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15 point match, Score is Avdis: 10, Groutsos: 5

Quick Summary:

Avdis  Category Groutsos 
Expert (-0.0115) Total Error World Champ. (-0.0044)
Expert (-0.0123) Checker Play World Class (-0.0055)
World Champ. (+0.0000) Cube Play World Champ. (-0.0019)
5.76 Performance Rating 2.21

 51: 24/23 13/8 
Pip=167-167
 
1.playedBook124/23 13/8eq: +0.165
Player:
Opponent:		49.88% (G:13.09% B:0.48%)
50.12% (G:12.55% B:0.49%)
2.Book113/8 6/5eq: +0.151 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:		49.52% (G:13.22% B:0.50%)
50.48% (G:13.31% B:0.69%)
3.Book124/18eq: +0.114 (-0.051)
Player:
Opponent:		49.30% (G:11.52% B:0.46%)
50.70% (G:13.13% B:0.50%)
4.Book113/7eq: +0.088 (-0.077)
Player:
Opponent:		47.74% (G:13.40% B:0.60%)
52.26% (G:14.54% B:0.77%)
5.4-ply24/23 8/3eq: -0.013 (-0.178)
Player:
Opponent:		45.70% (G:12.10% B:0.48%)
54.30% (G:15.94% B:0.76%)
 
1 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++
 53: 8/3 6/3 
Pip=167-161
 
1.playedXG Roller++8/3 6/3eq: -0.215
Player:
Opponent:		48.89% (G:13.88% B:0.58%)
51.11% (G:14.28% B:0.62%)
2.XG Roller++24/21 13/8eq: -0.248 (-0.034)
Player:
Opponent:		48.03% (G:11.57% B:0.46%)
51.97% (G:13.77% B:0.50%)
3.XG Roller++24/16eq: -0.287 (-0.073)
Player:
Opponent:		47.81% (G:10.17% B:0.40%)
52.19% (G:14.90% B:0.49%)
4.XG Roller++13/10 13/8eq: -0.307 (-0.093)
Player:
Opponent:		46.57% (G:12.32% B:0.47%)
53.43% (G:14.56% B:0.72%)
5.XG Roller++24/21 6/1* eq: -0.335 (-0.120)
Player:
Opponent:		45.93% (G:11.36% B:0.34%)
54.07% (G:14.71% B:0.64%)
 No double 
Pip=159-161
 
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 51.16% (G:14.44% B:0.61%) 51.33% (G:14.14% B:0.60%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 48.84% (G:14.01% B:0.60%) 48.67% (G:13.69% B:0.55%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.030 +0.148
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.220
     Double/Take:+0.085 (-0.135)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.780)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 12.9%
 21: 23/20 
Pip=159-161
 
1.xgXG Roller++13/11 6/5eq: +0.024
Player:
Opponent:		47.12% (G:13.00% B:0.57%)
52.88% (G:18.91% B:1.30%)
2.XG Roller++24/21eq: +0.009 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:		46.51% (G:11.58% B:0.46%)
53.49% (G:15.96% B:0.58%)
3.XG Roller++24/23 13/11eq: +0.008 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:		45.77% (G:12.59% B:0.43%)
54.23% (G:14.90% B:0.70%)
4.XG Roller++13/10eq: +0.002 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:		46.19% (G:12.55% B:0.52%)
53.81% (G:17.09% B:0.83%)
5.playedXG Roller++23/20eq: -0.006 (-0.030)
Player:
Opponent:		46.05% (G:11.63% B:0.52%)
53.95% (G:16.16% B:0.67%)

To 13/11 6/5 είναι σίγουρα το πιο παραγωγικό παίξιμο. Εφόσον το split στο 23 έχει ήδη γίνει, η επόμενη σκέψη είναι είτε να δέσουμε στο εκεί (γενικά, αυτό είναι πολύ καλύτερο απ' ό,τι νομίζει ο πολύ κόσμος) είτε να εκθέσουμε στο 5. Η αντίπαλη πόρτα στο 3 δεν είναι καταδικαστική. Στην αρχή της παρτίδας έχουμε την πολυτέλεια (και την υποχρεώση) να παίρνουμε τέτοια ρίσκα για να εξασφαλίσουμε καλές πόρτες.
Το 23/20 ανεβαίνει στην πόρτα που ο αντίπαλος θέλει να φτιάξει περισσότερο από όλες, οπότε είναι σίγουρο ότι θα χτυπηθούμε εκεί ακόμα και ελέυθερα, χωρίε πόρτα (loose hit) ενώ το στρατόπεδό μας είναι χειρότερο.

 61: 24/18 6/5*  
Pip=159-158
 
1.xgXG Roller++13/7 6/5* eq: -0.122
Player:
Opponent:		50.83% (G:16.04% B:0.64%)
49.17% (G:13.53% B:0.82%)
2.playedXG Roller++24/18 6/5* eq: -0.144 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:		50.73% (G:13.45% B:0.57%)
49.27% (G:13.61% B:0.56%)
3.XG Roller++13/7 8/7eq: -0.163 (-0.041)
Player:
Opponent:		49.50% (G:14.03% B:0.48%)
50.50% (G:12.54% B:0.57%)
4.XG Roller++24/23 24/18eq: -0.222 (-0.100)
Player:
Opponent:		48.65% (G:11.41% B:0.43%)
51.35% (G:13.67% B:0.43%)
5.XG Roller++13/6eq: -0.222 (-0.100)
Player:
Opponent:		48.25% (G:13.08% B:0.42%)
51.75% (G:12.99% B:0.55%)

Λεπτομέρεια, αλλά το 13/7 ξεφορτώνει τη midpoint και γενικά παίζει εκεί που είμαστε δυντότεροι: στην επίθεση λόγω καλύτερου στρατοπέδου.

 No double 
Pip=152-163
 
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 49.49% (G:13.34% B:0.55%) 49.55% (G:13.52% B:0.56%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 50.51% (G:13.24% B:0.58%) 50.45% (G:13.44% B:0.61%)
  Cubeless Equities -0.007 +0.068
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.150
     Double/Take:-0.008 (-0.158)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.850)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 13.6%
 43: Bar/21 24/21 
Pip=152-163
 
1.played4-plyBar/21 24/21eq: +0.011
Player:
Opponent:		46.36% (G:9.29% B:0.29%)
53.64% (G:9.66% B:0.34%)
2.4-plyBar/21 8/5eq: -0.198 (-0.209)
Player:
Opponent:		41.42% (G:10.04% B:0.39%)
58.58% (G:18.38% B:1.05%)
3.4-plyBar/21 13/10eq: -0.231 (-0.242)
Player:
Opponent:		40.67% (G:9.55% B:0.37%)
59.33% (G:18.55% B:1.02%)
4.4-plyBar/21 6/3eq: -0.247 (-0.258)
Player:
Opponent:		40.48% (G:9.10% B:0.33%)
59.52% (G:18.93% B:1.03%)
5.4-plyBar/18eq: -0.273 (-0.283)
Player:
Opponent:		40.34% (G:8.27% B:0.32%)
59.66% (G:19.73% B:0.76%)
 62: 13/5 
Pip=152-156
 
1.playedXG Roller++13/5eq: +0.016
Player:
Opponent:		54.66% (G:9.92% B:0.33%)
45.34% (G:9.56% B:0.24%)
2.XG Roller++24/18 13/11eq: -0.039 (-0.055)
Player:
Opponent:		52.53% (G:9.39% B:0.29%)
47.47% (G:8.80% B:0.26%)
3.XG Roller++24/18 5/3eq: -0.113 (-0.129)
Player:
Opponent:		50.68% (G:6.91% B:0.19%)
49.32% (G:8.85% B:0.25%)
4.4-ply24/18 8/6eq: -0.202 (-0.218)
Player:
Opponent:		48.00% (G:9.33% B:0.24%)
52.00% (G:10.76% B:0.30%)
5.4-ply24/18 3/1eq: -0.211 (-0.226)
Player:
Opponent:		47.85% (G:7.63% B:0.17%)
52.15% (G:10.21% B:0.32%)

Σωστά. Ο αντίπαλος δεν έχει στρατόπεδο, οπότε το δέσιμο στο bar δεν επείγει και τόσο.

 41: 13/9 8/7*  
Pip=144-156
 
1.playedXG Roller++13/9 8/7* eq: -0.166
Player:
Opponent:		41.88% (G:9.02% B:0.26%)
58.12% (G:13.88% B:0.50%)
2.XG Roller++13/8eq: -0.208 (-0.042)
Player:
Opponent:		40.38% (G:6.35% B:0.15%)
59.62% (G:8.45% B:0.23%)
3.XG Roller++8/7* 7/3eq: -0.248 (-0.082)
Player:
Opponent:		39.59% (G:7.85% B:0.22%)
60.41% (G:13.21% B:0.44%)
4.XG Roller++6/1* eq: -0.291 (-0.125)
Player:
Opponent:		38.22% (G:7.02% B:0.15%)
61.78% (G:11.14% B:0.36%)
5.XG Roller++8/3eq: -0.316 (-0.150)
Player:
Opponent:		37.75% (G:6.40% B:0.17%)
62.25% (G:11.07% B:0.33%)
 63: Bar/22 24/18*  
Pip=151-151
 
1.XG Roller++Bar/16* eq: +0.479
Player:
Opponent:		65.33% (G:17.99% B:0.65%)
34.67% (G:6.40% B:0.22%)
2.playedXG Roller++Bar/22 24/18* eq: +0.477 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		65.27% (G:18.96% B:0.75%)
34.73% (G:6.69% B:0.23%)
3.3-plyBar/22 13/7eq: -0.169 (-0.647)
Player:
Opponent:		49.90% (G:10.16% B:0.32%)
50.10% (G:12.31% B:0.50%)
4.2-plyBar/22 8/2eq: -0.331 (-0.810)
Player:
Opponent:		45.70% (G:10.91% B:0.36%)
54.30% (G:15.53% B:0.78%)
 21: Bar/24 9/7*  
Pip=142-169
 
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/24 9/7* eq: -0.348
Player:
Opponent:		37.91% (G:8.09% B:0.26%)
62.09% (G:19.03% B:0.95%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/23 8/7* eq: -0.457 (-0.110)
Player:
Opponent:		36.31% (G:7.20% B:0.26%)
63.69% (G:24.21% B:1.13%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/23 9/8eq: -0.497 (-0.149)
Player:
Opponent:		33.31% (G:5.98% B:0.18%)
66.69% (G:15.47% B:0.55%)
4.4-plyBar/23 6/5eq: -0.538 (-0.190)
Player:
Opponent:		34.22% (G:6.19% B:0.24%)
65.78% (G:24.73% B:1.04%)
5.4-plyBar/24 6/4eq: -0.565 (-0.217)
Player:
Opponent:		33.99% (G:6.00% B:0.23%)
66.01% (G:25.83% B:1.39%)
 31: Bar/22 6/5 
Pip=149-166
 
1.xgRollout1Bar/21eq: +0.190
Player:
Opponent:		58.11% (G:16.82% B:1.08%)
41.89% (G:10.98% B:0.34%)		Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.177...+0.202) - [99.8%]
Duration: 29 minutes 02 seconds
2.playedRollout1Bar/22 6/5eq: +0.162 (-0.028)
Player:
Opponent:		57.68% (G:16.18% B:0.88%)
42.32% (G:10.53% B:0.36%)		Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.148...+0.176) - [0.2%]
Duration: 27 minutes 46 seconds
3.XG Roller++Bar/24 13/10eq: +0.120 (-0.070)
Player:
Opponent:		57.06% (G:16.73% B:0.87%)
42.94% (G:11.26% B:0.44%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/24 6/3eq: +0.058 (-0.132)
Player:
Opponent:		55.63% (G:15.46% B:0.65%)
44.37% (G:11.50% B:0.38%)
5.4-plyBar/24 8/5eq: -0.005 (-0.194)
Player:
Opponent:		53.91% (G:15.60% B:0.69%)
46.09% (G:12.32% B:0.49%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Μερικές φορές είναι εντυπωσιακό να βλέπεις την τεχνητή νοημοσύνη να παίζει backgammon. Ποιος άνθρωπος που ξέρει έστω και τις βασικές αρχές του παιχνιδιού θα σκεφτόταν εδώ σοβαρά το bar/21;

 52: 13/8 7/5 
Pip=145-166
 
1.playedXG Roller++13/8 7/5eq: -0.382
Player:
Opponent:		36.85% (G:8.17% B:0.27%)
63.15% (G:19.18% B:0.87%)
2.XG Roller++13/11 7/2eq: -0.415 (-0.033)
Player:
Opponent:		35.46% (G:8.06% B:0.24%)
64.54% (G:17.37% B:0.77%)
3.XG Roller++7/2 6/4eq: -0.435 (-0.053)
Player:
Opponent:		35.39% (G:7.61% B:0.22%)
64.61% (G:19.01% B:0.88%)
4.XG Roller++13/8 6/4eq: -0.452 (-0.070)
Player:
Opponent:		36.26% (G:7.42% B:0.26%)
63.74% (G:23.67% B:1.29%)
5.XG Roller++8/6 7/2eq: -0.458 (-0.076)
Player:
Opponent:		34.10% (G:6.94% B:0.18%)
65.90% (G:15.31% B:0.59%)
 31: 13/9 
Pip=145-159
 
1.xgXG Roller++5/1* eq: +0.166
Player:
Opponent:		57.75% (G:17.30% B:0.60%)
42.25% (G:10.25% B:0.36%)
2.playedXG Roller++13/9eq: +0.096 (-0.070)
Player:
Opponent:		56.09% (G:15.67% B:0.68%)
43.91% (G:10.56% B:0.36%)
3.XG Roller++22/18eq: +0.091 (-0.075)
Player:
Opponent:		57.26% (G:14.66% B:0.64%)
42.74% (G:12.36% B:0.38%)
4.XG Roller++22/21 13/10eq: +0.029 (-0.137)
Player:
Opponent:		55.23% (G:17.37% B:1.07%)
44.77% (G:13.29% B:0.59%)
5.4-ply5/2 3/2eq: -0.038 (-0.204)
Player:
Opponent:		52.83% (G:13.74% B:0.47%)
47.17% (G:11.67% B:0.38%)

Ένα παίξιμο που έρχεται σε αντίθεση με την κοινή λογική και προφανώς θα το έπαιζα κι εγώ λάθος.
Γενικά, δεν πρέπει (α) να χτυπάμε πίσω από την αντίπαλη anchor, (β) να χτυπάμε χωρίς πόρτα τόσο νωρίς στον άσο, ειδικά αν δεν έχουμε φτιάξει όλες τις μεγαλυτερες πόρτες, (α) να χτυπάμε στον άσο όταν δεν έχουμε πούλια για να κάνουμε την πόρτα αν δεν χτυπηθούμε, και (δ) να προκαλούμε ανταλλαγή χτυπημάτων ενώ είμαστε μπροστά στην κούρσα.
Στη συγκεκριμένη θέση η εξαίρεση πρέπει να είναι ότι (α) έχουμε σαφώς καλύτερο board, το οποίο ευνοεί την ανταλλαγή πυρών και (β) ότι ο αντίπαλος είναι έτοιμος να φτιάξει την καλύτερη πόρτα του και οι άσοι του μετά το χτύπημα είναι ντουμπλαρισμένοι (με άσο μπαίνει και με άσο κλείνει). Το γιατί αυτό αναιρεί όλα τα παραπάνω, και μάλιστα με σοβαρό προβάδισμα στο σκορ, είναι κάτι που δεν ισχυρίζομαι ότι μπορώ να το εξηγήσω.

 63: 24/18 8/5 
Pip=141-159
 
1.playedXG Roller++24/18 8/5eq: -0.023
Player:
Opponent:		45.35% (G:10.57% B:0.37%)
54.65% (G:13.08% B:0.47%)
2.XG Roller++8/5 8/2eq: -0.122 (-0.099)
Player:
Opponent:		42.48% (G:11.14% B:0.35%)
57.52% (G:14.94% B:0.64%)
3.4-ply8/2 5/2eq: -0.322 (-0.298)
Player:
Opponent:		37.20% (G:8.31% B:0.22%)
62.80% (G:14.85% B:0.56%)
4.4-ply13/7 8/5eq: -0.354 (-0.330)
Player:
Opponent:		38.08% (G:8.69% B:0.33%)
61.92% (G:21.60% B:1.08%)
5.3-ply24/15eq: -0.378 (-0.354)
Player:
Opponent:		37.21% (G:7.76% B:0.29%)
62.79% (G:18.88% B:0.78%)
 21: 9/7* 7/6 
Pip=141-150
 
1.playedXG Roller++9/7* 7/6eq: +0.089
Player:
Opponent:		56.43% (G:12.71% B:0.43%)
43.57% (G:10.08% B:0.30%)
2.XG Roller++9/7* 8/7eq: +0.071 (-0.018)
Player:
Opponent:		55.74% (G:13.74% B:0.55%)
44.26% (G:10.53% B:0.33%)
3.XG Roller++22/21 9/7* eq: -0.006 (-0.096)
Player:
Opponent:		54.37% (G:14.85% B:0.68%)
45.63% (G:12.67% B:0.51%)
4.4-ply8/6 8/7* eq: -0.108 (-0.197)
Player:
Opponent:		50.81% (G:12.83% B:0.48%)
49.19% (G:11.66% B:0.39%)
5.4-ply8/7* 7/5eq: -0.128 (-0.217)
Player:
Opponent:		50.39% (G:13.15% B:0.49%)
49.61% (G:12.34% B:0.40%)
 32: Bar/23 8/5 
Pip=138-157
 
1.played4-plyBar/23 8/5eq: -0.160
Player:
Opponent:		41.41% (G:10.09% B:0.32%)
58.59% (G:14.20% B:0.45%)
2.4-plyBar/23 13/10eq: -0.395 (-0.234)
Player:
Opponent:		36.74% (G:8.03% B:0.30%)
63.26% (G:20.34% B:0.81%)
3.3-plyBar/23 5/2eq: -0.599 (-0.438)
Player:
Opponent:		32.09% (G:6.34% B:0.21%)
67.91% (G:22.81% B:0.97%)
4.3-plyBar/23 21/18eq: -0.620 (-0.460)
Player:
Opponent:		32.38% (G:7.70% B:0.29%)
67.62% (G:34.25% B:2.03%)
 32: 13/8 
Pip=138-152
 
1.playedXG Roller++13/8eq: +0.093
Player:
Opponent:		56.17% (G:14.23% B:0.52%)
43.83% (G:10.28% B:0.33%)
2.XG Roller++13/11 5/2* eq: +0.028 (-0.065)
Player:
Opponent:		54.58% (G:14.79% B:0.55%)
45.42% (G:11.34% B:0.42%)
3.XG Roller++13/11 6/3eq: -0.013 (-0.106)
Player:
Opponent:		53.23% (G:15.56% B:0.62%)
46.77% (G:11.70% B:0.44%)
4.XG Roller++6/1eq: -0.021 (-0.114)
Player:
Opponent:		53.19% (G:14.59% B:0.44%)
46.81% (G:11.51% B:0.40%)
5.4-ply6/3 5/3eq: -0.107 (-0.200)
Player:
Opponent:		50.98% (G:13.42% B:0.48%)
49.02% (G:12.45% B:0.38%)
 65: 13/2 
Pip=133-152
 
1.xgXG Roller++13/8 13/7eq: -0.397
Player:
Opponent:		36.09% (G:7.93% B:0.26%)
63.91% (G:16.25% B:0.56%)
2.playedXG Roller++13/2eq: -0.444 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:		35.10% (G:8.37% B:0.30%)
64.90% (G:19.12% B:0.80%)
3.XG Roller++23/18 13/7eq: -0.465 (-0.068)
Player:
Opponent:		36.14% (G:7.60% B:0.29%)
63.86% (G:25.46% B:1.05%)
4.XG Roller++23/18 8/2eq: -0.523 (-0.127)
Player:
Opponent:		33.56% (G:6.99% B:0.24%)
66.44% (G:20.99% B:0.83%)
5.XG Roller++21/16 21/15eq: -0.539 (-0.142)
Player:
Opponent:		35.25% (G:7.70% B:0.33%)
64.75% (G:34.79% B:1.69%)

Το 13/7 13/8 εγκαταλείπει τον έλεγχο του outfield, αλλά δεν θάβει πούλι και αναγκάζει τον αντίπαλο να λύσει την anchor για να χτυπήσει. Γενικά, αν δεν δραπετεύσει το πούλι του στο 23, η θέση του Γρούτσου εδώ είναι έτοιμη να καταρρεύσει, επειδή έχει πολλά πούλια στο εσωτερικό board του και κανένα spare στο outfield, οπότε το να κρατήσει ένα επιπλέον πούλι εκεί θα ήταν πολύ χρήσιμο.

 32: 8/3 
Pip=133-141
 
1.xgXG Roller++8/6 5/2* eq: +0.191
Player:
Opponent:		58.81% (G:16.13% B:0.56%)
41.19% (G:10.33% B:0.39%)
2.playedXG Roller++8/3eq: +0.175 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:		58.62% (G:14.32% B:0.49%)
41.38% (G:10.03% B:0.34%)
3.XG Roller++13/11 5/2* eq: +0.109 (-0.082)
Player:
Opponent:		57.20% (G:15.68% B:0.62%)
42.80% (G:11.85% B:0.51%)
4.XG Roller++6/1eq: +0.090 (-0.101)
Player:
Opponent:		56.57% (G:14.45% B:0.45%)
43.43% (G:11.17% B:0.39%)
5.XG Roller++13/8eq: +0.049 (-0.142)
Player:
Opponent:		54.49% (G:14.41% B:0.74%)
45.51% (G:9.79% B:0.32%)
 31: 6/2 
Pip=128-141
 
1.playedXG Roller++6/2eq: -0.266
Player:
Opponent:		39.46% (G:10.09% B:0.37%)
60.54% (G:18.29% B:0.66%)
2.XG Roller++13/10 6/5eq: -0.326 (-0.060)
Player:
Opponent:		37.65% (G:9.37% B:0.34%)
62.35% (G:17.76% B:0.61%)
3.XG Roller++13/10 2/1eq: -0.422 (-0.156)
Player:
Opponent:		35.38% (G:8.19% B:0.23%)
64.62% (G:17.52% B:0.59%)
4.4-ply13/10 5/4eq: -0.447 (-0.181)
Player:
Opponent:		35.94% (G:8.60% B:0.36%)
64.06% (G:25.71% B:1.16%)
5.4-ply13/9eq: -0.541 (-0.275)
Player:
Opponent:		32.65% (G:6.98% B:0.26%)
67.35% (G:21.05% B:0.66%)
 32: 6/1 
Pip=128-137
 
1.playedXG Roller++6/1eq: +0.012
Player:
Opponent:		53.89% (G:15.20% B:0.54%)
46.11% (G:11.55% B:0.41%)
2.XG Roller++13/8eq: -0.118 (-0.130)
Player:
Opponent:		49.78% (G:13.36% B:0.70%)
50.22% (G:10.71% B:0.35%)
3.XG Roller++5/2* 3/1eq: -0.119 (-0.131)
Player:
Opponent:		51.57% (G:15.15% B:0.47%)
48.43% (G:14.43% B:0.60%)
4.XG Roller++8/6 8/5eq: -0.121 (-0.133)
Player:
Opponent:		50.30% (G:12.29% B:0.33%)
49.70% (G:11.85% B:0.43%)
5.XG Roller++13/11 5/2* eq: -0.151 (-0.163)
Player:
Opponent:		50.50% (G:13.92% B:0.49%)
49.50% (G:14.76% B:0.66%)
 21: 6/4 5/4 
Pip=123-137
 
1.played4-ply6/4 5/4eq: +0.171
Player:
Opponent:		50.19% (G:14.68% B:0.58%)
49.81% (G:15.91% B:0.43%)
2.4-ply23/21 6/5eq: -0.025 (-0.196)
Player:
Opponent:		44.96% (G:11.60% B:0.36%)
55.04% (G:14.12% B:0.34%)
3.4-ply23/21 5/4eq: -0.070 (-0.241)
Player:
Opponent:		44.31% (G:12.67% B:0.44%)
55.69% (G:18.52% B:0.53%)
4.4-ply13/10eq: -0.086 (-0.257)
Player:
Opponent:		43.50% (G:11.90% B:0.47%)
56.50% (G:16.56% B:0.49%)
5.4-ply13/11 6/5eq: -0.086 (-0.257)
Player:
Opponent:		43.70% (G:11.50% B:0.43%)
56.30% (G:16.71% B:0.45%)
 52: 13/11 13/8 
Pip=123-134
 
1.xgXG Roller++13/8 3/1eq: -0.404
Player:
Opponent:		42.82% (G:11.41% B:0.39%)
57.18% (G:12.48% B:0.40%)
2.playedXG Roller++13/11 13/8eq: -0.440 (-0.036)
Player:
Opponent:		41.69% (G:10.24% B:0.35%)
58.31% (G:12.71% B:0.43%)
3.XG Roller++13/6eq: -0.529 (-0.125)
Player:
Opponent:		39.80% (G:10.11% B:0.30%)
60.20% (G:13.50% B:0.50%)
4.XG Roller++8/6 8/3eq: -0.562 (-0.158)
Player:
Opponent:		40.13% (G:10.83% B:0.23%)
59.87% (G:16.48% B:0.59%)
5.3-ply13/8 5/3eq: -0.779 (-0.375)
Player:
Opponent:		34.88% (G:8.41% B:0.33%)
65.12% (G:16.49% B:0.64%)

Άλλο ένα εξαιρετικά δύσκολο παίξιμο για ανθρώπους. Προφανώς έχει να κάνει με την ενίσχυση του στρατοπέδου και την επικείμενη επίθεση στο αντίπαλο blot εκεί, καθώς και με τον καλύτερο έλεγχο του outfield.

 No double 
Pip=116-134
 
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 58.36% (G:12.78% B:0.44%) 58.70% (G:12.55% B:0.39%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 41.64% (G:10.30% B:0.35%) 41.30% (G:10.25% B:0.34%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.194 +0.458
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.450
     Double/Take:+0.377 (-0.073)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.550)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 10.5%
 53: 23/15 
Pip=116-134
 
1.playedXG Roller++23/15eq: +0.489
Player:
Opponent:		59.36% (G:12.48% B:0.37%)
40.64% (G:8.70% B:0.17%)
2.XG Roller++23/18 13/10eq: +0.329 (-0.160)
Player:
Opponent:		55.07% (G:12.19% B:0.38%)
44.93% (G:10.64% B:0.21%)
3.XG Roller++23/18 21/18eq: +0.327 (-0.161)
Player:
Opponent:		56.22% (G:12.10% B:0.41%)
43.78% (G:15.66% B:0.30%)
4.4-ply13/5eq: +0.186 (-0.303)
Player:
Opponent:		51.04% (G:11.88% B:0.33%)
48.96% (G:11.21% B:0.30%)
5.3-ply21/13eq: +0.090 (-0.399)
Player:
Opponent:		50.13% (G:12.66% B:0.40%)
49.87% (G:20.23% B:0.34%)
 54: 11/6 5/1 
Pip=116-126
 
1.playedXG Roller++11/6 5/1eq: -0.624
Player:
Opponent:		37.40% (G:6.51% B:0.10%)
62.60% (G:12.72% B:0.35%)
2.XG Roller++11/2eq: -0.663 (-0.039)
Player:
Opponent:		36.51% (G:6.04% B:0.10%)
63.49% (G:12.91% B:0.37%)
3.3-ply11/7 8/3eq: -0.883 (-0.259)
Player:
Opponent:		31.27% (G:4.94% B:0.14%)
68.73% (G:13.28% B:0.42%)
4.3-ply8/3 5/1eq: -0.889 (-0.265)
Player:
Opponent:		31.49% (G:5.40% B:0.13%)
68.51% (G:14.07% B:0.45%)
5.3-ply6/2 6/1eq: -1.000 (-0.376)
Player:
Opponent:		28.56% (G:3.90% B:0.09%)
71.44% (G:13.58% B:0.40%)
 No double 
Pip=107-126
 
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 62.58% (G:13.19% B:0.37%) 62.78% (G:13.26% B:0.36%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 37.42% (G:6.79% B:0.12%) 37.22% (G:6.91% B:0.13%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.317 +0.694
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.631
     Double/Take:+0.606 (-0.025)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.369)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 6.0%

Είναι πολύ ενδιαφέρον να δούμε πόσο κοντά στον βίδο είναι ο Γρούτσος, λόγω του καλύτερου timing. Το πούλι του στο 23 δραπέτευσε, ελέγωχει το outfield και η θέση του Αυδή έχει αρχίσει να χαλάει και μάλλον θα χειροτερεύσει κι άλλο.

 32: 13/8 
Pip=107-126
 
1.playedXG Roller++13/8eq: +0.621
Player:
Opponent:		61.79% (G:14.03% B:0.40%)
38.21% (G:7.22% B:0.14%)
2.XG Roller++13/10 6/4eq: +0.483 (-0.138)
Player:
Opponent:		58.83% (G:13.27% B:0.40%)
41.17% (G:9.49% B:0.18%)
3.XG Roller++6/1eq: +0.462 (-0.160)
Player:
Opponent:		57.54% (G:15.72% B:0.38%)
42.46% (G:12.74% B:0.35%)
4.XG Roller++15/10eq: +0.420 (-0.201)
Player:
Opponent:		57.35% (G:12.57% B:0.38%)
42.65% (G:9.21% B:0.20%)
5.4-ply15/12 13/11eq: +0.365 (-0.256)
Player:
Opponent:		56.09% (G:12.11% B:0.35%)
43.91% (G:9.56% B:0.16%)
 53: 8/5 6/1 
Pip=107-121
 
1.played4-ply8/5 6/1eq: -0.729
Player:
Opponent:		35.57% (G:5.40% B:0.06%)
64.43% (G:14.98% B:0.33%)
2.4-ply8/3 6/3eq: -0.891 (-0.162)
Player:
Opponent:		32.37% (G:4.79% B:0.04%)
67.63% (G:15.78% B:0.36%)
3.4-ply8/5 8/3eq: -0.979 (-0.250)
Player:
Opponent:		29.18% (G:4.23% B:0.04%)
70.82% (G:13.43% B:0.30%)
4.4-ply8/3 5/2eq: -1.000 (-0.271)
Player:
Opponent:		27.34% (G:3.47% B:0.03%)
72.66% (G:15.72% B:0.43%)
5.4-ply6/1 5/2eq: -1.000 (-0.271)
Player:
Opponent:		26.59% (G:3.09% B:0.02%)
73.41% (G:16.27% B:0.43%)
 No double 
Pip=99-121
 
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 65.60% (G:15.86% B:0.45%) 65.80% (G:16.32% B:0.45%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 34.40% (G:6.37% B:0.12%) 34.20% (G:6.67% B:0.12%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.408 +0.889
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.796 (-0.012)
xg Double/Take:+0.808
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.192)
 
Best Cube action: Double / Take

Η θέση του Αυδή χειροτέρεψε, και ο Γρούτσος τεχνικά έχει φτάσει στον βίδο, ακριβώς επειδή το timing του (για πόσες ζαριές μπορεί να παίζει άνετα χωρίς να χαλάει το στρατόπεδό του)  είναι τόσο καλό, αφού είναι σαφώς πίσω στην κούρσα.

 22: 15/11 8/4 
Pip=99-121
 
1.playedXG Roller++15/11 8/4eq: +0.749
Player:
Opponent:		63.81% (G:16.09% B:0.49%)
36.19% (G:6.24% B:0.12%)
2.XG Roller++8/2 6/4eq: +0.698 (-0.052)
Player:
Opponent:		63.16% (G:15.64% B:0.47%)
36.84% (G:7.17% B:0.14%)
3.XG Roller++15/13 8/2eq: +0.653 (-0.097)
Player:
Opponent:		62.01% (G:14.96% B:0.44%)
37.99% (G:7.28% B:0.18%)
4.XG Roller++15/13 8/4 6/4eq: +0.641 (-0.108)
Player:
Opponent:		61.95% (G:14.19% B:0.44%)
38.05% (G:6.82% B:0.17%)
5.4-ply15/11 6/2eq: +0.492 (-0.257)
Player:
Opponent:		59.04% (G:12.70% B:0.35%)
40.96% (G:7.03% B:0.09%)
 51: 6/5 6/1 
Pip=99-113
 
1.playedXG Roller++6/5 6/1eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		29.76% (G:3.69% B:0.06%)
70.24% (G:17.19% B:0.46%)
2.XG Roller++8/2eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		26.63% (G:3.88% B:0.07%)
73.37% (G:15.03% B:0.43%)
3.XG Roller++8/7 8/3eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		26.39% (G:3.43% B:0.07%)
73.61% (G:16.22% B:0.49%)
4.XG Roller++6/1 3/2eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		25.67% (G:3.00% B:0.04%)
74.33% (G:16.95% B:0.45%)
5.XG Roller++8/3 6/5eq: -1.079 (-0.079)
Player:
Opponent:		18.49% (G:1.87% B:0.03%)
81.51% (G:23.21% B:0.63%)

Εδώ πλέον ό,τι και να παίξει θα γίνει double out.

 Double/Pass 
Pip=93-113
 
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 70.46% (G:16.76% B:0.45%) 71.20% (G:17.40% B:0.46%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 29.54% (G:3.40% B:0.05%) 28.80% (G:3.35% B:0.04%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.543 +1.184
Cubeful Equities
     No double:+0.869 (-0.131)
     Double/Take:+1.098 (+0.098)
played Double/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
 Wins 1pt. 
 

Game Summary:

Avdis  Category Groutsos 
4
-0.173(-0.85%)		 Move Errors
Equity lost (cost)		 2
-0.077(-0.38%)
0
+0.000		 Double Errors
Equity lost (cost)		 0
-0.012(-0.06%)
0
+0.000		 Take Errors
Equity lost (cost)		 0
+0.000
0 Outplays 0
4
-0.173(-0.85%)		 Total Error
Equity lost (cost)		 2
-0.088(-0.44%)
1
-0.696(-3.43%)		 Joker
Luck		 0
+0.696(+3.43%)
Expert
5.76		 Level of Play
Performance Rating		 World Champ.
2.21
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on 25-Jun-18 5:38:43 PM