Previous Game Game 22 Next Game

Click here for printer friendly version  Click here to download the session  Click here to download the session (XG format)

15 point match, Score is Avdis: 12, Groutsos: 13

Quick Summary:

Avdis  Category Groutsos 
World Champ. (-0.0012) Total Error Intermediate (-0.0291)
World Champ. (-0.0023) Checker Play Expert (-0.0132)
World Champ. (+0.0000) Cube Play Distracted (-0.1246)
0.58 Performance Rating 14.54

 32: 24/21 13/11 
Pip=167-167
 
1.xgBook113/11 13/10eq: +0.225
Player:
Opponent:
49.98% (G:15.39% B:1.64%)
50.02% (G:16.43% B:2.24%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.221...+0.228) - [100.0%]
2.playedBook124/21 13/11eq: +0.211 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:
50.40% (G:13.90% B:1.49%)
49.60% (G:15.46% B:1.65%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.207...+0.215) - [0.0%]
3.Book224/22 13/10eq: +0.197 (-0.028)
Player:
Opponent:
49.93% (G:14.20% B:1.39%)
50.07% (G:15.30% B:1.79%)
Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.194...+0.200) - [0.0%]
4.Book313/11 8/5eq: +0.186 (-0.039)
Player:
Opponent:
49.34% (G:14.79% B:1.33%)
50.66% (G:17.22% B:2.83%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.181...+0.190) - [0.0%]
5.Book313/10 6/4eq: +0.181 (-0.044)
Player:
Opponent:
49.29% (G:14.41% B:1.33%)
50.71% (G:17.31% B:2.82%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.176...+0.186) - [0.0%]
 
1 Generated by Neil Kazaross on 14-Jun-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
15552 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 1
Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply

2 Generated by Steven Carey on 11-Aug-12 using eXtreme Gammon 2.10
46656 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 98720603
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: 4-ply

3 Generated by Steven Carey on 11-Aug-12 using eXtreme Gammon 2.10
15552 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 75804804
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 64: 24/14*  
Pip=162-167
 
1.played3-ply24/14* eq: +0.020
Player:
Opponent:
53.92% (G:12.76% B:0.52%)
46.08% (G:11.63% B:0.41%)
2.3-ply24/20 13/7eq: -0.386 (-0.405)
Player:
Opponent:
45.04% (G:11.21% B:0.44%)
54.96% (G:14.75% B:0.72%)
3.3-ply8/2 6/2eq: -0.388 (-0.408)
Player:
Opponent:
45.46% (G:12.41% B:0.47%)
54.54% (G:14.95% B:0.79%)
4.3-ply24/18 8/4* eq: -0.407 (-0.427)
Player:
Opponent:
45.66% (G:11.21% B:0.52%)
54.34% (G:16.65% B:0.81%)
5.3-ply24/20 24/18eq: -0.450 (-0.470)
Player:
Opponent:
44.80% (G:9.32% B:0.40%)
55.20% (G:16.66% B:0.54%)
 No double 
Pip=176-157
 
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 46.33% (G:11.94% B:0.40%) 46.39% (G:12.23% B:0.42%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 53.67% (G:13.35% B:0.64%) 53.61% (G:14.14% B:0.74%)
  Cubeless Equities -0.160 -0.167
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.005
     Double/Take:-0.167 (-0.172)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.995)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 12.8%
 31: Bar/21 
Pip=176-157
 
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/21eq: -0.079
Player:
Opponent:
44.17% (G:11.02% B:0.29%)
55.83% (G:12.10% B:0.43%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/22 6/5eq: -0.155 (-0.076)
Player:
Opponent:
43.17% (G:10.63% B:0.35%)
56.83% (G:17.52% B:1.04%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/24 13/10eq: -0.173 (-0.094)
Player:
Opponent:
42.28% (G:10.87% B:0.35%)
57.72% (G:15.85% B:1.08%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/24 8/5eq: -0.193 (-0.114)
Player:
Opponent:
41.98% (G:10.76% B:0.34%)
58.02% (G:16.94% B:1.22%)
5.XG Roller++Bar/24 21/18eq: -0.204 (-0.125)
Player:
Opponent:
42.13% (G:9.82% B:0.34%)
57.87% (G:16.22% B:0.99%)
 41: 24/20 14/13 
Pip=172-157
 
1.playedXG Roller++24/20 14/13eq: -0.132
Player:
Opponent:
51.71% (G:11.02% B:0.42%)
48.29% (G:14.06% B:0.38%)
2.XG Roller++13/8eq: -0.154 (-0.023)
Player:
Opponent:
50.83% (G:11.69% B:0.44%)
49.17% (G:13.54% B:0.43%)
3.XG Roller++14/9eq: -0.164 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:
50.27% (G:11.76% B:0.45%)
49.73% (G:12.94% B:0.44%)
4.XG Roller++24/23 14/10eq: -0.193 (-0.061)
Player:
Opponent:
49.86% (G:12.16% B:0.49%)
50.14% (G:13.73% B:0.48%)
5.XG Roller++14/13 6/2eq: -0.211 (-0.079)
Player:
Opponent:
49.92% (G:11.30% B:0.39%)
50.08% (G:14.54% B:0.43%)
 No double 
Pip=172-152
 
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 48.24% (G:14.10% B:0.39%) 48.29% (G:14.28% B:0.39%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 51.76% (G:11.11% B:0.44%) 51.71% (G:11.44% B:0.47%)
  Cubeless Equities -0.047 -0.012
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.134
     Double/Take:-0.012 (-0.145)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.866)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 12.6%
 32: 13/11 8/5*  
Pip=172-152
 
1.playedXG Roller++13/11 8/5* eq: +0.074
Player:
Opponent:
47.11% (G:13.42% B:0.38%)
52.89% (G:13.06% B:0.52%)
2.XG Roller++8/5* 6/4eq: -0.027 (-0.101)
Player:
Opponent:
45.51% (G:12.01% B:0.35%)
54.49% (G:15.12% B:0.66%)
3.XG Roller++8/5* 5/3eq: -0.058 (-0.132)
Player:
Opponent:
44.48% (G:12.04% B:0.32%)
55.52% (G:13.10% B:0.53%)
4.XG Roller++24/22 8/5* eq: -0.064 (-0.138)
Player:
Opponent:
44.56% (G:11.14% B:0.32%)
55.44% (G:12.43% B:0.43%)
5.XG Roller++6/4 6/3eq: -0.076 (-0.150)
Player:
Opponent:
43.85% (G:11.68% B:0.30%)
56.15% (G:11.77% B:0.46%)
 53: Bar/20* 13/10 
Pip=167-157
 
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/20* 13/10eq: +0.087
Player:
Opponent:
55.30% (G:17.15% B:0.76%)
44.70% (G:11.36% B:0.41%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/20* 6/3eq: -0.001 (-0.088)
Player:
Opponent:
53.62% (G:14.62% B:0.57%)
46.38% (G:12.07% B:0.42%)
3.4-plyBar/20* 8/5eq: -0.056 (-0.143)
Player:
Opponent:
52.30% (G:13.71% B:0.46%)
47.70% (G:12.51% B:0.44%)
4.3-plyBar/22 13/8eq: -0.202 (-0.289)
Player:
Opponent:
50.49% (G:10.18% B:0.29%)
49.51% (G:15.78% B:0.34%)
5.3-plyBar/22 6/1* eq: -0.241 (-0.328)
Player:
Opponent:
49.36% (G:9.92% B:0.25%)
50.64% (G:15.37% B:0.42%)
 No double 
Pip=187-149
 
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 44.96% (G:11.39% B:0.42%) 44.86% (G:11.47% B:0.43%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 55.04% (G:17.27% B:0.81%) 55.14% (G:17.65% B:0.85%)
  Cubeless Equities -0.272 -0.269
Cubeful Equities
played No double:-0.074
     Double/Take:-0.269 (-0.195)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+1.074)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 13.3%
 33: Bar/22 13/10 8/5*(2)  
Pip=187-149
 
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/22 13/10 8/5*(2) eq: +0.158
Player:
Opponent:
48.49% (G:15.39% B:0.47%)
51.51% (G:13.64% B:0.63%)
2.xgXG Roller++Bar/22 8/5*(2) 6/3eq: +0.154 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:
48.51% (G:15.23% B:0.46%)
51.49% (G:14.10% B:0.65%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/22 11/5* 8/5eq: +0.122 (-0.036)
Player:
Opponent:
47.75% (G:14.91% B:0.45%)
52.25% (G:13.77% B:0.64%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/22 21/18 8/5*(2) eq: +0.110 (-0.048)
Player:
Opponent:
48.16% (G:13.86% B:0.43%)
51.84% (G:14.68% B:0.77%)
5.XG Roller++Bar/22 24/21 8/5*(2) eq: +0.096 (-0.061)
Player:
Opponent:
47.50% (G:13.49% B:0.39%)
52.50% (G:12.04% B:0.41%)
 62: Bar/17 
Pip=175-154
 
1.played4-plyBar/17eq: -0.343
Player:
Opponent:
48.00% (G:11.65% B:0.55%)
52.00% (G:18.01% B:0.62%)
2.4-plyBar/23 13/7eq: -0.508 (-0.165)
Player:
Opponent:
44.41% (G:11.35% B:0.55%)
55.59% (G:19.13% B:1.03%)
3.4-plyBar/23 8/2eq: -0.533 (-0.190)
Player:
Opponent:
44.22% (G:11.65% B:0.54%)
55.78% (G:20.03% B:0.96%)
 No double 
Pip=175-146
 
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 52.29% (G:18.61% B:0.62%) 52.22% (G:18.74% B:0.61%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 47.71% (G:12.15% B:0.62%) 47.78% (G:12.63% B:0.68%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.083 +0.316
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.385
     Double/Take:+0.316 (-0.069)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.615)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 9.1%
 21: 10/8* 6/5 
Pip=175-146
 
1.playedXG Roller++10/8* 6/5eq: +0.258
Player:
Opponent:
49.95% (G:17.06% B:0.52%)
50.05% (G:12.85% B:0.61%)
2.XG Roller++10/8* 8/7eq: +0.167 (-0.090)
Player:
Opponent:
48.48% (G:15.67% B:0.46%)
51.52% (G:13.51% B:0.66%)
3.XG Roller++22/21 10/8* eq: +0.160 (-0.097)
Player:
Opponent:
48.36% (G:15.39% B:0.43%)
51.64% (G:12.51% B:0.52%)
4.XG Roller++11/8* eq: +0.158 (-0.099)
Player:
Opponent:
48.22% (G:15.72% B:0.48%)
51.78% (G:13.70% B:0.64%)
5.XG Roller++24/23 10/8* eq: +0.132 (-0.126)
Player:
Opponent:
47.99% (G:14.96% B:0.45%)
52.01% (G:13.58% B:0.57%)
 51: Bar/24 13/8 
Pip=172-154
 
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/24 13/8eq: -0.421
Player:
Opponent:
46.56% (G:12.51% B:0.61%)
53.44% (G:18.43% B:0.68%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/24 10/5eq: -0.490 (-0.069)
Player:
Opponent:
45.52% (G:11.08% B:0.49%)
54.48% (G:19.39% B:0.69%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/24 6/1* eq: -0.491 (-0.071)
Player:
Opponent:
45.47% (G:12.05% B:0.46%)
54.53% (G:19.73% B:0.88%)
4.4-plyBar/24 8/3* eq: -0.567 (-0.146)
Player:
Opponent:
44.22% (G:11.58% B:0.55%)
55.78% (G:21.02% B:1.11%)
 No double 
Pip=172-148
 
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 53.48% (G:18.72% B:0.69%) 53.46% (G:18.79% B:0.68%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 46.52% (G:12.62% B:0.66%) 46.54% (G:12.78% B:0.68%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.101 +0.384
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.432
     Double/Take:+0.384 (-0.049)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.568)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 7.3%
 33: 21/15* 6/3(2) 
Pip=172-148
 
1.playedXG Roller++21/15* 6/3(2)eq: +0.722
Player:
Opponent:
58.69% (G:22.31% B:1.08%)
41.31% (G:11.18% B:0.67%)
2.XG Roller++24/15* 11/8eq: +0.717 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:
58.93% (G:20.14% B:0.76%)
41.07% (G:9.13% B:0.34%)
3.XG Roller++21/18 21/15* 11/8eq: +0.634 (-0.088)
Player:
Opponent:
57.53% (G:19.52% B:0.93%)
42.47% (G:11.55% B:0.63%)
4.XG Roller++21/15*(2) eq: +0.571 (-0.151)
Player:
Opponent:
56.19% (G:19.14% B:0.82%)
43.81% (G:11.63% B:0.61%)
5.4-ply24/15* 8/5eq: +0.500 (-0.221)
Player:
Opponent:
55.21% (G:18.56% B:0.74%)
44.79% (G:10.27% B:0.36%)
 54: Bar/21 8/3*  
Pip=160-163
 
1.xgXG Roller++Bar/21 6/1* eq: -0.786
Player:
Opponent:
40.64% (G:10.67% B:0.48%)
59.36% (G:21.79% B:1.19%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/21 13/8eq: -0.834 (-0.049)
Player:
Opponent:
40.51% (G:11.37% B:0.68%)
59.49% (G:23.38% B:0.95%)
3.playedXG Roller++Bar/21 8/3* eq: -0.865 (-0.079)
Player:
Opponent:
39.81% (G:10.82% B:0.67%)
60.19% (G:23.26% B:1.45%)
4.4-plyBar/16eq: -1.000 (-0.214)
Player:
Opponent:
38.52% (G:9.60% B:0.57%)
61.48% (G:26.78% B:1.13%)

Δεν είναι η ώρα για pure play. Ο Γρούτσος πρέπει να ελαχιστοποιήσει τις βολές, χτυπώντας στον άσο. Το 13/8 αφήνει τον αντίπαλο ανενόχλητο να εκμεταλλευτεί και τα δύο ζάρια του σε μια επικίνδυνη θέση που ο χρόνος μετράει.


 Double/Pass 
Pip=163-154
 
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 60.29% (G:23.38% B:1.43%) 60.25% (G:23.63% B:1.41%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 39.71% (G:10.72% B:0.69%) 39.75% (G:10.77% B:0.72%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.360 +0.875
Cubeful Equities
     No double:+0.709 (-0.166)
xg Double/Take:+0.875
played Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.125)
 
Best Cube action: Double / Take

Το 2-away - 3-away είναι το πιο επικίνδυνο σκορ από όλα. Παρακολουθώντας το ματς είχα την ακαθόριστη (και λανθασμένη) αίσθηση ότι ο Αυδής είχε ήδη χάσει τουλάχιστον μια ευκαιρία να βιδάρει (είναι εξαιρετικά εύκολο να κάνει κανείς missed double σ' αυτό το σκορ) και συνεπώς πίστεψα ότι εδώ ήταν too good.
Όμως ο Αυδής έχει πολλή δουλειά να κάνει πριν φτάσει στο gammon. Έχει τρία πούλια πίσω και έχει χάσει την πόρτα 8, συνεπώς δεν διαθέτει αρκετά πούλια στη ζώνη για μια καλή επίθεση.
Από την άλλη, ο Γρούτσος είναι έτοιμος να κάνει μια καλή anchor ή να βρει κάποια βολή στο outfield. Σε κάθε περίπτωση η παρτίδα έχει ακόμα πολύ ψωμί.
Ο Γρούτσος δεν έχει την πολυτέλεια να χάσει το market, αλλά η θέση του Αυδή δεν έχει χαλάσει στο ελάχιστο για να την εγκαταλείψει.


 Wins 1pt. 
 

Game Summary:

Avdis  Category Groutsos 
0
-0.014(-0.17%)
Move Errors
Equity lost (cost)
1
-0.079(-0.99%)
0
+0.000
Double Errors
Equity lost (cost)
0
+0.000
0
+0.000
Take Errors
Equity lost (cost)
1(1)
-0.125(-1.56%)
0 Outplays 0
0
-0.014(-0.17%)
Total Error
Equity lost (cost)
2(1)
-0.204(-2.55%)
1
+0.647(+8.11%)
Joker
Luck
0
-0.647(-8.11%)
World Champ.
0.58
Level of Play
Performance Rating
Intermediate
14.54
Previous Game   Next Game

Click here for the Legend
Export made by eXtreme Gammon 2.10 ©2009-2012 GameSite 2000 Ltd.
on 25-Jun-18 5:38:46 PM