Game 18

Game 18

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15 point match, Score is Avdis: 10, Groutsos: 11

Quick Summary:

Avdis	Category	Groutsos
World Champ. (-0.0045)	Total Error	World Champ. (+0.0000)
World Champ. (-0.0042)	Checker Play	World Champ. (+0.0000)
World Champ. (-0.0050)	Cube Play	World Champ. (+0.0000)
2.26	Performance Rating	0.00

52: 24/22 13/8

Pip=167-167

Book¹

24/22 13/8

eq: +0.053

Player:
Opponent:

50.05% (G:14.00% B:1.20%)
49.95% (G:13.66% B:0.57%)

Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.050...+0.056) - [100.0%]

Book¹

13/11 13/8

eq: +0.036 (-0.017)

Player:
Opponent:

49.64% (G:15.23% B:1.62%)
50.36% (G:14.67% B:0.82%)

Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.033...+0.039) - [0.0%]

Book²

13/8 6/4

eq: -0.002 (-0.055)

Player:
Opponent:

48.77% (G:14.41% B:1.81%)
51.23% (G:14.30% B:0.94%)

Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.010...+0.006) - [0.0%]

Book³

13/6

eq: -0.059 (-0.112)

Player:
Opponent:

47.66% (G:13.36% B:0.64%)
52.34% (G:14.82% B:0.66%)

4-ply

13/11 8/3

eq: -0.128 (-0.181)

Player:
Opponent:

46.34% (G:12.97% B:0.65%)
53.66% (G:15.91% B:0.96%)

¹ Generated by Steven Carey on 05-Aug-12 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
46656 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 35844429
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

² Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 26-Feb-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 38613390
Moves: 2-ply, cube decisions: 3-ply Red

³ Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++

65: 24/13

Pip=167-160

XG Roller++

24/13

eq: -0.118

Player:
Opponent:

49.27% (G:9.26% B:0.30%)
50.73% (G:12.53% B:0.33%)

XG Roller++

24/18 13/8

eq: -0.167 (-0.049)

Player:
Opponent:

47.99% (G:10.34% B:0.38%)
52.01% (G:14.06% B:0.47%)

XG Roller++

24/18 6/1*

eq: -0.269 (-0.151)

Player:
Opponent:

45.93% (G:9.75% B:0.29%)
54.07% (G:15.78% B:0.62%)

XG Roller++

13/7 6/1*

eq: -0.277 (-0.160)

Player:
Opponent:

44.75% (G:11.89% B:0.34%)
55.25% (G:15.94% B:1.00%)

4-ply

13/8 13/7

eq: -0.276 (-0.158)

Player:
Opponent:

44.40% (G:11.28% B:0.38%)
55.60% (G:15.29% B:0.85%)

43: 24/21 13/9

Pip=156-160

XG Roller++

24/21 13/9

eq: -0.076

Player:
Opponent:

46.17% (G:10.95% B:0.39%)
53.83% (G:11.06% B:0.42%)

XG Roller++

24/20 13/10

eq: -0.089 (-0.013)

Player:
Opponent:

46.20% (G:10.49% B:0.34%)
53.80% (G:11.54% B:0.44%)

XG Roller++

13/10 13/9

eq: -0.097 (-0.022)

Player:
Opponent:

45.73% (G:12.64% B:0.42%)
54.27% (G:12.89% B:0.63%)

XG Roller++

22/15

eq: -0.098 (-0.022)

Player:
Opponent:

46.77% (G:10.03% B:0.31%)
53.23% (G:12.78% B:0.44%)

XG Roller++

22/18 13/10

eq: -0.101 (-0.026)

Player:
Opponent:

46.45% (G:11.00% B:0.36%)
53.55% (G:12.92% B:0.50%)

66: 24/18 13/7(3)

Pip=156-153

XG Roller++

13/7(4)

eq: +0.359

Player:
Opponent:

60.04% (G:13.73% B:0.46%)
39.96% (G:7.47% B:0.23%)

XG Roller++

24/18 13/7(3)

eq: +0.346 (-0.013)

Player:
Opponent:

59.99% (G:13.61% B:0.59%)
40.01% (G:7.93% B:0.26%)

XG Roller++

13/7(3) 8/2

eq: +0.243 (-0.116)

Player:
Opponent:

56.96% (G:14.66% B:0.45%)
43.04% (G:8.97% B:0.31%)

XG Roller++

13/7(2) 13/1

eq: +0.205 (-0.154)

Player:
Opponent:

56.15% (G:14.03% B:0.34%)
43.85% (G:9.34% B:0.32%)

4-ply

13/1(2)

eq: +0.182 (-0.177)

Player:
Opponent:

54.75% (G:15.26% B:0.31%)
45.25% (G:10.02% B:0.37%)

42: 13/7*

Pip=132-153

XG Roller++

13/7*

eq: -0.486

Player:
Opponent:

37.05% (G:7.68% B:0.24%)
62.95% (G:15.85% B:0.82%)

XG Roller++

9/7* 7/3

eq: -0.531 (-0.045)

Player:
Opponent:

35.99% (G:6.87% B:0.20%)
64.01% (G:15.92% B:0.61%)

XG Roller++

9/7* 8/4

eq: -0.553 (-0.067)

Player:
Opponent:

35.78% (G:7.19% B:0.23%)
64.22% (G:17.31% B:0.95%)

XG Roller++

9/7* 6/2

eq: -0.559 (-0.073)

Player:
Opponent:

35.95% (G:7.04% B:0.21%)
64.05% (G:18.27% B:0.89%)

XG Roller++

8/4 6/4

eq: -0.643 (-0.157)

Player:
Opponent:

31.71% (G:5.09% B:0.15%)
68.29% (G:13.03% B:0.45%)

No double

Pip=139-147

Analyzed in XG Roller++	No double	Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	62.83% (G:15.84% B:0.84%)	63.04% (G:16.08% B:0.90%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	37.17% (G:7.63% B:0.24%)	36.96% (G:7.78% B:0.26%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.319	+0.673
Cubeful Equities
No double:	+0.482
Double/Take:	+0.409 (-0.074)
Double/Pass:	+1.000 (+0.518)

Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 11.1%

55: Bar/20 13/3* 8/3

Pip=139-147

XG Roller++

Bar/20 13/3* 8/3

eq: +0.817

Player:
Opponent:

69.42% (G:22.92% B:1.30%)
30.58% (G:5.23% B:0.19%)

XG Roller++

Bar/15 8/3*(2)

eq: +0.699 (-0.118)

Player:
Opponent:

67.56% (G:19.86% B:0.98%)
32.44% (G:5.87% B:0.23%)

XG Roller++

Bar/15 6/1(2)

eq: +0.678 (-0.138)

Player:
Opponent:

67.44% (G:14.76% B:0.47%)
32.56% (G:5.32% B:0.18%)

4-ply

Bar/20 8/3*(3)

eq: +0.638 (-0.179)

Player:
Opponent:

64.34% (G:20.94% B:0.96%)
35.66% (G:6.52% B:0.22%)

4-ply

Bar/10 13/8

eq: +0.622 (-0.195)

Player:
Opponent:

67.24% (G:12.66% B:0.39%)
32.76% (G:5.17% B:0.16%)

61: Bar/24 9/3

Pip=119-150

XG Roller++

Bar/24 9/3

eq: -1.004

Player:
Opponent:

23.39% (G:3.57% B:0.14%)
76.61% (G:27.26% B:1.23%)

XG Roller++

Bar/24 21/15

eq: -1.062 (-0.057)

Player:
Opponent:

24.88% (G:4.19% B:0.18%)
75.12% (G:37.29% B:2.63%)

XG Roller++

Bar/24 13/7

eq: -1.064 (-0.060)

Player:
Opponent:

23.06% (G:3.16% B:0.15%)
76.94% (G:30.94% B:2.57%)

XG Roller++

Bar/24 7/1

eq: -1.078 (-0.073)

Player:
Opponent:

21.68% (G:3.43% B:0.12%)
78.32% (G:31.45% B:1.60%)

XG Roller++

Bar/24 8/2

eq: -1.086 (-0.082)

Player:
Opponent:

22.86% (G:3.69% B:0.15%)
77.14% (G:33.39% B:2.87%)

Double/Pass

Pip=119-143

Analyzed in XG Roller++	No double	Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	76.62% (G:27.36% B:1.18%)	74.66% (G:32.16% B:1.62%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	23.38% (G:3.51% B:0.13%)	25.34% (G:4.79% B:0.22%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.765	+1.818
Cubeful Equities
No double:	+1.010
Double/Take:	+1.606 (+0.596)
Double/Pass:	+1.000 (-0.010)

Best Cube action: Too good to double / Pass
Percentage of wrong take needed to make the double decision right: 1.6%

Ενδιαφέρον το ότι μέσα σε μια ζαριά έγινε τεχνικά too good. Μεγάλο προβάδισμα στην κούρσα, καλύτερο στρατόπεδο, στόχοι στο 18 και στο 4, και 12 πούλια στη ζώνη.
Στην πράξη, βέβαια, πάντα λες βίδο σε τέτοια θέση. Ποτέ δεν ξέρεις ποιος αντίπαλος έχει ξυπνήσει υπερβολικά αισιόδοξος εκείνο το πρωί.

Wins 1pt.

Game Summary:

Avdis	Category	Groutsos
0 -0.013(-0.09%)	Move Errors Equity lost (cost)	0 +0.000
0 -0.010(-0.07%)	Double Errors Equity lost (cost)	0 +0.000
0 +0.000	Take Errors Equity lost (cost)	0 +0.000
0	Outplays	0
0 -0.023(-0.17%)	Total Error Equity lost (cost)	0 +0.000
1 +1.067(+7.89%)	Joker Luck	0 -1.067(-7.89%)
World Champ. 2.26	Level of Play Performance Rating	World Champ. 0.00

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