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13 point match, Score is mman: 10, Iskandar: 12

Quick Summary:

mman  Category Iskandar 
Expert (-0.0137) Total Error World Class (-0.0062)
Advanced (-0.0157) Checker Play World Class (-0.0068)
World Champ. (0.0000) Cube Play World Champ. (+0.0000)
6.85 Performance Rating 3.08

 63: 24/15 
Pip=167-167
 
1.xgBook124/18 13/10eq: -0.316
Player:
Opponent:		50.15% (G:15.89% B:2.26%)
49.85% (G:14.39% B:1.23%)		Conf.: ± 0.002 (-0.318...-0.315) - [94.4%]
2.playedBook124/15eq: -0.318 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		50.55% (G:15.50% B:2.30%)
49.45% (G:14.87% B:1.18%)		Conf.: ± 0.002 (-0.320...-0.316) - [5.6%]
3.Book224/21 13/7eq: -0.349 (-0.033)
Player:
Opponent:		47.79% (G:15.53% B:2.12%)
52.21% (G:13.62% B:1.35%)		Conf.: ± 0.002 (-0.351...-0.347) - [0.0%]
4.Book213/4eq: -0.361 (-0.045)
Player:
Opponent:		47.92% (G:15.93% B:2.39%)
52.08% (G:14.33% B:1.84%)		Conf.: ± 0.002 (-0.363...-0.359) - [0.0%]
5.Book324/21 24/18eq: -0.368 (-0.051)
Player:
Opponent:		48.83% (G:21.20% B:2.22%)
51.17% (G:15.57% B:1.32%)		Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.371...-0.364) - [0.0%]
 
1 Generated by Steven Carey on 15-May-13 using eXtreme Gammon 2.10
20736 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 1274850
Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply

2 Generated by Steven Carey on 01-Aug-12 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
15552 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 38795247
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

3 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 26-Feb-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 38613390
Moves: 2-ply, cube decisions: 3-ply Red
 No double 
Pip=167-158
 
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 48.90% (G:14.29% B:0.55%) 49.07% (G:14.00% B:0.46%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 51.10% (G:13.22% B:0.91%) 50.93% (G:12.61% B:0.69%)
  Cubeless Equities -0.004 +0.292
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.295
     Double/Take:+0.295
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.705)
 
Best Cube action: Double / Take
 66: 24/18(2) 13/7(2) 
Pip=167-158
 
1.playedXG Roller++24/18(2) 13/7(2)eq: +0.541
Player:
Opponent:		61.56% (G:13.64% B:0.24%)
38.44% (G:5.22% B:0.20%)
2.XG Roller++13/1*(2) eq: +0.513 (-0.028)
Player:
Opponent:		53.28% (G:20.54% B:0.23%)
46.72% (G:9.39% B:0.47%)
3.XG Roller++24/18 13/7(3)eq: +0.413 (-0.128)
Player:
Opponent:		54.44% (G:14.50% B:0.47%)
45.56% (G:9.37% B:0.38%)
4.XG Roller++13/7(2) 8/2(2)eq: +0.389 (-0.152)
Player:
Opponent:		49.82% (G:17.94% B:0.34%)
50.18% (G:11.18% B:0.64%)
5.XG Roller++24/18(2) 8/2(2)eq: +0.379 (-0.162)
Player:
Opponent:		54.57% (G:12.73% B:0.21%)
45.43% (G:7.32% B:0.30%)

Επειδή το take στο automatic double είναι πολύ εύκολο στο post-Crawford όταν ο υπολειπόμενος στο σκορ θέλει μονούς πόντους για τη νίκη, ο βίδος μπορεί να καθυστερήσει μέχρι να υπάρχουν σοβαρές απειλες για gammon, με την ελπίδα να πάρει κανείς ένα λανθασμένο πάσο.
Δεν πιάνει συχνά, αλλά είναι μια στατιστικά επικερδής τακτική, ιδιαίτερα απέναντι σε αδύναμους παίκτες, οι οποίοι μπορεί να φοβηθούν υπερβολικά μια gammonish θέση και να πουλήσουν έναν ολόκληρο βήμα προς τη νίκη.
Απέναντι στον Μίμη δεν έτρεφα τέτοιες ελπίδες, αλλά το να περιμένω δεν στοιχίζει τίποτα.

 42: 15/11 13/11 
Pip=143-158
 
1.playedXG Roller++15/11 13/11eq: -0.546
Player:
Opponent:		39.47% (G:5.73% B:0.21%)
60.53% (G:14.92% B:0.25%)
2.XG Roller++8/4 6/4eq: -0.614 (-0.069)
Player:
Opponent:		37.91% (G:6.76% B:0.25%)
62.09% (G:16.84% B:0.36%)
3.XG Roller++24/22 15/11eq: -0.654 (-0.108)
Player:
Opponent:		36.44% (G:5.36% B:0.20%)
63.56% (G:17.22% B:0.34%)
4.XG Roller++15/11 6/4eq: -0.682 (-0.137)
Player:
Opponent:		35.88% (G:6.35% B:0.23%)
64.12% (G:17.87% B:0.45%)
5.XG Roller++15/9eq: -0.686 (-0.141)
Player:
Opponent:		35.36% (G:5.86% B:0.20%)
64.64% (G:17.58% B:0.37%)
 No double 
Pip=143-152
 
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 60.62% (G:14.94% B:0.25%) 60.64% (G:14.83% B:0.25%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 39.38% (G:6.04% B:0.25%) 39.36% (G:5.95% B:0.25%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.225 +0.547
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.548
xg Double/Take:+0.548
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.452)
 
Best Cube action: Double / Take
 44: 8/4(2) 6/2(2) 
Pip=143-152
 
1.XG Roller++13/5(2)eq: +0.749
Player:
Opponent:		65.20% (G:20.18% B:0.35%)
34.80% (G:5.43% B:0.21%)
2.playedXG Roller++8/4(2) 6/2(2)eq: +0.739 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:		64.15% (G:20.73% B:0.21%)
35.85% (G:5.41% B:0.25%)
3.XG Roller++13/9(2) 6/2(2)eq: +0.642 (-0.108)
Player:
Opponent:		62.59% (G:17.52% B:0.29%)
37.41% (G:6.30% B:0.28%)
4.XG Roller++13/9 8/4(3)eq: +0.628 (-0.121)
Player:
Opponent:		61.97% (G:17.49% B:0.20%)
38.03% (G:5.27% B:0.23%)
5.XG Roller++13/9(2) 8/4(2)eq: +0.620 (-0.130)
Player:
Opponent:		60.51% (G:18.53% B:0.35%)
39.49% (G:6.64% B:0.31%)

Σκέφτηκα αρκετή ώρα, χωρίς να ξέρω ότι είναι ισοδύναμα.

 11: 11/10(2) 6/5(2) 
Pip=127-152
 
1.playedXG Roller++11/10(2) 6/5(2)eq: -0.780
Player:
Opponent:		35.11% (G:5.67% B:0.24%)
64.89% (G:21.99% B:0.17%)
2.XG Roller++6/4(2)eq: -0.802 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent:		35.51% (G:6.09% B:0.28%)
64.49% (G:23.51% B:0.21%)
3.XG Roller++6/5(2) 6/4eq: -0.834 (-0.054)
Player:
Opponent:		35.47% (G:6.51% B:0.29%)
64.53% (G:24.85% B:0.26%)
4.XG Roller++11/9(2)eq: -0.927 (-0.147)
Player:
Opponent:		31.44% (G:4.95% B:0.22%)
68.56% (G:25.07% B:0.24%)
5.XG Roller++11/10(2) 6/4eq: -0.928 (-0.148)
Player:
Opponent:		32.42% (G:5.56% B:0.25%)
67.58% (G:26.09% B:0.27%)
 Double/Take 
Pip=127-148
 
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 65.12% (G:21.92% B:0.16%) 64.99% (G:22.22% B:0.17%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 34.88% (G:5.67% B:0.26%) 35.01% (G:5.82% B:0.26%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.317 +0.787
Cubeful Equities
xg No double:+0.772 (-0.015)
played Double/Take:+0.787
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.213)
 
Best Cube action: Double / Take

Εδώ πλέον αρχίζει και μυρίζει διπλό, έστω και λίγο (σενάριο γρήγορου close out) οπότε δεν μπορώ να ρισκάρω άλλο: βίδος και φυσικά εύκολο take. Δεν μπορει να εγκαταλείψει έναν ολόκληρο πόντο (και μετά να παίξει στα ίσα από 50%-50%) έχοντας τόσο καλές πιθανότητες νίκης, επειδη υπάρχουν κάποια διπλά.

 11: 8/5 6/5 
Pip=127-148
 
1.played4-ply8/5 6/5eq: +0.914
Player:
Opponent:		70.81% (G:24.91% B:0.21%)
29.19% (G:4.94% B:0.22%)
2.4-ply7/5(2)eq: +0.707 (-0.208)
Player:
Opponent:		64.48% (G:20.85% B:0.11%)
35.52% (G:5.08% B:0.22%)
3.4-ply8/4eq: +0.582 (-0.333)
Player:
Opponent:		62.58% (G:16.51% B:0.11%)
37.42% (G:5.34% B:0.25%)
4.3-ply8/6 2/1*(2) eq: +0.594 (-0.320)
Player:
Opponent:		61.42% (G:18.29% B:0.12%)
38.58% (G:5.77% B:0.17%)
5.3-ply8/6 4/3(2)eq: +0.552 (-0.363)
Player:
Opponent:		61.19% (G:16.39% B:0.19%)
38.81% (G:6.40% B:0.20%)
 53: 8/3 6/3 
Pip=123-148
 
1.xgXG Roller++13/10 13/8eq: -0.967
Player:
Opponent:		28.86% (G:5.51% B:0.24%)
71.14% (G:27.23% B:0.25%)
2.XG Roller++13/5eq: -0.968 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		29.20% (G:5.79% B:0.25%)
70.80% (G:27.62% B:0.24%)
3.playedXG Roller++8/3 6/3eq: -0.979 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:		30.93% (G:6.57% B:0.30%)
69.07% (G:29.90% B:0.28%)
4.XG Roller++13/10 8/3eq: -1.006 (-0.039)
Player:
Opponent:		30.22% (G:6.72% B:0.33%)
69.78% (G:30.52% B:0.31%)
5.XG Roller++13/8 6/3eq: -1.056 (-0.088)
Player:
Opponent:		29.77% (G:6.52% B:0.31%)
70.23% (G:32.55% B:0.32%)
 31: 13/9 
Pip=123-140
 
1.played4-ply13/9eq: +0.882
Player:
Opponent:		70.92% (G:23.18% B:0.28%)
29.08% (G:5.47% B:0.25%)
2.4-ply7/6 7/4eq: +0.706 (-0.176)
Player:
Opponent:		64.50% (G:20.81% B:0.13%)
35.50% (G:5.76% B:0.25%)
3.4-ply13/10 7/6eq: +0.589 (-0.293)
Player:
Opponent:		59.35% (G:20.08% B:0.21%)
40.65% (G:8.38% B:0.37%)
4.3-ply13/10 2/1* eq: +0.440 (-0.442)
Player:
Opponent:		53.46% (G:18.54% B:0.35%)
46.54% (G:12.30% B:0.53%)
5.3-ply13/10 5/4eq: +0.436 (-0.446)
Player:
Opponent:		54.03% (G:17.75% B:0.29%)
45.97% (G:11.57% B:0.49%)
 31: 13/10 6/5 
Pip=119-140
 
1.xgRollout113/9eq: -1.139
Player:
Opponent:		30.53% (G:7.54% B:1.17%)
69.47% (G:37.48% B:1.23%)		Conf.: ± 0.007 (-1.146...-1.131) - [100.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 06 seconds
2.playedRollout113/10 6/5eq: -1.193 (-0.054)
Player:
Opponent:		26.92% (G:5.96% B:0.53%)
73.08% (G:36.55% B:0.85%)		Conf.: ± 0.008 (-1.200...-1.185) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 38 seconds
3.XG Roller++13/10 5/4eq: -1.166 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent:		29.32% (G:8.23% B:0.49%)
70.68% (G:37.63% B:0.49%)
4.XG Roller++10/6eq: -1.175 (-0.036)
Player:
Opponent:		28.68% (G:7.35% B:0.43%)
71.32% (G:37.42% B:0.56%)
5.XG Roller++13/10 3/2eq: -1.251 (-0.112)
Player:
Opponent:		27.56% (G:7.18% B:0.39%)
72.44% (G:40.12% B:0.57%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Ο Μίμης σκέφτηκε πολύ εδώ. Οποιοσδήποτε άσος στο στρατόπεδό του είναι χάλια, αλλά και το δεύτερο ανοιχτό πούλι φαίνεται πολύ επικίνδυνο.

 33: 7/1*(2)  
Pip=119-136
 
1.played3-ply7/1*(2) eq: +1.573
Player:
Opponent:		78.32% (G:50.35% B:0.24%)
21.68% (G:4.26% B:0.30%)
2.3-ply13/10(2) 4/1*(2) eq: +1.173 (-0.400)
Player:
Opponent:		71.06% (G:37.60% B:0.21%)
28.94% (G:5.31% B:0.31%)
3.3-ply13/1* eq: +1.165 (-0.408)
Player:
Opponent:		70.87% (G:37.39% B:0.46%)
29.13% (G:6.48% B:0.35%)
4.3-ply13/10 9/6 7/1* eq: +1.128 (-0.445)
Player:
Opponent:		68.38% (G:38.04% B:0.36%)
31.62% (G:8.22% B:0.53%)
5.3-ply13/10 9/6 4/1*(2) eq: +1.097 (-0.476)
Player:
Opponent:		70.04% (G:34.81% B:0.17%)
29.96% (G:5.44% B:0.31%)
 64: Cannot Move 
Pip=107-137
 
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.734
Player:
Opponent:		17.12% (G:3.02% B:0.22%)
82.88% (G:53.80% B:0.08%)
 41: 18/13 
Pip=107-137
 
1.xgXG Roller++13/8eq: +1.760
Player:
Opponent:		80.04% (G:57.94% B:0.30%)
19.96% (G:4.28% B:0.35%)
2.playedXG Roller++18/13eq: +1.699 (-0.061)
Player:
Opponent:		81.23% (G:53.72% B:0.21%)
18.77% (G:3.38% B:0.24%)
3.XG Roller++18/14 9/8eq: +1.698 (-0.062)
Player:
Opponent:		79.20% (G:55.69% B:0.35%)
20.80% (G:5.12% B:0.46%)
4.4-ply9/4eq: +1.482 (-0.277)
Player:
Opponent:		78.35% (G:45.76% B:0.07%)
21.65% (G:3.76% B:0.23%)
5.2-ply13/9 4/3eq: +0.996 (-0.764)
Player:
Opponent:		62.93% (G:36.87% B:0.22%)
37.07% (G:11.08% B:0.73%)

Με τον αντίπαλο χτυπημένο, σκέφτηκα ότι είναι ευκαιρία να καθαρίσω την πιο αδύναμη πόρτα μου, αλλά εδώ η προτεραιότητα είναι το gammon. Έχω φέρει μερικές ιδανικές ζαριές (66, 44, 11, 33)  και αν θέλω να πάω για το ματς, χρειάζομαι οπωσδήποτε το close out. Αν μετά από 13/8 με χτυπήσει με έμμεση βολή δεν είναι καταστροφή: θα έχω το blot στο 6 του και άλλες έμμεσες βολές στο outfield.

 43: Bar/22 10/6 
Pip=102-137
 
1.played3-plyBar/22 10/6eq: -1.031
Player:
Opponent:		29.95% (G:7.09% B:0.51%)
70.05% (G:31.51% B:0.07%)
2.3-plyBar/22 6/2eq: -1.491 (-0.460)
Player:
Opponent:		20.89% (G:4.78% B:0.30%)
79.11% (G:45.45% B:0.14%)
3.3-plyBar/22 5/1eq: -1.501 (-0.470)
Player:
Opponent:		21.03% (G:5.20% B:0.32%)
78.97% (G:46.08% B:0.24%)
4.3-plyBar/18eq: -1.502 (-0.471)
Player:
Opponent:		14.94% (G:1.90% B:0.12%)
85.06% (G:40.04% B:0.07%)
5.3-plyBar/22 13/9eq: -1.607 (-0.576)
Player:
Opponent:		22.59% (G:6.48% B:0.55%)
77.41% (G:52.95% B:0.60%)
 22: 18/14 5/3*(2)  
Pip=102-130
 
1.xgXG Roller++13/11(2) 5/3*(2) eq: +1.477
Player:
Opponent:		75.58% (G:48.25% B:0.17%)
24.42% (G:5.34% B:0.37%)
2.XG Roller++18/16 13/11 5/3*(2) eq: +1.443 (-0.034)
Player:
Opponent:		76.67% (G:45.46% B:0.11%)
23.33% (G:4.22% B:0.27%)
3.XG Roller++13/9 5/3*(2) eq: +1.395 (-0.081)
Player:
Opponent:		76.97% (G:42.78% B:0.18%)
23.03% (G:4.07% B:0.26%)
4.playedXG Roller++18/14 5/3*(2) eq: +1.373 (-0.104)
Player:
Opponent:		77.63% (G:41.01% B:0.07%)
22.37% (G:3.43% B:0.17%)
5.XG Roller++13/11 9/7 5/3*(2) eq: +1.342 (-0.134)
Player:
Opponent:		74.30% (G:42.81% B:0.18%)
25.70% (G:4.84% B:0.28%)

Κι άλλος τζόκερ, κι άλλο λάθος. Βλέποντας ότι το  6 του έκλεισε, εξακολουθώ να είμαι συγκεντρωμένος στο πώς θα σώσω τα δικά μου πούλια, ενώ θα έπρεπε να πηγαίνω για το gammon και το πρωτάθλημα.
Παρατηρούμε ότι το παίξιμό μου όντως φέρνει περισσότερες συνολικές νίκες, αλλά το 13/11(2) που ούτε καν εξέτασα, παράγει σημαντικά περισσότερα διπλά, λόγω βεβαίως των επιπλέον builder.

 66: Cannot Move 
Pip=94-133
 
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.600
Player:
Opponent:		14.83% (G:1.83% B:0.10%)
85.17% (G:44.83% B:0.02%)
 63: 14/8 9/6 
Pip=94-133
 
1.xgXG Roller++13/7 9/6eq: +1.619
Player:
Opponent:		84.37% (G:46.57% B:0.05%)
15.63% (G:1.89% B:0.09%)
2.XG Roller++14/8 13/10eq: +1.592 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent:		81.78% (G:47.80% B:0.05%)
18.22% (G:2.06% B:0.09%)
3.XG Roller++14/11 13/7eq: +1.587 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:		80.16% (G:49.20% B:0.06%)
19.84% (G:2.34% B:0.13%)
4.playedXG Roller++14/8 9/6eq: +1.581 (-0.038)
Player:
Opponent:		85.28% (G:43.78% B:0.05%)
14.72% (G:1.56% B:0.08%)
5.XG Roller++13/10 13/7eq: +1.560 (-0.059)
Player:
Opponent:		79.55% (G:48.46% B:0.06%)
20.45% (G:3.72% B:0.28%)

Μετά από το παίξιμό μου 24 ζαριές χτυπάνε το πούλι του αν μπει στο 5. Μετά από το σωστό 13/7 9/6 οι ζαριές γίνονται 28, χωρίς επιπλεόν κόστος (δύο έμμεσες βολές από το bar).

 64: Cannot Move 
Pip=85-133
 
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.753
Player:
Opponent:		12.47% (G:1.32% B:0.10%)
87.53% (G:50.11% B:0.03%)
 51: 13/7 
Pip=85-133
 
1.playedXG Roller++13/7eq: +1.639
Player:
Opponent:		86.31% (G:45.64% B:0.04%)
13.69% (G:1.16% B:0.05%)
2.XG Roller++13/8 6/5eq: +1.526 (-0.114)
Player:
Opponent:		75.41% (G:50.86% B:0.10%)
24.59% (G:3.13% B:0.14%)
3.XG Roller++8/2eq: +1.461 (-0.179)
Player:
Opponent:		83.33% (G:39.70% B:0.03%)
16.67% (G:1.84% B:0.08%)
4.4-ply8/7 6/1eq: +1.336 (-0.303)
Player:
Opponent:		80.27% (G:36.54% B:0.03%)
19.73% (G:2.34% B:0.10%)
5.3-ply8/3 6/5eq: +1.186 (-0.453)
Player:
Opponent:		69.40% (G:39.92% B:0.09%)
30.60% (G:5.71% B:0.23%)

Ήξερα ότι είναι το σωστό, ωστόσο άργησα να το αποφασίσω λόγω της σημασίας της στιγμής και του ματς. Ενδιαφέρον για την κατανόηση της θέσης σ' αυτό το σκορ είχε να προσέξει κανείς ποια είναι η δεύτερη σωστότερη κίνηση -όχι αυτή που σκεφτόμουν σαν εναλλακτική.

 31: Cannot Move 
Pip=79-133
 
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.918
Player:
Opponent:		9.78% (G:0.70% B:0.05%)
90.22% (G:55.69% B:0.03%)
 42: 13/7 
Pip=79-133
 
1.xgXG Roller++13/11 13/9eq: +1.743
Player:
Opponent:		82.64% (G:54.53% B:0.05%)
17.36% (G:1.63% B:0.08%)
2.playedXG Roller++13/7eq: +1.651 (-0.092)
Player:
Opponent:		88.26% (G:44.27% B:0.04%)
11.74% (G:0.88% B:0.03%)
3.XG Roller++13/9 7/5eq: +1.596 (-0.147)
Player:
Opponent:		74.55% (G:55.25% B:0.05%)
25.45% (G:5.25% B:0.36%)
4.XG Roller++13/9 8/6eq: +1.585 (-0.159)
Player:
Opponent:		85.59% (G:43.65% B:0.04%)
14.41% (G:1.54% B:0.06%)
5.4-ply8/2eq: +1.584 (-0.159)
Player:
Opponent:		86.82% (G:42.37% B:0.02%)
13.18% (G:1.04% B:0.06%)

Συγνώμη, φίλε μου XG, δεν έχω ακόμα τα κότσια για τέτοια παιξίματα σε τέτοια σημεία του ματς στον τελικό ενός τέτοιου τουρνουά!
Οκτώ έμμεσες βολές έναντι τεσσάρων, αλλά ας δούμε το αντάλλαγμα, επειδή οι πέντε builders έχουν μεγάλη διαφορά από τους τρεις:
Μετά από 13/7, 8 ζαριές κάνουν την πόρτα (32, 31, 21, 11, 22).
Μετά από 13/11 13/9, οι ζαριές αυτές γίνονται... 23! (64, 63, 62, 61, 43, 42, 41, 32, 31, 21, 33, 22, 11)

 64: Cannot Move 
Pip=73-133
 
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.974
Player:
Opponent:		6.80% (G:0.17% B:0.01%)
93.20% (G:55.52% B:0.03%)
 41: 13/8 
Pip=73-133
 
1.playedXG Roller++13/8eq: +1.842
Player:
Opponent:		94.84% (G:47.25% B:0.04%)
5.16% (G:0.21% B:0.01%)
2.XG Roller++13/9 8/7eq: +1.735 (-0.107)
Player:
Opponent:		92.30% (G:44.46% B:0.03%)
7.70% (G:0.25% B:0.01%)
3.XG Roller++13/9 7/6eq: +1.689 (-0.153)
Player:
Opponent:		86.13% (G:48.32% B:0.05%)
13.87% (G:0.99% B:0.04%)
4.4-ply8/3eq: +1.677 (-0.165)
Player:
Opponent:		91.02% (G:42.84% B:0.02%)
8.98% (G:0.36% B:0.02%)
5.4-ply8/4 7/6eq: +1.613 (-0.229)
Player:
Opponent:		88.39% (G:42.25% B:0.02%)
11.61% (G:0.71% B:0.03%)

Αντίθετα, εδώ οι τρεις builder είναι απόλυτα ασφαλείς (καμία έμμεση βολή) και κάνουν την 5 με 9 ζαριές, ενώ οι τέσσερις builder (13/9 7/6) αφήνουν 6 έμμεσες βολες (μεγάλο κόστος συγκριτικά) και κάνουν την 5 με 14 ζαριές (όχι τόσο μεγάλο κέρδος).

 11: Cannot Move 
Pip=68-133
 
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -2.042
Player:
Opponent:		4.88% (G:0.05% B:0.00%)
95.12% (G:56.96% B:0.03%)
 11: 7/5(2) 
Pip=68-133
 
1.playedXG Roller++7/5(2)eq: +2.527
Player:
Opponent:		96.32% (G:80.04% B:0.07%)
3.68% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++8/5 6/5eq: +2.505 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:		96.31% (G:78.93% B:0.06%)
3.69% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
3.2-ply6/5(2) 6/4eq: +1.861 (-0.666)
Player:
Opponent:		96.51% (G:46.53% B:0.01%)
3.49% (G:0.05% B:0.00%)
4.2-ply7/6 7/4eq: +1.850 (-0.677)
Player:
Opponent:		95.11% (G:47.39% B:0.01%)
4.89% (G:0.07% B:0.00%)
5.2-ply8/6(2)eq: +1.825 (-0.702)
Player:
Opponent:		95.27% (G:46.00% B:0.01%)
4.73% (G:0.06% B:0.00%)
 62: Cannot Move 
Pip=64-133
 
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -2.524
Player:
Opponent:		4.12% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
95.88% (G:80.31% B:0.07%)
 61: 8/7 8/2 
Pip=64-133
 
1.xgXG Roller++8/2 6/5eq: +2.542
Player:
Opponent:		97.52% (G:79.59% B:0.06%)
2.48% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++8/1eq: +2.540 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		97.43% (G:79.58% B:0.06%)
2.57% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.playedXG Roller++8/7 8/2eq: +2.532 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:		97.36% (G:79.25% B:0.06%)
2.64% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.2-ply8/2 5/4eq: +1.611 (-0.932)
Player:
Opponent:		77.22% (G:53.31% B:0.02%)
22.78% (G:1.64% B:0.10%)
5.2-ply8/2 4/3eq: +1.547 (-0.995)
Player:
Opponent:		75.42% (G:51.91% B:0.02%)
24.58% (G:1.85% B:0.12%)

Γενικά, σε τέτοιες θέσεις το spare στο πέντε είναι το καλύτερο.

 63: Cannot Move 
Pip=57-133
 
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -2.533
Player:
Opponent:		3.31% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
96.69% (G:79.98% B:0.06%)
 61: 7/1 6/5 
Pip=57-133
 
1.playedXG Roller++7/1 6/5eq: +2.420
Player:
Opponent:		95.41% (G:75.59% B:0.05%)
4.59% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++7/Offeq: +2.346 (-0.074)
Player:
Opponent:		91.36% (G:75.95% B:0.08%)
8.64% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply7/1 2/1eq: +2.169 (-0.251)
Player:
Opponent:		89.16% (G:69.27% B:0.05%)
10.84% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
4.2-ply7/1 5/4eq: +1.624 (-0.796)
Player:
Opponent:		76.58% (G:54.61% B:0.03%)
23.42% (G:0.82% B:0.05%)
5.2-ply7/1 4/3eq: +1.458 (-0.962)
Player:
Opponent:		72.63% (G:50.26% B:0.02%)
27.37% (G:1.14% B:0.06%)
 52: Cannot Move 
Pip=50-133
 
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -2.447
Player:
Opponent:		4.05% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
95.95% (G:76.41% B:0.05%)
 52: 5/Off 2/Off 
Pip=50-133
 
1.played4-ply5/Off 2/Offeq: +2.660
Player:
Opponent:		97.62% (G:85.40% B:0.07%)
2.38% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply6/4 6/1eq: +2.351 (-0.310)
Player:
Opponent:		98.00% (G:69.53% B:0.04%)
2.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.2-ply6/4 5/Offeq: +1.749 (-0.911)
Player:
Opponent:		76.75% (G:60.72% B:0.06%)
23.25% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.2-ply6/1 2/Offeq: +1.725 (-0.935)
Player:
Opponent:		76.28% (G:59.99% B:0.06%)
23.72% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.2-ply6/1 5/3eq: +1.615 (-1.046)
Player:
Opponent:		75.15% (G:55.59% B:0.03%)
24.85% (G:1.31% B:0.06%)
 42: Cannot Move 
Pip=43-133
 
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -2.680
Player:
Opponent:		1.86% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.14% (G:85.84% B:0.09%)
 53: 6/3 6/1 
Pip=43-133
 
1.playedXG Roller++6/3 6/1eq: +2.676
Player:
Opponent:		99.02% (G:84.78% B:0.06%)
0.98% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++5/2 5/Offeq: +2.586 (-0.090)
Player:
Opponent:		95.94% (G:83.38% B:0.09%)
4.06% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.1-ply6/3 5/Offeq: +1.193 (-1.483)
Player:
Opponent:		61.70% (G:47.93% B:0.25%)
38.30% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.1-ply6/1 5/2eq: +1.066 (-1.610)
Player:
Opponent:		59.33% (G:43.96% B:0.13%)
40.67% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.1-ply6/1 4/1eq: +0.867 (-1.809)
Player:
Opponent:		55.19% (G:38.17% B:0.08%)
44.81% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 43: Cannot Move 
Pip=35-133
 
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -2.767
Player:
Opponent:		1.13% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.87% (G:89.50% B:0.06%)
 32: 5/3 5/2 
Pip=35-133
 
1.playedXG Roller++5/3 5/2eq: +2.695
Player:
Opponent:		99.90% (G:84.88% B:0.09%)
0.10% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++4/2 4/1eq: +2.465 (-0.230)
Player:
Opponent:		95.58% (G:77.69% B:0.07%)
4.42% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.2-ply5/Offeq: +1.896 (-0.799)
Player:
Opponent:		78.49% (G:66.32% B:0.06%)
21.51% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.2-ply3/Off 2/Offeq: +1.737 (-0.958)
Player:
Opponent:		73.33% (G:63.55% B:0.09%)
26.67% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.2-ply4/2 3/Offeq: +1.695 (-1.000)
Player:
Opponent:		74.05% (G:60.71% B:0.05%)
25.95% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 33: Cannot Move 
Pip=30-133
 
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -2.873
Player:
Opponent:		0.30% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
99.70% (G:93.93% B:0.03%)
 62: 4/2 4/Off 
Pip=30-133
 
1.played3-ply4/2 4/Offeq: +2.873
Player:
Opponent:		99.90% (G:93.75% B:0.02%)
0.10% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.2-ply4/Off 2/Offeq: +1.941 (-0.932)
Player:
Opponent:		79.56% (G:67.50% B:0.06%)
20.44% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.2-ply4/Off 3/1eq: +1.932 (-0.941)
Player:
Opponent:		78.92% (G:67.66% B:0.03%)
21.08% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 53: Bar/20 8/5 
Pip=24-133
 
1.xgXG Roller++Bar/20 13/10eq: -2.903
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:95.16% B:0.39%)
2.playedXG Roller++Bar/20 8/5eq: -2.903 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:95.17% B:0.77%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/17eq: -2.911 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:95.55% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/20 10/7eq: -2.914 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:95.71% B:0.13%)
5.XG Roller++Bar/20 5/2eq: -2.931 (-0.028)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:96.57% B:0.09%)
 61: 3/Off 1/Off 
Pip=24-125
 
1.playedXG Roller++3/Off 1/Offeq: +2.883
Player:
Opponent:		99.98% (G:94.16% B:0.37%)
0.02% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++3/Off 2/1eq: +2.633 (-0.250)
Player:
Opponent:		99.98% (G:81.68% B:0.24%)
0.02% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply3/2 3/Offeq: +2.612 (-0.270)
Player:
Opponent:		99.98% (G:80.64% B:0.00%)
0.02% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 42: 10/6 8/6 
Pip=20-125
 
1.playedXG Roller++10/6 8/6eq: -2.925
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:96.23% B:0.45%)
2.XG Roller++13/11 10/6eq: -2.927 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:96.34% B:1.06%)
3.XG Roller++13/9 8/6eq: -2.928 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:96.41% B:0.41%)
4.XG Roller++20/16 8/6eq: -2.930 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:96.49% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++13/11 13/9eq: -2.931 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:96.54% B:1.17%)
 55: 3/Off(3) 2/Off 
Pip=20-119
 
1.played3-ply3/Off(3) 2/Offeq: +2.993
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:99.64% B:0.00%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)

Ένα ματς κοντά στους Μ.Ο. error rate των δύο αντιπάλων. Στην τελευταία παρτίδα πολλές καλές και ιδανικές ζαριές για μένα (66, 44, 33, 22, 11) μερικές παιγμένες φοβισμένα, οι απαραίτητες γκέλες από τον αντίπαλο (το παιχνίδι είναι τάβλι) και Διαδικτυακό Πρωτάθλημα Ελλάδος 2018.
Ευχαριστώ που φτάσατε μαζί μου ως εδώ.

 43: 13/6 
Pip=9-119
 
1.xgXG Roller++20/16 13/10eq: -3.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++20/13eq: -3.000 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++20/16 5/2eq: -3.000 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++20/16 6/3eq: -3.000 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++13/10 5/1eq: -3.000 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:2.63%)
6.playedXG Roller++13/6eq: -3.000 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:2.50%)
 51: 2/Off 1/Off 
Pip=9-112
 
1.playedXG Roller++2/Off 1/Offeq: +3.000
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:100.00% B:2.70%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++2/1 2/Offeq: +2.960 (-0.040)
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:98.00% B:0.61%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 11: 20/19 6/4 5/4 
Pip=6-112
 
1.XG Roller++20/16eq: -3.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
2.xgXG Roller++20/18 13/12(2)eq: -3.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++20/18 13/11eq: -3.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++13/12(2) 6/5 3/2eq: -3.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:13.89%)
5.XG Roller++13/12(2) 6/4eq: -3.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:13.89%)
6.playedXG Roller++20/19 6/4 5/4eq: -3.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:13.89%)
 54: 2/Off(2) 
Pip=6-108
 
1.played3-ply2/Off(2)eq: +3.000
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 65: 19/13 10/5 
Pip=2-108
 
1.xgXG Roller++19/8eq: -3.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++19/14 10/4eq: -3.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++19/14 13/7eq: -3.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++19/13 6/1eq: -3.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
5.playedXG Roller++19/13 10/5eq: -3.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
 31: 1/Off(2) 
Pip=2-97
 
1.played3-ply1/Off(2)eq: +3.000
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 Wins a Gammon 4pts. 
 

Game Summary:

mman  Category Iskandar 
4(2)
-0.315(-7.86%)		 Move Errors
Equity lost (cost)		 1
-0.068(-1.69%)
0
0.000(0.00%)		 Double Errors
Equity lost (cost)		 0
+0.000
0
+0.000		 Take Errors
Equity lost (cost)		 0
+0.000
0 Outplays 0
4(2)
-0.315(-7.87%)		 Total Error
Equity lost (cost)		 1
-0.068(-1.69%)
4
+2.871(+71.50%)		 Joker
Luck		 1
-2.871(-71.50%)
Expert
6.85		 Level of Play
Performance Rating		 World Class
3.08
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Click here for the Legend
Export made by eXtreme Gammon 2.10 ©2009-2012 GameSite 2000 Ltd.
on 14-Mar-18 7:28:13 PM