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15 point match, Score is Avdis: 9, Groutsos: 5

Quick Summary:

Avdis  Category Groutsos 
Intermediate (-0.0269) Total Error World Champ. (-0.0033)
Intermediate (-0.0257) Checker Play World Class (-0.0053)
Intermediate (-0.0321) Cube Play World Champ. (+0.0000)
13.45 Performance Rating 1.66

 53: 8/3 6/3 
Pip=167-167
 
1.playedBook18/3 6/3eq: -0.019
Player:
Opponent:		51.53% (G:15.88% B:0.76%)
48.47% (G:13.01% B:0.58%)
2.Book124/21 13/8eq: -0.066 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:		50.79% (G:13.61% B:0.69%)
49.21% (G:13.24% B:0.48%)
3.Book113/10 13/8eq: -0.101 (-0.082)
Player:
Opponent:		49.77% (G:14.25% B:0.76%)
50.23% (G:13.58% B:0.67%)
4.Book124/16eq: -0.104 (-0.085)
Player:
Opponent:		50.35% (G:11.89% B:0.53%)
49.65% (G:13.72% B:0.48%)
5.Book113/5eq: -0.132 (-0.113)
Player:
Opponent:		49.15% (G:13.79% B:0.65%)
50.85% (G:13.80% B:0.68%)
 
1 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++
 11: 8/7(2) 6/5(2) 
Pip=159-167
 
1.playedXG Roller++8/7(2) 6/5(2)eq: +0.299
Player:
Opponent:		54.71% (G:15.78% B:0.69%)
45.29% (G:13.41% B:0.76%)
2.XG Roller++24/23 6/5(3)eq: +0.216 (-0.083)
Player:
Opponent:		52.88% (G:14.57% B:0.59%)
47.12% (G:13.57% B:0.60%)
3.XG Roller++24/23(2) 6/5(2)eq: +0.205 (-0.094)
Player:
Opponent:		52.04% (G:14.83% B:0.54%)
47.96% (G:12.46% B:0.55%)
4.XG Roller++8/5 6/5eq: +0.175 (-0.124)
Player:
Opponent:		51.75% (G:14.89% B:0.62%)
48.25% (G:14.44% B:0.75%)
5.4-ply24/23 8/7 6/5(2)eq: +0.116 (-0.183)
Player:
Opponent:		51.02% (G:14.00% B:0.62%)
48.98% (G:15.99% B:0.86%)
 21: 24/23 13/11 
Pip=159-163
 
1.xgXG Roller++24/23 24/22eq: -0.368
Player:
Opponent:		43.90% (G:11.56% B:0.55%)
56.10% (G:17.04% B:0.63%)
2.XG Roller++24/21eq: -0.411 (-0.043)
Player:
Opponent:		43.07% (G:11.87% B:0.64%)
56.93% (G:17.01% B:0.71%)
3.playedXG Roller++24/23 13/11eq: -0.419 (-0.051)
Player:
Opponent:		42.97% (G:12.65% B:0.63%)
57.03% (G:17.89% B:0.84%)
4.XG Roller++24/22 6/5eq: -0.451 (-0.083)
Player:
Opponent:		42.35% (G:11.50% B:0.59%)
57.65% (G:18.18% B:0.93%)
5.4-ply13/11 6/5eq: -0.518 (-0.149)
Player:
Opponent:		40.40% (G:11.68% B:0.62%)
59.60% (G:19.07% B:1.37%)

Μια χαρακτηριστική κίνηση σε τέτοιες θέσεις. Ανεβαίνουν και τα δύο πούλια, ώστε το ένα να υποστηρίζει το άλλο αυξάνοντας την πιθανότητα να φτιαχτεί anchor αν χτυπηθούν.

 No double 
Pip=156-163
 
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 56.97% (G:18.18% B:0.86%) 57.00% (G:18.23% B:0.85%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 43.03% (G:12.84% B:0.65%) 43.00% (G:12.82% B:0.66%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.184 +0.424
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.420
     Double/Take:+0.330 (-0.090)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.580)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 11.8%
 31: 24/21 8/7 
Pip=156-163
 
1.xgXG Roller++13/10 8/7eq: +0.200
Player:
Opponent:		52.14% (G:15.66% B:0.68%)
47.86% (G:14.59% B:0.85%)
2.XG Roller++24/23 8/5eq: +0.179 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:		51.72% (G:15.04% B:0.60%)
48.28% (G:14.08% B:0.58%)
3.playedXG Roller++24/21 8/7eq: +0.173 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent:		52.09% (G:13.72% B:0.54%)
47.91% (G:13.53% B:0.51%)
4.XG Roller++13/10 6/5eq: +0.084 (-0.116)
Player:
Opponent:		50.05% (G:14.36% B:0.68%)
49.95% (G:16.67% B:1.30%)
5.XG Roller++24/23 13/10eq: +0.069 (-0.130)
Player:
Opponent:		50.01% (G:14.02% B:0.69%)
49.99% (G:17.81% B:1.20%)

Το ξεφόρτωμα της midpoint  με τη δημιουργία builder στο outfield είναι οριακά καλύτερο.

 63: 23/17 11/8 
Pip=156-159
 
1.xgXG Roller++11/5 8/5eq: -0.236
Player:
Opponent:		46.04% (G:14.07% B:0.49%)
53.96% (G:14.05% B:0.65%)
2.playedXG Roller++23/17 11/8eq: -0.321 (-0.086)
Player:
Opponent:		45.06% (G:10.79% B:0.43%)
54.94% (G:15.51% B:0.56%)
3.XG Roller++24/21 23/17eq: -0.325 (-0.089)
Player:
Opponent:		45.36% (G:11.66% B:0.58%)
54.64% (G:17.24% B:0.80%)
4.XG Roller++24/15eq: -0.371 (-0.135)
Player:
Opponent:		44.30% (G:11.01% B:0.48%)
55.70% (G:17.14% B:0.72%)
5.XG Roller++13/4* eq: -0.382 (-0.146)
Player:
Opponent:		43.79% (G:13.61% B:0.67%)
56.21% (G:17.55% B:1.04%)

Αυτή η ζαριά αφήνει αναγκαστικά βολές. Αν ο αντίπαλος βρει μετά από 23/17, δεν έχουμε πετύχει τίποτα. Αν όμως ο αντίπαλος βρει αφού έχουμε κάνει την πόρτα 5, θα έχουμε κάνει την πόρτα 5, η οποία αξίζει το ρίσκο να γυρίσει τρίτο πούλι πίσω.


 No double 
Pip=147-159
 
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 54.94% (G:15.37% B:0.56%) 54.90% (G:15.59% B:0.58%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 45.06% (G:10.97% B:0.45%) 45.10% (G:11.21% B:0.46%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.134 +0.301
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.321
     Double/Take:+0.178 (-0.143)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.679)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 14.8%
 11: 24/23 21/20 7/5 
Pip=147-159
 
1.playedXG Roller++24/23 21/20 7/5eq: -0.031
Player:
Opponent:		47.11% (G:11.44% B:0.37%)
52.89% (G:13.80% B:0.46%)
2.XG Roller++21/20 7/5 6/5eq: -0.060 (-0.029)
Player:
Opponent:		46.32% (G:11.55% B:0.40%)
53.68% (G:14.26% B:0.53%)
3.XG Roller++24/23 7/5 6/5eq: -0.072 (-0.041)
Player:
Opponent:		45.84% (G:11.31% B:0.35%)
54.16% (G:14.19% B:0.50%)
4.XG Roller++24/23 7/6 5/4(2)eq: -0.079 (-0.049)
Player:
Opponent:		45.69% (G:11.28% B:0.36%)
54.31% (G:14.16% B:0.51%)
5.XG Roller++21/20 7/6 5/4(2)eq: -0.087 (-0.056)
Player:
Opponent:		45.64% (G:11.39% B:0.39%)
54.36% (G:14.13% B:0.55%)
 64: 8/2* 6/2 
Pip=147-155
 
1.played4-ply8/2* 6/2eq: +0.051
Player:
Opponent:		52.30% (G:19.29% B:0.58%)
47.70% (G:12.53% B:0.57%)
2.4-ply17/13 8/2* eq: -0.276 (-0.327)
Player:
Opponent:		45.60% (G:11.70% B:0.33%)
54.40% (G:14.85% B:0.53%)
3.4-ply17/7eq: -0.278 (-0.329)
Player:
Opponent:		45.29% (G:10.89% B:0.35%)
54.71% (G:14.02% B:0.50%)
4.3-ply17/11 6/2* eq: -0.338 (-0.389)
Player:
Opponent:		44.02% (G:11.78% B:0.39%)
55.98% (G:15.17% B:0.68%)
5.3-ply13/3eq: -0.364 (-0.415)
Player:
Opponent:		43.80% (G:11.51% B:0.40%)
56.20% (G:16.40% B:0.62%)
 43: Bar/21 13/10 
Pip=137-157
 
1.played4-plyBar/21 13/10eq: -0.167
Player:
Opponent:		45.25% (G:11.98% B:0.69%)
54.75% (G:22.55% B:1.06%)
2.4-plyBar/18eq: -0.328 (-0.161)
Player:
Opponent:		41.87% (G:10.18% B:0.57%)
58.13% (G:26.35% B:0.58%)
3.4-plyBar/21 6/3eq: -0.336 (-0.169)
Player:
Opponent:		41.54% (G:10.82% B:0.61%)
58.46% (G:27.08% B:1.12%)
4.4-plyBar/21 5/2eq: -0.363 (-0.196)
Player:
Opponent:		40.66% (G:10.24% B:0.55%)
59.34% (G:26.68% B:1.09%)
5.3-plyBar/21 7/4eq: -0.521 (-0.354)
Player:
Opponent:		37.36% (G:9.50% B:0.51%)
62.64% (G:30.95% B:2.04%)
 42: 17/15* 8/4*  
Pip=137-150
 
1.xgXG Roller++8/4* 6/4eq: +0.342
Player:
Opponent:		56.96% (G:27.75% B:1.40%)
43.04% (G:10.97% B:0.48%)
2.playedXG Roller++17/15* 8/4* eq: +0.248 (-0.095)
Player:
Opponent:		56.18% (G:26.18% B:1.48%)
43.82% (G:12.01% B:0.71%)
3.4-ply17/15* 15/11eq: +0.138 (-0.205)
Player:
Opponent:		53.80% (G:20.48% B:0.99%)
46.20% (G:11.37% B:0.50%)
4.4-ply17/15* 13/9eq: +0.114 (-0.228)
Player:
Opponent:		53.00% (G:22.22% B:1.27%)
47.00% (G:12.70% B:0.68%)
5.3-ply24/22 17/13eq: -0.087 (-0.429)
Player:
Opponent:		50.43% (G:12.25% B:0.53%)
49.57% (G:13.00% B:0.39%)

Σε τέτοιες περιπτώσεις, συνήθως σωστή είναι η πόρτα. Όπως και στην προηγούμενη ζαριά, η πόρτα είναι ένα μόνιμο πλεονέκτημα (permanent asset), ενώ το διπλό χτύπημα μπορεί να αναιρεθεί είτε άμεσα (με ανταποδοτική βολή) είτε αργότερα (με το να μην καταφέρουμε να φτιάξουμε την πόρτα).


 63: Cannot Move 
Pip=131-169
 
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		29.08% (G:6.07% B:0.35%)
70.92% (G:45.10% B:2.63%)
 No double 
Pip=131-169
 
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 71.38% (G:45.64% B:2.70%) 71.41% (G:45.84% B:2.70%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 28.62% (G:5.95% B:0.31%) 28.59% (G:5.96% B:0.31%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.912 +1.760
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.936 (-0.064)
     Double/Take:+1.316 (+0.316)
xg Double/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Double / Pass

Το διπλό χτύπημα δούλεψε και προφανώς ο Αυδής δεν σκέφτηκε το αν είναι good enough, αλλά αν είναι too good.
Το πούλι στο 24 απέναντί από την αντίπαλη bar, η πόρτα στο 4 που δεν έχει κλείσει ακόμα και το αντίπαλο blot στο 5 που είναι έτοιμο να φτιάξει τη χρυσή 20, μας λένε ότι η θέση δεν είναι too good, άρα το σωστό είναι cash (double / pass).

 32: 8/5* 6/4 
Pip=131-169
 
1.playedXG Roller++8/5* 6/4eq: +1.036
Player:
Opponent:		73.39% (G:49.55% B:3.15%)
26.61% (G:5.46% B:0.27%)
2.XG Roller++13/10 6/4eq: +0.908 (-0.128)
Player:
Opponent:		70.91% (G:43.73% B:2.77%)
29.09% (G:5.90% B:0.30%)
3.XG Roller++24/21 6/4eq: +0.907 (-0.129)
Player:
Opponent:		71.10% (G:39.43% B:2.27%)
28.90% (G:5.50% B:0.24%)
4.3-ply13/11 8/5* eq: +0.557 (-0.479)
Player:
Opponent:		63.36% (G:38.70% B:2.31%)
36.64% (G:10.46% B:0.82%)
5.3-ply24/22 8/5* eq: +0.527 (-0.509)
Player:
Opponent:		62.84% (G:35.98% B:2.02%)
37.16% (G:10.24% B:0.62%)
 43: Cannot Move 
Pip=126-174
 
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.381
Player:
Opponent:		18.87% (G:3.14% B:0.20%)
81.13% (G:62.87% B:4.03%)
 21: 24/23 13/11 
Pip=126-174
 
1.playedXG Roller++24/23 13/11eq: +1.262
Player:
Opponent:		77.97% (G:56.49% B:3.67%)
22.03% (G:4.44% B:0.26%)
2.XG Roller++15/14 13/11eq: +1.237 (-0.024)
Player:
Opponent:		77.34% (G:55.90% B:3.70%)
22.66% (G:4.35% B:0.23%)
3.xgXG Roller++13/11 5/4eq: +1.222 (-0.039)
Player:
Opponent:		77.28% (G:56.81% B:3.21%)
22.72% (G:4.02% B:0.19%)
4.XG Roller++13/10eq: +1.221 (-0.041)
Player:
Opponent:		77.01% (G:55.96% B:3.69%)
22.99% (G:4.66% B:0.26%)
5.XG Roller++24/22 5/4eq: +1.211 (-0.051)
Player:
Opponent:		77.19% (G:54.88% B:2.98%)
22.81% (G:3.93% B:0.19%)
 51: Bar/24 Bar/20*  
Pip=123-174
 
1.played3-plyBar/24 Bar/20* eq: -0.475
Player:
Opponent:		39.03% (G:10.43% B:0.50%)
60.97% (G:30.10% B:2.07%)
 No double 
Pip=143-168
 
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 60.83% (G:30.47% B:2.24%) 60.80% (G:30.50% B:2.31%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 39.17% (G:10.35% B:0.54%) 39.20% (G:10.22% B:0.54%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.474 +0.897
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.477
     Double/Take:+0.250 (-0.227)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.523)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 23.2%

Ίσως φαίνεται περίεργο που ο Αυδής από πολύ too good βρέθηκε να μην έχει βίδο στην επόμενη ζαριά, αλλά γι' αυτό ευθύνεται ο τζόκερ του Γρούτσου που έβαλε όχι ένα, αλλά δύο πούλια χτυπώντας. Με ένα σκέτο χτύπημα στο 5, θα ήταν double / take.

 51: Bar/24 15/10 
Pip=143-168
 
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/24 15/10eq: +0.409
Player:
Opponent:		58.54% (G:29.49% B:2.20%)
41.46% (G:11.23% B:0.62%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/24 13/8eq: +0.336 (-0.073)
Player:
Opponent:		56.86% (G:29.06% B:2.16%)
43.14% (G:12.48% B:0.83%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/24 11/6eq: +0.317 (-0.092)
Player:
Opponent:		56.83% (G:26.62% B:1.83%)
43.17% (G:11.35% B:0.56%)
4.2-plyBar/24 6/1* eq: -0.507 (-0.916)
Player:
Opponent:		41.49% (G:16.40% B:0.76%)
58.51% (G:23.09% B:1.94%)
 21: Bar/24 13/11 
Pip=137-168
 
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/24 13/11eq: -0.482
Player:
Opponent:		39.26% (G:10.10% B:0.63%)
60.74% (G:29.30% B:3.93%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/24 20/18eq: -0.500 (-0.018)
Player:
Opponent:		38.95% (G:9.24% B:0.52%)
61.05% (G:28.04% B:3.14%)
3.4-plyBar/24 5/3eq: -0.782 (-0.300)
Player:
Opponent:		34.63% (G:7.65% B:0.47%)
65.37% (G:37.82% B:5.88%)
4.3-plyBar/24 6/4eq: -0.829 (-0.347)
Player:
Opponent:		34.52% (G:7.29% B:0.39%)
65.48% (G:38.67% B:6.17%)
5.3-plyBar/24 7/5eq: -0.927 (-0.445)
Player:
Opponent:		32.05% (G:7.15% B:0.37%)
67.95% (G:36.59% B:5.54%)
 53: 13/5*  
Pip=137-165
 
1.xgXG Roller++24/21 10/5* eq: +0.442
Player:
Opponent:		60.45% (G:30.37% B:4.35%)
39.55% (G:10.94% B:0.69%)
2.playedXG Roller++13/5* eq: +0.441 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		60.61% (G:30.05% B:4.23%)
39.39% (G:11.30% B:0.92%)
3.XG Roller++11/8 10/5* eq: +0.300 (-0.142)
Player:
Opponent:		56.80% (G:26.78% B:3.52%)
43.20% (G:12.28% B:0.84%)
4.4-ply10/5* 5/2eq: +0.182 (-0.260)
Player:
Opponent:		53.83% (G:25.15% B:3.01%)
46.17% (G:11.65% B:0.53%)
5.4-ply13/10 11/6eq: +0.150 (-0.292)
Player:
Opponent:		54.09% (G:21.65% B:1.77%)
45.91% (G:11.80% B:0.54%)
 22: Cannot Move 
Pip=129-170
 
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		28.08% (G:4.71% B:0.26%)
71.92% (G:39.44% B:6.08%)
 Double/Pass 
Pip=129-170
 
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 71.59% (G:39.99% B:6.36%) 71.74% (G:40.64% B:6.57%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 28.41% (G:4.41% B:0.24%) 28.26% (G:4.50% B:0.27%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.903 +1.766
Cubeful Equities
     No double:+0.988 (-0.012)
     Double/Take:+1.331 (+0.331)
played Double/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
 Wins 1pt. 
 

Game Summary:

Avdis  Category Groutsos 
3(2)
-0.232(-1.15%)		 Move Errors
Equity lost (cost)		 1
-0.027(-0.13%)
1
-0.064(-0.32%)		 Double Errors
Equity lost (cost)		 0
+0.000
0
+0.000		 Take Errors
Equity lost (cost)		 0
+0.000
0 Outplays 0
4(2)
-0.296(-1.47%)		 Total Error
Equity lost (cost)		 1
-0.027(-0.13%)
4
+1.376(+6.83%)		 Joker
Luck		 1
-1.376(-6.83%)
Intermediate
13.45		 Level of Play
Performance Rating		 World Champ.
1.66
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Export made by eXtreme Gammon 2.10 ©2009-2012 GameSite 2000 Ltd.
on 25-Jun-18 5:38:43 PM