Previous Game Game 15 Next Game

Click here for printer friendly version  Click here to download the session  Click here to download the session (XG format)

15 point match, Score is Avdis: 10, Groutsos: 8

Quick Summary:

Avdis  Category Groutsos 
Expert (-0.0127) Total Error Expert (-0.0148)
Advanced (-0.0153) Checker Play World Class (-0.0057)
World Champ. (+0.0000) Cube Play Advanced (-0.0238)
6.36 Performance Rating 7.39

 43: 24/21 13/9 
Pip=167-167
 
1.xgBook113/10 13/9eq: -0.091
Player:
Opponent:		49.66% (G:15.88% B:1.02%)
50.34% (G:14.21% B:0.81%)		Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.095...-0.087) - [52.4%]
2.playedBook224/21 13/9eq: -0.091 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		49.85% (G:14.71% B:0.92%)
50.15% (G:13.93% B:0.65%)		Conf.: ± 0.003 (-0.093...-0.088) - [46.1%]
3.Book124/20 13/10eq: -0.095 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		49.77% (G:14.30% B:0.89%)
50.23% (G:13.74% B:0.64%)		Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.099...-0.091) - [1.5%]
4.Book224/21 24/20eq: -0.103 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:		49.74% (G:12.73% B:0.78%)
50.26% (G:13.59% B:0.52%)		Conf.: ± 0.002 (-0.106...-0.101) - [0.0%]
5.Book313/9 8/5eq: -0.181 (-0.091)
Player:
Opponent:		47.97% (G:14.08% B:0.58%)
52.03% (G:14.56% B:0.91%)
 
1 Generated by Steven Carey on 08-Aug-12 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
20736 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 19
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 Generated by Steven Carey on 08-Aug-12 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
46656 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 19
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

3 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++
 31: 8/5 6/5 
Pip=160-167
 
1.played4-ply8/5 6/5eq: +0.093
Player:
Opponent:		50.09% (G:12.95% B:0.50%)
49.91% (G:13.40% B:0.66%)
2.4-ply8/4* eq: -0.109 (-0.202)
Player:
Opponent:		45.18% (G:11.84% B:0.53%)
54.82% (G:16.73% B:1.08%)
3.4-ply24/20eq: -0.153 (-0.246)
Player:
Opponent:		44.35% (G:10.18% B:0.43%)
55.65% (G:16.07% B:0.65%)
4.4-ply24/23 24/21eq: -0.172 (-0.265)
Player:
Opponent:		44.09% (G:9.40% B:0.34%)
55.91% (G:16.14% B:0.58%)
5.4-ply24/21 6/5eq: -0.189 (-0.282)
Player:
Opponent:		44.07% (G:9.68% B:0.36%)
55.93% (G:17.78% B:0.89%)
 51: 21/16 9/8 
Pip=160-163
 
1.playedXG Roller++21/16 9/8eq: -0.411
Player:
Opponent:		43.53% (G:9.94% B:0.43%)
56.47% (G:17.85% B:0.66%)
2.XG Roller++21/15eq: -0.431 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:		42.89% (G:9.93% B:0.44%)
57.11% (G:17.75% B:0.81%)
3.XG Roller++13/8 9/8eq: -0.440 (-0.029)
Player:
Opponent:		42.52% (G:11.24% B:0.56%)
57.48% (G:18.02% B:0.73%)
4.XG Roller++24/23 13/8eq: -0.442 (-0.031)
Player:
Opponent:		42.28% (G:11.12% B:0.54%)
57.72% (G:18.10% B:0.86%)
5.XG Roller++21/16 6/5eq: -0.463 (-0.052)
Player:
Opponent:		42.83% (G:10.18% B:0.44%)
57.17% (G:20.18% B:1.34%)
 No double 
Pip=154-163
 
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 56.51% (G:18.02% B:0.65%) 56.49% (G:18.33% B:0.68%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 43.49% (G:10.20% B:0.44%) 43.51% (G:10.19% B:0.45%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.216 +0.481
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.412
     Double/Take:+0.317 (-0.095)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.588)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 12.3%
 43: 24/21 13/9*  
Pip=154-163
 
1.xgXG Roller++13/10 13/9* eq: +0.590
Player:
Opponent:		60.03% (G:20.47% B:0.93%)
39.97% (G:10.07% B:0.50%)
2.playedXG Roller++24/21 13/9* eq: +0.561 (-0.029)
Player:
Opponent:		59.83% (G:19.16% B:0.83%)
40.17% (G:9.27% B:0.38%)
3.XG Roller++13/9* 9/6eq: +0.476 (-0.113)
Player:
Opponent:		57.77% (G:19.28% B:0.73%)
42.23% (G:10.04% B:0.46%)
4.4-ply13/9* 8/5eq: +0.397 (-0.193)
Player:
Opponent:		55.71% (G:19.38% B:0.84%)
44.29% (G:11.41% B:0.62%)
5.4-ply13/9* 6/3eq: +0.390 (-0.200)
Player:
Opponent:		56.08% (G:18.45% B:0.79%)
43.92% (G:12.22% B:0.80%)

Η αρχή εδώ είναι ότι κατεβάζουμε builers στο  outfield όταν ο αντίπαλος είναι χτυπημένος. Φυσικά το 24/21 που παίχτηκε είναι ένα πολύ εύλογο hit and split (γι' αυτό και δεν είναι πολύ λάθος) όμως ταιριάζει περισσότερο σε κάποιον που είναι μπροστά στο σκορ και όχι σε μια θέση όπου έχουμε ήδη καλύτερο στρατόπεδο.

 33: Bar/22 8/5(2) 6/3 
Pip=163-156
 
1.xgXG Roller++Bar/22 24/21 8/5(2)eq: -0.376
Player:
Opponent:		44.27% (G:11.79% B:0.57%)
55.73% (G:18.21% B:0.64%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/22 13/10 8/5(2)eq: -0.419 (-0.043)
Player:
Opponent:		42.58% (G:12.27% B:0.55%)
57.42% (G:18.50% B:1.02%)
3.playedXG Roller++Bar/22 8/5(2) 6/3eq: -0.452 (-0.076)
Player:
Opponent:		42.59% (G:11.49% B:0.53%)
57.41% (G:19.71% B:1.05%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/22 24/21 6/3(2)eq: -0.537 (-0.162)
Player:
Opponent:		40.48% (G:10.20% B:0.55%)
59.52% (G:21.05% B:0.68%)
5.4-plyBar/22 8/5(3)eq: -0.528 (-0.153)
Player:
Opponent:		40.14% (G:11.56% B:0.57%)
59.86% (G:20.56% B:1.16%)

Και πάλι βλέπουμε μια εφαρμογή της ιδέας που λέει ότι όταν είσαι υποχρεωμένος να αφήσεις ένα πούλι under the gun, τότε μπορείς να ανεβάσεις και ένα δεύτερο για να φτιάξεις τη μία από τις δύο anchor.
To 6/3, αν και ξεφορτώνει την 6, δεν είναι ιδιαίτερα παραγωγικό.


 No double 
Pip=151-156
 
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 57.44% (G:19.55% B:1.02%) 57.26% (G:19.96% B:1.02%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 42.56% (G:11.54% B:0.55%) 42.74% (G:11.58% B:0.57%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.240 +0.526
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.453
     Double/Take:+0.381 (-0.072)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.547)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 10.4%
 52: 24/22* 8/3*  
Pip=151-156
 
1.playedXG Roller++24/22* 8/3* eq: +0.414
Player:
Opponent:		55.38% (G:21.31% B:1.47%)
44.62% (G:13.26% B:0.85%)
2.XG Roller++24/22* 21/16eq: +0.375 (-0.040)
Player:
Opponent:		56.17% (G:16.51% B:0.94%)
43.83% (G:12.06% B:0.54%)
3.XG Roller++9/4 6/4eq: +0.343 (-0.071)
Player:
Opponent:		55.20% (G:18.68% B:1.01%)
44.80% (G:14.55% B:0.67%)
4.XG Roller++24/22* 13/8eq: +0.338 (-0.076)
Player:
Opponent:		54.60% (G:17.36% B:0.99%)
45.40% (G:11.98% B:0.54%)
5.XG Roller++24/22* 6/1* eq: +0.320 (-0.094)
Player:
Opponent:		54.02% (G:18.79% B:0.77%)
45.98% (G:12.92% B:0.64%)
 51: Bar/24 
Pip=176-149
 
1.played3-plyBar/24eq: -0.726
Player:
Opponent:		38.27% (G:8.93% B:0.41%)
61.73% (G:24.01% B:2.30%)
 No double 
Pip=175-149
 
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 61.90% (G:24.22% B:2.19%) 62.09% (G:24.20% B:2.20%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 38.10% (G:9.12% B:0.43%) 37.91% (G:9.10% B:0.44%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.414 +0.901
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.736 (-0.011)
xg Double/Take:+0.747
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.253)
 
Best Cube action: Double / Take

Οριακός βίδος. Εδώ ίσως ο Γρούτσος να έπαιξε με γνώμονα τη διαφορά δυναμικότητας.

 43: 13/9 6/3 
Pip=175-149
 
1.playedXG Roller++13/9 6/3eq: +0.759
Player:
Opponent:		62.40% (G:24.18% B:2.36%)
37.60% (G:9.02% B:0.41%)
2.XG Roller++9/5 6/3eq: +0.693 (-0.066)
Player:
Opponent:		60.72% (G:23.98% B:2.26%)
39.28% (G:9.65% B:0.42%)
3.XG Roller++22/18 6/3eq: +0.632 (-0.127)
Player:
Opponent:		60.56% (G:22.67% B:2.13%)
39.44% (G:11.18% B:0.65%)
4.4-ply8/4 6/3eq: +0.496 (-0.262)
Player:
Opponent:		57.64% (G:21.57% B:1.91%)
42.36% (G:11.85% B:0.62%)
5.3-ply22/18 21/18eq: +0.399 (-0.360)
Player:
Opponent:		56.29% (G:17.37% B:1.20%)
43.71% (G:12.46% B:0.55%)
 51: Bar/24 13/8 
Pip=175-142
 
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/24 13/8eq: -0.999
Player:
Opponent:		33.73% (G:7.97% B:0.34%)
66.27% (G:25.60% B:2.66%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/24 8/3* eq: -1.000 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		33.93% (G:7.67% B:0.36%)
66.07% (G:32.66% B:5.10%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/24 6/1eq: -1.000 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		28.22% (G:6.45% B:0.21%)
71.78% (G:28.71% B:3.09%)
 No double 
Pip=169-142
 
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 66.55% (G:25.36% B:2.59%) 66.51% (G:25.92% B:2.68%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 33.45% (G:7.66% B:0.32%) 33.49% (G:8.11% B:0.37%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.538 +1.151
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.892 (-0.108)
     Double/Take:+1.014 (+0.014)
xg Double/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Double / Pass

Εδώ όμως ο βίδος είναι ξεκάθαρος. Γενικά, τρία πούλια στο 24 είναι ένας πολύ άσχημος σχηματισμός. Αυτό, μαζί με την επιπλέον πόρτα και το μεγάλο προβάδισμα στην κούρσα, κάνει τη θέση τεχνικά πάσο.

 43: 22/18 21/18 
Pip=169-142
 
1.played4-ply22/18 21/18eq: +0.923
Player:
Opponent:		68.36% (G:22.58% B:1.70%)
31.64% (G:6.60% B:0.24%)
2.4-ply21/14eq: +0.667 (-0.256)
Player:
Opponent:		60.28% (G:24.00% B:2.69%)
39.72% (G:11.64% B:0.57%)
3.4-ply22/15eq: +0.613 (-0.309)
Player:
Opponent:		59.78% (G:22.66% B:2.37%)
40.22% (G:11.96% B:0.59%)
4.3-ply13/9 8/5eq: +0.566 (-0.357)
Player:
Opponent:		57.72% (G:24.09% B:2.79%)
42.28% (G:10.95% B:0.36%)
5.3-ply22/18 8/5eq: +0.566 (-0.357)
Player:
Opponent:		58.56% (G:22.95% B:2.57%)
41.44% (G:11.91% B:0.43%)
 63: 24/18 8/5 
Pip=169-135
 
1.playedXG Roller++24/18 8/5eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		30.34% (G:6.37% B:0.25%)
69.66% (G:24.57% B:1.96%)
2.XG Roller++24/15eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		29.12% (G:5.39% B:0.21%)
70.88% (G:21.93% B:1.51%)
3.XG Roller++24/21 8/2eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		29.32% (G:6.69% B:0.26%)
70.68% (G:25.02% B:2.22%)
4.XG Roller++24/18 6/3eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		30.10% (G:6.26% B:0.26%)
69.90% (G:26.11% B:2.33%)
5.XG Roller++13/4eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		27.61% (G:6.06% B:0.23%)
72.39% (G:24.79% B:2.07%)
 Double/Pass 
Pip=160-135
 
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 69.74% (G:24.05% B:1.86%) 70.06% (G:24.82% B:1.92%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 30.26% (G:6.37% B:0.24%) 29.94% (G:6.50% B:0.27%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.594 +1.281
Cubeful Equities
     No double:+0.902 (-0.098)
     Double/Take:+1.154 (+0.154)
played Double/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Double / Pass

Πολύ αργά. Ο Γρούτσος έκανε μεγάλη πρόοδο φτιάχνοντας το αντίπαλο bar, έτσι που είναι εξαιρετικά δύσκολο να πάρει εδώ ένα λανθασμένο take, ειδικά όντας πίσω στο σκορ.

 Wins 1pt. 
 

Game Summary:

Avdis  Category Groutsos 
1
-0.076(-0.51%)		 Move Errors
Equity lost (cost)		 1
-0.029(-0.19%)
0
+0.000		 Double Errors
Equity lost (cost)		 1(1)
-0.119(-0.79%)
0
+0.000		 Take Errors
Equity lost (cost)		 0
+0.000
0 Outplays 0
1
-0.076(-0.51%)		 Total Error
Equity lost (cost)		 2(1)
-0.148(-0.98%)
0
-0.976(-6.48%)		 Joker
Luck		 1
+0.976(+6.48%)
Expert
6.36		 Level of Play
Performance Rating		 Expert
7.39
Previous Game   Next Game

Click here for the Legend
Export made by eXtreme Gammon 2.10 ©2009-2012 GameSite 2000 Ltd.
on 25-Jun-18 5:38:44 PM