:9.91% B:0.37%)
2.XG Roller++23/18 7/6eq: +0.022 (-0.033)
Player:
Opponent:		51.12% (G:15.62% B:0.50%)
48.88% (G:10.42% B:0.41%)
3.XG Roller++23/18 5/4eq: -0.008 (-0.064)
Player:
Opponent:		49.58% (G:15.05% B:0.67%)
50.42% (G:13.11% B:0.59%)
4.XG Roller++22/16eq: -0.034 (-0.089)
Player:
Opponent:		48.32% (G:15.52% B:0.70%)
51.68% (G:14.63% B:0.76%)
5.XG Roller++23/18 22/21eq: -0.049 (-0.104)
Player:
Opponent:		47.56% (G:15.24% B:0.79%)
52.44% (G:16.45% B:0.88%)
 
 51: 13/7*  
Pip=137-144
1.playedXG Roller++13/7* eq: -0.040
Player:
Opponent:		47.99% (G:12.44% B:0.54%)
52.01% (G:17.53% B:0.69%)
2.XG Roller++23/22 13/8eq: -0.099 (-0.058)
Player:
Opponent:		45.07% (G:9.15% B:0.37%)
54.93% (G:17.92% B:0.45%)
3.XG Roller++13/8 6/5eq: -0.137 (-0.097)
Player:
Opponent:		43.16% (G:9.71% B:0.38%)
56.84% (G:17.80% B:0.52%)
4.4-ply23/22 6/1eq: -0.199 (-0.158)
Player:
Opponent:		40.06% (G:8.12% B:0.24%)
59.94% (G:23.81% B:0.59%)
5.4-ply13/12 13/8eq: -0.206 (-0.165)
Player:
Opponent:		39.72% (G:9.53% B:0.33%)
60.28% (G:21.48% B:0.76%)
 
 62: Bar/23 22/16 
Pip=144-138
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/23 22/16eq: -0.102
Player:
Opponent:		44.88% (G:13.74% B:0.56%)
55.12% (G:17.79% B:0.90%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/23 8/2* eq: -0.172 (-0.069)
Player:
Opponent:		41.41% (G:14.78% B:0.46%)
58.59% (G:16.84% B:0.78%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/23 7/1eq: -0.179 (-0.077)
Player:
Opponent:		41.03% (G:13.31% B:0.36%)
58.97% (G:15.23% B:0.74%)
 
 42: 13/9* 9/7 
Pip=136-138
1.played4-ply13/9* 9/7eq: +0.256
Player:
Opponent:		62.82% (G:18.06% B:0.92%)
37.18% (G:9.36% B:0.35%)
2.4-ply13/7eq: +0.032 (-0.224)
Player:
Opponent:		51.61% (G:13.23% B:0.56%)
48.39% (G:13.76% B:0.38%)
3.4-ply13/9* 7/5eq: +0.006 (-0.251)
Player:
Opponent:		50.28% (G:15.32% B:0.76%)
49.72% (G:15.84% B:0.68%)
4.4-ply23/21 13/9* eq: -0.024 (-0.281)
Player:
Opponent:		48.78% (G:13.99% B:0.67%)
51.22% (G:19.48% B:1.13%)
5.4-ply23/21 7/3* eq: -0.034 (-0.290)
Player:
Opponent:		48.30% (G:13.75% B:0.71%)
51.70% (G:18.96% B:0.65%)
 
 62: Bar/23 22/16 
Pip=145-132
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/23 22/16eq: -0.281
Player:
Opponent:		35.93% (G:9.47% B:0.34%)
64.07% (G:17.37% B:0.89%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/23 7/1eq: -0.410 (-0.128)
Player:
Opponent:		29.51% (G:7.74% B:0.21%)
70.49% (G:19.95% B:1.10%)
3.4-plyBar/23 8/2* eq: -0.465 (-0.184)
Player:
Opponent:		26.73% (G:5.80% B:0.13%)
73.27% (G:21.41% B:1.10%)
 
 51: 23/22 13/8 
Pip=137-132
1.XG Roller++13/8 6/5eq: +0.202
Player:
Opponent:		60.12% (G:17.34% B:0.88%)
39.88% (G:10.24% B:0.34%)
2.playedXG Roller++23/22 13/8eq: +0.198 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		59.90% (G:15.89% B:0.85%)
40.10% (G:11.44% B:0.38%)
3.XG Roller++13/7eq: +0.142 (-0.061)
Player:
Opponent:		57.09% (G:15.31% B:0.76%)
42.91% (G:11.44% B:0.38%)
4.XG Roller++23/22 6/1eq: +0.121 (-0.081)
Player:
Opponent:		56.05% (G:14.74% B:0.70%)
43.95% (G:14.19% B:0.47%)
5.XG Roller++6/5 6/1eq: +0.096 (-0.106)
Player:
Opponent:		54.82% (G:15.17% B:0.68%)
45.18% (G:13.71% B:0.49%)
 
 43: 7/3* 6/3 
Pip=137-126
1.playedXG Roller++7/3* 6/3eq: -0.132
Player:
Opponent:		43.41% (G:13.64% B:0.42%)
56.59% (G:13.90% B:0.68%)
2.XG Roller++16/13 7/3* eq: -0.287 (-0.156)
Player:
Opponent:		35.63% (G:9.69% B:0.34%)
64.37% (G:17.91% B:0.98%)
3.4-ply7/3* 5/2eq: -0.329 (-0.197)
Player:
Opponent:		33.56% (G:8.27% B:0.25%)
66.44% (G:21.41% B:1.32%)
4.4-ply16/9eq: -0.362 (-0.230)
Player:
Opponent:		31.92% (G:7.17% B:0.20%)
68.08% (G:13.70% B:0.53%)
5.4-ply6/3* 5/1eq: -0.379 (-0.247)
Player:
Opponent:		31.04% (G:7.33% B:0.21%)
68.96% (G:21.87% B:1.29%)
 
 61: Bar/24 13/7 
Pip=130-129
1.played4-plyBar/24 13/7eq: -0.024
Player:
Opponent:		48.80% (G:12.36% B:0.52%)
51.20% (G:15.00% B:0.56%)
2.4-plyBar/24 7/1eq: -0.320 (-0.296)
Player:
Opponent:		33.99% (G:9.46% B:0.41%)
66.01% (G:28.39% B:1.25%)
 
 53: 16/8 
Pip=130-122
1.xgXG Roller++16/11 5/2eq: -0.204
Player:
Opponent:		39.82% (G:9.58% B:0.29%)
60.18% (G:15.20% B:0.76%)
2.playedXG Roller++16/8eq: -0.235 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:		38.24% (G:8.62% B:0.28%)
61.76% (G:13.86% B:0.58%)
3.XG Roller++16/11 8/5eq: -0.322 (-0.119)
Player:
Opponent:		33.88% (G:7.15% B:0.19%)
66.12% (G:15.02% B:0.74%)
4.XG Roller++16/13 8/3eq: -0.337 (-0.133)
Player:
Opponent:		33.16% (G:7.49% B:0.19%)
66.84% (G:16.75% B:0.87%)
5.XG Roller++8/3 5/2eq: -0.340 (-0.136)
Player:
Opponent:		33.01% (G:7.80% B:0.19%)
66.99% (G:20.77% B:1.26%)

Το 5/2 βάζει τα κάπως υπέρβολικά προχωρημένα πούλια του 5 να δουλέψουν. Δεν νομίζω ότι θα το έβρισκα.
 
 43: 8/4 7/4 
Pip=122-122
1.playedXG Roller++8/4 7/4eq: +0.385
Player:
Opponent:		69.27% (G:18.16% B:0.84%)
30.73% (G:5.84% B:0.25%)
2.XG Roller++7/3 6/3eq: +0.270 (-0.116)
Player:
Opponent:		63.49% (G:16.39% B:0.73%)
36.51% (G:7.91% B:0.26%)
3.4-ply24/21 13/9eq: +0.090 (-0.295)
Player:
Opponent:		54.50% (G:12.57% B:0.61%)
45.50% (G:14.83% B:0.45%)
4.4-ply13/9 8/5eq: +0.066 (-0.319)
Player:
Opponent:		53.32% (G:11.23% B:0.42%)
46.68% (G:11.34% B:0.37%)
5.3-ply24/21 7/3eq: +0.086 (-0.300)
Player:
Opponent:		54.29% (G:12.68% B:0.58%)
45.71% (G:18.17% B:0.70%)
 
 43: 8/4 5/2 
Pip=122-115
1.playedXG Roller++8/4 5/2eq: -0.385
Player:
Opponent:		30.77% (G:5.77% B:0.19%)
69.23% (G:22.02% B:1.22%)
2.XG Roller++8/4 7/4eq: -0.479 (-0.094)
Player:
Opponent:		26.05% (G:4.96% B:0.15%)
73.95% (G:16.93% B:0.75%)
3.XG Roller++8/5 8/4eq: -0.499 (-0.115)
Player:
Opponent:		25.03% (G:4.03% B:0.12%)
74.97% (G:20.24% B:0.99%)
4.4-ply8/1* eq: -0.541 (-0.156)
Player:
Opponent:		22.97% (G:3.88% B:0.08%)
77.03% (G:17.13% B:0.75%)
5.4-ply5/2 5/1* eq: -0.545 (-0.160)
Player:
Opponent:		22.76% (G:4.02% B:0.11%)
77.24% (G:20.29% B:1.02%)

Μοναδικό παίξιμο. Οτιδήποτε άλλο είναι καταστροφικό. Ο Αυδής ελπίζει να γλιτώσει τις βολές και να κάνει τουλάχιστον την 4.
Είναι ενδιαφέρον ότι η θέση του δεν είναι τόσο χαμένη όσο φαίνεται. Διατηρεί ένα 31%, που οφείλεται στην anchor και στο ότι το αντίπαλο timing είναι επίσης προβληματικό.
 
 61: 24/23* 13/7 
Pip=115-115
1.playedXG Roller++24/23* 13/7eq: +0.373
Player:
Opponent:		68.63% (G:29.73% B:1.87%)
31.37% (G:5.78% B:0.26%)
2.XG Roller++13/7 6/5eq: +0.342 (-0.031)
Player:
Opponent:		67.09% (G:16.04% B:0.72%)
32.91% (G:5.83% B:0.24%)
3.4-ply13/6eq: +0.062 (-0.311)
Player:
Opponent:		53.09% (G:11.23% B:0.40%)
46.91% (G:9.89% B:0.34%)
4.3-ply24/23* 7/1eq: -0.077 (-0.450)
Player:
Opponent:		46.13% (G:18.27% B:1.08%)
53.87% (G:20.46% B:1.77%)
5.3-ply13/7 4/3eq: -0.145 (-0.517)
Player:
Opponent:		42.76% (G:11.90% B:0.75%)
57.24% (G:26.77% B:1.56%)
 
 21: Bar/22 
Pip=138-108
1.playedRollout1Bar/22eq: -0.275
Player:
Opponent:		36.27% (G:7.02% B:0.68%)
63.73% (G:32.75% B:6.11%)		Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.280...-0.270) - [98.9%]
Duration: 4 minutes 27 seconds
2.Rollout1Bar/23 5/4eq: -0.283 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		35.84% (G:6.95% B:0.60%)
64.16% (G:23.95% B:3.86%)		Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.288...-0.278) - [1.1%]
Duration: 3 minutes 30 seconds
3.XG Roller++Bar/24 5/3eq: -0.418 (-0.143)
Player:
Opponent:		29.11% (G:5.70% B:0.22%)
70.89% (G:32.87% B:2.21%)
4.4-plyBar/24 6/4eq: -0.465 (-0.191)
Player:
Opponent:		26.74% (G:4.51% B:0.14%)
73.26% (G:30.53% B:1.82%)
5.4-plyBar/24 4/2* eq: -0.489 (-0.215)
Player:
Opponent:		25.53% (G:4.05% B:0.12%)
74.47% (G:26.44% B:1.60%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Ο Αυδής σκέφτηκε αρκετή ώρα εδώ. Προσωπικά θα είχα κάνει το εξάπορτο. Το κάθε παίχνίδι έχει τα υπέρ και τα κατά του. Τελικά είναι πρακτικά ισοδύναμα.
 
 44: 8/4 7/3*(3)  
Pip=135-108
1.playedXG Roller++8/4 7/3*(3) eq: +0.003
Player:
Opponent:		50.14% (G:28.20% B:1.78%)
49.86% (G:7.67% B:0.33%)
2.XG Roller++8/4(2) 7/3*(2) eq: -0.059 (-0.061)
Player:
Opponent:		47.07% (G:26.11% B:1.51%)
52.93% (G:8.67% B:0.38%)
3.XG Roller++7/3*(2) 5/1(2)eq: -0.140 (-0.142)
Player:
Opponent:		43.02% (G:21.93% B:0.88%)
56.98% (G:10.65% B:0.44%)
4.4-ply7/3*(3) 5/1eq: -0.313 (-0.316)
Player:
Opponent:		34.33% (G:14.63% B:0.69%)
65.67% (G:19.72% B:1.16%)
5.3-ply8/4 7/3* 5/1(2)eq: -0.414 (-0.417)
Player:
Opponent:		29.29% (G:11.65% B:0.45%)
70.71% (G:21.51% B:1.16%)
 
 62: Bar/17*  
Pip=138-92
1.played3-plyBar/17* eq: +0.319
Player:
Opponent:		65.94% (G:14.92% B:0.60%)
34.06% (G:13.14% B:0.60%)
2.3-plyBar/23 8/2* eq: -0.181 (-0.500)
Player:
Opponent:		40.96% (G:7.02% B:0.32%)
59.04% (G:35.30% B:2.96%)
3.2-plyBar/23 7/1eq: -0.373 (-0.692)
Player:
Opponent:		31.33% (G:3.35% B:0.05%)
68.67% (G:34.03% B:2.14%)
 
 53: Cannot Move 
Pip=130-109
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -0.579
Player:
Opponent:		21.07% (G:6.26% B:0.35%)
78.93% (G:20.57% B:0.57%)
 
 51: 23/18 5/4 
Pip=130-109
1.playedXG Roller++23/18 5/4eq: +0.779
Player:
Opponent:		88.93% (G:20.33% B:0.80%)
11.07% (G:0.39% B:0.03%)
2.XG Roller++17/12 5/4eq: +0.730 (-0.049)
Player:
Opponent:		86.48% (G:20.49% B:0.86%)
13.52% (G:1.31% B:0.06%)
3.4-ply7/2* 5/4eq: +0.532 (-0.246)
Player:
Opponent:		76.62% (G:21.92% B:0.62%)
23.38% (G:9.09% B:0.70%)
4.4-ply8/3 5/4eq: +0.490 (-0.289)
Player:
Opponent:		74.50% (G:20.34% B:0.71%)
25.50% (G:7.58% B:0.40%)
5.3-ply23/18 4/3eq: +0.333 (-0.446)
Player:
Opponent:		66.63% (G:12.76% B:0.55%)
33.37% (G:11.23% B:0.33%)

Το ματς φαίνεται να γέρνει σοβαρά προς τη μεριά του Αυδή.
 
 52: Bar/23 6/1 
Pip=124-109
1.played3-plyBar/23 6/1eq: -0.759
Player:
Opponent:		12.04% (G:0.61% B:0.04%)
87.96% (G:14.62% B:0.24%)
 
 21: 17/14 
Pip=124-102
1.XG Roller++18/15eq: +0.767
Player:
Opponent:		88.34% (G:15.57% B:0.34%)
11.66% (G:0.21% B:0.00%)
2.xgXG Roller++18/16 17/16eq: +0.766 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		88.31% (G:15.27% B:0.32%)
11.69% (G:0.21% B:0.00%)
3.playedXG Roller++17/14eq: +0.766 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		88.29% (G:15.31% B:0.32%)
11.71% (G:0.21% B:0.00%)
4.3-ply18/17 3/1eq: +0.412 (-0.355)
Player:
Opponent:		70.58% (G:16.68% B:0.55%)
29.42% (G:13.80% B:0.26%)
5.3-ply17/16 3/1eq: +0.409 (-0.358)
Player:
Opponent:		70.45% (G:16.44% B:0.52%)
29.55% (G:13.65% B:0.66%)
 
 53: 6/3 6/1 
Pip=121-102
1.playedXG Roller++6/3 6/1eq: -0.768
Player:
Opponent:		11.62% (G:0.11% B:0.00%)
88.38% (G:14.85% B:0.40%)
2.XG Roller++6/1 4/1eq: -0.786 (-0.018)
Player:
Opponent:		10.72% (G:0.11% B:0.00%)
89.28% (G:16.67% B:0.47%)
3.XG Roller++6/1 5/2* eq: -0.836 (-0.069)
Player:
Opponent:		8.18% (G:0.09% B:0.00%)
91.82% (G:23.23% B:0.81%)
 
 64: 23/17 14/10 
Pip=121-94
1.xgXG Roller++18/12 14/10eq: +0.763
Player:
Opponent:		88.15% (G:14.27% B:0.32%)
11.85% (G:0.17% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++14/4eq: +0.763 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		88.13% (G:14.68% B:0.33%)
11.87% (G:0.21% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++18/8eq: +0.759 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		87.96% (G:14.03% B:0.33%)
12.04% (G:0.17% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++23/13eq: +0.739 (-0.024)
Player:
Opponent:		86.97% (G:9.78% B:0.13%)
13.03% (G:0.12% B:0.00%)
5.playedXG Roller++23/17 14/10eq: +0.739 (-0.024)
Player:
Opponent:		86.96% (G:9.82% B:0.13%)
13.04% (G:0.12% B:0.00%)

Με δεδομένο ότι, αν ο Αυδής δώσει βολές, ο Γρούτσος θα έχει ήδη λίγο ή πολύ κατεστραμμένο στρατόπεδο (crunched) η κύρια ελπίδα του Γρούτσου είναι η κούρσα, στην οποία είναι ακόμα μπροστά.
Άρα ο Αυδής πρέπει να περιμένει να χτυπήσει ένα τρίτο πούλι. Ο κίνδυνος να μην χαλάσει ο Γρούτσος το 6 του και να φέρει ο Αυδής στην επόμενη 44 είναι ελάχιστος και ακόμα και έτσι δεν θα έχει χάσει την πάρτιδα.
Τα παιξίματα είναι σχεδόν ισοδύναμα, αλλά καμιά φορά ακόμα και οι μικρές διαφορές μετράνε.
 
 21: 4/2 3/2 
Pip=111-94
1.playedXG Roller++4/2 3/2eq: -0.742
Player:
Opponent:		12.92% (G:0.08% B:0.00%)
87.08% (G:9.02% B:0.24%)
2.xgXG Roller++6/4 3/2eq: -0.742 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		12.91% (G:0.08% B:0.00%)
87.09% (G:8.67% B:0.22%)
3.XG Roller++5/2eq: -0.743 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		12.87% (G:0.07% B:0.00%)
87.13% (G:8.96% B:0.23%)
4.XG Roller++6/5 6/4eq: -0.743 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		12.86% (G:0.09% B:0.00%)
87.14% (G:8.69% B:0.20%)
5.XG Roller++3/2 3/1eq: -0.744 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		12.79% (G:0.08% B:0.00%)
87.21% (G:9.09% B:0.24%)
 
 52: 18/11 
Pip=111-91
1.xgXG Roller++18/13 17/15eq: +0.746
Player:
Opponent:		87.29% (G:8.63% B:0.13%)
12.71% (G:0.12% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++18/16 17/12eq: +0.746 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		87.28% (G:8.56% B:0.13%)
12.72% (G:0.11% B:0.00%)
3.playedXG Roller++18/11eq: +0.746 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		87.28% (G:8.71% B:0.14%)
12.72% (G:0.14% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++18/13 10/8eq: +0.745 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		87.26% (G:8.67% B:0.13%)
12.74% (G:0.12% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++17/10eq: +0.744 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		87.20% (G:8.51% B:0.13%)
12.80% (G:0.12% B:0.00%)
 
 44: 6/2(2) 5/1(2) 
Pip=104-91
1.played3-ply6/2(2) 5/1(2)eq: -0.732
Player:
Opponent:		13.38% (G:0.14% B:0.00%)
86.62% (G:14.68% B:0.22%)
 
 52: 17/15 11/6 
Pip=104-75
1.playedXG Roller++17/15 11/6eq: +0.764
Player:
Opponent:		88.20% (G:9.95% B:0.21%)
11.80% (G:0.14% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++17/12 11/9eq: +0.764 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		88.18% (G:10.01% B:0.22%)
11.82% (G:0.14% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++17/10eq: +0.764 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		88.18% (G:10.04% B:0.21%)
11.82% (G:0.14% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++11/9 10/5eq: +0.763 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		88.13% (G:10.18% B:0.22%)
11.87% (G:0.16% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++11/6 10/8eq: +0.762 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		88.12% (G:10.10% B:0.22%)
11.88% (G:0.15% B:0.00%)
 
 51: 4/3 
Pip=97-75
1.XG Roller++2/1eq: -0.769
Player:
Opponent:		11.53% (G:0.09% B:0.00%)
88.47% (G:9.66% B:0.23%)
2.playedXG Roller++4/3eq: -0.771 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		11.45% (G:0.08% B:0.00%)
88.55% (G:9.59% B:0.23%)
3.XG Roller++3/2eq: -0.772 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		11.40% (G:0.09% B:0.00%)
88.60% (G:10.11% B:0.25%)
 
 65: 15/9 10/5 
Pip=97-74
1.playedXG Roller++15/9 10/5eq: +0.775
Player:
Opponent:		88.74% (G:9.29% B:0.17%)
11.26% (G:0.12% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++15/9 6/1eq: +0.774 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		88.72% (G:9.05% B:0.16%)
11.28% (G:0.12% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++10/4 6/1eq: +0.770 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:		88.51% (G:10.06% B:0.20%)
11.49% (G:0.13% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++15/4eq: +0.768 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:		88.39% (G:9.28% B:0.18%)
11.61% (G:0.13% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++7/1 6/1eq: +0.705 (-0.069)
Player:
Opponent:		85.27% (G:17.92% B:0.59%)
14.73% (G:1.43% B:0.01%)
 
 42: 4/2 
Pip=86-74
1.playedXG Roller++4/2eq: -0.775
Player:
Opponent:		11.26% (G:0.12% B:0.00%)
88.74% (G:8.59% B:0.17%)
2.XG Roller++3/1eq: -0.777 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		11.14% (G:0.12% B:0.00%)
88.86% (G:8.84% B:0.19%)
 
 32: 9/4 
Pip=86-72
1.XG Roller++6/1eq: +0.771
Player:
Opponent:		88.57% (G:8.60% B:0.13%)
11.43% (G:0.12% B:0.00%)
2.playedXG Roller++9/4eq: +0.770 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		88.50% (G:8.77% B:0.14%)
11.50% (G:0.11% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++9/6 5/3eq: +0.756 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:		87.82% (G:8.46% B:0.14%)
12.18% (G:0.12% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++9/7 6/3eq: +0.746 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:		87.31% (G:7.90% B:0.12%)
12.69% (G:0.18% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++9/6 3/1eq: +0.730 (-0.041)
Player:
Opponent:		86.51% (G:13.15% B:0.30%)
13.49% (G:0.56% B:0.00%)
 
 64: Cannot Move 
Pip=81-72
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -0.768
Player:
Opponent:		11.58% (G:0.09% B:0.00%)
88.42% (G:8.92% B:0.22%)
 
 22: 7/3(2) 
Pip=81-72
1.xgXG Roller++7/5 7/1eq: +0.779
Player:
Opponent:		88.94% (G:9.45% B:0.16%)
11.06% (G:0.10% B:0.00%)
2.playedXG Roller++7/3(2)eq: +0.767 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:		88.35% (G:7.66% B:0.12%)
11.65% (G:0.11% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++8/6 8/4 5/3eq: +0.743 (-0.036)
Player:
Opponent:		87.14% (G:6.85% B:0.10%)
12.86% (G:0.10% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++8/6(2) 5/1eq: +0.739 (-0.040)
Player:
Opponent:		86.95% (G:7.28% B:0.10%)
13.05% (G:0.12% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++8/4(2)eq: +0.739 (-0.040)
Player:
Opponent:		86.93% (G:6.28% B:0.10%)
13.07% (G:0.08% B:0.00%)

Το μόνο που δεν πρέπει να κάνει είναι να ανοίξει και τις εξάρες. Οποιοδήποτε άλλο εύλογο παίξιμο είναι σωστό.
 
 55: 23/13(2) 
Pip=73-72
1.playedXG Roller++23/13(2)eq: +0.169
Player:
Opponent:		58.47% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
41.53% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++23/18 23/8eq: -0.126 (-0.295)
Player:
Opponent:		43.70% (G:0.07% B:0.00%)
56.30% (G:0.99% B:0.02%)
3.2-ply23/3eq: -0.682 (-0.851)
Player:
Opponent:		15.91% (G:0.22% B:0.00%)
84.09% (G:2.43% B:0.07%)

Τζόκερ πρωταθλήματος! Και δεν αρκεί από μόνος του.
 
 32: 8/6 8/5 
Pip=73-52
1.playedXG Roller++8/6 8/5eq: -0.318
Player:
Opponent:		34.08% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
65.92% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++8/5 3/1eq: -0.328 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:		33.60% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
66.40% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++8/5 4/2eq: -0.356 (-0.037)
Player:
Opponent:		32.22% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
67.78% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++8/5 6/4eq: -0.358 (-0.040)
Player:
Opponent:		32.09% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
67.91% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++8/6 4/1eq: -0.364 (-0.045)
Player:
Opponent:		31.80% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
68.20% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 21: 13/12 13/11 
Pip=68-52
1.xgXG Roller++13/10eq: +0.063
Player:
Opponent:		53.16% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
46.84% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.playedXG Roller++13/12 13/11eq: +0.049 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:		52.45% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
47.55% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++13/11 2/1eq: +0.001 (-0.062)
Player:
Opponent:		50.04% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
49.96% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++13/11 3/2eq: -0.005 (-0.068)
Player:
Opponent:		49.77% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
50.23% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++13/12 3/1eq: -0.052 (-0.115)
Player:
Opponent:		47.42% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
52.58% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 52: 5/Off 3/1 
Pip=68-49
1.playedXG Roller++5/Off 3/1eq: -0.129
Player:
Opponent:		43.54% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
56.46% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++6/4 5/Offeq: -0.146 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:		42.68% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
57.32% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++5/Off 4/2eq: -0.150 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent:		42.48% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
57.52% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++6/1 4/2eq: -0.193 (-0.064)
Player:
Opponent:		40.36% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
59.64% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++5/3 5/Offeq: -0.194 (-0.065)
Player:
Opponent:		40.28% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
59.72% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 54: 12/8 11/6 
Pip=61-49
1.playedXG Roller++12/8 11/6eq: +0.194
Player:
Opponent:		59.70% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
40.30% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++12/3eq: +0.108 (-0.086)
Player:
Opponent:		55.42% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
44.58% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++12/7 11/7eq: +0.018 (-0.176)
Player:
Opponent:		50.91% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
49.09% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.4-ply11/2eq: +0.028 (-0.166)
Player:
Opponent:		51.38% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
48.62% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 21: 3/Off 
Pip=61-40
1.playedXG Roller++3/Offeq: -0.474
Player:
Opponent:		26.28% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
73.72% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++4/2 1/Offeq: -0.482 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:		25.88% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
74.12% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++6/4 1/Offeq: -0.485 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent:		25.74% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
74.26% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++6/4 3/2eq: -0.503 (-0.029)
Player:
Opponent:		24.83% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
75.17% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++6/5 4/2eq: -0.519 (-0.044)
Player:
Opponent:		24.06% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
75.94% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 21: 8/6 1/Off 
Pip=58-40
1.playedXG Roller++8/6 1/Offeq: +0.271
Player:
Opponent:		63.57% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
36.43% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++8/7 6/4eq: +0.200 (-0.072)
Player:
Opponent:		59.98% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
40.02% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++8/5eq: +0.195 (-0.076)
Player:
Opponent:		59.75% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
40.25% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++6/4 2/1eq: +0.184 (-0.088)
Player:
Opponent:		59.18% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
40.82% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++6/4 3/2eq: +0.171 (-0.101)
Player:
Opponent:		58.55% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
41.45% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 31: 3/Off 1/Off 
Pip=58-37
1.played4-ply3/Off 1/Offeq: -0.476
Player:
Opponent:		26.22% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
73.78% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply6/5 3/Offeq: -0.513 (-0.037)
Player:
Opponent:		24.37% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
75.63% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply5/2 1/Offeq: -0.516 (-0.040)
Player:
Opponent:		24.21% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
75.79% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.4-ply3/2 3/Offeq: -0.521 (-0.045)
Player:
Opponent:		23.95% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
76.05% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.4-ply4/Offeq: -0.522 (-0.046)
Player:
Opponent:		23.91% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
76.09% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 53: 6/1 3/Off 
Pip=54-37
1.played4-ply6/1 3/Offeq: +0.413
Player:
Opponent:		70.64% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
29.36% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply6/3 6/1eq: +0.375 (-0.038)
Player:
Opponent:		68.75% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
31.25% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 43: 4/Off 3/Off 
Pip=54-29
1.played4-ply4/Off 3/Offeq: -0.483
Player:
Opponent:		25.84% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
74.16% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply6/3 4/Offeq: -0.513 (-0.030)
Player:
Opponent:		24.36% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
75.64% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply5/2 4/Offeq: -0.514 (-0.031)
Player:
Opponent:		24.29% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
75.71% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.4-ply6/2 3/Offeq: -0.515 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:		24.25% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
75.75% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.4-ply4/1 4/Offeq: -0.534 (-0.051)
Player:
Opponent:		23.31% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
76.69% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 61: 6/Off 1/Off 
Pip=47-29
1.played4-ply6/Off 1/Offeq: +0.440
Player:
Opponent:		71.99% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
28.01% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply6/Off 2/1eq: +0.428 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:		71.40% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
28.60% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply6/Off 3/2eq: +0.417 (-0.023)
Player:
Opponent:		70.83% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
29.17% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.4-ply6/Offeq: +0.412 (-0.028)
Player:
Opponent:		70.60% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
29.40% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 62: 6/Off 5/3 
Pip=47-22
1.played4-ply6/Off 5/3eq: -0.479
Player:
Opponent:		26.05% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
73.95% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply6/4 6/Offeq: -0.492 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:		25.41% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
74.59% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply6/Off 4/2eq: -0.498 (-0.019)
Player:
Opponent:		25.09% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
74.91% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 31: 3/Off 1/Off 
Pip=39-22
1.played4-ply3/Off 1/Offeq: +0.404
Player:
Opponent:		70.19% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
29.81% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply3/Off 2/1eq: +0.396 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:		69.78% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
30.22% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply3/2 3/Offeq: +0.375 (-0.028)
Player:
Opponent:		68.77% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
31.23% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 54: 5/Off 4/Off 
Pip=39-18
1.played4-ply5/Off 4/Offeq: -0.350
Player:
Opponent:		32.51% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
67.49% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply6/2 5/Offeq: -0.397 (-0.048)
Player:
Opponent:		30.14% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
69.86% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply6/1 4/Offeq: -0.421 (-0.071)
Player:
Opponent:		28.95% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
71.05% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.4-ply6/2 6/1eq: -0.487 (-0.138)
Player:
Opponent:		25.63% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
74.37% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.4-ply5/1 5/Offeq: -0.517 (-0.167)
Player:
Opponent:		24.14% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
75.86% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 52: 3/Off 2/Off 
Pip=30-18
1.played4-ply3/Off 2/Offeq: +0.281
Player:
Opponent:		64.06% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
35.94% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply3/1 3/Offeq: +0.255 (-0.026)
Player:
Opponent:		62.74% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
37.26% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 43: 4/Off 3/Off 
Pip=30-13
1.played4-ply4/Off 3/Offeq: -0.385
Player:
Opponent:		30.76% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
69.24% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply6/2 3/Offeq: -0.418 (-0.033)
Player:
Opponent:		29.09% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
70.91% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply6/3 4/Offeq: -0.460 (-0.075)
Player:
Opponent:		27.01% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
72.99% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.4-ply6/3 6/2eq: -0.516 (-0.131)
Player:
Opponent:		24.19% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
75.81% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.4-ply5/2 4/Offeq: -0.536 (-0.151)
Player:
Opponent:		23.21% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
76.79% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 54: 3/Off 2/Off 
Pip=23-13
1.played3-ply3/Off 2/Offeq: +0.308
Player:
Opponent:		65.41% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
34.59% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 62: 6/4 6/Off 
Pip=23-8
1.played4-ply6/4 6/Offeq: -0.261
Player:
Opponent:		36.94% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
63.06% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply6/Off 5/3eq: -0.372 (-0.110)
Player:
Opponent:		31.42% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
68.58% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 11: 2/Off 1/Off(2) 
Pip=15-8
1.played4-ply2/Off 1/Off(2)eq: +0.643
Player:
Opponent:		82.16% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
17.84% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply2/Off(2)eq: +0.152 (-0.491)
Player:
Opponent:		57.60% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
42.40% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply2/1(2) 2/Offeq: +0.152 (-0.491)
Player:
Opponent:		57.60% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
42.40% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)

Ο τελευταίος τζόκερ.
 
 52: 5/Off 4/2 
Pip=15-4
1.played4-ply5/Off 4/2eq: -0.799
Player:
Opponent:		10.03% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
89.97% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply6/4 5/Offeq: -0.830 (-0.031)
Player:
Opponent:		8.49% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
91.51% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply6/1 5/3eq: -0.938 (-0.139)
Player:
Opponent:		3.09% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
96.91% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.4-ply6/1 4/2eq: -0.938 (-0.139)
Player:
Opponent:		3.09% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
96.91% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 43: 2/Off(2) 
Pip=8-4
1.played3-ply2/Off(2)eq: +1.000
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)

Ο Χρίστος Γρούτσος Πρωταθλητής Ελλάδος 2018.

Γενικά, ένα καλό ματς. Οι παίκτες, ίσως και επηρεασμένοι από τη σημασία του, έπαιξαν κάπως πιο συντηρητικά απ' όσο θα ήθελαν.
Ο Αυδής είχε ένα λανθασμένο πάσο και άλλο ένα το οποίο ήταν εξαιρετικά δύσκολο να το βρει κανείς, ενώ με τον βίδο ήταν μάλλον επιθετικός (περισσότερα wrong παρά missed).
Ο Γρούτσος είχε κι αυτός ένα πολύ δύσκολο να βρεθεί λανθασμένο πάσο, αλλά ήταν υπερβολικά διστακτικός με τον βίδο, πιο πολύ απ' όσο θα δικαιολογούσε η όποια διαφορά δυναμικότητας.
Γενικά, όμως ήταν ένας καλός τελικός, αντάξιος των αντιπάλων και της περίστασης.
 
 Wins a Single Game 2pts. 

Game Summary:

Avdis  Category Groutsos 
World Champ. (-0.0036) Total Error World Champ. (-0.0016)
World Champ. (-0.0038) Checker Play World Champ. (-0.0018)
World Champ. (+0.0000) Cube Play World Champ. (+0.0000)
1.80 Performance Rating 0.81
3 Move Errors 1
-0.130(-6.02%) Equity lost (cost) -0.042(-2.11%)
     
0 Double Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Take Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
3 Total Error 1
-0.130(-6.02%) Equity lost (cost) -0.042(-2.11%)
     
1 Jokers 2
-1.240(-55.59%) Luck +1.240(+55.59%)

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on 25-Jun-18 5:38:54 PM