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13 point match, Score is mman: 11, erimitis: 7

Quick Summary:

mman  Category erimitis 
Advanced (-0.0175) Total Error Expert (-0.0103)
Advanced (-0.0187) Checker Play Advanced (-0.0206)
World Champ. (+0.0000) Cube Play World Champ. (-0.0019)
8.74 Performance Rating 5.16

 42: 8/4 6/4 
Pip=167-167
 
1.playedBook18/4 6/4eq: -0.055
Player:
Opponent:		53.73% (G:16.35% B:0.79%)
46.27% (G:11.99% B:0.52%)
2.Book124/22 13/9eq: -0.211 (-0.156)
Player:
Opponent:		49.96% (G:14.18% B:0.66%)
50.04% (G:13.40% B:0.53%)
3.Book124/20 13/11eq: -0.213 (-0.158)
Player:
Opponent:		50.17% (G:13.59% B:0.70%)
49.83% (G:13.31% B:0.56%)
4.4-ply24/22 24/20eq: -0.221 (-0.166)
Player:
Opponent:		49.37% (G:11.97% B:0.53%)
50.63% (G:13.26% B:0.45%)
5.Book224/18eq: -0.248 (-0.193)
Player:
Opponent:		49.21% (G:13.77% B:1.86%)
50.79% (G:14.43% B:0.43%)		Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.252...-0.245)
 
1 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++

2 Generated by Steven Carey on 07-Aug-12 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
20736 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 5
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 No double 
Pip=161-167
 
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 46.42% (G:12.09% B:0.52%) 46.37% (G:11.94% B:0.51%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 53.58% (G:16.79% B:0.79%) 53.63% (G:16.73% B:0.82%)
  Cubeless Equities -0.204 -0.115
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.049
     Double/Take:-0.115 (-0.164)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.951)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 12.8%
 53: 8/3 6/3 
Pip=161-167
 
1.playedXG Roller++8/3 6/3eq: +0.017
Player:
Opponent:		44.60% (G:12.62% B:0.53%)
55.40% (G:16.84% B:0.87%)
2.XG Roller++13/10 13/8eq: -0.066 (-0.083)
Player:
Opponent:		42.82% (G:11.62% B:0.47%)
57.18% (G:17.61% B:1.01%)
3.XG Roller++13/5eq: -0.109 (-0.126)
Player:
Opponent:		42.11% (G:10.83% B:0.39%)
57.89% (G:18.18% B:1.10%)
4.4-ply13/8 6/3eq: -0.146 (-0.162)
Player:
Opponent:		41.25% (G:10.60% B:0.54%)
58.75% (G:19.72% B:1.23%)
5.4-ply13/10 8/3eq: -0.224 (-0.241)
Player:
Opponent:		39.18% (G:10.23% B:0.54%)
60.82% (G:21.50% B:1.65%)
 65: 24/13 
Pip=161-159
 
1.playedXG Roller++24/13eq: -0.011
Player:
Opponent:		55.04% (G:14.30% B:0.66%)
44.96% (G:12.38% B:0.38%)
2.XG Roller++24/18 13/8eq: -0.099 (-0.087)
Player:
Opponent:		53.88% (G:16.14% B:1.05%)
46.12% (G:14.72% B:0.49%)
3.XG Roller++13/8 13/7eq: -0.175 (-0.164)
Player:
Opponent:		51.74% (G:17.06% B:0.99%)
48.26% (G:14.51% B:0.86%)
4.4-ply13/2eq: -0.323 (-0.311)
Player:
Opponent:		48.60% (G:15.23% B:0.86%)
51.40% (G:16.43% B:1.03%)
5.2-ply13/7 8/3eq: -0.647 (-0.636)
Player:
Opponent:		44.17% (G:12.94% B:0.55%)
55.83% (G:21.19% B:2.07%)
 No double 
Pip=150-159
 
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 45.13% (G:12.61% B:0.38%) 45.35% (G:12.32% B:0.33%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 54.87% (G:14.37% B:0.67%) 54.65% (G:14.34% B:0.70%)
  Cubeless Equities -0.188 -0.165
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.022
     Double/Take:-0.165 (-0.187)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.978)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 13.9%
 43: 24/20 13/10 
Pip=150-159
 
1.playedXG Roller++24/20 13/10eq: -0.048
Player:
Opponent:		43.22% (G:11.53% B:0.37%)
56.78% (G:15.00% B:0.69%)
2.XG Roller++13/10 13/9eq: -0.095 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:		41.49% (G:12.10% B:0.33%)
58.51% (G:15.43% B:1.00%)
3.XG Roller++13/6eq: -0.161 (-0.113)
Player:
Opponent:		40.29% (G:10.77% B:0.26%)
59.71% (G:15.65% B:0.78%)
4.XG Roller++24/20 6/3eq: -0.165 (-0.117)
Player:
Opponent:		40.80% (G:9.57% B:0.27%)
59.20% (G:14.77% B:0.63%)
5.4-ply13/9 6/3eq: -0.229 (-0.180)
Player:
Opponent:		38.56% (G:10.04% B:0.30%)
61.44% (G:15.94% B:0.94%)
 43: 8/5* 5/1*  
Pip=150-152
 
1.playedXG Roller++8/5* 5/1* eq: -0.171
Player:
Opponent:		51.40% (G:18.39% B:0.67%)
48.60% (G:15.48% B:0.68%)
2.XG Roller++13/6eq: -0.196 (-0.024)
Player:
Opponent:		50.18% (G:11.34% B:0.41%)
49.82% (G:13.25% B:0.33%)
3.XG Roller++24/21 13/9eq: -0.291 (-0.120)
Player:
Opponent:		49.10% (G:13.14% B:0.69%)
50.90% (G:17.15% B:0.56%)
4.XG Roller++24/20 13/10eq: -0.306 (-0.134)
Player:
Opponent:		48.41% (G:11.36% B:0.62%)
51.59% (G:16.37% B:0.49%)
5.XG Roller++13/9 8/5* eq: -0.310 (-0.138)
Player:
Opponent:		49.33% (G:15.64% B:0.80%)
50.67% (G:18.16% B:1.22%)
 No double 
Pip=143-158
 
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 48.57% (G:15.81% B:0.70%) 48.60% (G:15.85% B:0.65%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 51.43% (G:18.63% B:0.73%) 51.40% (G:18.15% B:0.74%)
  Cubeless Equities -0.149 +0.090
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.167
     Double/Take:+0.090 (-0.077)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.833)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 7.8%
 42: Bar/23 
Pip=143-158
 
1.played3-plyBar/23eq: -0.067
Player:
Opponent:		43.97% (G:12.72% B:0.60%)
56.03% (G:22.95% B:0.78%)
 21: 4/2* 2/1 
Pip=143-156
 
1.played4-ply4/2* 2/1eq: -0.269
Player:
Opponent:		48.47% (G:18.04% B:0.54%)
51.53% (G:16.40% B:0.77%)
2.4-ply24/23 13/11eq: -0.463 (-0.193)
Player:
Opponent:		45.76% (G:14.28% B:0.65%)
54.24% (G:19.33% B:1.09%)
3.4-ply13/10eq: -0.466 (-0.196)
Player:
Opponent:		45.77% (G:14.40% B:0.66%)
54.23% (G:19.37% B:1.14%)
4.4-ply24/23 8/6eq: -0.469 (-0.200)
Player:
Opponent:		45.34% (G:13.02% B:0.53%)
54.66% (G:18.62% B:0.67%)
5.4-ply13/11 8/7eq: -0.488 (-0.218)
Player:
Opponent:		45.51% (G:14.44% B:0.61%)
54.49% (G:19.55% B:1.22%)
 No double 
Pip=140-158
 
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 51.47% (G:16.68% B:0.77%) 51.48% (G:16.75% B:0.72%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 48.53% (G:18.70% B:0.59%) 48.52% (G:18.17% B:0.60%)
  Cubeless Equities -0.083 +0.248
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.266
     Double/Take:+0.248 (-0.018)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.734)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 2.3%
 63: Bar/22 
Pip=140-158
 
1.played3-plyBar/22eq: -0.101
Player:
Opponent:		43.65% (G:12.12% B:0.55%)
56.35% (G:24.40% B:0.75%)
 32: 6/4 6/3*  
Pip=140-155
 
1.playedXG Roller++6/4 6/3* eq: +0.106
Player:
Opponent:		56.30% (G:26.31% B:0.81%)
43.70% (G:13.16% B:0.63%)
2.XG Roller++13/10 6/4eq: +0.084 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:		55.71% (G:21.44% B:0.69%)
44.29% (G:11.59% B:0.51%)
3.XG Roller++24/21 6/4eq: +0.026 (-0.079)
Player:
Opponent:		55.05% (G:21.17% B:0.80%)
44.95% (G:12.83% B:0.48%)
4.4-ply8/5 6/4eq: -0.186 (-0.291)
Player:
Opponent:		50.62% (G:17.95% B:0.57%)
49.38% (G:15.05% B:0.59%)
5.3-ply13/8eq: -0.372 (-0.477)
Player:
Opponent:		46.73% (G:14.07% B:0.43%)
53.27% (G:15.93% B:0.69%)
 No double 
Pip=135-158
 
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 43.74% (G:13.25% B:0.60%) 43.82% (G:13.31% B:0.56%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 56.26% (G:26.29% B:0.84%) 56.18% (G:25.91% B:0.88%)
  Cubeless Equities -0.394 -0.196
Cubeful Equities
played No double:-0.110
     Double/Take:-0.196 (-0.086)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+1.110)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 6.7%
 64: Cannot Move 
Pip=135-158
 
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -0.717
Player:
Opponent:		31.18% (G:7.77% B:0.42%)
68.82% (G:41.05% B:1.25%)
 No double 
Pip=135-158
 
Analyzed in 4-ply No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 68.79% (G:41.18% B:1.25%) 68.94% (G:39.90% B:1.22%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 31.21% (G:7.45% B:0.41%) 31.06% (G:7.22% B:0.36%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.940 +0.941
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.622
     Double/Take:-0.095 (-0.718)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.378)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 39.6%

Ούτε σκέψη για βίδο σ' αυτό το σκορ. Εξάλλου θα ήταν ένας killing gammon βίδος, δηλαδή ένας βίδος ο οποίος θα αχρήστευε όλες τις διπλές νίκες μου.

 11: 24/23 8/6 3/2 
Pip=135-158
 
1.xgXG Roller++8/6 4/3(2)eq: +0.181
Player:
Opponent:		57.60% (G:27.29% B:0.72%)
42.40% (G:12.00% B:0.47%)
2.XG Roller++24/23 8/7 4/3(2)eq: +0.148 (-0.033)
Player:
Opponent:		56.96% (G:25.74% B:0.72%)
43.04% (G:12.23% B:0.49%)
3.playedXG Roller++24/23 8/6 3/2eq: +0.136 (-0.045)
Player:
Opponent:		56.98% (G:26.32% B:0.79%)
43.02% (G:12.47% B:0.53%)
4.XG Roller++24/23 8/6 4/3eq: +0.100 (-0.081)
Player:
Opponent:		55.89% (G:25.97% B:0.79%)
44.11% (G:13.02% B:0.54%)
5.XG Roller++8/4eq: +0.100 (-0.081)
Player:
Opponent:		56.17% (G:26.26% B:0.81%)
43.83% (G:13.11% B:0.56%)

Δυσκολεύομαι να σηκώσω το πούλι σε τέτοιες θέσεις. Ίσως επειδή νόμιζα ότι είμαι στην too good περιοχή, ενώ στην πραγματικότητα είμαι στην not good enough.

 No double 
Pip=131-158
 
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 42.83% (G:12.25% B:0.51%) 43.04% (G:12.36% B:0.50%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 57.17% (G:26.16% B:0.77%) 56.96% (G:26.24% B:0.81%)
  Cubeless Equities -0.421 -0.259
Cubeful Equities
played No double:-0.149
     Double/Take:-0.259 (-0.110)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+1.149)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 8.1%
 31: Bar/22 
Pip=131-158
 
1.played3-plyBar/22eq: -0.266
Player:
Opponent:		40.35% (G:10.88% B:0.51%)
59.65% (G:28.48% B:0.78%)
 43: 13/10 6/2 
Pip=131-155
 
1.playedXG Roller++13/10 6/2eq: +0.398
Player:
Opponent:		62.04% (G:29.29% B:0.83%)
37.96% (G:9.26% B:0.37%)
2.xgXG Roller++23/20 6/2eq: +0.384 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:		62.22% (G:27.93% B:0.74%)
37.78% (G:9.59% B:0.36%)
3.3-ply13/9 6/3* eq: -0.007 (-0.404)
Player:
Opponent:		54.88% (G:27.65% B:0.80%)
45.12% (G:13.88% B:0.89%)
4.3-ply13/6eq: -0.065 (-0.462)
Player:
Opponent:		53.60% (G:21.65% B:0.67%)
46.40% (G:13.49% B:0.58%)
5.3-ply13/10 13/9eq: -0.107 (-0.504)
Player:
Opponent:		52.50% (G:22.79% B:0.66%)
47.50% (G:14.23% B:0.90%)
 No double 
Pip=124-155
 
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 38.06% (G:9.57% B:0.38%) 37.99% (G:9.34% B:0.35%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 61.94% (G:30.65% B:0.87%) 62.01% (G:29.94% B:0.85%)
  Cubeless Equities -0.616 -0.573
Cubeful Equities
played No double:-0.407
     Double/Take:-0.573 (-0.166)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+1.407)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 9.6%
 51: Bar/20 10/9 
Pip=124-155
 
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/20 10/9eq: -0.373
Player:
Opponent:		37.60% (G:9.30% B:0.38%)
62.40% (G:30.68% B:0.71%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/20 6/5eq: -0.507 (-0.134)
Player:
Opponent:		35.33% (G:9.04% B:0.38%)
64.67% (G:40.34% B:1.98%)
3.3-plyBar/20 3/2* eq: -0.779 (-0.405)
Player:
Opponent:		30.14% (G:6.55% B:0.29%)
69.86% (G:41.32% B:2.79%)
4.3-plyBar/20 8/7eq: -0.797 (-0.423)
Player:
Opponent:		30.19% (G:7.13% B:0.39%)
69.81% (G:43.79% B:3.78%)
 31: 10/6 
Pip=124-149
 
1.played4-ply10/6eq: +0.096
Player:
Opponent:		56.07% (G:19.01% B:0.30%)
43.93% (G:10.46% B:0.38%)
2.4-ply6/5* 6/3* eq: -0.114 (-0.209)
Player:
Opponent:		51.15% (G:25.53% B:0.62%)
48.85% (G:16.67% B:1.03%)
3.4-ply23/20 10/9eq: -0.156 (-0.252)
Player:
Opponent:		50.59% (G:15.38% B:0.36%)
49.41% (G:13.80% B:0.50%)
4.4-ply13/10 4/3* eq: -0.229 (-0.325)
Player:
Opponent:		49.60% (G:19.20% B:0.47%)
50.40% (G:16.44% B:0.80%)
5.3-ply13/9eq: -0.271 (-0.367)
Player:
Opponent:		48.11% (G:15.22% B:0.37%)
51.89% (G:14.18% B:0.69%)
 No double 
Pip=120-149
 
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 44.18% (G:11.81% B:0.40%) 44.10% (G:11.91% B:0.39%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 55.82% (G:22.19% B:0.49%) 55.90% (G:22.80% B:0.49%)
  Cubeless Equities -0.337 -0.228
Cubeful Equities
played No double:-0.093
     Double/Take:-0.228 (-0.135)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+1.093)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 9.9%
 33: 8/2*(2)  
Pip=120-149
 
1.playedXG Roller++8/2*(2) eq: -0.012
Player:
Opponent:		44.61% (G:14.73% B:0.37%)
55.39% (G:22.09% B:0.67%)
2.XG Roller++13/10(2) 8/5(2)eq: -0.060 (-0.049)
Player:
Opponent:		43.99% (G:13.95% B:0.53%)
56.01% (G:25.29% B:0.72%)
3.XG Roller++9/3 8/5(2)eq: -0.151 (-0.140)
Player:
Opponent:		41.82% (G:13.08% B:0.46%)
58.18% (G:24.92% B:0.42%)
4.XG Roller++13/10 9/6 8/5(2)eq: -0.151 (-0.140)
Player:
Opponent:		41.93% (G:13.42% B:0.49%)
58.07% (G:25.57% B:0.69%)
5.XG Roller++13/7(2)eq: -0.180 (-0.169)
Player:
Opponent:		42.19% (G:11.74% B:0.51%)
57.81% (G:29.02% B:0.87%)

Πρέπει οπωσδήποτε να χτυπήσει για να μου αφαιρέσει το τέμπο, ώστε να μην μπορέσω να επιτεθώ αποτελεσματικά στο δικό μου στρατόπεδο.

 21: Bar/24 6/4 
Pip=122-137
 
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/24 6/4eq: -0.128
Player:
Opponent:		51.58% (G:17.10% B:0.36%)
48.42% (G:15.18% B:0.38%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/24 13/11eq: -0.187 (-0.059)
Player:
Opponent:		50.31% (G:20.57% B:0.46%)
49.69% (G:16.68% B:0.65%)
3.2-plyBar/24 4/2eq: -0.920 (-0.792)
Player:
Opponent:		38.77% (G:12.16% B:0.45%)
61.23% (G:25.99% B:0.80%)
 No double 
Pip=119-137
 
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 48.43% (G:15.35% B:0.39%) 48.49% (G:15.08% B:0.33%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 51.57% (G:18.03% B:0.39%) 51.51% (G:17.08% B:0.39%)
  Cubeless Equities -0.150 +0.045
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.127
     Double/Take:+0.045 (-0.082)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.873)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 7.9%
 32: 22/20 6/3 
Pip=119-137
 
1.xgXG Roller++22/20 13/10eq: +0.121
Player:
Opponent:		47.40% (G:13.34% B:0.25%)
52.60% (G:12.10% B:0.25%)
2.XG Roller++22/20 9/6eq: +0.039 (-0.081)
Player:
Opponent:		46.05% (G:11.26% B:0.17%)
53.95% (G:10.26% B:0.17%)
3.playedXG Roller++22/20 6/3eq: -0.036 (-0.156)
Player:
Opponent:		44.13% (G:10.45% B:0.19%)
55.87% (G:12.49% B:0.23%)
4.4-ply6/1* eq: -0.145 (-0.265)
Player:
Opponent:		41.17% (G:13.06% B:0.28%)
58.83% (G:25.38% B:0.97%)
5.4-ply13/8eq: -0.189 (-0.309)
Player:
Opponent:		40.42% (G:12.07% B:0.43%)
59.58% (G:25.22% B:1.05%)

Αφού δέσει, ο Γιάννης δεν πρέπει να φοβάται τόσο πολύ τα χτυπήματα. Το πούλι στο 3 θα ήταν ήδη αρκετά κακό, όμως με την πόρτα 2 φτιαγμένη, δεν έχει άλλον στόχο από τον άσο.
Αντίθετα, μετά από 13/10 είναι μεγάλο φαβορί να γλιτώσει και τότε θα έχει καλούς builders.

 41: 13/9 4/3 
Pip=119-132
 
1.xgXG Roller++24/20 4/3eq: -0.262
Player:
Opponent:		49.58% (G:14.60% B:0.31%)
50.42% (G:17.44% B:0.32%)
2.XG Roller++13/8eq: -0.268 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:		48.94% (G:14.41% B:0.41%)
51.06% (G:16.09% B:0.38%)
3.playedXG Roller++13/9 4/3eq: -0.311 (-0.049)
Player:
Opponent:		48.31% (G:16.02% B:0.44%)
51.69% (G:18.61% B:0.55%)
4.4-ply24/20 2/1eq: -0.574 (-0.311)
Player:
Opponent:		42.75% (G:9.28% B:0.16%)
57.25% (G:20.36% B:0.36%)
5.3-ply13/9 2/1eq: -0.707 (-0.445)
Player:
Opponent:		41.32% (G:10.87% B:0.27%)
58.68% (G:22.22% B:0.69%)

Δεν θα υποκριθώ ότι το καταλαβαίνω αυτό. Η ιδέα του 13/9 είναι ότι θα ρισκάρει να χτυπήσει από την anchor του. Αντίθετα, θα ήθελε πολύ να επιτεθεί στο 5 του.
Προφανώς, το XG θεωρεί ότι το ασύνδετο στρατόπεδο του Άτμα θα τον εμποδίσει να επιτεθεί αποτελεσματικά, αλλά θα δυσκολευόμουν να το παίξω ακόμα κι αν το ήξερα.

 No double 
Pip=114-132
 
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 51.31% (G:18.40% B:0.53%) 51.37% (G:20.02% B:0.57%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 48.69% (G:16.07% B:0.48%) 48.63% (G:18.21% B:0.64%)
  Cubeless Equities -0.029 +0.310
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.289 (-0.021)
xg Double/Take:+0.310
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.690)
 
Best Cube action: Double / Take
 53: 9/1*  
Pip=114-132
 
1.xgXG Roller++13/10 13/8eq: +0.024
Player:
Opponent:		45.54% (G:13.88% B:0.41%)
54.46% (G:16.88% B:0.44%)
2.XG Roller++13/10 6/1* eq: +0.009 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:		43.08% (G:16.36% B:0.33%)
56.92% (G:21.40% B:0.55%)
3.playedXG Roller++9/1* eq: -0.004 (-0.029)
Player:
Opponent:		43.03% (G:13.60% B:0.24%)
56.97% (G:15.39% B:0.32%)
4.XG Roller++13/8 9/6eq: -0.031 (-0.055)
Player:
Opponent:		44.22% (G:11.02% B:0.22%)
55.78% (G:13.39% B:0.28%)
5.XG Roller++13/10 9/4eq: -0.090 (-0.114)
Player:
Opponent:		42.80% (G:12.06% B:0.27%)
57.20% (G:18.28% B:0.34%)

Μετά το χτύπημα στον άσο, το 13/10 είναι θεματικό, επειδή μεγιστοποιεί τις ζαριές που κλείνου τον άσο.

 65: Bar/20 9/3 
Pip=115-124
 
1.played3-plyBar/20 9/3eq: +0.317
Player:
Opponent:		62.50% (G:12.44% B:0.20%)
37.50% (G:6.56% B:0.09%)
2.3-plyBar/20 13/7eq: -0.011 (-0.329)
Player:
Opponent:		54.95% (G:14.38% B:0.25%)
45.05% (G:14.69% B:0.44%)
3.3-plyBar/14eq: -0.045 (-0.362)
Player:
Opponent:		54.53% (G:11.69% B:0.25%)
45.47% (G:14.23% B:0.30%)
 41: 6/5* 5/1 
Pip=104-124
 
1.played4-ply6/5* 5/1eq: -0.082
Player:
Opponent:		43.44% (G:9.76% B:0.10%)
56.56% (G:13.17% B:0.22%)
2.4-ply6/1eq: -0.358 (-0.276)
Player:
Opponent:		36.46% (G:6.45% B:0.08%)
63.54% (G:13.69% B:0.18%)
3.3-ply13/8eq: -0.598 (-0.516)
Player:
Opponent:		30.20% (G:4.10% B:0.08%)
69.80% (G:14.10% B:0.19%)
4.3-ply13/9 2/1eq: -0.609 (-0.528)
Player:
Opponent:		29.73% (G:4.57% B:0.08%)
70.27% (G:15.23% B:0.21%)
5.3-ply13/9 3/2eq: -0.619 (-0.537)
Player:
Opponent:		29.62% (G:4.18% B:0.08%)
70.38% (G:15.13% B:0.20%)
 65: Bar/14 
Pip=109-119
 
1.xgXG Roller++Bar/20 13/7eq: +0.274
Player:
Opponent:		60.64% (G:16.75% B:0.36%)
39.36% (G:8.71% B:0.12%)
2.playedXG Roller++Bar/14eq: +0.187 (-0.087)
Player:
Opponent:		58.36% (G:11.41% B:0.29%)
41.64% (G:8.07% B:0.07%)

Βιάστηκα εδώ. Ο Άτμα έχει στο στρατόπεδό του τις δύο χειρότερες τρύπες, άρα μπορώ να ρισκάρω λίγο. Επίσης, θα του στοιχίσει περισσότερο να χτυπήσει από την anchor, ενώ αν με βρει στο 11, θα έχει κατεβάσει και πούλι για επίθεση.
Τέλος, αλλά όχι λιγότερο σημαντικό, το 13/7 πετυχαίνει καλύτερη κατανομή και κυρίως ελέγχει το outfield τη στιγμή που έχω πεντάπορτο.


 64: 13/9 13/7 
Pip=98-119
 
1.playedXG Roller++13/9 13/7eq: -0.353
Player:
Opponent:		36.96% (G:4.51% B:0.04%)
63.04% (G:8.26% B:0.32%)
2.XG Roller++13/3eq: -0.509 (-0.156)
Player:
Opponent:		33.25% (G:2.74% B:0.03%)
66.75% (G:7.62% B:0.15%)
3.4-ply13/7 6/2eq: -0.663 (-0.310)
Player:
Opponent:		28.47% (G:1.49% B:0.01%)
71.53% (G:6.01% B:0.07%)
4.4-ply20/10eq: -0.696 (-0.343)
Player:
Opponent:		28.48% (G:4.43% B:0.05%)
71.52% (G:22.28% B:0.16%)
5.3-ply20/14 13/9eq: -1.149 (-0.795)
Player:
Opponent:		20.52% (G:2.86% B:0.06%)
79.48% (G:37.59% B:0.74%)

Τέτοιες ζαριές εξηγούν το προηγούμενο λάθος μου. Μετά από 13/7 στην προηγούμενη ζαριά, ο Άτμα θα ήταν τώρα αναγκασμένος να θάψει πούλι στο 3.

 22: 13/11(4) 
Pip=98-109
 
1.xgXG Roller++13/9(2)eq: +0.344
Player:
Opponent:		61.70% (G:10.83% B:0.39%)
38.30% (G:5.29% B:0.05%)
2.playedXG Roller++13/11(4)eq: +0.330 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:		61.04% (G:10.47% B:0.46%)
38.96% (G:5.52% B:0.05%)
3.3-ply13/11(2) 6/4(2)eq: -0.081 (-0.424)
Player:
Opponent:		52.46% (G:7.03% B:0.14%)
47.54% (G:9.52% B:0.05%)
4.3-ply13/11(2) 4/2(2)eq: -0.093 (-0.437)
Player:
Opponent:		52.20% (G:6.06% B:0.12%)
47.80% (G:9.38% B:0.06%)
5.3-ply13/11(2) 3/1(2)eq: -0.109 (-0.453)
Player:
Opponent:		51.86% (G:5.57% B:0.11%)
48.14% (G:9.62% B:0.08%)
 44: 13/5(2) 
Pip=90-109
 
1.playedXG Roller++13/5(2)eq: -0.421
Player:
Opponent:		35.56% (G:1.66% B:0.01%)
64.44% (G:2.59% B:0.08%)
2.XG Roller++20/16(2) 9/5 7/3eq: -0.472 (-0.051)
Player:
Opponent:		34.46% (G:0.42% B:0.00%)
65.54% (G:1.32% B:0.03%)
3.XG Roller++20/12(2)eq: -0.481 (-0.060)
Player:
Opponent:		33.73% (G:0.40% B:0.00%)
66.27% (G:0.65% B:0.03%)
4.XG Roller++20/16(2) 13/9(2)eq: -0.488 (-0.067)
Player:
Opponent:		33.85% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
66.15% (G:0.13% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++20/16(2) 9/5 6/2eq: -0.521 (-0.100)
Player:
Opponent:		33.08% (G:0.50% B:0.00%)
66.92% (G:2.53% B:0.06%)
 44: 11/7(4) 
Pip=90-93
 
1.xgXG Roller++14/6 11/7(2)eq: +0.693
Player:
Opponent:		73.29% (G:1.69% B:0.03%)
26.71% (G:0.53% B:0.01%)
2.XG Roller++14/6 11/3eq: +0.686 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:		72.98% (G:1.63% B:0.01%)
27.02% (G:0.50% B:0.01%)
3.playedXG Roller++11/7(4)eq: +0.625 (-0.067)
Player:
Opponent:		68.10% (G:2.16% B:0.05%)
31.90% (G:0.89% B:0.01%)
4.3-ply11/3(2)eq: +0.329 (-0.364)
Player:
Opponent:		62.03% (G:2.90% B:0.05%)
37.97% (G:2.74% B:0.03%)
5.3-ply14/2 11/7eq: +0.240 (-0.452)
Player:
Opponent:		58.99% (G:3.44% B:0.09%)
41.01% (G:4.09% B:0.03%)

Προφανώς, ήθελα να κρατήσω spares για να έχω να παίζω, αλλά και το 11/7(2) είναι αρκετά ελαστικό. Απ ό,τι φαίνεται οι 5 άμεσες βολές που αφήνει το παίξιμό μου στοιχίζουν πολύ. Δίνω ένα 14% να χτυπηθώ αμέσως, και οι γκέλες θα μου στοιχίσουν την παρτίδα.
Από την άλλη, το παίξιμό μου προσφέρει βίδο / πάσο όταν δεν με χτυπάει, ενώ με 11/7(2) έχει εύκολο take.


 21: 7/4 
Pip=74-93
 
1.xgXG Roller++9/8 7/5eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		21.57% (G:0.46% B:0.01%)
78.43% (G:1.37% B:0.01%)
2.XG Roller++9/6eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		21.57% (G:0.40% B:0.00%)
78.43% (G:1.39% B:0.01%)
3.XG Roller++7/5 3/2eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		21.42% (G:0.45% B:0.01%)
78.58% (G:1.45% B:0.02%)
4.XG Roller++7/6 3/1eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		21.22% (G:0.42% B:0.01%)
78.78% (G:1.35% B:0.02%)
5.playedXG Roller++7/4eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		21.58% (G:0.50% B:0.01%)
78.42% (G:2.30% B:0.07%)
 Double/Pass 
Pip=74-90
 
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 78.57% (G:2.43% B:0.08%) 78.98% (G:2.32% B:0.07%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 21.43% (G:0.51% B:0.01%) 21.02% (G:0.51% B:0.01%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.604 +1.587
Cubeful Equities
     No double:+0.854 (-0.146)
     Double/Take:+1.070 (+0.070)
played Double/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Double / Pass

Με κακό timing και λίγες πιθανότητες γρήγορου χτυπήματος, ο Άτμα σωστά πηγαίνει πάσο.

 Wins 1pt. 
 

Game Summary:

mman  Category erimitis 
4(1)
-0.262(-1.88%)		 Move Errors
Equity lost (cost)		 2(1)
-0.185(-1.33%)
0
+0.000		 Double Errors
Equity lost (cost)		 1
-0.021(-0.15%)
0
+0.000		 Take Errors
Equity lost (cost)		 0
+0.000
0 Outplays 0
4(1)
-0.262(-1.88%)		 Total Error
Equity lost (cost)		 3(1)
-0.206(-1.48%)
5
+1.428(+10.26%)		 Joker
Luck		 2
-1.428(-10.26%)
Advanced
8.74		 Level of Play
Performance Rating		 Expert
5.16
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on 04-Apr-19 9:52:38 AM