Game 13

Game 13

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15 point match, Score is Avdis: 10, Groutsos: 6

Quick Summary:

Avdis	Category	Groutsos
World Champ. (+0.0000)	Total Error	World Champ. (+0.0000)
World Champ. (+0.0000)	Checker Play	World Champ. (+0.0000)
World Champ. (+0.0000)	Cube Play	World Champ. (+0.0000)
0.00	Performance Rating	0.00

63: 24/18 13/10

Pip=167-167

Book¹

24/18 13/10

eq: +0.140

Player:
Opponent:

50.63% (G:13.33% B:0.58%)
49.37% (G:14.16% B:0.79%)

Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.139...+0.142) - [100.0%]

Book¹

24/15

eq: +0.119 (-0.021)

Player:
Opponent:

50.41% (G:12.12% B:0.50%)
49.59% (G:13.63% B:0.68%)

Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.118...+0.121) - [0.0%]

Book²

13/4

eq: +0.088 (-0.053)

Player:
Opponent:

48.41% (G:13.45% B:0.59%)
51.59% (G:14.03% B:0.75%)

Book²

24/21 13/7

eq: +0.086 (-0.055)

Player:
Opponent:

48.47% (G:13.05% B:0.56%)
51.53% (G:13.62% B:0.58%)

Book²

13/10 13/7

eq: +0.066 (-0.074)

Player:
Opponent:

47.80% (G:13.55% B:0.57%)
52.20% (G:14.47% B:0.86%)

¹ Generated by Steven Carey on 31-Jul-12 using eXtreme Gammon 2.10
93312 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 53850934
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

² Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++

43: 24/21 13/9

Pip=167-158

XG Roller++

24/21 13/9

eq: -0.388

Player:
Opponent:

43.76% (G:10.61% B:0.42%)
56.24% (G:15.22% B:0.73%)

XG Roller++

24/20 13/10

eq: -0.399 (-0.011)

Player:
Opponent:

43.83% (G:10.32% B:0.41%)
56.17% (G:15.66% B:0.78%)

XG Roller++

24/21 24/20

eq: -0.421 (-0.033)

Player:
Opponent:

43.05% (G:10.03% B:0.43%)
56.95% (G:15.64% B:0.58%)

XG Roller++

13/6

eq: -0.467 (-0.078)

Player:
Opponent:

41.98% (G:10.40% B:0.34%)
58.02% (G:15.69% B:0.76%)

XG Roller++

8/1*

eq: -0.468 (-0.080)

Player:
Opponent:

41.77% (G:11.01% B:0.33%)
58.23% (G:15.65% B:0.88%)

Κανόνας απομνημόνευσης: Όταν μετά την πρώτη ζαριά του αντιπάλου φέρουμε 43 ή 32 και δεν μπορούμε να χτυπήσουμε πουθενά, τότε πολύ συχνά τα πιο σωστά παιξίματα είναι:
43: 24/21 13/9
32: 242/1 13/11

No double

Pip=160-158

Analyzed in XG Roller++	No double	Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	56.22% (G:15.32% B:0.76%)	56.34% (G:15.36% B:0.74%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	43.78% (G:10.58% B:0.42%)	43.66% (G:10.46% B:0.41%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.171	+0.411
Cubeful Equities
No double:	+0.394
Double/Take:	+0.317 (-0.077)
Double/Pass:	+1.000 (+0.606)

Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 10.2%

42: 8/4* 6/4

Pip=160-158

XG Roller++

8/4* 6/4

eq: +0.516

Player:
Opponent:

58.21% (G:18.75% B:1.08%)
41.79% (G:10.61% B:0.47%)

XG Roller++

18/16* 8/4*

eq: +0.477 (-0.039)

Player:
Opponent:

57.07% (G:17.74% B:1.01%)
42.93% (G:10.88% B:0.54%)

4-ply

24/20 18/16*

eq: +0.302 (-0.214)

Player:
Opponent:

54.48% (G:14.21% B:0.66%)
45.52% (G:11.52% B:0.46%)

4-ply

18/16* 10/6

eq: +0.299 (-0.216)

Player:
Opponent:

54.37% (G:14.67% B:0.67%)
45.63% (G:11.85% B:0.43%)

4-ply

18/16* 13/9

eq: +0.249 (-0.267)

Player:
Opponent:

52.54% (G:15.24% B:0.84%)
47.46% (G:13.23% B:0.73%)

64: Cannot Move

Pip=164-152

3-ply

Cannot Move

eq: -1.000

Player:
Opponent:

32.13% (G:6.51% B:0.27%)
67.87% (G:26.58% B:1.65%)

Double/Pass

Pip=164-152

Analyzed in XG Roller++	No double	Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	68.13% (G:26.05% B:1.49%)	67.85% (G:27.15% B:1.53%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	31.87% (G:6.42% B:0.25%)	32.15% (G:6.80% B:0.29%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.559	+1.220
Cubeful Equities
No double:	+0.921 (-0.079)
Double/Take:	+1.136 (+0.136)
Double/Pass:	+1.000

Best Cube action: Double / Pass

Πολύ σωστό πάσο. Ομολογώ ότι αυτή είναι μια θέση που πιθανόν να έσφαλα βαριά. Το σκορ εδώ παίζει μεγάλο ρόλο. Για να γίνει take (οριακό) πρέπει να το σκορ να είναι ισόπαλο μέχρι και το 10-10 ή να είναι πολύ νωρίς στο ματς και μακριά από το τέλος του.
Χαρακτηριστικό είναι το πόσο πάσο είναι στο επικίνδυνο για τα gammons 11-11: 0,300!
Το backgammon είναι δύσκολο παιχνίδι.

Wins 1pt.

Game Summary:

Avdis	Category	Groutsos
0 +0.000	Move Errors Equity lost (cost)	0 +0.000
0 +0.000	Double Errors Equity lost (cost)	0 +0.000
0 +0.000	Take Errors Equity lost (cost)	0 +0.000
0	Outplays	0
0 +0.000	Total Error Equity lost (cost)	0 +0.000
0 -0.850(-4.68%)	Joker Luck	1 +0.850(+4.68%)
World Champ. 0.00	Level of Play Performance Rating	World Champ. 0.00

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