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15 point match, Score is Avdis: 6, Groutsos: 3

Quick Summary:

Avdis  Category Groutsos 
Advanced (-0.0198) Total Error Advanced (-0.0172)
Advanced (-0.0193) Checker Play Advanced (-0.0221)
Advanced (-0.0215) Cube Play World Champ. (+0.0000)
9.88 Performance Rating 8.59

 32: 24/21 13/11 
Pip=167-167
 
1.playedBook124/21 13/11eq: +0.090
Player:
Opponent:		50.23% (G:13.52% B:0.59%)
49.77% (G:12.84% B:0.56%)
2.Book113/11 13/10eq: +0.077 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:		49.75% (G:14.57% B:0.63%)
50.25% (G:13.78% B:0.74%)
3.Book124/22 13/10eq: +0.076 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:		49.78% (G:13.39% B:0.54%)
50.22% (G:12.92% B:0.50%)
4.XG Roller++13/11 8/5eq: +0.034 (-0.056)
Player:
Opponent:		48.95% (G:13.79% B:0.58%)
51.05% (G:14.32% B:0.85%)
5.Book124/22 24/21eq: +0.030 (-0.060)
Player:
Opponent:		49.23% (G:11.77% B:0.51%)
50.77% (G:12.99% B:0.45%)
 
1 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++
 52: 13/8 6/4*  
Pip=167-162
 
1.playedXG Roller++13/8 6/4* eq: -0.186
Player:
Opponent:		47.42% (G:12.67% B:0.54%)
52.58% (G:14.72% B:0.80%)
2.XG Roller++24/22 13/8eq: -0.235 (-0.049)
Player:
Opponent:		46.17% (G:10.94% B:0.39%)
53.83% (G:14.63% B:0.50%)
3.XG Roller++13/11 13/8eq: -0.279 (-0.093)
Player:
Opponent:		45.18% (G:11.31% B:0.42%)
54.82% (G:15.13% B:0.75%)
4.XG Roller++24/22 6/1* eq: -0.290 (-0.103)
Player:
Opponent:		44.73% (G:10.91% B:0.33%)
55.27% (G:14.71% B:0.65%)
5.XG Roller++6/4* 6/1* eq: -0.312 (-0.126)
Player:
Opponent:		44.81% (G:11.90% B:0.40%)
55.19% (G:16.73% B:1.01%)
 21: Bar/23 6/5 
Pip=160-166
 
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/23 6/5eq: -0.029
Player:
Opponent:		48.22% (G:12.59% B:0.53%)
51.78% (G:16.60% B:0.93%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/24 13/11eq: -0.081 (-0.052)
Player:
Opponent:		46.58% (G:12.21% B:0.49%)
53.42% (G:16.05% B:0.83%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/23 11/10eq: -0.101 (-0.072)
Player:
Opponent:		45.99% (G:11.93% B:0.47%)
54.01% (G:15.86% B:0.70%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/24 11/9eq: -0.127 (-0.098)
Player:
Opponent:		45.29% (G:12.08% B:0.47%)
54.71% (G:16.24% B:0.93%)
5.XG Roller++Bar/22eq: -0.127 (-0.098)
Player:
Opponent:		45.59% (G:11.15% B:0.44%)
54.41% (G:16.01% B:0.72%)

Ωραίο παίξιμο, από αυτά που σχεδόν όλοι κάνουμε λάθος.

 31: 8/5 6/5 
Pip=160-163
 
1.xgXG Roller++24/20* eq: -0.021
Player:
Opponent:		50.83% (G:14.35% B:0.70%)
49.17% (G:12.43% B:0.57%)
2.playedXG Roller++8/5 6/5eq: -0.102 (-0.081)
Player:
Opponent:		49.31% (G:15.20% B:0.77%)
50.69% (G:15.07% B:0.83%)
3.XG Roller++8/4eq: -0.110 (-0.089)
Player:
Opponent:		48.93% (G:15.45% B:0.72%)
51.07% (G:15.17% B:0.70%)
4.4-ply6/3 4/3eq: -0.262 (-0.242)
Player:
Opponent:		45.33% (G:13.07% B:0.59%)
54.67% (G:16.59% B:0.78%)
5.3-ply24/23 4/1* eq: -0.356 (-0.335)
Player:
Opponent:		43.04% (G:11.16% B:0.38%)
56.96% (G:16.37% B:0.77%)

Πολύ δύσκολο. Το μόνο που μπορώ να σκεφτώ είναι η αρχή ότι στο ξεκίνημα της παρτίδας, όταν τα στρατόπεδα είναι ακόμα αδύναμα, μπορούμε να ρισκάρουμε περισσότερο.
Αν δεν χτυπήσει, αφήνει έτσι κι αλλιώς 13 ζαριές που χτυπάνε και κλείνουν την 5.

 53: 13/5 
Pip=156-163
 
1.playedXG Roller++13/5eq: -0.078
Player:
Opponent:		46.31% (G:13.97% B:0.65%)
53.69% (G:17.60% B:0.85%)
2.XG Roller++24/21* 21/16eq: -0.113 (-0.035)
Player:
Opponent:		46.65% (G:11.47% B:0.58%)
53.35% (G:17.75% B:1.09%)
3.XG Roller++24/21* 13/8eq: -0.141 (-0.063)
Player:
Opponent:		45.09% (G:12.36% B:0.66%)
54.91% (G:17.19% B:1.03%)
4.XG Roller++23/18 8/5eq: -0.160 (-0.082)
Player:
Opponent:		45.45% (G:11.87% B:0.59%)
54.55% (G:19.25% B:0.92%)
5.XG Roller++24/21* 11/6eq: -0.196 (-0.118)
Player:
Opponent:		43.57% (G:11.20% B:0.58%)
56.43% (G:16.44% B:0.77%)
 51: 8/3 4/3 
Pip=156-155
 
1.played4-ply8/3 4/3eq: -0.087
Player:
Opponent:		49.16% (G:16.52% B:0.70%)
50.84% (G:15.31% B:0.83%)
2.4-ply13/8 4/3eq: -0.367 (-0.280)
Player:
Opponent:		43.18% (G:12.32% B:0.50%)
56.82% (G:18.08% B:1.25%)
3.4-ply24/23 13/8eq: -0.399 (-0.312)
Player:
Opponent:		43.37% (G:11.71% B:0.55%)
56.63% (G:20.38% B:1.21%)
4.3-ply13/8 6/5eq: -0.410 (-0.322)
Player:
Opponent:		42.45% (G:11.82% B:0.55%)
57.55% (G:18.55% B:1.29%)
5.3-ply8/2* eq: -0.452 (-0.365)
Player:
Opponent:		42.77% (G:12.54% B:0.61%)
57.23% (G:21.03% B:2.02%)
 61: 13/7 8/7 
Pip=150-155
 
1.played4-ply13/7 8/7eq: +0.185
Player:
Opponent:		53.36% (G:16.32% B:0.91%)
46.64% (G:16.92% B:0.87%)
2.4-ply24/23 11/5eq: -0.071 (-0.256)
Player:
Opponent:		45.23% (G:14.49% B:0.48%)
54.77% (G:14.35% B:0.62%)
3.4-ply11/5 6/5eq: -0.084 (-0.268)
Player:
Opponent:		46.49% (G:14.15% B:0.74%)
53.51% (G:19.04% B:0.70%)
4.3-ply24/18 6/5eq: -0.177 (-0.362)
Player:
Opponent:		45.82% (G:12.93% B:0.78%)
54.18% (G:23.51% B:1.09%)
5.3-ply13/6eq: -0.195 (-0.380)
Player:
Opponent:		43.93% (G:13.33% B:0.73%)
56.07% (G:20.83% B:1.06%)
 43: 24/21 6/2*  
Pip=150-148
 
1.playedXG Roller++24/21 6/2* eq: -0.212
Player:
Opponent:		46.37% (G:15.49% B:0.82%)
53.63% (G:16.95% B:0.95%)
2.XG Roller++24/21 13/9eq: -0.266 (-0.054)
Player:
Opponent:		45.22% (G:15.74% B:0.88%)
54.78% (G:17.99% B:1.02%)
3.4-ply13/6eq: -0.379 (-0.167)
Player:
Opponent:		41.77% (G:14.76% B:0.66%)
58.23% (G:17.45% B:0.97%)
4.4-ply13/10 6/2* eq: -0.419 (-0.206)
Player:
Opponent:		41.70% (G:15.08% B:0.85%)
58.30% (G:19.67% B:1.57%)
5.4-ply13/10 13/9eq: -0.462 (-0.249)
Player:
Opponent:		40.72% (G:13.60% B:0.68%)
59.28% (G:18.81% B:1.33%)

Πολύ σωστό χτύπημα από τον Αυδή.
Μετά το κλείσιμο του αντίπαλου bar, το 24/21 είναι θεματικό. Για το τεσσάρι, το 13/9 θα άφηνε όλη τη ζαριά στον Γρούτσο για να επιτεθεί. Ο σκοπός του χτυπήματος είναι να προστατέψει το πούλι στο 21 ώστε να φτιαχτεί η anchor.


 No double 
Pip=143-150
 
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 53.42% (G:17.01% B:0.97%) 53.42% (G:17.12% B:0.95%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 46.58% (G:16.02% B:0.85%) 46.58% (G:15.93% B:0.84%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.080 +0.208
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.207
     Double/Take:+0.019 (-0.188)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.793)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 16.1%
 63: Cannot Move 
Pip=143-150
 
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -0.248
Player:
Opponent:		44.27% (G:11.76% B:0.62%)
55.73% (G:23.67% B:1.30%)
 62: 13/11 8/2 
Pip=143-150
 
1.xgXG Roller++24/22 8/2eq: +0.355
Player:
Opponent:		57.69% (G:25.46% B:1.43%)
42.31% (G:11.64% B:0.57%)
2.playedXG Roller++13/11 8/2eq: +0.301 (-0.053)
Player:
Opponent:		56.28% (G:25.75% B:1.53%)
43.72% (G:11.97% B:0.70%)
3.XG Roller++8/6 8/2eq: +0.291 (-0.064)
Player:
Opponent:		56.14% (G:25.67% B:1.38%)
43.86% (G:11.41% B:0.54%)
4.3-ply24/16eq: +0.011 (-0.343)
Player:
Opponent:		52.65% (G:17.66% B:1.18%)
47.35% (G:16.62% B:0.95%)
5.3-ply13/5eq: -0.102 (-0.457)
Player:
Opponent:		48.21% (G:18.58% B:0.97%)
51.79% (G:15.37% B:0.95%)

Και πάλι το κλειστό αντίπαλο bar είναι αποφασιστικής σημασίας. Το πούλι στο 24 πρέπει να ανέβεί τώρα που ο αντίπαλος είναι χτυμηπένος, είτε για να μπορέσει να δραπετεύσει, είτε για να αποτελέσει βάση για anchor.


 51: Bar/24 11/6 
Pip=135-150
 
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/24 11/6eq: -0.266
Player:
Opponent:		42.70% (G:11.62% B:0.61%)
57.30% (G:20.45% B:1.33%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/24 6/1* eq: -0.345 (-0.079)
Player:
Opponent:		41.11% (G:12.32% B:0.61%)
58.89% (G:22.96% B:2.13%)
3.4-plyBar/24 13/8eq: -0.426 (-0.160)
Player:
Opponent:		39.51% (G:9.80% B:0.61%)
60.49% (G:22.89% B:2.31%)
4.3-plyBar/24 8/3eq: -0.832 (-0.566)
Player:
Opponent:		33.65% (G:7.34% B:0.36%)
66.35% (G:32.30% B:5.07%)
5.2-plyBar/24 7/2eq: -1.000 (-0.734)
Player:
Opponent:		30.12% (G:6.23% B:0.37%)
69.88% (G:37.76% B:6.69%)
 53: 24/21 13/8 
Pip=135-144
 
1.playedXG Roller++24/21 13/8eq: +0.522
Player:
Opponent:		62.81% (G:21.93% B:0.89%)
37.19% (G:7.48% B:0.29%)
2.XG Roller++24/21 11/6eq: +0.451 (-0.071)
Player:
Opponent:		61.10% (G:21.19% B:0.85%)
38.90% (G:7.90% B:0.29%)
3.4-ply24/21 8/3eq: +0.330 (-0.192)
Player:
Opponent:		58.73% (G:17.70% B:0.72%)
41.27% (G:8.11% B:0.27%)
4.3-ply21/16 11/8eq: +0.134 (-0.389)
Player:
Opponent:		54.75% (G:18.51% B:1.35%)
45.25% (G:13.02% B:0.57%)
5.3-ply21/13eq: +0.109 (-0.414)
Player:
Opponent:		54.32% (G:17.20% B:1.12%)
45.68% (G:12.83% B:0.53%)
 63: 8/5 8/2 
Pip=127-144
 
1.xgXG Roller++24/15eq: -0.669
Player:
Opponent:		35.22% (G:7.01% B:0.32%)
64.78% (G:29.62% B:0.90%)
2.XG Roller++13/7 6/3eq: -0.805 (-0.136)
Player:
Opponent:		30.42% (G:5.88% B:0.26%)
69.58% (G:20.71% B:1.54%)
3.playedXG Roller++8/5 8/2eq: -0.824 (-0.155)
Player:
Opponent:		29.19% (G:5.93% B:0.18%)
70.81% (G:19.87% B:1.02%)
4.4-ply24/18 6/3eq: -0.822 (-0.153)
Player:
Opponent:		33.71% (G:7.56% B:0.38%)
66.29% (G:35.60% B:1.05%)
5.4-ply24/21 24/18eq: -0.847 (-0.178)
Player:
Opponent:		33.38% (G:6.65% B:0.35%)
66.62% (G:34.41% B:0.77%)

Ναι, το 24/15 φαίνεται πολύ επικίνδυνο, αλλά το ξήλωμα του prime είναι ακόμα χειρότερο, αφού αποκόπτει ακόμα περισσότερο τα πούλια του βλάπτοντας τη συνεκτικότητα της θέσης του (connectivity). Επίσης βάζει πρόωρα πούλι στο 2.
Ο Γρούτσος πρέπει να βγει στο outfield και να ελπίσει ότι θα τη γλιτώσει. Το να μείνει μέσα είναι αργός θάνατος.
Μετά από 24/15 ο Αυδής θα είχε οριακό βίδο (για 0,037) και φυσικά θα ήταν πολύ εύκολο take (0,305).
Μετά από 8/5 8/2 το take εξακολουθεί να είναι άνετο (0,177) αλλά η διαφορά είναι αισθητή.

 No double 
Pip=127-135
 
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 70.75% (G:20.01% B:1.05%) 70.72% (G:20.58% B:1.16%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 29.25% (G:5.90% B:0.19%) 29.28% (G:5.94% B:0.19%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.568 +1.136
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.780 (-0.043)
xg Double/Take:+0.823
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.177)
 
Best Cube action: Double / Take

Βίδος εδώ. Δεν ξέρω αν ο Αυδής σκεφτόταν ότι το take είναι εύκολο. Καμιά φορά αυτό μας μπερδεύει. Εύκολο take δεν σημαίνει πάντα ότι ο βίδος δεν είναι επίσης σωστός. Εδώ, με  οποιαδήποτε βελτίωση της θέσης, θα γίνει πάσο, οπότε τώρα είναι η στιγμή.


 55: 21/11(2) 
Pip=127-135
 
1.playedXG Roller++21/11(2)eq: +0.970
Player:
Opponent:		78.66% (G:12.11% B:0.55%)
21.34% (G:2.21% B:0.05%)
2.XG Roller++21/16(2) 13/8(2)eq: +0.906 (-0.064)
Player:
Opponent:		73.87% (G:15.58% B:0.70%)
26.13% (G:4.04% B:0.10%)
3.XG Roller++21/16(2) 13/8 11/6eq: +0.899 (-0.071)
Player:
Opponent:		73.46% (G:17.80% B:1.12%)
26.54% (G:4.38% B:0.11%)
4.XG Roller++21/16 21/6eq: +0.870 (-0.100)
Player:
Opponent:		74.53% (G:16.58% B:1.12%)
25.47% (G:4.70% B:0.14%)
5.4-ply21/16(2) 11/6 8/3eq: +0.790 (-0.180)
Player:
Opponent:		71.01% (G:17.38% B:0.81%)
28.99% (G:5.75% B:0.16%)
 51: 7/2 5/4 
Pip=107-135
 
1.XG Roller++7/2 6/5eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		20.35% (G:1.96% B:0.05%)
79.65% (G:11.58% B:0.48%)
2.playedXG Roller++7/2 5/4eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		20.19% (G:2.08% B:0.05%)
79.81% (G:12.30% B:0.61%)
3.XG Roller++6/1 2/1eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		19.22% (G:1.81% B:0.03%)
80.78% (G:11.62% B:0.45%)
4.XG Roller++7/6 7/2eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		18.87% (G:1.67% B:0.04%)
81.13% (G:12.21% B:0.52%)
5.XG Roller++6/1 5/4eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		18.26% (G:1.57% B:0.04%)
81.74% (G:12.16% B:0.58%)
 Double/Pass 
Pip=107-129
 
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 79.87% (G:12.50% B:0.63%) 79.76% (G:13.67% B:0.80%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 20.13% (G:2.11% B:0.08%) 20.24% (G:2.37% B:0.07%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.709 +1.439
Cubeful Equities
     No double:+0.968 (-0.032)
     Double/Take:+1.248 (+0.248)
played Double/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Double / Pass

Χαρακτηριστικό του πόσο καλή ήταν ήδη η θέση είναι ότι με τον τζόκερ των 55, κόντεψε να γίνει too good.

 Wins 1pt. 
 

Game Summary:

Avdis  Category Groutsos 
2(1)
-0.135(-0.63%)		 Move Errors
Equity lost (cost)		 1(1)
-0.155(-0.72%)
1
-0.043(-0.20%)		 Double Errors
Equity lost (cost)		 0
+0.000
0
+0.000		 Take Errors
Equity lost (cost)		 0
+0.000
0 Outplays 0
3(1)
-0.178(-0.83%)		 Total Error
Equity lost (cost)		 1(1)
-0.155(-0.72%)
1
+1.098(+5.13%)		 Joker
Luck		 0
-1.098(-5.13%)
Advanced
9.88		 Level of Play
Performance Rating		 Advanced
8.59
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Export made by eXtreme Gammon 2.10 ©2009-2012 GameSite 2000 Ltd.
on 25-Jun-18 5:38:42 PM