61: 13/7 8/7 |
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1. | Book1 | 13/7 8/7 | eq: +0.229 |
| Player: Opponent: | 53.46% (G:15.01% B:0.63%) 46.54% (G:11.83% B:0.51%) | |
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2. | 4-ply | 24/23 13/7 | eq: +0.006 (-0.223) |
| Player: Opponent: | 48.29% (G:13.16% B:0.52%) 51.71% (G:13.75% B:0.62%) | |
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3. | Book1 | 24/23 24/18 | eq: +0.006 (-0.223) |
| Player: Opponent: | 49.01% (G:11.43% B:0.45%) 50.99% (G:13.88% B:0.46%) | |
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4. | 4-ply | 13/7 6/5 | eq: -0.022 (-0.251) |
| Player: Opponent: | 47.97% (G:12.68% B:0.53%) 52.03% (G:14.89% B:1.00%) | |
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5. | Book1 | 13/6 | eq: -0.025 (-0.254) |
| Player: Opponent: | 47.55% (G:13.28% B:0.59%) 52.45% (G:14.73% B:0.69%) | |
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1 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00 Analyzed in XG Roller++
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66: 13/7(2) 8/2(2) |
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1. | XG Roller++ | 13/7(2) 8/2(2) | eq: -0.196 |
| Player: Opponent: | 46.51% (G:14.98% B:0.95%) 53.49% (G:15.55% B:0.75%) | |
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2. | XG Roller++ | 13/7(4) | eq: -0.211 (-0.016) |
| Player: Opponent: | 45.61% (G:13.48% B:0.65%) 54.39% (G:13.44% B:0.64%) | |
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3. | XG Roller++ | 13/7(3) 8/2 | eq: -0.229 (-0.033) |
| Player: Opponent: | 46.08% (G:13.85% B:0.81%) 53.92% (G:15.80% B:0.81%) | |
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4. | 3-ply | 13/7 8/2(3) | eq: -0.614 (-0.419) |
| Player: Opponent: | 37.12% (G:11.25% B:0.59%) 62.88% (G:19.18% B:1.15%) | |
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No double |
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Analyzed in XG Roller++ |
No double |
Double/Take |
Player Winning Chances: |
53.59% (G:15.98% B:0.78%) |
53.72% (G:15.97% B:0.76%) |
Opponent Winning Chances: |
46.41% (G:15.05% B:0.99%) |
46.28% (G:15.19% B:1.00%) |
Cubeless Equities |
+0.096 |
+0.222 |
Cubeful Equities |
No double: | +0.212 | |
Double/Take: | +0.019 (-0.194) | |
Double/Pass: | +1.000 (+0.788) |
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Best Cube action: No double / Take |
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 16.5% |
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62: 13/11 13/7 |
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1. | XG Roller++ | 13/11 13/7 | eq: +0.067 |
| Player: Opponent: | 50.13% (G:15.11% B:0.70%) 49.87% (G:15.98% B:1.10%) | |
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2. | XG Roller++ | 13/7 6/4 | eq: +0.022 (-0.046) |
| Player: Opponent: | 49.62% (G:14.03% B:0.67%) 50.38% (G:16.98% B:1.33%) | |
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3. | XG Roller++ | 24/22 13/7 | eq: +0.009 (-0.059) |
| Player: Opponent: | 50.11% (G:13.20% B:0.70%) 49.89% (G:19.13% B:0.54%) | |
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4. | XG Roller++ | 13/5 | eq: -0.005 (-0.072) |
| Player: Opponent: | 49.03% (G:13.82% B:0.64%) 50.97% (G:17.29% B:1.34%) | |
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5. | XG Roller++ | 24/16 | eq: -0.071 (-0.138) |
| Player: Opponent: | 49.07% (G:10.97% B:0.58%) 50.93% (G:20.09% B:0.52%) | |
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63: 24/15 |
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1. | XG Roller++ | 24/15 | eq: -0.133 |
| Player: Opponent: | 48.61% (G:15.42% B:0.97%) 51.39% (G:16.14% B:0.71%) | |
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2. | XG Roller++ | 24/21 13/7 | eq: -0.179 (-0.047) |
| Player: Opponent: | 47.20% (G:15.08% B:1.01%) 52.80% (G:16.23% B:0.73%) | |
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3. | 4-ply | 24/21 8/2 | eq: -0.341 (-0.208) |
| Player: Opponent: | 43.46% (G:12.90% B:0.79%) 56.54% (G:17.51% B:0.68%) | |
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4. | 4-ply | 13/7 6/3 | eq: -0.356 (-0.223) |
| Player: Opponent: | 43.25% (G:13.45% B:0.83%) 56.75% (G:18.14% B:1.10%) | |
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5. | 4-ply | 13/7 8/5 | eq: -0.357 (-0.225) |
| Player: Opponent: | 42.78% (G:13.27% B:0.72%) 57.22% (G:17.22% B:1.00%) | |
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65: 7/1* 6/1 |
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1. | 4-ply | 7/1* 6/1 | eq: -0.099 |
| Player: Opponent: | 44.30% (G:16.41% B:0.47%) 55.70% (G:15.77% B:1.07%) | |
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2. | 4-ply | 11/5 6/1* | eq: -0.364 (-0.264) |
| Player: Opponent: | 40.08% (G:11.30% B:0.47%) 59.92% (G:19.87% B:1.73%) | |
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3. | 4-ply | 8/2 7/2 | eq: -0.385 (-0.285) |
| Player: Opponent: | 38.73% (G:11.14% B:0.37%) 61.27% (G:18.34% B:1.46%) | |
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4. | 4-ply | 13/8 13/7 | eq: -0.406 (-0.306) |
| Player: Opponent: | 37.89% (G:8.75% B:0.34%) 62.11% (G:15.39% B:0.95%) | |
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5. | 4-ply | 11/6 7/1* | eq: -0.408 (-0.309) |
| Player: Opponent: | 38.13% (G:10.37% B:0.36%) 61.87% (G:18.13% B:1.28%) | |
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62: Bar/23 15/9 |
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1. | 4-ply | Bar/23 15/9 | eq: -0.036 |
| Player: Opponent: | 51.93% (G:15.16% B:1.07%) 48.07% (G:17.82% B:0.48%) | |
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2. | 4-ply | Bar/23 13/7 | eq: -0.257 (-0.221) |
| Player: Opponent: | 47.41% (G:14.94% B:1.22%) 52.59% (G:23.53% B:0.81%) | |
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3. | 4-ply | Bar/23 8/2 | eq: -0.346 (-0.311) |
| Player: Opponent: | 44.85% (G:11.92% B:0.79%) 55.15% (G:21.59% B:0.49%) | |
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62: 24/16* |
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1. | 3-ply | 24/16* | eq: +0.300 |
| Player: Opponent: | 55.66% (G:17.55% B:0.56%) 44.34% (G:13.52% B:0.67%) | |
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2. | 3-ply | 11/5 7/5 | eq: -0.160 (-0.461) |
| Player: Opponent: | 43.15% (G:15.23% B:0.35%) 56.85% (G:15.38% B:1.03%) | |
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3. | 2-ply | 13/11 13/7 | eq: -0.359 (-0.660) |
| Player: Opponent: | 38.38% (G:10.50% B:0.24%) 61.62% (G:15.65% B:0.78%) | |
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4. | 2-ply | 24/22 8/2* | eq: -0.379 (-0.679) |
| Player: Opponent: | 39.06% (G:14.66% B:0.55%) 60.94% (G:26.06% B:2.52%) | |
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5. | 2-ply | 11/9 8/2* | eq: -0.446 (-0.746) |
| Player: Opponent: | 36.63% (G:12.46% B:0.31%) 63.37% (G:20.51% B:1.80%) | |
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55: Bar/20 13/8 6/1*(2) |
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1. | 4-ply | Bar/20 13/8 6/1*(2) | eq: +0.394 |
| Player: Opponent: | 59.19% (G:31.67% B:1.66%) 40.81% (G:11.56% B:0.36%) | |
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2. | 4-ply | Bar/15 6/1*(2) | eq: +0.219 (-0.175) |
| Player: Opponent: | 55.02% (G:27.90% B:1.10%) 44.98% (G:14.03% B:0.53%) | |
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3. | 4-ply | Bar/20 8/3 6/1*(2) | eq: +0.073 (-0.321) |
| Player: Opponent: | 51.43% (G:25.63% B:1.21%) 48.57% (G:15.75% B:0.57%) | |
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4. | 3-ply | Bar/20 6/1*(3) | eq: +0.064 (-0.330) |
| Player: Opponent: | 50.32% (G:22.32% B:0.80%) 49.68% (G:14.93% B:0.64%) | |
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5. | 3-ply | Bar/20 7/2 6/1*(2) | eq: +0.061 (-0.334) |
| Player: Opponent: | 49.85% (G:24.61% B:1.08%) 50.15% (G:16.97% B:0.93%) | |
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62: Cannot Move |
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1. | 3-ply | Cannot Move | eq: -1.037 |
| Player: Opponent: | 25.28% (G:6.27% B:0.23%) 74.72% (G:49.68% B:2.08%) | |
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No double |
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Analyzed in XG Roller++ |
No double |
Double/Take |
Player Winning Chances: |
75.52% (G:49.46% B:2.13%) |
75.58% (G:50.36% B:2.18%) |
Opponent Winning Chances: |
24.48% (G:6.04% B:0.33%) |
24.42% (G:6.38% B:0.35%) |
Cubeless Equities |
+0.942 |
+2.086 |
Cubeful Equities |
No double: | +1.051 | |
Double/Take: | +1.835 (+0.785) | |
Double/Pass: | +1.000 (-0.051) |
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Best Cube action: Too good to double / Pass |
Percentage of wrong take needed to make the double decision right: 6.1% |
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Χαρακτηριστική περίπτωση όπου λιγότερο έμπειροι παίκτες, μετά από τέτοιο άκρως ευνοϊκό sequence (55, γκέλα) θα στρέφονταν χαρούμενοι προς το βίδο.
Ο Αυδής, πιο ψύχραιμός, βλέπει ότι είναι ήδη εκτός παραθύρου βίδου και πρέπει να πάει για διπλό. Έχει τα ρίσκα του βέβαια, αλλά έχει ακόμα περισσότερα να κερδίσει. |
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53: 8/3 6/3 |
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1. | 4-ply | 8/3 6/3 | eq: +0.809 |
| Player: Opponent: | 68.22% (G:45.77% B:2.55%) 31.78% (G:8.96% B:0.36%) | |
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2. | 4-ply | 23/20 13/8 | eq: +0.625 (-0.184) |
| Player: Opponent: | 63.57% (G:31.46% B:1.24%) 36.43% (G:6.12% B:0.18%) | |
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3. | 4-ply | 23/15 | eq: +0.580 (-0.230) |
| Player: Opponent: | 63.87% (G:34.90% B:1.99%) 36.13% (G:11.16% B:0.33%) | |
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4. | 4-ply | 23/20 7/2 | eq: +0.550 (-0.259) |
| Player: Opponent: | 62.03% (G:29.20% B:0.77%) 37.97% (G:7.60% B:0.28%) | |
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5. | 4-ply | 23/20 8/3 | eq: +0.522 (-0.288) |
| Player: Opponent: | 60.76% (G:32.00% B:1.09%) 39.24% (G:7.98% B:0.26%) | |
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55: Bar/20 16/11 7/2*(2) |
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1. | 4-ply | Bar/20 16/11 7/2*(2) | eq: +0.324 |
| Player: Opponent: | 56.92% (G:20.12% B:0.78%) 43.08% (G:13.52% B:0.23%) | |
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2. | 4-ply | Bar/20 11/6 7/2*(2) | eq: +0.072 (-0.252) |
| Player: Opponent: | 49.10% (G:16.84% B:0.68%) 50.90% (G:21.31% B:0.38%) | |
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3. | 4-ply | Bar/20 16/11 8/3(2) | eq: +0.018 (-0.306) |
| Player: Opponent: | 49.48% (G:15.81% B:0.78%) 50.52% (G:17.56% B:0.24%) | |
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4. | 3-ply | Bar/10 16/11 | eq: -0.038 (-0.362) |
| Player: Opponent: | 49.70% (G:7.27% B:0.20%) 50.30% (G:14.18% B:0.09%) | |
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5. | 3-ply | Bar/15 7/2*(2) | eq: -0.059 (-0.383) |
| Player: Opponent: | 47.06% (G:15.54% B:0.42%) 52.94% (G:25.97% B:0.95%) | |
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43: Bar/21 8/5* |
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1. | 3-ply | Bar/21 8/5* | eq: +0.074 |
| Player: Opponent: | 51.56% (G:20.45% B:0.32%) 48.44% (G:16.65% B:0.62%) | |
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2. | 2-ply | Bar/22 8/4 | eq: -0.584 (-0.658) |
| Player: Opponent: | 37.66% (G:13.08% B:0.51%) 62.34% (G:25.60% B:0.55%) | |
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3. | 2-ply | Bar/22 20/16 | eq: -0.873 (-0.948) |
| Player: Opponent: | 35.25% (G:12.22% B:0.41%) 64.75% (G:28.74% B:0.95%) | |
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4. | 2-ply | Bar/18 | eq: -1.000 (-1.074) |
| Player: Opponent: | 33.39% (G:10.99% B:0.34%) 66.61% (G:32.11% B:1.06%) | |
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5. | 2-ply | Bar/21 7/4 | eq: -1.000 (-1.074) |
| Player: Opponent: | 33.23% (G:12.00% B:0.52%) 66.77% (G:33.97% B:2.46%) | |
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No double |
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Analyzed in XG Roller++ |
No double |
Double/Take |
Player Winning Chances: |
48.31% (G:16.89% B:0.65%) |
47.93% (G:18.27% B:0.69%) |
Opponent Winning Chances: |
51.69% (G:20.92% B:0.34%) |
52.07% (G:21.69% B:0.43%) |
Cubeless Equities |
-0.049 |
-0.113 |
Cubeful Equities |
No double: | -0.108 | |
Double/Take: | -0.276 (-0.168) | |
Double/Pass: | +1.000 (+1.108) |
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Best Cube action: No double / Take |
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 11.6% |
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53: Bar/20* 20/17 |
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1. | XG Roller++ | Bar/20* 20/17 | eq: +0.592 |
| Player: Opponent: | 64.43% (G:17.08% B:0.62%) 35.57% (G:8.69% B:0.17%) | |
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2. | XG Roller++ | Bar/20* 8/5* | eq: +0.565 (-0.027) |
| Player: Opponent: | 63.33% (G:28.21% B:1.09%) 36.67% (G:14.25% B:0.54%) | |
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3. | 4-ply | Bar/20* 11/8 | eq: +0.312 (-0.279) |
| Player: Opponent: | 57.23% (G:21.06% B:0.85%) 42.77% (G:16.32% B:0.36%) | |
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4. | 3-ply | Bar/20* 6/3 | eq: +0.270 (-0.322) |
| Player: Opponent: | 56.82% (G:20.82% B:0.71%) 43.18% (G:17.31% B:0.33%) | |
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5. | 3-ply | Bar/20* 13/10 | eq: +0.053 (-0.538) |
| Player: Opponent: | 50.17% (G:21.36% B:0.91%) 49.83% (G:23.58% B:1.07%) | |
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52: Bar/20 7/5 |
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1. | 4-ply | Bar/20 7/5 | eq: -0.442 |
| Player: Opponent: | 37.57% (G:6.34% B:0.04%) 62.43% (G:7.67% B:0.16%) | |
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2. | 4-ply | Bar/20 6/4 | eq: -0.602 (-0.160) |
| Player: Opponent: | 33.84% (G:5.90% B:0.06%) 66.16% (G:10.06% B:0.20%) | |
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3. | 3-ply | Bar/20 3/1 | eq: -0.813 (-0.371) |
| Player: Opponent: | 30.07% (G:3.95% B:0.06%) 69.93% (G:9.84% B:0.19%) | |
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4. | 3-ply | Bar/20 13/11 | eq: -1.000 (-0.558) |
| Player: Opponent: | 29.73% (G:6.29% B:0.17%) 70.27% (G:20.78% B:0.47%) | |
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5. | 3-ply | Bar/18 | eq: -1.000 (-0.558) |
| Player: Opponent: | 31.76% (G:9.73% B:0.36%) 68.24% (G:29.24% B:1.15%) | |
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No double |
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Analyzed in XG Roller++ |
No double |
Double/Take |
Player Winning Chances: |
61.72% (G:7.79% B:0.23%) |
61.77% (G:7.85% B:0.23%) |
Opponent Winning Chances: |
38.28% (G:7.38% B:0.08%) |
38.23% (G:7.12% B:0.07%) |
Cubeless Equities |
+0.249 |
+0.552 |
Cubeful Equities |
No double: | +0.443 | |
Double/Take: | +0.335 (-0.108) | |
Double/Pass: | +1.000 (+0.557) |
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Best Cube action: No double / Take |
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 13.9% |
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41: 17/13 2/1 |
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1. | 4-ply | 17/13 2/1 | eq: +0.254 |
| Player: Opponent: | 57.58% (G:4.47% B:0.07%) 42.42% (G:6.38% B:0.09%) | |
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2. | 4-ply | 6/1 | eq: +0.087 (-0.167) |
| Player: Opponent: | 52.92% (G:9.16% B:0.24%) 47.08% (G:13.02% B:0.16%) | |
|
3. | 4-ply | 17/16 6/2 | eq: +0.075 (-0.180) |
| Player: Opponent: | 52.77% (G:9.03% B:0.28%) 47.23% (G:13.28% B:0.16%) | |
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4. | 4-ply | 17/16 8/4* | eq: +0.006 (-0.248) |
| Player: Opponent: | 50.13% (G:10.88% B:0.34%) 49.87% (G:24.01% B:0.89%) | |
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5. | 4-ply | 8/4* 4/3 | eq: +0.006 (-0.248) |
| Player: Opponent: | 50.39% (G:11.43% B:0.40%) 49.61% (G:23.58% B:0.87%) | |
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43: 13/10 13/9 |
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1. | XG Roller++ | 13/10 13/9 | eq: -0.291 |
| Player: Opponent: | 42.05% (G:7.02% B:0.07%) 57.95% (G:4.49% B:0.12%) | |
|
2. | XG Roller++ | 13/9 7/4 | eq: -0.354 (-0.063) |
| Player: Opponent: | 41.15% (G:10.43% B:0.21%) 58.85% (G:9.82% B:0.36%) | |
|
3. | XG Roller++ | 13/6 | eq: -0.362 (-0.071) |
| Player: Opponent: | 40.56% (G:9.04% B:0.17%) 59.44% (G:7.87% B:0.20%) | |
|
4. | 4-ply | 20/13 | eq: -0.465 (-0.174) |
| Player: Opponent: | 37.63% (G:5.89% B:0.06%) 62.37% (G:10.78% B:0.18%) | |
|
5. | 4-ply | 21/18 13/9 | eq: -0.468 (-0.177) |
| Player: Opponent: | 37.23% (G:6.36% B:0.07%) 62.77% (G:8.93% B:0.24%) | |
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32: 13/8 |
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1. | XG Roller++ | 13/8 | eq: +0.287 |
| Player: Opponent: | 57.68% (G:3.46% B:0.06%) 42.32% (G:5.91% B:0.08%) | |
|
2. | XG Roller++ | 13/11 6/3 | eq: +0.272 (-0.015) |
| Player: Opponent: | 57.28% (G:3.96% B:0.10%) 42.72% (G:6.27% B:0.09%) | |
|
3. | 4-ply | 6/1 | eq: +0.039 (-0.248) |
| Player: Opponent: | 51.55% (G:3.06% B:0.04%) 48.45% (G:7.78% B:0.11%) | |
|
4. | 3-ply | 6/4* 4/1 | eq: -0.110 (-0.396) |
| Player: Opponent: | 47.88% (G:4.29% B:0.09%) 52.12% (G:14.94% B:0.06%) | |
|
5. | 3-ply | 11/6 | eq: -0.328 (-0.615) |
| Player: Opponent: | 40.41% (G:6.50% B:0.34%) 59.59% (G:21.91% B:0.25%) | |
|
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52: 21/16 7/5 |
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1. | XG Roller++ | 9/4 7/5 | eq: -0.318 |
| Player: Opponent: | 41.50% (G:6.79% B:0.09%) 58.50% (G:4.15% B:0.09%) | |
|
2. | XG Roller++ | 21/16 7/5 | eq: -0.340 (-0.022) |
| Player: Opponent: | 40.18% (G:5.07% B:0.07%) 59.82% (G:2.57% B:0.04%) | |
|
3. | XG Roller++ | 10/5 7/5 | eq: -0.354 (-0.036) |
| Player: Opponent: | 40.25% (G:5.65% B:0.08%) 59.75% (G:3.55% B:0.06%) | |
|
4. | XG Roller++ | 10/5 9/7 | eq: -0.368 (-0.050) |
| Player: Opponent: | 39.75% (G:5.30% B:0.07%) 60.25% (G:3.68% B:0.06%) | |
|
5. | XG Roller++ | 20/15 7/5 | eq: -0.378 (-0.060) |
| Player: Opponent: | 40.32% (G:7.83% B:0.14%) 59.68% (G:9.06% B:0.33%) | |
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Μικρό λάθος, αλλά αφήνει τον έλεγχο της θέσης 21 στον αντίπαλο ενώ είναι πίσω στην κούρσα. Το prime του Γρούτσου δεν είναι σοβαρό, οπότε μάλλον δεν θα έχει πρόβλημα να φύγει στην επόμενη ζαριά, αν χρειαστεί. |
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No double |
|
|
Analyzed in XG Roller++ |
No double |
Double/Take |
Player Winning Chances: |
59.98% (G:2.75% B:0.04%) |
59.98% (G:2.79% B:0.05%) |
Opponent Winning Chances: |
40.02% (G:5.11% B:0.07%) |
40.02% (G:4.90% B:0.06%) |
Cubeless Equities |
+0.180 |
+0.411 |
Cubeful Equities |
No double: | +0.360 | |
Double/Take: | +0.186 (-0.175) | |
Double/Pass: | +1.000 (+0.640) |
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Best Cube action: No double / Take |
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 17.7% |
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33: 13/7(2) |
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1. | XG Roller++ | 13/10(2) 11/8(2) | eq: +0.701 |
| Player: Opponent: | 69.96% (G:1.10% B:0.01%) 30.04% (G:1.06% B:0.01%) | |
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2. | XG Roller++ | 13/7(2) | eq: +0.665 (-0.036) |
| Player: Opponent: | 69.12% (G:1.21% B:0.01%) 30.88% (G:1.22% B:0.01%) | |
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3. | 4-ply | 13/10(2) 6/3(2) | eq: +0.408 (-0.293) |
| Player: Opponent: | 62.55% (G:1.59% B:0.02%) 37.45% (G:3.35% B:0.03%) | |
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4. | 4-ply | 11/8(2) 6/3(2) | eq: +0.384 (-0.317) |
| Player: Opponent: | 61.70% (G:2.87% B:0.02%) 38.30% (G:3.97% B:0.05%) | |
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5. | 2-ply | 6/3(4) | eq: -0.086 (-0.787) |
| Player: Opponent: | 48.75% (G:2.51% B:0.03%) 51.25% (G:10.37% B:0.18%) | |
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Λογικά ο Γρούτσος θα μέτρησε την κούρσα μετά τις 33, οπότε δεν καταλαβαίνω γιατί έπαιξε έτσι. Είναι 20 pips μπροστά. Απλώς καθαρίζουμε τις πόρτες από πίσω και σιγουρευόμαστε ότι θα έχουμε πούλια να παίζουμε. Όλα δείχνουν 11/8(2). |
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31: 16/12 |
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1. | XG Roller++ | 16/13 5/4 | eq: -0.802 |
| Player: Opponent: | 27.35% (G:1.13% B:0.01%) 72.65% (G:1.11% B:0.01%) | |
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2. | XG Roller++ | 16/12 | eq: -0.804 (-0.002) |
| Player: Opponent: | 27.28% (G:1.20% B:0.01%) 72.72% (G:1.10% B:0.01%) | |
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3. | XG Roller++ | 16/15 9/6 | eq: -0.809 (-0.007) |
| Player: Opponent: | 27.16% (G:1.32% B:0.01%) 72.84% (G:1.31% B:0.01%) | |
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4. | XG Roller++ | 10/7 5/4 | eq: -0.815 (-0.012) |
| Player: Opponent: | 27.13% (G:1.17% B:0.01%) 72.87% (G:1.44% B:0.01%) | |
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5. | XG Roller++ | 16/13 9/8 | eq: -0.815 (-0.013) |
| Player: Opponent: | 27.12% (G:1.16% B:0.01%) 72.88% (G:1.14% B:0.01%) | |
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Double/Pass |
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Analyzed in XG Roller++ |
No double |
Double/Take |
Player Winning Chances: |
72.77% (G:1.05% B:0.01%) |
73.01% (G:1.02% B:0.01%) |
Opponent Winning Chances: |
27.23% (G:1.07% B:0.01%) |
26.99% (G:0.98% B:0.01%) |
Cubeless Equities |
+0.456 |
+0.992 |
Cubeful Equities |
No double: | +0.777 (-0.052) | |
Double/Take: | +0.829 | |
Double/Pass: | +1.000 (+0.171) |
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Best Cube action: Double / Take |
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Ο Αυδής φοβήθηκε υπερβολικά εδώ.
Αν τα πούλια της 11 ήταν πίσω στη midpoint με την ίδια διαφορά στην κούρσα, σίγουρα θα έκανε take. Τα πούλια στην 11 αυξάνουν την επαφή, το οποίο ευνοεί τον αμυνόμενο, οπότε το take θα έπρεπε να είναι σαφές.
Επίσης, αυτό που τείνουμε να ξεχνάμε σε τέτοιες θέσεις, είναι οι πιθανότητες να κερδίσουμε την κούρσα χωρίς χτύπημα. Δεν είναι πολλές, αλλά αθροίζονται μ' αυτές του χτυπήματος και είναι ο συνδυασμός αυτός που δίνει το take.
Για να καταλάβουμε πόσο καλές τύχες έχει ακόμα η θέση, σκεφτείτε ότι θα ήταν εύκολο take (0,132) ακόμα και αν ο Γρούτσος είχε παίξει τις σωστές 33 (13/10(2), 11/8(2)). |
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Wins 1pt. |
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