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15 point match, Score is Avdis: 5, Groutsos: 0

Quick Summary:

Avdis  Category Groutsos 
Expert (-0.0110) Total Error Expert (-0.0116)
Advanced (-0.0154) Checker Play Advanced (-0.0162)
World Champ. (+0.0000) Cube Play World Champ. (+0.0000)
5.50 Performance Rating 5.80

 42: 8/4 6/4 
Pip=167-167
 
1.playedBook18/4 6/4eq: +0.094
Player:
Opponent:		53.82% (G:16.43% B:0.74%)
46.18% (G:12.02% B:0.53%)
2.Book124/20 13/11eq: -0.076 (-0.170)
Player:
Opponent:		50.14% (G:13.62% B:0.66%)
49.86% (G:13.40% B:0.58%)
3.Book124/22 13/9eq: -0.078 (-0.172)
Player:
Opponent:		49.81% (G:14.00% B:0.60%)
50.19% (G:13.11% B:0.51%)
4.Book113/11 13/9eq: -0.084 (-0.178)
Player:
Opponent:		49.69% (G:15.06% B:0.73%)
50.31% (G:13.93% B:0.77%)
5.4-ply24/22 24/20eq: -0.106 (-0.200)
Player:
Opponent:		49.36% (G:11.94% B:0.53%)
50.64% (G:13.21% B:0.44%)
 
1 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++
 65: 24/13 
Pip=161-167
 
1.playedXG Roller++24/13eq: -0.124
Player:
Opponent:		46.34% (G:9.26% B:0.35%)
53.66% (G:15.69% B:0.44%)
2.XG Roller++24/18 13/8eq: -0.210 (-0.085)
Player:
Opponent:		44.02% (G:10.76% B:0.53%)
55.98% (G:19.29% B:0.69%)
3.4-ply13/8 13/7eq: -0.302 (-0.178)
Player:
Opponent:		40.83% (G:10.64% B:0.50%)
59.17% (G:18.78% B:1.19%)
4.4-ply13/2eq: -0.365 (-0.241)
Player:
Opponent:		39.49% (G:10.41% B:0.51%)
60.51% (G:20.61% B:1.28%)
5.4-ply24/18 8/3eq: -0.436 (-0.312)
Player:
Opponent:		39.17% (G:9.25% B:0.45%)
60.83% (G:24.46% B:1.28%)
 52: 24/22 13/8 
Pip=161-156
 
1.xgXG Roller++13/11 13/8eq: +0.053
Player:
Opponent:		52.05% (G:16.09% B:0.46%)
47.95% (G:10.87% B:0.52%)
2.playedXG Roller++24/22 13/8eq: +0.032 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:		51.21% (G:14.32% B:0.35%)
48.79% (G:9.48% B:0.32%)
3.XG Roller++13/8 6/4eq: -0.034 (-0.087)
Player:
Opponent:		49.84% (G:14.39% B:0.40%)
50.16% (G:10.91% B:0.47%)
4.XG Roller++24/22 6/1* eq: -0.062 (-0.114)
Player:
Opponent:		49.09% (G:14.87% B:0.32%)
50.91% (G:11.23% B:0.51%)
5.XG Roller++13/6eq: -0.063 (-0.115)
Player:
Opponent:		49.08% (G:14.34% B:0.37%)
50.92% (G:10.95% B:0.49%)

Ενδιαφέρον, καθώς πάει κόντρα στην κοινή λογική που λέει ότι εφόσον έχω καλύτερο στρατόπεδο και ο αντίπαλος έχει λιγότερα πούλια πίσω, διαχωρίζω για να πάρω περισσότερες βολές. Γι' αυτό κι εγώ θα έπαιζα 24/22.

 66: 24/18 13/7(3) 
Pip=154-156
 
1.xgXG Roller++13/7(4)eq: +0.310
Player:
Opponent:		56.10% (G:12.94% B:0.46%)
43.90% (G:9.82% B:0.28%)
2.playedXG Roller++24/18 13/7(3)eq: +0.288 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:		56.70% (G:10.39% B:0.39%)
43.30% (G:10.22% B:0.27%)
3.XG Roller++13/1*(2) eq: +0.188 (-0.122)
Player:
Opponent:		52.61% (G:14.50% B:0.27%)
47.39% (G:11.51% B:0.37%)
4.4-ply13/7(2) 13/1* eq: +0.113 (-0.197)
Player:
Opponent:		51.16% (G:12.60% B:0.31%)
48.84% (G:11.98% B:0.44%)
5.4-ply13/7(3) 8/2eq: +0.062 (-0.248)
Player:
Opponent:		50.06% (G:12.51% B:0.45%)
49.94% (G:13.61% B:0.48%)

Λεπτομέρεια. Συνήθως είναι σωστό το τρέξιμο σε τέτοιες περιπτώσεις που οι 66 σου έχουν δώσει προβάδισμα στην κούρσα.

 51: 13/7*  
Pip=154-132
 
1.played4-ply13/7* eq: -0.225
Player:
Opponent:		45.19% (G:11.92% B:0.28%)
54.81% (G:12.37% B:0.50%)
2.4-ply8/7* 7/2eq: -0.434 (-0.209)
Player:
Opponent:		40.25% (G:10.03% B:0.22%)
59.75% (G:14.32% B:0.68%)
3.4-ply8/7* 6/1eq: -0.500 (-0.276)
Player:
Opponent:		39.49% (G:9.88% B:0.20%)
60.51% (G:16.52% B:0.95%)
4.3-ply8/3 8/7* eq: -0.538 (-0.314)
Player:
Opponent:		39.01% (G:9.99% B:0.29%)
60.99% (G:18.20% B:1.18%)
5.3-ply13/8 6/5eq: -0.670 (-0.446)
Player:
Opponent:		33.85% (G:6.33% B:0.19%)
66.15% (G:12.84% B:0.45%)
 No double 
Pip=148-139
 
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 55.15% (G:11.95% B:0.54%) 55.07% (G:12.42% B:0.55%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 44.85% (G:11.85% B:0.33%) 44.93% (G:12.05% B:0.33%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.099 +0.226
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.244
     Double/Take:+0.064 (-0.180)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.756)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 16.1%
 51: Bar/20 8/7 
Pip=148-139
 
1.xgXG Roller++Bar/24 13/8eq: +0.116
Player:
Opponent:		51.40% (G:11.85% B:0.42%)
48.60% (G:12.07% B:0.33%)
2.playedXG Roller++Bar/20 8/7eq: +0.056 (-0.059)
Player:
Opponent:		50.68% (G:11.33% B:0.51%)
49.32% (G:14.44% B:0.37%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/24 6/1* eq: +0.028 (-0.087)
Player:
Opponent:		49.40% (G:11.82% B:0.39%)
50.60% (G:14.27% B:0.46%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/20 7/6eq: +0.007 (-0.109)
Player:
Opponent:		49.50% (G:10.88% B:0.49%)
50.50% (G:14.58% B:0.38%)
5.XG Roller++Bar/24 8/3* eq: -0.042 (-0.158)
Player:
Opponent:		47.36% (G:12.40% B:0.49%)
52.64% (G:15.76% B:0.57%)

Περίεργο παίξιμο από τον Γρούτσο, καθώς παραβιάζει τη γνωστή αρχή που λέει ότι δεν πρέπει να ερχόμαστε under the gun, δηλαδή υπό τα πυρά των αντίπαλων builders. Έπρεπε να μείνει στην ασφάλεια του 24.

 44: 13/5*(2)  
Pip=148-133
 
1.played3-ply13/5*(2) eq: +0.394
Player:
Opponent:		58.91% (G:23.52% B:0.53%)
41.09% (G:8.56% B:0.39%)
2.3-ply24/16 13/5* eq: -0.083 (-0.478)
Player:
Opponent:		49.59% (G:13.81% B:0.34%)
50.41% (G:13.40% B:0.67%)
3.3-ply13/5* 6/2(2)eq: -0.115 (-0.510)
Player:
Opponent:		47.75% (G:16.74% B:0.32%)
52.25% (G:12.76% B:0.76%)
4.3-ply13/9(2) 13/5* eq: -0.138 (-0.533)
Player:
Opponent:		47.43% (G:16.08% B:0.48%)
52.57% (G:13.07% B:0.66%)
5.3-ply24/20 13/5* 5/1eq: -0.213 (-0.608)
Player:
Opponent:		45.81% (G:12.40% B:0.28%)
54.19% (G:13.13% B:0.69%)
 51: Bar/24 13/8 
Pip=132-138
 
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/24 13/8eq: -0.487
Player:
Opponent:		37.22% (G:8.45% B:0.45%)
62.78% (G:21.86% B:0.54%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/24 6/1* eq: -0.561 (-0.074)
Player:
Opponent:		36.33% (G:7.76% B:0.31%)
63.67% (G:24.68% B:0.76%)
3.4-plyBar/24 7/2eq: -0.695 (-0.208)
Player:
Opponent:		33.52% (G:7.68% B:0.39%)
66.48% (G:30.17% B:0.88%)
4.3-plyBar/24 8/3* eq: -1.000 (-0.513)
Player:
Opponent:		29.40% (G:6.71% B:0.33%)
70.60% (G:33.67% B:2.04%)
 No double 
Pip=132-132
 
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 62.58% (G:21.97% B:0.58%) 62.48% (G:22.33% B:0.62%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 37.42% (G:8.68% B:0.46%) 37.52% (G:8.63% B:0.46%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.400 +0.779
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.473
     Double/Take:+0.312 (-0.161)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.527)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 19.0%
 41: 13/9 8/7 
Pip=132-132
 
1.xgXG Roller++24/20 8/7eq: +0.472
Player:
Opponent:		64.04% (G:17.09% B:0.65%)
35.96% (G:9.51% B:0.41%)
2.playedXG Roller++13/9 8/7eq: +0.415 (-0.057)
Player:
Opponent:		61.51% (G:18.04% B:0.67%)
38.49% (G:9.69% B:0.40%)
3.4-ply8/7 6/2eq: +0.210 (-0.261)
Player:
Opponent:		57.57% (G:17.98% B:0.76%)
42.43% (G:12.68% B:0.74%)
4.4-ply6/1* eq: +0.142 (-0.330)
Player:
Opponent:		53.98% (G:21.07% B:0.43%)
46.02% (G:12.70% B:0.94%)
5.3-ply8/7 8/4eq: -0.027 (-0.499)
Player:
Opponent:		50.73% (G:16.43% B:0.61%)
49.27% (G:13.03% B:0.65%)

Το 13/9 είναι η πρώτη ενστικτώδης σκέψη, αλλά τα υπόλοιπα χαρακτηριστικά της θέσης δείχνουν το 24/20:
Ο αντίπαλος δεν έχει στρατόπεδο, το άλλο πούλι είναι ψηλά, στο 22, οπότε αν χτυπηθεί το ένα μπορεί να δέσει καλή anchor με το άλλο, η αντίπαλη midpoint είναι γυμνή, οπότε ένα χτύπημα από κει αδυνατίζει τον έλεγχο του outfield από τον αντίπαλο. Επίσης, δεν υπάρχει πούλι για να κλείσει το εξάπορτο μετά το 13/9. Αντίθετα, ο αντίπαλος είναι έτοιμος να χτίσει prime.
Με δεδομένα τα παραπάνω, δεν υπάρχει λόγος να μην ξεκινήσει η προσπάθεια δραπέτευσης των πίσω πουλίων πριν προλάβει ο αντίπαλος να τα κλείσει μέσα.


 61: 24/23 13/7 
Pip=127-132
 
1.xgXG Roller++13/12 13/7eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		25.76% (G:4.84% B:0.19%)
74.24% (G:20.46% B:0.55%)
2.XG Roller++24/23 7/1* eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		27.67% (G:5.83% B:0.20%)
72.33% (G:27.51% B:0.89%)
3.XG Roller++13/6eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		25.07% (G:4.75% B:0.19%)
74.93% (G:21.57% B:0.55%)
4.XG Roller++8/1* eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		26.35% (G:5.57% B:0.18%)
73.65% (G:25.75% B:0.97%)
5.playedXG Roller++24/23 13/7eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		25.47% (G:4.73% B:0.19%)
74.53% (G:24.04% B:0.59%)
 Double/Pass 
Pip=127-125
 
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 74.38% (G:24.56% B:0.59%) 74.36% (G:26.06% B:0.66%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 25.62% (G:4.96% B:0.22%) 25.64% (G:5.00% B:0.22%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.703 +1.422
Cubeful Equities
     No double:+0.867 (-0.133)
     Double/Take:+1.115 (+0.115)
played Double/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Double / Pass

Το 61 ήταν καταστροφική ζαριά. Η αποτυχία να γίνει πόρτα σ' αυτή τη θέση, υποχρεώνει τον Γρούτσο σε πάσο.


 Wins 1pt. 
 

Game Summary:

Avdis  Category Groutsos 
2
-0.077(-0.30%)		 Move Errors
Equity lost (cost)		 2
-0.081(-0.32%)
0
+0.000		 Double Errors
Equity lost (cost)		 0
+0.000
0
+0.000		 Take Errors
Equity lost (cost)		 0
+0.000
0 Outplays 0
2
-0.077(-0.30%)		 Total Error
Equity lost (cost)		 2
-0.081(-0.32%)
2
+1.041(+4.06%)		 Joker
Luck		 1
-1.041(-4.06%)
Expert
5.50		 Level of Play
Performance Rating		 Expert
5.80
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Export made by eXtreme Gammon 2.10 ©2009-2012 GameSite 2000 Ltd.
on 25-Jun-18 5:38:41 PM